[Sirius]

Originally Posted by Chris

Complete fantasy, of course. Labour is not going to come second in Eastleigh. The Party is nowhere in that part of the world.

It's Lib Dem territory, formerly Tory, the sort of seat Cameron should have won in 2010. The outcome will be interesting and very important because both the leading parties in the constituency are in the government. Cameron needs it, to be able to claim support forums programme, Clegg needs it, to be able to prove the Lib Dems aren't going to sink without trace in 2015 and Miliband desperately wants it so he can claim the Coalition is losing its legitimacy.

Sadly for Dave, his outside chance of winning the seat have been wrecked by UKIP which will take enough votes to ensure the Tories can't win. The most likely outcome is a Lib Dem hold. Who comes after that is anyone's guess, but UKIP's showing is what everyone's wanting to see. Has Dave's promise of a referendum neutralised UKIP or not? We shall have to wait and see.

I don't trust Dave to give us a Referendum as he will Wiesel out of it, therefor my only option is UKIP.