The future of television
Right, enough. Thanks to the BBC3 announcement we now have 3 different threads all discussing the same issue. I have closed all of them.
*All* pointless arguments about whether the future of TV is in linear broadcasting, video on-demand, a mixture of both, or something as-yet uninvented, should now take place here. The Today programme covered this this morning, from 8.20am if anyone fancies going on BBC Sounds (that’s about 2h 20m in). The essential point is that the EPG and the broadcast schedule work as a focal point, even amongst older teens and young adults for whom linear tv is supposedly of less interest. BBC Three suffered an 80% loss of engagement by going on-demand only. The broadcast schedule simply works better at reaching the target audience. That’s why they’re bringing it back. |
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There appear to be some contradictions from a few of the final posts in the previous thread - can OLD BOY clarify, please?
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Be easier to nail down jelly I suspect, but certainly a good move by the mods to keep what is fundamentally the same discussion to a single thread.
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Might be better still if the mods closed down any thread where these type of arguments occur as soon as they appear. Or more radically suspend the accounts of 1 or 2 posters? |
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I have no strong feelings in favour (or against) any techbological method of delivery or any company in the marketplace. As I frequently point out I have Virgin and three different streaming services. Some however seem to take their personal preferences in absolute terms, and push that to portray others as outdated. |
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OK, let's start off as we mean to go on.
Can we keep the discussions on the arguments/positions put forward, and not on the people posting them. If there is a discrepancy/inaccuracy in the positions, feel free to point it out, but don't let frustrations/emotion make the postings personal attacks or derogatory. |
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There are no contradictions. On your specific points: 1. It’s jfman who’s suggesting 2037, not me. I am basing what I believe will happen on what the government has stated on broadband rollout. Clearly, if the government changes its position on this or fails to meet its target, that changes things. I cannot be responsible for that. 2. You have highlighted: ‘The Beeb confirmed a while ago that it was planning not to be using the existing transmitter system after the next licence fee review. The Culture Minister is saying he’s looking to abolish the licence fee from 2027.’ I presume you are focussing on that 2027 review date. At no point have I said the change from transmitter broadcasting will happen from that date. I have always said that should be in place by 2035. The licence fee review is likely to require the BBC to go to the subscription model (perhaps with an AVOD option) at some time during the period prior to the next licence fee review - probably within about five years of that date. 3. As I understand it, the BBC is planning to cease broadcasting via the current transmitter system by the mid 2030s. Which neatly fits in with everything I’ve been saying for the last five years. |
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Can you provide a link to where the BBC stated they will not be utilising the existing transmitter network after the next licence review in 2027, please? In fact, you stated on 04/08/2019 09:45 https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...&postcount=995 Quote:
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Not much worth watching anymore.......... Sad really mate...... |
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I think they should put programs on one after another and reduce it to, say, three channels.
They could have advertising on one of them, but no one would watch it, which would leave two for the rest of us. |
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Yea I hear ya General!!
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My thumb has blisters from endlessly clicking through about 100 channels in search of something remotely interesting . . and if I do find something the adverts appear 20 seconds later :mad: If we stopped making 90 channels of dross, the money saved could be used to produce better quality programs on what's left. Another huge advantage would be the amount of no-name 'celebrities' who would suddenly find they have to get a bloody job instead of being paid to be on TV shows that are simply a filler between adverts. *first post since returning from a self imposed exile for a month or so |
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I think I know where the 2035 date has come from; i've been told that this is when the contract for Arqiva to supply transmission facilities for the BBC expires. I've read an article by the BBC that says that the BBC intend to move over to internet delivery long term. I'll see if I can find it, if not i'll ask a contact who will know. There are now more people with some sort of internet access capable of streaming live TV available to them than there is Freeview coverage. I doubt it's a coincidence either that the two largest ISP's (Sky & BT) are also broadcasters.
