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Old 20-02-2008, 16:02   #40
BBKing
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Re: 17-th suicide in Bridgend

The Independent has a list of the 17, and the first 12 are male. The last five are four female and one male, which is statistically unusual*, but not taken across the sample as a whole, since the national figures about 75% male, 25% female for 15-44 year olds, so 12/17 (71%) and 5/17 (29%) are near enough, so I was wrong about it being disproportionately female, it had been disproportionately male until the start of 2008.

* However, in any random series you get clusters, but you also get regression to the mean which cancels them out in the long run

Monthly totals, to see if there's a rising pattern (second figure is the five-month rolling average, a useful trick to spot whether a trend is real)

Jan - 1
Feb - 2
Mar - 0
Apr - 1
May - 1 - 1
Jun - 1 - 1
Jul - 0 - 0.6
Aug - 2 - 1
Sep - 1 - 1
Oct - 0 - 0.8
Nov - 1 - 0.8
Dec - 1 - 1
Jan - 2 - 1
Feb - 3 - 1.4

so if there's an increase it's since the media coverage started, suggesting that it has possibly had an influence.
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