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Old 20-06-2014, 07:50   #1589
Chris
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Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr Angry View Post
A spectacular analytical analysis Damien, thank you.

Now, setting aside the fact that nowhere did I allege or state that the independence polls were or are rigged - but acknowledging that such behaviours are entirely possible - is anyone aware of any Government or Cabinet source having come out to categorically deny the allegation by the pseudonym correspondent that the unpublished Government commissioned tax-payer funded YouGov poll shows a rise in the support for the Yes vote or putting the Yes vote in the lead?
Are you working your way towards a point?

---------- Post added at 07:50 ---------- Previous post was at 07:47 ----------

Quote:
Originally Posted by Qtx View Post
They do weighting on nearly all polls which changes the results of the poll anyway. The way the weighting is done tend to make results vary quite a bit depending on how it's done. So a single result could get presented to everyone with numerous different values.

Organisations will often pay for polls to be done by many pollsters in secrecy and then use the data from the one that makes them look best and only mention that poll. With there being such a variation between some pollsters, no doubt could get results that suit you best.
Methodology counts for something, certainly. Prof John Curtice was explaining the other day why ICM, for example, reports an unusually high number of undecideds. It's because their sample includes non-voters from the 2011 Holyrood election. The reckoning is that this group is not politically engaged but is more likely to come out for the referendum than for an election. This group naturally includes more non-committal responses.
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