Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
ICM/Scotland on Sunday: NO 49, YES 37. The rest are don't know/won't vote.
ICM polling has shown YES is static and NO has picked up a few of the don't knows in the past couple of days.
However, when you strip out the don't knows from any poll you always end up with a little over 60 NO and a little under 40 YES. ICM/SoS don't seem to have put the detail online so I can't see if that still holds true, but it always has been until now.
Basically, nobody with a settled opinion on the issue has changed their mind over the past 18 months. I suspect most of the 'don't knows' haven't either, and probably won't do by September.
Salmond will have to win all the don't knows if he wants to even come close to winning the referendum. I'd say that's very unlikely.
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