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Jerrek 23-03-2004 14:21

Elections... lets predict the results
 
Hmm, so many elections coming up this year. Lets play a little prediction game. We'll save this thread (well, I will) at the end and see who got it right and who didn't.

Lets predict the election results for the following. You don't need to state reasons or even give details, just the result.


United States House of Representatives
United States Senate
United States Presidency


Canada


United Kingdom




So here goes mine:

U.S. House - Republican (Republicans will gain seats)
U.S. Senate - Republican (Republicans will gain seats)
U.S. Presidency - Republican (it will be a close election)


Canada - Liberal (Conservative Party will gain seats, as will Bloc Quebecois. Liberals will loose a lot of seats, but remain in control)


United Kingdom - Labour Party (they will loose seats though)

Pierre 23-03-2004 14:30

Re: Elections... lets predict the results
 
Quote:

So here goes mine:

U.S. House - Republican (Republicans will gain seats)
U.S. Senate - Republican (Republicans will gain seats)
U.S. Presidency - Republican (it will be a close election)


Canada - Liberal (Conservative Party will gain seats, as will Bloc Quebecois. Liberals will loose a lot of seats, but remain in control)


United Kingdom - Labour Party (they will loose seats though)
USA - Democrats (I hope) it will be close. Surely Bush can't get a second term.

Canada - not really up on Canadian politics sorry.

UK - Labour, but a bit tighter this year. They have done the right thing by calling it early. If we had, had Howard from the begining instead of that idiot IDS, The conservatives would have run labour pretty close this time.

Nugget 23-03-2004 14:35

Re: Elections... lets predict the results
 
United States - I hope that the Democrats get back in, but I think that the Republicans will win a second term.

Canada - I'm the same as Pierre and don't know a lot about Canadian politics, but I understand that it's grounded in Liberalism (forgive me if I'm wrong), so I would expect the Liberals to be in power.

UK - Labour will win (I believe that their majority is too great) but they will lose some seats. I still don't think that the Conservatives will gain many, but the Lib Dems may gain a few.

Jerrek 23-03-2004 15:06

Re: Elections... lets predict the results
 
Guys, don't put "hope" in... Put a prediction in. If you want to state who you hope will win, add it afterwards. :)

And by giving just one result for the United States, we'll assume you're talking about the presidency, not Congress.

Nugget 23-03-2004 15:19

Re: Elections... lets predict the results
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jerrek
Guys, don't put "hope" in... Put a prediction in. If you want to state who you hope will win, add it afterwards. :)

And by giving just one result for the United States, we'll assume you're talking about the presidency, not Congress.

Okey-dokey!

United States - I think that the Republicans will win a second term (for the presidency - I don't know enough about Congress etc)

Canada - Liberals to win

UK - Labour will win with a smaller majority than present

sir_drinks_alot 23-03-2004 15:21

Re: Elections... lets predict the results
 
Quote:

U.S. Presidency - Republican (it will be a close election)
i don't know about that jk has a real chance of
winning if he can build up a early over the President as
for the House and Senate there to close to call at this
moment in the uk Labour will win their third election in
a row with there majority being cut to about 85 seats

punky 23-03-2004 15:37

Re: Elections... lets predict the results
 
Predict:

US Presidency: Democrat
UK: Conservative (real tough one to call IMO)

Hope:

US: Undecided. I'd like to see how the Democrats do in power. They'd probably do some good in some areas, but i'm pretty sure they won't take the war on terror seriously enough (like Clinton). 6 of one, half a dozen of the other. If Kerry wins, it might ease up on some middle eastern pressure, but it won't be long before they are burning Kerry effigies. Bush didn't do too badly coping with some tough events (like 9/11), but Americans tend to believe their president should do better than just cope, they have to do well.

UK: Conservative. Again it's pretty close, but most of the Tory policies sounds better (although wether they do any of them is another matter).

Jerrek 23-03-2004 15:39

Re: Elections... lets predict the results
 
You're predicting a democrat for the United States and a conservative for the United Kingdom? You serious about the latter? I don't know too much about UK politics, but I was under the impression that the Conservatives was kind of small?

punky 23-03-2004 15:46

Re: Elections... lets predict the results
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jerrek
You're predicting a democrat for the United States and a conservative for the United Kingdom?

Yeah, but public opinion can change so quickly as you know from Madrid. At the moment, it seems like those 2 would get into power, but who knows what will happen next week? If Bush arrests bin Laden in Oct like most people predict, then, i'm guessing there is nothing much Kerry can do to win the election

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jerrek
You serious about the latter? I don't know too much about UK politics, but I was under the impression that the Conservatives was kind of small?

They did really badly with the Brent East by-election and came last, but it seems to be really close atm. Anyway, I hope it will be the conservatives regardless who comes in. I haven't read about all the Conservatives' and Labour's policies in detail, but from what I can rememeber, the Tory ones look better.


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