Leaving that lying there, unloved and forgotten, will the Tories put up a candidate against Davis? They're apparently not going to support him financially.
Last election:
Tories: 22,792
Lib Dem: 17,676
Labour: 6,104
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/vote2005/html/290.stm
In other words, add the Lib Dem and Tory votes together and you'll get a thumping for Labour, which I suspect may be the point. Even if the Tories put up their own candidate I suspect there are enough Lib Dem voters who'd switch and enough Tories who'd vote for the man rather than the party to win comfortably, too.