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Conservative Party's chronicles
Down to fourth place in the polls.
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Reform in first place quite the achievement
Nigel Farage‘s Reform are up to 29 per cent, with Labour trailing on 22 per cent after dropping a point. The Lib Dems are third on 17 per cent, with the Conservatives down to 16 per cent after slumping another two points. |
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Labour on (a lowly) 22% is more than they deserve.
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Badenoch is a dream come true for Reform UK and Labour but she won't be there at the next election. |
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My party leader has chosen a front bench of professional back-stabbers; in other words, previous leadership contenders whom she is keen not to have them plotting here downfall. But plotting her downfall, they are; that's what our politicians are generally like. Although she might not be there at the next election, (or even if she is still there), a front bench cleanout is required and new blood brought in from the back benches, carefully introduced as to there credentials and with sensible, achievable policies to offer. I think this is too much to hope for. |
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But Reform isn't as loopy as you as you like to think. Farage needs to consolidate by coming up with workable policies that people can see as achievable. If he can't do that, then we'll be even more sunk at the next GE. Conservatives need to shape up along the lines I've already described. |
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Essentially, the people being polled sign up to Farage's message in the context of a pox on the other parties. The nearer we get to the GE, the public will want to be confidant that the 'fruitcakes' do not rule the party. Me? I'm a paid up Conservative and my party's upper echelon fall into a different sort of 'fruitcake' category. As for Labour, bustards doesn't cover it. |
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Bullshitting Boris truly left a lasting legacy but certainly not the one he hoped for. |
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How long were the Tories in power before Starmer was victorious?
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14 years wasn't it.. I think.
How many years was it with a condom on :shocked: |
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Well David was the dominant one. And Nick had cling film on. :shrug:
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Sky News promoting its interview with Cummings with this prediction from him.
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I usually think you have to take the proclaimed death of one of the two main parties with a large pinch of salt. It's been said of both of them so many times over the years. Tories in '97, Labour in '10, but especially in '19 and now the Tories again.
What gives me some cause for doubt is that Reform does seem a real threat to them. They are not gaining at all from Labour's unpopularity, and Badenoch doesn't have a good read on the country outside of Twitter. Farage is much better at connecting with what people are feeling. The other side of that is that Reform at the moment has less broad appeal. About 30% of Conservative voters are going for Labour over Reform in a hypothetical match-up. There is a reason why Labour are trying to position Reform front and centre over the Tories because, if the Tories got their act together, they're still a bigger electoral threat. Farage is a big turnoff for moderates and the centre ground. I am not sure of they are capable of broading that appeal in the way Cameron and Johnson did to win their elections. |
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Reform’s support is skin deep. It has councillors (and MPs) who don’t show up to work and who resign and swap parties. It is quite possible it could do very well in the next election but at some point it will do well enough that the spotlight is properly on them and that’s when it’ll go bad.
The Scottish Socialist Party was a thing at Holyrood - formed in 1998, got one seat in the first Scottish parliament, six seats in the second, and then utterly beclowned themselves with a series of stunts and pronouncements that would make a student activist blush. They lost all their seats in 2007 and gave up contesting Scottish elections prior to the 2021 vote. Populists are great at pointing out problems and getting people angry enough at what’s wrong to support them on the basis that they made people agree with them that everything’s awful. Whether they are as good at implementing workable solutions, especially solutions that take time, cost money, don’t have universal support and which involve some people winning and some people losing, is another matter. The Tories are the most successful political party in the world for good reason. They have a depth of support and a heritage. They may look awful now but they’ve looked awful before. |
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https://www.theguardian.com/politics...-tory-failures
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Truss has her reputation to protect. There is no doubt, that her measures were intended to stimulate economic growth; as in her heart was in the right place. But she wasn't in her right mind when she announced £45bn of unfunded tax reductions without consulting the relevant regulators (OBR/BoE).
