Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris
Inept analysis from the Grauniad.
The reason Ashcroft focused on those 16 seats was because 14 of them are in areas which voted Yes, or No by only a narrow margin, in the referendum. The other ones are Gordon, where The Fat One is planning to stand, and Danny Alexnder's seat, Inverness.
The Grauniad's extrapolation is based on a uniform nationwide swing of the same proportion suggested in these known Nat hotspots. That isn't going to happen. It never does.
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Ashcroft will be releasing more seats soon. However these localised results also reflect the Scotland-wide polls that have been showing a dramatic nationwide swing to the SNP.
Even if this is a bit favourable to the Nats the story will hopefully wake people up into what is happening.