Quote:
Originally Posted by Damien
The YouGov poll is good although worth nothing that some other polls, namely ICM and Survation, have it a lot closer.
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Indeed, however it's also worth nothing that ICM and Survation aren't very good at getting definitive answers out of people. For some reason they come back with relatively high levels of 'don't know' compared to YouGov. I'm not sure why this is, although I suspect there is something in the methodology that makes people more likely to give a firm answer with YouGov.
*If* there is any significance to the variation in 'don't know' between polls, it would tend to indicate that people who say they are undecided, when they do actually make a choice between Yes and No, are more likely to go for No.