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Kemi needs to meet me for a curry and implement my advice which starts with a front bench clear-out and the introduction of the 2024 intake. Also she realistically needs to acknowledge that a large proportion of Reform UK are natural Conservatives and to win them back, an accommodation with Reform UK is necessary. |
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The failed leadership candidate James Cleverly speaks. Little applause. Sums him up to be honest. Fake.
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People are not yet ready to believe what the Conservatives say.
---------- Post added at 16:06 ---------- Previous post was at 16:02 ---------- They propose £47 billion spending cuts! If they are serious, for budgetary purposes, they'll need at least to halve that and recalculate their spending priorities. |
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I believe the cuts are over 5 years, not all in one go. Still seems a lot though.
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Nevertheless, it's a firm rule to at least double cost estimates and halve savings/income estimates.
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Nobody is interested in what they have to say |
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Oh dear... Bet its lousy chocolate too.
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MP's are merely put in place by the Unions, Corporations etc and then we get a "Choice" of which set of clowns we want to "Run" the country. Never trust a politician with it's mouth open, anything that comes from it is a lie. |
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The uselessness of both party leaders is why I think the next election is a tough call. They'll both be different by then.
Labour are quite lucky the Tories are so dire because they would prefer a straight fight against Reform to squeeze the left vote and maybe even the Lib Dem vote. I think a more serious, less reactionary Tory Party would pose a much bigger threat to them. |
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That Jenrick bloke seems like a bit of a racist self serving nob. Just saying...
Wonder what his boss really thinks about him ( dont turn your back on him is my advice !) |
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? ? nobody mentioned trains, I simply said that, like others, whatever he says will resonate with some but not all. :p: |
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Maybe people should be asking the (not so obvious or important) question -
Why did he not see any white faces if the place is nicely integrated? Were they hiding? |
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He’s a politician - don't you normally doubt their every utterance? |
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I think basically it's where they put them (immigrants). Where I live there's a known area called 'Little India'. You don't feel safe or welcome in that area as well as other grouped areas. What they need to do is segregate more so and not house immigrants in one specific area.
By saying that I suppose I'm now a racist. |
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Highfields?
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Around here you mostly only see only white people, the "foreigners " are mostly white eastern Europeans who run shops lots of shops
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Now if he is lying about not seeing another white person, then call him out for lying but you cannot call him out as racist if it would be fine if he wasn't white! Funny thing is, the word racist has lost its meaning, you look at someone who isn't white, you're a racist, you say hello to someone you're a racist. To many people use the word Racist for things that are not and people need to get thicker skin and stop beign so sensitive! ---------- Post added at 20:20 ---------- Previous post was at 20:14 ---------- Quote:
There is a block where I live, whose daughter has been gropped twice by Asylum Seekers, both times they have been reported to the police, both times the police said "No evidence" despite her having bruises on her arm from where she was grabbed and her school shirt ripped, no suprise the shop's CCTV footage was not available. The people that did it live in a HMO and the council have just approved another 2 HMO's on the same street despite 50+ objections from the residents of the street. I won't go to London, I refuse because it is not safe anymore. |
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If he didn’t see another “white face”, And to be fair the chances are he didn’t. Why is stating that racist? |
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Granted he's only made such a statement to further his own ambitions and get himself in the headlines. He could possibly not be racist, but has to pretend to be so, to get votes? Makes him even more repulsive. It's a sad twisted country. |
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They all want to speak freely but forget they are really in the closet. I bet it washes, why they are in the closet, but it rarely does. Thick!
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It's mainly about integration. Bundling the same types together isn't working and causing an issue. That's my take on it.
