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Chrysalis · 09-05-2011, 16:58

there is a site where will calculate the result if predict votes.

my prediction had the lib dems been slaughtered down to 16 seats and labour 15 short of a power. so probably would have led to a lab lib coalition. Labour are easily more popular than they were when lost the election in england and dont need much of a swing to get ahead of the tories again in seats, remember lab need less votes per seat than the tories.

http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/swing-calculator

What happened in scotland is an event but those votes werent lost to the tories or lib dems which is very relevant.

Ironically I had the tories on a higher share of the national vote but with less seats, if that result came about in real life I think the media would make a big issue of a labour government been in power with less votes than the tories and PR would be raised again as it wouldnt be seen as democratic.

09-05-2011, 16:58	#144
Chrysalis cf.mega poster Join Date: Sep 2003 Posts: 12,048	Re: To AV, or not to AV? there is a site where will calculate the result if predict votes. my prediction had the lib dems been slaughtered down to 16 seats and labour 15 short of a power. so probably would have led to a lab lib coalition. Labour are easily more popular than they were when lost the election in england and dont need much of a swing to get ahead of the tories again in seats, remember lab need less votes per seat than the tories. http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/swing-calculator What happened in scotland is an event but those votes werent lost to the tories or lib dems which is very relevant. Ironically I had the tories on a higher share of the national vote but with less seats, if that result came about in real life I think the media would make a big issue of a labour government been in power with less votes than the tories and PR would be raised again as it wouldnt be seen as democratic.