Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris
There's no question of Kellner rigging a poll to suit Murdoch, but something peculiar has definitely happened to YouGov's sample. The shift in opinion it has shown in the last month should have had at least an echo in this week's Survation poll, but there wasn't even a flicker. Survation is absolutely rock steady, with a 6-point lead for No.
|
It could be argued YouGov was reverting to the mean but it was odd as where did those extra people come from? There is the concept of
herding where polls that are significant outliers suddenly adjust as they don't want to be wrong but no one has suggested a methodology change from YouGov for that poll.
We'll see tonight if it's stable, regressed a bit, moved for Yes a bit. Given the lack of 'hype' from Murdoch I suspect it's but No just ahead again.