Quote:
Originally Posted by Damien
The polls are showing that Yes is gaining....
|
The 'yes bounce' has been factored in. We went over this a few weeks ago.
The No campaign is getting all the bad news out now, i.e. no pound, no EU, businesses fleeing south, declining oil revenue. Once these simply become established fact, rather than contentious points of debate (as they are beginning to), they will cease to define how people feel about the referendum. Look, for example, at the currency issue. Nobody in Scotland, outside the SNP leadership and the usual cesspool of hardline cybernats, still thinks a currency union is a goer. The polls show that very strongly indeed. That fact will weigh heavily on those who vote in September.
The final phase of the campaign will be to build the positive message of the Union and come polling day, that message, plus the fact that when Scots come to put a cross on a ballot paper they tend to think with their wallets and their stomachs rather than their Mel Gibson reflex, will see No safely home.