In practice, I think that one PSB DTT mux will remain for some time after the rest of the frequencies have been sold off to the mobile phone companies. I imagine that people who complain about this will be told that they still have more channels than the analogue system that DTT replaced at DSO. The internet isn't perfect and they will need to be able to get messages out to the public in an emergency, don't know if this is still the case, but there was a provision in the law that allows the Government to make the BBC the mouthpiece of the Government in such an emergency. I think that, long term, this will apply to satellite delivery too. Sky have just signed a new contract with SES for their satellite capacity for another five years. This is much shorter than their previous agreements. |
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Someone states today "I won’t drink any alcohol after today". Next day, someone spots them having a beer, and they say "I didn’t mean immediately after yesterday!". Sure, Jan... |
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https://www.bbc.co.uk/rd/blog/2014-0...r-the-internet |
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As there is an ambition to eventually get high-speed data connections into every British home, IP delivery makes sense in the long run. There are various logistical challenges to overcome though, not least of which is ensuring the national grid has enough juice to power data networks that would be working exponentially harder than they do today. And, lest we forget, if BBC One transmits its schedule over IP, with the News at 6, something with Nick Knowles at 8, drama at 9 and the news again at 10 ... that is still linear TV, regardless of what they're using to get the programme from their studio to your home. |
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Something from another thread last year, but relevant to this.
The future of DTT from The House of Lords Select Committee on Communications and Digital - 1st Report of Session 2019 - published 5th November 2019. https://publications.parliament.uk/p...muni/16/16.pdf Pages 64-65 Quote:
The relevance is that, at the moment, if you have a TV and an aerial (indoor or outdoor), you can watch Freeview TV at no extra expense, and with very little fuss (except for occasionally retuning the TV, and sometimes fiddling with the aerial if internal). At the moment, 82% of the UK population have Broadband Access (not Internet Access, as people can have that through their smartphones) - under the IPTV delivery method (be it broadcast channels or SVOD, it's irrelevant), anyone without Broadband would be denied access to Freeview TV. First issue, additional expense in purchasing Fixed Broadband so you can watch Freeview TV. Next, if, like a lot of people, you have multiple TVs in your house, again, all you currently need is an aerial socket, or like me, the TVs in our bedroom and one of the other bedrooms just have a set-top aerial. If we had IP/Broadband delivered TV, people would need the wifi to be good enough, or network sockets, in those rooms. Second issue, additional cost in setting up appropriate network/wifi connectivity to other TVs - especially in older houses with thick walls. Then, what happens if the Broadband goes down? - no TV. At the moment, if our Broadband goes down, we just go to the Digital channels, and carry on watching (if the programme is on Freeview, obviously). Or, over-utilisation or interference in your area could affect the quality of the programmes you are watching, due to the bandwidth being negatively affected/disrupted - remember the story late last year about a village having 18 months of slow speeds because of an old TV? Third issue, if you lose your internet connection (or have it degraded), poor quality or no Freeview TV. |
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This supports my view that one mux will remain for PSB channels for the foreseeable future; that doesn't neccesarily mean that Freeview will deliver anywhere near the number of channels it does today though.
In fact, the number of channels will reduce either this year or next year when Com7 is closed. |
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Nope. Those particular goalposts were shifted so far even the pie shop was offside.
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I don't understand the last two posts, aren't they the same thing ie linear TV is linear TV whether broadcast over the internet or the airwaves?
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I expect you or others would find a reason to rubbish it anyway so I wouldn't cry about it. |
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The CF equivalent of
"of course I have a girlfriend! Why haven’t you met her? Oh, she lives in Canada..." Anyway, back in the U.K., in 2035, what will people do for TV if they don’t have Broadband or their Broadband goes down? |
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If I give up drinking in 2011 and my wife leaves me in 2016, someone might ask if she left because of my drinking. If I then say she left me after I had stopped drinking, that would be correct, despite the time gap. I really don't know why you persist in trying to trip people up by reference to specific words they use. You know what they mean, so why not concentrate on the issues being debated? Accept that sometimes you read things the wrong way, or perhaps not as the author intended. ---------- Post added at 18:34 ---------- Previous post was at 18:29 ---------- Quote:
Focussing on the 'l' word in this way is completely missing the crux of this matter. Live (linear) programmes will be streamed. I presume you are not arguing about that. ---------- Post added at 18:40 ---------- Previous post was at 18:34 ---------- Quote:
Note also that Freeview is changing to allow more on demand services. Good point about internet going down. |
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Freeview has also decided to allow the streaming of channels where they are not available to some people via DTT e.g. Freeview Lite areas.
