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Hugh 12-02-2020 09:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36024659)
I think the rational and sensible thing to do now is panic. I for one have purchased a year's worth of anti-bacterial hand gel and will start eating a bottle a day of it.

Don’t forget to keep the bottles and transform them into a hazmat suit.

heero_yuy 12-02-2020 09:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Quote from ITV News: A healthcare worker at Worthing Hospital is among the eight confirmed cases of coronavirus in the UK.

Staff at the West Sussex hospital received a memo on Tuesday telling them a member of staff working in the A&E department had been diagnosed with the disease.

A spokesperson for the Department of Health said that all services at the hospital, including surgery and out patients, are operating normally.

It is understood the healthcare worker at Worthing Hospital is not the same person as the locum doctor working in Brighton, who is also one of the eight cases.
:Yikes: Plague's in town. The hospital is less than a mile away from us.

denphone 12-02-2020 09:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 36024687)
:Yikes: Plague's in town. The hospital is less than a mile away from us.

You want to watch out for the red cross on the door for that.

nomadking 12-02-2020 14:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36024680)
Also rather meaningless since the entire world population isnt going to catch it.

JFYI, around 150,000 of the worlds population dies every day anyway, regardless of this virus.

That's based upon 60% catching it and 1% of those dying. That is what the experts are saying.

pip08456 12-02-2020 16:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36024708)
That's based upon 60% catching it and 1% of those dying. That is what the experts are saying.

We all know what we think of experts.

Mr K 12-02-2020 18:10

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36024718)
We all know what we think of experts.

Yeah, bleeding scientists, they and their evidence know nothing. Bloke down the pub knows better. They'll be telling us the climate is changing next.... Its all political correctness gone mad I should think.

papa smurf 12-02-2020 18:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
First case of coronavirus confirmed in London


https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/12...tive-china-who

heero_yuy 12-02-2020 19:05

Re: Coronavirus
 

downquark1 13-02-2020 11:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36024723)
Yeah, bleeding scientists, they and their evidence know nothing. Bloke down the pub knows better. They'll be telling us the climate is changing next.... Its all political correctness gone mad I should think.

Some depressing science stuff I've put in spoiler.
Spoiler: 

Exponentials (which is how epidemics work) are very difficult to project without perfect data and modelling because slight errors quickly become huge differences. As such, predictions on total deaths are probably going to be way off. The current death-rate is probably between 0.5% and 3% given a paper someone told me about, so the total deaths will be limited to how well you contain it.

papa smurf 15-02-2020 16:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Coronavirus bombshell: ‘REAL cause’ of outbreak claim - Chinese scientists break cover

CORONAVIRUS spread from a science laboratory in Wuhan and not a ‘wet market', a group of Chinese scientists have sensationally claimed.


https://www.express.co.uk/news/world...rket-bioweapon


“We noted two laboratories conducting research on bat coronavirus in Wuhan, one of which was only 280 metres from the seafood market.

Taf 15-02-2020 16:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36024659)
I think the rational and sensible thing to do now is panic. I for one have purchased a year's worth of anti-bacterial hand gel and will start eating a bottle a day of it.

Wash your hands all you like. The virus can enter by the eyes and be picked up from your own clothes.

So goggles, mask and naked then rubbing the gel all over? ;)

Hom3r 15-02-2020 19:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36024563)
I have noticed that the price of face masks has gone from dirt cheap to quite expensive, i'm not saying they will do any good just noticing the price.


the DIY facemasks are useful as a chocolate teapot.

Plus we are quite safe in the UK.

The biggest problem is they report the deaths, but not the people who have fully recovered.

I think I hear on the radio that only 0.0002% have actually died.

downquark1 16-02-2020 15:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 36024900)
the DIY facemasks are useful as a chocolate teapot.

Plus we are quite safe in the UK.

The biggest problem is they report the deaths, but not the people who have fully recovered.

I think I hear on the radio that only 0.0002% have actually died.

Nope. the numbers from Friday

Quote:

- 66,887 cases worldwide (but mostly China)
- 10,109 suspected cases
- 1,523 fatalities
- 10,757 in serious/critical condition
- 7,720 recovered
0.0002% equates to 10% of one person dead.

Mr K 16-02-2020 15:30

Re: Coronavirus
 
There's some very dodgy maths going on in this thread...

Paul 17-02-2020 15:24

Re: Coronavirus
 
Using those figures ;

If you ignore the "suspected" cases then The fatality rate is 2.2%.
The infection rate (using a world population of 7.7 Billion) is 0.0000087%.
If you include the suspected, the fatality rate is 2.0%, the infection rate is still only 0.00001%.


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