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Old 29-01-2013, 13:22   #174
Damien
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Re: [Update] Cameron promises EU referendum by October 2017

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hugh View Post
The actual YouGov survey for the Sunday Times is here - some interesting voting intentions.

And at the YouGov site, some interesting commentary (especially about UKIP).
Interesting shift in people's currently intentions for a in/out referendum from before the annoucement:

Prior to Cameron's speech:

Remain in the EU: 36%
Leave in the EU: 42%
Not voting: 4%
I dunno: 17%

Afterwards:

Remain in the EU: 40% (up 4%)
Leave in the EU: 42% (down 8%)
Not voting: 4% (up 1%)
I dunno: 17% (up 3%)


Even more interesting is the question of what people would do if we got 'new terms':

Remain in the EU: 55%
Leave in the EU: 22%
Not voting: 5%
I dunno: 18%

Cameron hasn't specified what he wants these new terms to be and it's likely that he'll win some concessions after all. He seems to have played his hand very well.....
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