I think they are doing this to stay relevant as the number of channels broadcast in the traditional way will decrease as time progresses. For most of the channels currently available, it will be a case of streaming them over the internet or losing them. Now that Freeview & Freesat are to merge operations, maybe we will see a combined Freeat/Freeview solution with the ability to stream channels- all on one EPG. This could also be a cost effective way to get the BBC1 & Channel 4 regional variants rolled out in HD. |
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Once it became clear that some of you were interpreting linear in that way, and not to mean scheduled channels, I clarified that live programming would be streamed. Do you seriously believe that I ever intended anyone to think we wouldn't be able to watch live sport, etc anymore? Don't be daft! |
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There’s a joke in there spider which is eluding me...!
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However, in Nov 2019, Chris said Quote:
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So OB which is it by 2035?
The traditional broadcast systems - terrestrial and satellite (I’ll leave cable to the side to avoid confusion), scheduled channels or all of the above? |
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(h/t Stonekettle) |
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The use of the word ‘linear’ was meant to refer to our traditional TV channels. It was widely described in this way on the internet at that time. Unfortunately, I didn’t bargain for all the nit-picking that would result from this on the forum. Silly me. Anyway, let’s move on. All of that was five years ago. Time to get over it. It’s much more interesting to talk about various scenarios that may transpire in the coming years. Except for those who cannot bear the thought that all those channel numbers might actually disappear over the next decade or so and don’t want to even try to imagine that. ---------- Post added at 20:43 ---------- Previous post was at 20:42 ---------- Quote:
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No baiting OB. After years of contradictory statements it'd be nice to get the new thread off on the right footing by clearly defining what we mean. To avoid years of confusion.
And on a point of order linear television doesn't require channel numbers in the interface. Just pre-empting the next goal post shift. The Sky Go apps (e.g. on PlayStation) and BT Sport apps can be used to watch linear, scheduled television without numbers. |
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That is completely different from "The pre-recorded programmes would be on demand and the live programmes would be streamed. Obviously, each live stream would start when the live action started". I think they will co-exist, not be mutually exclusive... |
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This is exactly why I'm trying to pin down the definition of linear which OB refuses to deliver.
We've not even touched on the Pluto TV contradiction yet. |
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I said at the time closing BBC3 was a ridiculously stupid decision.
BBC1- General entertainment BBC2- High brow shows BBC3- Teen/twenty year old shows BBC4- High brow shows a little more high brow When trying to save money how on earth did the BBC executives think "oh....lets save BBC4 which pretty much gives the same type of show as BBC2 rather than focus on the younger generation who we need to keep the license fee going" I say that as someone who supports the BBC too. It was beyond thick. Whoever made that decision would appear to have graduated from thickerson university with a degree in thickery. Should have closed BBC4 and merged it with BBC2. Kept BBC3 open. If you'd wanted the young audience you could have just had some classic bbc kids shows between 10am-6pm and got the millenials to watch the shows they watched as kids. Look how well that show from CBBC about the girl who was in the childrens home. |
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The thing is it didn't really save as much as portrayed as they still had to develop BBC 3 type content for broadcast on BBC 3 and in small portions at random hours on BBC One.
All that changed, unsurprisingly, is that nobody watched it due to a lack of prominence. Going from 7 (Freeview), 106 (cable and Freesat), 115 (Sky) to hidden away at the back of an app is in no way, shape or form comparable. |
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Then digital came along and suddenly you had capacity for hundreds of channels. Which has always been my point around linear channels - they are extremely cheap to operate if you own the content anyway. |
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With 7 (seven) minutes of adverts every 15 minutes, I think it's more about revenue than content :p:
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This isn't about the future of television but as the Netflix/Streaming Services thread is now closed with people redirected to this thread I guess this is the place to post streaming service news.......
