Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris
My prediction is that we are on course for another 1992. A lot more people will vote for the nasty Tories than are prepared to admit it. They will look at Ed Miliband on polling day and think, "if he wins today, will the last person out of Britain please switch off the lights."
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This might happen but polling has got better since '92 and people have expected a Tory resurgence as we got closer to the election but it hasn't happened. Remember that the last time around the Tories didn't win enough to get a majority and now they've got UKIP biting at their ankles.
I think we're heading for a coalition. Either Labour/Liberal Democrats or a Tory/Lib-Dem one like this time.
We could get a Labour/SNP confidence and supply agreement too. The SNP are looking likely to be the third biggest party but are unlikely to get a coalition government ahead of a 2016 election in Scotland.
Still it's hard to see how Cameron can remain Prime Minster at the moment. The electoral maths doesn't help them at all.