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Some context…
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If we’re offering context, then the quote in full context is important. Even the Graun managed to provide that, admittedly 10 paragraphs down. Quote:
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However, the fact he was filming in one area whilst commenting on another, may cast some doubt on his veracity… |
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The Left has a clear agenda here, which is to paint any discussion of racial issues as inherently racist. It’s a tired playbook and one you shouldn’t fall for. |
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Here is what he said:
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Why is it a failure of integration that he didn't see 'another white face'? For all we know, the people he saw were English people, with a Brummie accent, who support Villa and England in the football and attend Edgbaston when a test match is on. We don't know. If he wants a genuine discussion about groups living in entirely different cultures, with little common ground or interaction, then don't start it by talking about people's skin colour. Skin colour is not a measure of integration. |
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You only have to spend an hour or so walking through these places - and I have, incidentally, spent some time living and walking in the fringes of Brum and Smethwick some years ago - to see who’s embracing Britishness and who’s forming enclaves. It is not racist to draw attention to observable facts. It is utter foolishness to continue to insist certain topics can’t be discussed, are inherently evil or are unknowable.* The longer the metropolitan commentariat class continues to peddle these absurdities, the angrier people who can see it’s untrue will get. And *that’s* when you have an actual problem, because people - voters - turn to extremists when they think the mainstream parties aren’t listening. *Lots of young women in Rochdale and elsewhere stand as witnesses to what happens when important issues are shut down just in case they’re seen as racist. Seems like we’ve learned nothing. |
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The vultures seize on the bit they want in order to knock a Tory off his perch. As I'm sure (?) you'll agree, generically Jenrick was right; little or no sign of integration and we all know what these ghettos eventually bring. The BBC devoted nearly all of yesterday's 5PM news programme to Jenrick and the reporter's bias was sickeningly obvious. |
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Do you believe that Jenrick's comment on integration was racist? |
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Apparently skin colour is in fact a valid observation when the skin is white. |
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About Jenrick’s comment - as someone on this forum frequently says Quote:
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This is a gaslighting technique, where he defends that statement by pretending it was the following sentence about concerns about integration that people are objecting to. He is smarter than that; he knew what he was doing. It's not the first time he has used white people in connection with his claimed concerns about integration. When talking of a decline of British people in certain areas, he makes sure to specify 'White British'. He also knows, as we all do, that this is taking place when some - not all - right-wing commentators are pushing the idea that you cannot be deemed English and black. If it was a one-off, you could claim he phrased it badly, but it isn't. As for the metropolitan commentariat class, I think the objections to what he said would extend far beyond them, which is why he has to pretend he was saying something else. He'll keep dallying with this language 'white british' instead of British, making comments on skin colour, then get faux-offended when challenged it saying he is simply talking about integration until such a time he feels confident enough to say what he means. If we are at the point where ethnicity is now a valid concern, then we're already at the extremes. It's not what I want the mainstream parties pandering to. |
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You have to start with a UK made up with its white ethnicity right up to WW2. Immigrants such as they were from the now previous colonies, integrated fairly well, without losing their traditions.
After WW2, the UK imported a lot of Caribbean workers to fill the labour shortage cause by the war. That has worked out fairly well, albeit human nature tends to a certain degree of ghetto-isation - sort of herd comfort. In the 1970s, Kenya & Uganda decided that they didn't like Indians. So they were chucked out and the UK , to its credit, took them in. I recall from the time that India didn't want to know. Recently, the UK did the right thing in taking in Hong Kong citizens who wished to escape Chinese oppression. So far, all the racial groups described above have blended into the UK economy to an extent that we are all comfortable with. But then it all went wrong, particularly starting with the Blair era and Middle East & Afghanistan turmoil. Over those 30 years, people of that particular culture have flooded into the UK with very little compatibility with UK culture. Please see 7/7 and subsequent terrorist murders for details, along with Rotherham and similar northern towns with strong ghetto elements. There are no-go areas in London where whites, particularly women. walk at their peril. @Damien might care to bear history and culture in mind before castigating Chris and others' similar words. |
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But you're again talking about culture. My objection to what Jenrick said was that he, not for the first time, brought race into it. As you've pointed out, there are people whose families have been here for generations and are English.