Starzplay are currently offering a deal of 6 months at £1:99 a month and Eurosport are offering a 12 month sub for £19:99. If its inappropriate to share this news here please can a mod tell me where I should share it now the natural home for such news has closed its doors? |
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Richard has raised the most pertinent point about DTT - it'd likely to be scaled back, maintaining a baseline, rather than one big switch off. |
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You’ve only got to look at Amazon to see how this is likely to work. Yes, it’s just a different method of delivery, but I have never claimed otherwise. But the way we access the content will feel very different from now. |
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You can already record IPTV... https://www.simplehelp.net/2019/12/1...n-iptv-stream/ ON your second point, you’re still saying there won’t be a daily schedule of timed programmes running one after another (like we have now), just scheduled live "stuff"? I beg to disagree. |
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Or am I misunderstanding you again? Perhaps put it this way: do you or do you not think that Eastenders and Coronation Street will continue to be made available at a set time each weekday evening? |
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The likelihood is cloud recording, to the extent recording exists at all, would replace local recording on a STB over time. In which case all you are really doing is streaming 'on demand'. Of course that doesn't mean that linear television won't exist at all. |
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So there are live streams of scheduled content? :confused:
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Scheduled channels gone. Content by on demand and streaming. What is confusing about that? Clearly, you disagree with my view of the future, which is fine. Knock yourself out. |
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btw, I was only showing that IPTV could be recorded, not recommending it... ;) As was said earlier, by 2035, I would imagine most recordings are kept in the "cloud", however they are delivered/retained. (Be a beggar when t’internet goes down - no TV, no recordings to watch) |
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I do disagree, yes absolutely. However your contradictions made it difficult to work out exactly what points I’m supposed to challenge. I can’t, genuinely, work out if someone watching a scheduled television channel over an app is watching what you consider to be linear. Or if such channels will exist in your 2037 vision a la Pluto TV.
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I also agree that with no internet, there would be no TV. That would certainly be a bummer. |
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https://kenstechtips.com/index.php/bt-hybrid-connect |
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It's the percentage of people who don't want/need internet that would suddenly be paying £30+ for full fibre just to get a minimum TV service that's the issue.
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Far too many people have so far failed to grasp the implications of public service broadcasting, especially on the Tory right where there’s a tendency to make simplistic and wholly false connections between the TV license and Netflix-style subscriptions. The only way the BBC is going to go behind a paywall is if it is relieved of its PSB obligations. And if the BBC is no longer a public service broadcaster, why should ITV, Channel 4 and Five want to continue to be saddled with those obligations? A public service broadcaster has to be free-to-view, otherwise it’s not providing a public service. It really is that simple. If the future is in IP delivery then we either abandon public service broadcasting or we put a service obligation on telecoms companies to provide IP-based TV streams for free. That’s a lot to ask. |
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But the BBC falls under the umbrella of a public service broadcaster and it is not free to watch BBC channels |
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You need a licence to operate equipment that receives TV broadcasts. That definition has been fudged slightly so that for IP delivery, you only need the licence to use iPlayer to view programmes as broadcast. You don't need the licence for other IP players and you don't need it to view BBC content stored in the iPlayer for catch up viewing. Further, unlike a subscription, paying the licence fee does not create a contractual obligation between you and the BBC. If you pay Sky for service and they don't provide it, you have redress under the Sale of Goods Act. If you buy a TV licence and then find, for whatever reason, you can't receive BBC transmissions, then you have no redress at all. The fact that the BBC is the organisation that collects and spends the licence fee is what leads to the false comparisons with TV companies that operate via subscription. But to make that comparison is to fail to understand the legal distinctions that have been made. These may seem esoteric but they're actually very important for understanding where we are, and the very real legislative issues that will need to be overcome if in future we're going to opt for something else. |
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You originally and me in response said "Free" having to pay for a licence removes the free part. That is all I meant. The rest of your explanation I knew. Personally I would be happy for the BBC to start advertising and save the £15 a month I have to pay to watch Eastenders for a bottle of Gin
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Personally, I think the BBC is generally good. I think they've become a little too frightened of offending the government, which is bad as I think we need a public broadcaster that is free and willing to openly hold those who govern to account, and the BBC is repeatedly failing at that task. Apart from that, they are good, and I am happy to pay my licence fee. |
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My TV has a receiver in it wired to an ariel on the roof. If VM service is down I can still use that to watch something, especially live sport like 6 Nations, and from the comfort of my front room.
