General Election 2015: Voting intentions & general discussion
 

Please continue all discussion about the election campaign in this thread.

There is a new opinion poll at the top. With one week to go, I will close this thread and publish a new one, with a new poll. Finally, on election day, another new thread will carry an exit poll so we can see how the parliamentary constituency of Cable Forum Central has voted. :D

Re: General Election 2015: Voting intentions & general discussion
 

Labour are campaigning very well on the ground: http://www.economist.com/news/britai...c/on_the_march

But are the polls wrong:
http://www2.politicalbetting.com/ind...-simply-wrong/

Re: General Election 2015: Voting intentions & general discussion
 

guess it depend on turn out on may 7th yes they got it wrong in 1992 but only one that I can remember they did get wrong

Re: General Election 2015: Voting intentions & general discussion
 

I'm inclined to think the polls have completely broken down.

We simply don't have the experience or background data to be able to assess what's going to happen in this election robustly.

This is all pretty new stuff, it'll take a while for there to be enough data to produce sound predictions.

EDIT: http://fivethirtyeight.com/interacti...n-predictions/

Just look at how wide the 90% confidence range is.

Re: General Election 2015: Voting intentions & general discussion
 

Doesn't look like the polls are going to be much of an indication with that range. :(

I still think a lot of people will put a peg on their noses and vote for a continuation of current policies, especially those who are now in a job that weren't before.

Never let go of nurse for fear of finding something worse.:D

Re: General Election 2015: Voting intentions & general discussion
 

I've seen very polarised opinions locally.

If you are pro-Con, you are a snobby twit.

If you are pro-Lab, you are a benefit-chasing layabout.

If you are pro-Lib, you are as daft as you look.

If you are pro-UKIP, you are racist ****.

If you are pro-Green, you are loony treehugger.

If you are pro-Plaid, you are a language nazi.

I've seen old mates roaring at each other about their respective political leanings.

Re: General Election 2015: Voting intentions & general discussion
 

From the previous thread
The BBC didn't select the audience, ICM (an independent polling company) did.

HuffPost

Re: General Election 2015: Voting intentions & general discussion
 

Very good, love the stereotypes.

Funny though that all the people I know with racist tendancies are traditional "grass-roots" Tories!

Re: General Election 2015: Voting intentions & general discussion
 

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/poli...as-claims.html

The BBC commissioned ICM and didn't know the details or just refused to confirm them? Has ICM come up with any answers? Does ICM always get the job? Maybe the perceived 'bias' was due to all the Tory supporters in the audience having nothing to cheer about because DC stayed well clear... ;)

Just found this in the Mail:

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/arti...#ixzz3XqcW3aCh

Re: General Election 2015: Voting intentions & general discussion
 

What about them not voting (Like me)?

Re: General Election 2015: Voting intentions & general discussion
 

The problem with UKIP's claims is that if it is done by a poll that reflects the make up of the British population is that UKIP are only at 15%. That's a small amount of the audience. It also depends if they included Tories or did it as a make up of the parties in the debate. If the Tories were included then you would imagine they're more receptive to Farage which does raise questions about how they made them up. Although it could just be that the left was more vocal.

Let's remember that it suits Farage to say what he did and to attack the audience. I suspect he planned that moment. His appeal to his base is that he is the lone voice of their concerns railing against the liberal establishment of the BBC, Westminster, the Press and pretty much everyone else. The same way the SNP did during the referendum. He is the positioning himself as the enemy of the establishment and he needs a bit of theatre to make that point clear and an establishment to attack. The debate suited him perfectly.

Re: General Election 2015: Voting intentions & general discussion
 

@ MediaBoy - If you're not voting in the election you can't vote here. ;)

---------- Post added at 12:32 ---------- Previous post was at 12:30 ----------

I'm not greatly interested in Farage, but his comments got me thinking about how these things are done. Let's face it, if an audience is biased in one way or another then it's going to give a false impression to the viewers. I think it's an issue which should be transparent and from what I've read so far, that isn't the case. Maybe the fairest thing would be to have no audience to influence proceedings? :shrug:

Re: General Election 2015: Voting intentions & general discussion
 

My own view is

-Labour and Liberal Democrat is all part of the Conservative family.
-UKIP (They are on something and it not beer).
-The rest (Ok for local Elections)

Re: General Election 2015: Voting intentions & general discussion
 

Normally would vote Tories, but like the look of the English Democrats party standing in Stevenage. Agree with a lot of their policies. Like I said another time, shame we cannot mix and match policies from all the Parties.

Re: General Election 2015: Voting intentions & general discussion
 

Just heard Martha Kerney taking Stuart Hosie (SNP) apart on WATO. Very entertaining.

They reply don't like being reminded that education and health spending in Scotland has grown more slowly than it has in England since 2007. :D