Also Cameron has only himself to blame for the rise of the SNP. His mismanaged the referendum giving Salmond too much sway over the timing of the vote and wording of the question. Then he did that idiotic, irresponsible and cynical speech after the vote where he suddenly attached EVEL conditions to the promises he made before the referendum. It looked like Westminster backtracking on the promises made and give excellent ammunition to the separatists to turn defeat into another cause to fight for.
In 2010 the Union seemed secure and Scottish Independence a pipedream. In 2015 the issue is dominating the election. Cameron's legacy may well be the breakup of the Union. He doesn't seem to care by the way he is talking about Scotland now either, he'll happily spur that on if it gains him a seat or two down south.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Osem
I wasn't referring to the election results- just the number of people who vote Tory. We all know the electoral system is biased very heavily against the Tories so they need more votes to achieve the sort of majority that same number of votes would get for Labour's loonies. DC's failure to do something about that could come back to haunt him. More voters, however, will eventually lead to more seats especially if, as we can be certain, an SNP backed Labour govt. holes the ship and people start to realise and feel the effects of the nonsense they actually voted for.
I think UKIP's fall in support is largely Tories who wanted to make a point but now realise they'd be throwing the baby out with the bathwater by voting UKIP.
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The boundary advantage isn't too bad if Labour don't have Scotland. If you look at the current polling Labour and the Conservatives are neck-and-neck but so are the seats.
The problem is Labour have more possibilities for a coalition or confidence and supply than the Conservatives do. They're both heading for a draw but the SNP will push Labour over the top.
As I said the two things that can stop this are a collapse in UKIP support and better than expected Liberal Democrat seats.