He could walk into communities that you have described, not see a white face, but be looking at a tremendously successful integration story. |
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The thing that's probably bothering you and like minded people, is that "British/English" is not detectable by colour and thus the term "white" tends to racism. But if the term "white" is used in my context, then there's nothing wrong with it. |
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It seems to me you’ve been so careful to curate your acceptable beliefs and opinions that you’re quite unable to believe Jenrick might simply mean what he says. It’s a pity because those who choose to see issues in this way (or to be wilfully blind to them, as the case may be) have poured so much energy into controlling what may be said, they’ve rendered themselves unable to engage with the arguments when people inevitably get fed up and start saying them anyway. There has been a sea-change in public discourse over the past few years - I refuse to believe you’re so deaf you can’t hear it. But until you’re ready to engage with it as opposed to labelling it ‘gaslighting’ (and by making that accusation you’re actually doing the very thing you’ve accused Jenrick of doing), you’re going to be powerless to stop it. At this point by the way I mean ‘you’ very much in the plural, i.e. all those whose instinct reply along the lines of ‘you can’t say that’ when forced to confront the protests of the lumpen proles. |
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This wasn't the first time he reached for 'white' as a shorthand for talking about integration, and I don't think it will be the last. Quote:
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A popular view into why this sea-change happened is that the left got too confident, got too wrapped up in its own bubble, lost connection with the wider public and pushed views totally alien to them. I think the online right is starting to make the same mistake, giddy on how much the cultural pendulum has swung back in their direction, and Jenerick is too encased in that world. I am not really sure what else to say, other than to see where he goes next. |
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Thoghtful article on why the Conservative Party has been severely weakened by Brexit
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[QUOTE]And far from sending Nigel Farage into retirement once and for all, as its advocates once claimed would be the case, Brexit has put him in a position from where he could become Britain’s next prime minister — potentially relegating the Conservatives to minor party status in the process. [/QUOTE The first quote puts the author into the Remain camp. Thus we have to treat his assertion that "Brexit has drained the Tories' talent pool" in that light. In the rest of his article, he further asserts that because Brexit has made everything more difficult, the British talent pool of businessmen has deserted the Tories. Well, the 2024 election result supports that assertion, at least to a degree. But the 2019 election result proved the significant public support for Brexit, as did the Referendum. Brexit is a political failure due to not exercising our freedoms effectively. This takes me to the second quote. Putting Farage closer to becoming victory is an expression of British will as currently expressed in the polls. The public now disbelieve both Labour and Tories. The latter need to demonstrate their capability at political level to regain trust (culling the front bench of previous losers would be a good start). Talent pool would follow any success in the popularity stakes. If the talent pool joins Reform UK, then they will have a fair chance at demonstrating their future competence. |
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Give over explaining stuff Seph, you and I both know Brexit is the standard fall back excuse for when nothing is going your way and the Govt. have no way to fix things :D
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In defiance of you (!), I remind the Remainers that we are a sovereign country run by a bunch of t*ssers. It's up to Reform or the Tories to come up with doable plans to set the country right. I also remind Remainers that we have Ireland (perfidious government) to our west; France (an even more perfidious government) to the east. Hungary's and Slovakia's governments are Putin fans and stirring things up politically. |
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Obviously I don't think we do, his argument stands or falls on its own merits. Quote:
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In addition to that (I don't think we should ban it), the Tories' immigration plan is very much matching reform and quite nasty: https://www.lbc.co.uk/article/katie-...ent-5HjdFgC_2/
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This isn't Reform. It's actually slightly worse than reform as far as I can see. I don't like the way this country is going. I may be wrong but I also don't think most people in the country support this whatever they say on X. |
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The internationalist Left’s chickens are coming home to roost. The whole point of an immigration policy that excludes people who came here legally is to address the claim that many of them should not have been allowed to come here legally in the first place. It is a deliberate unpicking of prior policy, rather than simply accepting the ratchet effect of being unable to undo something which should arguably never have been allowed.
