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Old 24-04-2015, 11:59   #164
Chris
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Re: General Election 2015: Voting intentions & general discussion

Quote:
Originally Posted by denphone View Post
And they have been near enough level pegging for quite a period now given a point lead here and there in the poll of polls for both of them and personally unless something monumental happens in these last 14 days or there is a almighty cock up l cannot see it changing much unless the electorate is deceiving the pollsters quite a bit.

What is your view Chris?.
I think there is enough noise from minor and regional parties that national polling is fraught with difficulties. Vote-splitting in many seats could lead to perverse outcomes.

If I had to put money on it, I'd say we're in 1992 territory - the polling organisations don't have the methodology necessary to read the current picture, and the outcome will probably be better for the Tories than everyone is predicting.
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