Quote:
Originally Posted by Damien
Well 7 percentages points is a pretty big gap...So I do think that the polls suggesting 'no big surprise' was fair  |
The thing is, the margin of error is +/- 5 points. Which means it is possible at one end of that range that UKIP is actually polling 3 points ahead of the Lib Dems. That is not the most likely scenario, I agree, but the message the pollsters are giving today is that the race is very close and to predict no surprises is to be a hostage to fortune.