I've holidayed in places with a set and ariel and that's all. Radios especially in cars will still want to receive programmes including BBC and in many cases you can't replace with some IP/5G internet thingy. Classic cars for example. Wonder how many young adults with young kids would support PBS broadcasting via an ariel if stuck at home with the internet down. Suddenly having CBeeBees easily available for "free" would seem a small price to pay license fee for. |
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The disconnection between payment for, and access to, the BBC's services is evident in its website, its radio output and even its TV service as long as you only access that content after broadcast. The TV licence is not a BBC subscription, it is a licence to operate a TV receiver. I appreciate the difference is subtle, but in the context of this discussion it's relevant. |
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This wouldn't have turned in to the billionth licence fee thread on CF would it? ;)
Amazes how so many moan about £13 a month for mostly new content, and pay VM/Sky £100 a month for mostly repeats. True its a universal charge which is why its so low. We need a public service broadcaster that isn't relevant on advertising, or we wouldn't get risk taking or programmes commercial channels wouldn't make. |
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As things stand now, you need a TV, plus an aerial or a TV subscription (via Sky, BT, VM, Talk Talk, etc), and of course you need electricity. It’s certainly not free. Why is the internet any different? It is pretty well a necessity in the modern world. This article is quite interesting in terms of current audience preferences. https://www.rapidtvnews.com/20210307...adcast-tv.html [EXTRACT] Currently, half of UK TV audiences said they turned to streaming channels ahead of broadcast. When delving into the different consumption patterns between CTV and broadcast channels, the study found that three-fifths (62%) of viewers watch broadcast TV out of habit, whereas three-fifths (62%) of respondents choose CTV as their default service because it boasted their favourite shows and half (51%) enjoy the greater variety of content. When looking at streaming behaviour by age, the preference was even more pronounced. Nearly seven in ten (70%) Millennials and GenZers were found to go directly to streaming channels first over broadcast. |
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But 18 million homes at the moment have the choice not to have any subscription - you want to take that choice away from them... |
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We have to pay the licence fee. I would like the choice, but there is no other option if I want to watch TV.
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It’s easy to assume that American style TV would be great for the UK given the quality of much the stuff that is imported here, however we only see a small fraction of what actually fills airtime in the USA and trust me, an average evening on an average channel on American TV is horrific. It’s dross, mostly cheap talking head news magazines and fairly constant commercial breaks. |
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Public service broadcasting may well be "under review".
That doesn't mean it will cease to exist. The discussion centres around how and where it's provisioned. Nobody is proposing to remove it from the millions of homes that can't get (or don't want) an expensive fibre broadband package. |
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I’m sure that the last thing we want is to follow the path of American TV, but we have better options than that. ---------- Post added at 21:08 ---------- Previous post was at 21:07 ---------- Quote:
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Bearing in mind that there are six PSBs in the UK (BBC, ITV, STV, Channel 4, S4C, Five) and four of them are funded entirely by commercial operations, what is this ‘differently’ of which you speak? Public Service Broadcasting requires mass penetration in order to work commercially. S4C has proven that trying to do PSB on commercial terms exclusively for a niche audience doesn’t work - it has long required State support and has now almost fully transitioned from a mix of commercial revenue and direct State aid, to 100% license fee funding (as per Tory policy incidentally - the process will be complete in 2022). What do you think PSB is and how might it be ‘redefined’? If you think it won’t be funded by commercial breaks in free-to-air programming, how will it be funded? And, if it is Tory policy to stop direct financial support for S4C and fund it out of the licence fee instead, what does that actually say about Tory policy towards the future of the TV licence? |
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Saw it reported in a tweet this morning that 9.6 million people watched Line of Duty last night (BBC One, 9pm to 10pm).
Is this likely to be the total for the scheduled broadcast or will it count iPlayer views up to a cutoff? |
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TV licence here to 2038 in the absence of any other good ideas.
https://www.theguardian.com/media/20...d-bbc-2038-mps |
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The licence fee isn't going anywhere till at least 2038. Our broadband isn't up to everyone streaming.
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