Quote:
Originally Posted by Damien
This might happen but polling has got better since '92 and people have expected a Tory resurgence as we got closer to the election but it hasn't happened. Remember that the last time around the Tories didn't win enough to get a majority and now they've got UKIP biting at their ankles.
I think we're heading for a coalition. Either Labour/Liberal Democrats or a Tory/Lib-Dem one like this time.
We could get a Labour/SNP confidence and supply agreement too. The SNP are looking likely to be the third biggest party but are unlikely to get a coalition government ahead of a 2016 election in Scotland.
Still it's hard to see how Cameron can remain Prime Minster at the moment. The electoral maths doesn't help them at all.
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There wasn't an awful lot wrong with the polls in 1992. The problem was, people *lied*. They didn't want to admit they were voting for the nasty party. Right up to and including the exit polls. But they had looked at Neil Kinnock and thought "no way".