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Old 21-04-2013, 18:04   #234
Chris
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Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?

They can't call a Scottish election no matter what happens. We have fixed term parliaments.

Also, it's not only a matter of how many people vote yes or no, the amount the opinion polls shift during the campaign will be relevant in the long term too.

They were insane to call a referendum with public support for separation so totally stuck at 30%, but the election results pretty much called the SNP's bluff. They got an outright majority at Holyrood under an electoral system that was supposed to prevent it and there was then nothing to stop them from legislating for a vote.

If a 2-year campaign fails to push support past the core vote, in 20 or 30 years time, if there is no evidence of general support for the idea of separation, it will be much harder for them to justify the cost and upheaval of another campaign aimed at convincing people that their settled view of Scotland's place in the UK is wrong.
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