[ianch99]

I am thinking the decision is similar to the Scottish independence vote where the voters were offered a choice of a rosy, independant future based on little hard evidence and no guarantees. In the end, they stayed with the devil they know (for now).

Maybe this is a similar choice: the consequences of leaving/staying in need to spelt out clearly and in terms that most people can understand. Can the politicians do this this without falling back on the emotive arguments, probably not.

One this is certain, the EU is dead man walking at the moment. It need radical overhaul to become a reason to stay in. If this is seen to be happening then I think the vote will be a stay in outcome especially if Dave get some concessions on economic migrants.