Quote:
Originally Posted by Downloads
In situations such as this though, there isn't going to be a rise now unless we were to believe that retentions could only handle 100 cancellations a day. It will deffinitely drop off from where we are now. If you believe that most cancellations would happen within the first couple of weeks then a normal curve of distribution would suggest we are at the peak atm.
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It's difficult to say.. Sunday night is a big night for Sky One, with the Simpsons, 24 and Lost on. It hasn't been a week yet, so I feel that it hasn't quite bitten VM yet.
My personal estimate is 300,000 subscribers (10%) quitting over this which would leave Sky with about 8m subscribers, Virgin Media with perhaps 3m subscribers...
..unless of course there's a resolution to this silly dispute, but I think there's far too much testosterone involved.