Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris
The thing is, the margin of error is +/- 5 points. Which means it is possible at one end of that range that UKIP is actually polling 3 points ahead of the Lib Dems. That is not the most likely scenario, I agree, but the message the pollsters are giving today is that the race is very close and to predict no surprises is to be a hostage to fortune.
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Well we'll find out soon enough. I hope there is a surprise. Makes things interesting. I would like to see Labour suffer a bit of a set back because I think they'll be stronger if the wrong Miliband and Ed Balls leave. UKIP winning would be a fascinating result too or a Liberal Democrat collapse.
The polling suggests a scenario where the status quo remains = boring.