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Originally Posted by Jerrek
Bush is going to win. In the last election, Al Gore was 15 points ahead this time of year. The Republicans haven't started campaigning yet. They haven't held their convention yet. And, Bush may actually pick Guilliani as his running mate. Plus, Ralph Nader is running.
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I was reserching the last election and Gore was always behind in the polls? Up to the last day when it went to the wire. Also the republicans have aired a lot more negitive ads against kerry, only a few dont have a mention about kerry one of them playing on 9/11, (see bushs website) than kerry against bush (see kerrys website) so both sides are going for it.
Gulliani would be a good choice for Bush due to the 9/11 links but it will look like he is taking advantage of 9/11 (lets face it, Apart from 0 tolarance Gulliani was not the biggest figure in politics before 9/11)
I think it will again depend on the swing states especially ohio, i also think folorda will go to kerry but the other big states will be 50/50.
As for Bush i think that if things continue the same way he will be out of office, he needs a event to help him out and also the iraq mess to be sorted out he also has to answer a lot of questions such as the fact that for the first time since the war the employment has gone down under him, the econamy is worse than it was with clinton and also the screw up over iraq
Kerry i think will just wing it if things stay the same but he needs a big speech tommorow to give him some 'presenance' he is a very dull candidate so far so he needs to improve his speechs and look a lot more like a leader