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Originally Posted by towny
Not sure where you got that statistic from - the scientific consensus is that the Gulf Stream may slow down but that it will not switch off. Such an event is theoretically possible but the probabililty is said to be low.
The 'science' behind TDAT is very poor indeed, according to climatologists:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/3707873.stm
I have read in other articles that there are currently no predictive climate models that show the Gulf Stream switching off completely.
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In fairness, Emmerich has accepted that, while the actual events in the film are theoretically possible, they have speeded up the whole process (let's face it, I don't know anybody who would be willing to spend the next hundred years or so in the cinema, waiting for New York to slowly drown).
At the end of the day, it'll be a pot-boiler of a film - from what I've read, it's mostly about Dennis Quaids character trying to save his son. I think that there's been more made of the film recently as the Pentagon reports about climate change have been all over the press at the same time as the media campaign for the film.