Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris
Personally I think the final outcome will be in the 60-40 ballpark, so if YouGov is static at that magnitude of lead for No, I'm a happy bunny.
Yes has all the ground to make up over the next month and a bit and, in the absence of what the anoraks call a "black swan event", it's difficult to see how they're going to do it.
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The only worry is a fundamental flaw in the way they're weighting/sampling voters. The fact there seems to be a wide discrepancy in the pollsters' numbers does feed that fear to a slight extent although it's quite unlikely.