Personally I think there should be more effort to create voluntary resettlement schemes before going in hard in the way this act would. And I’m generally not a fan of enabling clauses that give secretaries of state too much leeway to vary the rules. However, I find some parts of this country unrecognisable any more and I don’t accept that it is racist to object to rapid social change, well within the span of a generation, in order to facilitate people to whom we have no legal or moral obligation. We are not the world’s health and social care system. When mainstream politicians start to advocate for moves like this, it is only ever because they have begun to detect this is what their voters want. We do still live in a democracy and it should not be anathema in a democracy to propose doing what voters are asking for. As has been observed on this forum on and off over many years, the previous Labour administration is known to have operated an immigration policy designed to ‘rub the Right’s noses in it’. Nobody has sought to address the long-term consequences of such cack-handed social engineering since then, and here we are reaping them now in the policy proposals of a major UK political party. |
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I would be surprised if this is what people want. The polling suggests otherwise.
This isn't a tightening of immigration rules; this is a huge deportation effort. I don't think it's practical, but leaving that aside, when you get to the tens of thousands of people being deported, many of whom may have been here most of their lives, then I think there will be a backlash. There are so many people whose entire lives are here, such as those who moved here legally from the EU as far back as the 1970s, who will be subject to deportation from the UK for nothing other than not being British citizens. It doesn't matter if they followed the rules, did everything asked of them, and contributed to society. Few exceptions will allow them to stay. I believe there are 4 million or so EU citizens with Leave to Remain, and because of how long that EU route has been open, many will be retired and therefore subject to deportation. This is online brain rot from the Tories and Reform. Too much time engaging on X, getting angry at the online left, and radicalising themselves from ordinary people who'll want immigration curtailed and order restored, but have shown little support for deporting the people the Tories are now intentionally going after. The right are just as capable of living in a bubble and getting carried away with recent success to understand there is a limit to what people will accept. |
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If they are foreign nationals that are on benefits, why do we want them here? When we have people that have served their country on the streets. If you're not a british citizen and you've come here for work.....when the work stops then you go back. You shouldn't be allowed to collect benefits. If you've married and/or had a family and made your life here, then become a british citizen. ---------- Post added at 11:30 ---------- Previous post was at 11:22 ---------- Quote:
The only think to agree is the length of time, and whether they're allowed to access benefits if they lose their job. https://www.migrationcentral.co.uk/p...eign-nationals Stop foreign nationals claiming benefits and you can plug Reeves' 22Billion black hole |
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The other thing here is the consequences to our relations with other countries when we embark on one of the most aggressive deportation policies that we can remember, including sending millions of EU citizens back to Europe. This is all boiling frog in water stuff. We've gone from we have to stop the boats to the mass deportation of millions of legally here citizens, with the only exception being if they're currently working and earning more than £38,000. The BNP didn't go this far back in the early 2000s. I can't think of a recent democratic country that's gone this far. The only saving grace is that it's completely unworkable. |
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Didn’t the Germans do something similar to the Jews?
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On the face of it, it does seem like a nasty indiscriminate policy . . depending on your views I guess.
It's a pity that the Government can't be as 'nasty' as this dealing with Drugs, Knife Crime, Gang Culture etc I'd rather have safer streets than empty streets :D |
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I feel safe in streets populated by people of Indian, Chinese, Jewish heritage.
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As I said, I don't think it will happen. It would cause havoc domestically as you tried to actually implement it. When people actually see the stories of pensioners having their pension taken away and told to leave, families split up, e.t.c, then it's not so easy to defend, and people will object. Not to mention how practically difficult it would become.
Internationally it would cause problems too. There are Brits in Europe with their equivalent of Leave to Remain who might be worried they would get the same treatment back. I think they're only doing it to appeal to the Online right, the ones who spent a great deal of time judging other people's Englishness. Other than the polling, I have looked for right-wing reactions otherwise of X but could only find an article in The Spectator condemning it. Still, it's a published policy from the party of the opposition so something to take seriously. |
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Reform will need to reverse that policy. There would be a whole raft of laws they would need to introduce to negate common law and that would be beyond them or, indeed, any party that tried to govern through democratic institutions.
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Are the Conservatives playing the long game here? They know they can't win the next election. By adopting this policy, they are encouraging Reform UK to continue with their policy knowing it will all fall apart if Reform UK try to deliver on it.
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I don't think they'll be sending back EU citizens........... |
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