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Old 04-05-2008, 16:33   #101
Damien
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Re: Boris Johnson wins London mayoral race

Quote:
Originally Posted by foreverwar View Post
RK, understand what you are saying, but the amount of additional support they are getting is minimal, but widely reported.

In the recent council elections, they gained 13 seats and lost 3, out of a total of 4000 (approx) seats fought.

This means they increased by 10 out 4000, which is 0.25% - I worry about their policies, but not about the fact they will be taking over the councils soon.


The share of the vote and the amount of seats gained were smaller than the BNP wanted or were expected to gain. If we look at these results, although they had some success, the rise is not as much as feared. The results also show that, despite massive protests against Labour and the dismal performance by UKIP, the BNP have not made the gains they needed to become more of a problem for their detractors.

They are not gaining momentum towards being a signifiant force in politics.

It seems they did well in the last few elections because of dissatisfaction in Labour and no credible opposition to pick up the votes. Hence a lot of protests votes for the BNP. I think now a lot of people think the Conservatives are a credible alternative and are less inclined to make a protest vote for either UKIP or the BNP.

I am willing to beat that we see a lot of those UKIP/BNP votes go Tory in the general election and both parties to actually decrease their share of the popular vote.
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