Most Democrat candidates received a bump after the Democrat National Convention.
Historically,
Jimmy Carter in 1976: 16 points
Walter Mondale in 1984: 16 points
Michael Dukakis in 1988: 11 points
Bill Clinton in 1992: 30 points
Al Gore in 2000: 19 points
Well, what about Kerry?
Read this.
Quote:
In the survey, taken Frida.y and Saturday, Bush led Kerry 50%-46% among likely voters. Independent candidate Ralph Nader was at 2%
The survey showed Kerry losing 1 percentage point and Bush gaining 4 percentage points from a poll taken the week before the Boston convention.
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However, earlier:
Quote:
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A Newsweek poll taken Thursday and Friday gave the Democratic ticket a 49%-42% lead. Over three weeks, that reflected a 4-point "bounce" for Kerry, the smallest ever in the Newsweek poll.
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So kerry got the smallest ever bounce, and then fell.
This is the highpoint. From here on, the Democrats are going down. That is my prediction.
Democrat senator Zell Miller (D-GA) wrote
this...
Quote:
Twelve years ago, I delivered one of the keynote addresses on the first night at the Democratic National Convention in New York. It was a stinging rebuke of the administration of George H.W. Bush and a ringing endorsement of Bill Clinton. This summer I'll again be speaking in New York, but it will be to the Republican Convention that renominates George W. Bush.
Many have asked how I could have come so far in just over a decade. Frankly, I don't think I've changed much at all. At 72, I don't feel much need to change my opinions. Instead, the reason I didn't attend the Democratic Convention in Boston is that I barely recognize my party anymore. Most of its leaders--including our nominee, John Kerry--don't hold the same beliefs that have motivated my career in public service.
Americans looking for a president who understands their struggles and their dreams should tune in next month, when we celebrate the leadership of George W. Bush.
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(extracts, emphasis added)
How about the wives?
http://www.nypost.com/news/nationalnews/28359.htm
Quote:
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Mrs. Bush is rated 66 percent favorable and 12 percent unfavorable ††a 5-to-1 positive ratio ††while Heinz Kerry is rated 27 percent favorable and 26 percent unfavorable.
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Kerry is having problems.
