It's starting to slip away from the Tories. Several polls today all showing the same movement:
Survation:
Quote:
LAB 35% (+2)
CON 31% (-1)
UKIP 15% (-3)
LD 9% (NC)
SNP 4% (NC)
GRE 4% (+2)
|
TNS:
Quote:
LAB 33% (+1)
CON 30% (-3)
LD 8% (0)
UKIP 19% (+3)
GREEN 4% (-1)
|
Panelbase:
Quote:
LAB 37% (+4%)
CON 31% (-2%)
UKIP 16% (-1%)
LD 8% (+1%)
GRN 4% (-1%
|
http://politicalbetting.com
If this goes into the Election then Labour would be close to a Majority even with their problems in Scotland. Certainly enough to do a coalition with the Liberal Democrats and more than enough with the SNP.
The Conservatives need to do something to change the momentum. They're more high rated on the economy and yet their still losing. Miliband is catching up in the personal ratings on Cameron, the debates are helping him, but the Tories should still be clear ahead.
Their hope seems to be that people will turn off Miliband at the last moment and UKIP's vote will collapse in favour of the Tories but the former is going to be unlikely if Miliband's personal ratings keep improving.