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The traditional CF voting intentions thread, week 2
Here we are already…
Please continue all discussion here, and vote again in our fresh, new poll, so we can see if the campaign has changed your mind so far. For reference, previous discussion is here: https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...php?t=33712705 feel free to carry over any comments from that thread you wish to reply to here. |
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Taxation of the ultra-wealthy is one of the things that Labour should consider to fund the required public sector investment but I suspect that, for now, they are too scared viz. not dropping the Ming vase. |
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There was some chat on the BBC Electioncast podcast last week about the difference between Labour in 1997 and now. In 1997 Labour pledged to stick to Tory tax/spend plans for 2 years. In 2024 their position amounts to basically the same. The problem is in 1997 the economy was good, and improving. Now, it’s in the toilet. Not changing anything now risks everything still being in the toilet midway through their first term. But as you say, they don’t want to risk dropping the Ming vase.
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Not much change in the Cable Forum opinion polling as we go into the second week of the election campaign.;)
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I wonder if people will spoil their ballot paper, as far as I see it's better than not voting.
Mind you it did backfire on one voter. He drew a phallic in the box of one of the candidates, they did consider it a spoilt ballot, but it was drawn inside the box, so gave it to that candidate. Myself and my father will again do the postal vote. |
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I'll vote for the only candidate that'll beat the SNP who have een an abject failure for Scotland. I wouldn't normally vote Lib Dem but needs must to get rid of the cancer that's the SNP
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Rushi - the gift that keeps on giving. Has there ever been a more gaff-filled election campaign before? Even BS’ing Boris couldn’t manage all this.
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politi...paign=sharebar |
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Former Conservative MP Mark Logan has said he is backing Labour at the next general election, saying the party could "bring back optimism into British life".
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cd11kvk1je4o Quote:
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Former Tory MP backs Labour at general election
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cd11kvk1je4o Quote:
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'Logan's Run'. What a great film :)
Deeply suspicious of these baddies who suddenly decide they're goodies when doomsday comes. |
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Scotland In Union, a pro-UK campaigning organisation set up after the 2014 referendum to ensure there is always a baseline of co-ordinated public advocacy for Scotland’s place in the UK, has launched its 2024 tactical voting website. If your priority is to ‘get the Nat out’ then they can tell you who you should vote for in your constituency to have the best chance.
https://tacticalvotescotland.uk/ |
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https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/...ory-candidate/
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---------- Post added at 12:46 ---------- Previous post was at 12:21 ---------- Julian Knight standing as an Independent in Solihull, and Aaron Bell not standing again in Newcastle-under-Lyme. |
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Come on be fair, Disney are backing Rishi...
https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...4&d=1717165605 Mod Edit - image resized to fit page. |
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The poll refers to Plains Cymru...is that a new Party then? :rolleyes:
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(Poll edited) |
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Well it makes a bit more sense if you actually post it in context ....
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The large-scale MRP polling, published by Electoral Calculus and Find Out Now, predicted that the Conservatives will be reduced to just 66 seats, compared to Labour with 476. Wow
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The alternative view is he is trying to mislead people into think he is Labour's candidate. The Electoral Commission will look into this. Very dodgy. |
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Largan has form on this sort of behaviour - from last year https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-englan...shire-66742672 Quote:
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Some dates to avoid UK TV :sleep:
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Spain v Italy an easy pick as an alternative to the middle one.
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Farage posted this on Twitter this morning
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Apparently he's flip-flopped and plans to stand in Clacton.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknew...ce14b533&ei=10 |
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https://jlpartners.co.uk/polling-results
In the latest poll of GBNews viewers, the majority (42%) would vote Labour… https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1717422531 16% would vote Reform, 23% Conservative… If you scroll down the tables in the link, there are questions on how people are viewed by the GBNews viewers polled - some interesting figures… Viewed favourably/unfavourably Keir Starmer 49/46 Rishi Sunak 40/56 Nigel Farage 46/46 Boris Johnson 41/55 |
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So Nige has decided he’s the leader of Reform UK and he’s standing in Clacton. Makes things a bit more interesting I guess. He has to have a better chance this time than at any other. I wonder whether the Donald’s woes in America have helped persuade him to stay here. :rofl:
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The trouble is if you don't want KS to be PM then any vote other than Tory puts KS into No 10 and back into the EU in some form
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https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...2&d=1717430292
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The Tories intentionality alienated voters under 65. What do they do now? They're running the worst possible campaign for where they may get some votes not already going to Reform. |
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Abolish inheritance tax
Poorhouses The mill - employment opportunities coming to your town soon National service to include chimney sweeping. |
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I’ve been playing darts down my local on and off for about 18 years. I’m crap at it. We’ve had tournaments where I’ve had to stand in for people who couldn’t make it on the day. This has happened 8 times.
Each time I played I was crap and we went out at the first round at each tournament. I wonder if Farage could learn something from this. |
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Just the thought of having something in common with him makes me want to scrub my skin with bleach |
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Most people know we were sold a dud but no one's in the mood for another divisive referendum at the moment. I don't see Starmer taking us back into Europe but there's obvious things we can do to reduce Brexit red tape and increase exports which I believe he will look at. |
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Why not change the name of the Party to 'Nigel' too. Hopefully the more decent people of Clacton will tactically vote against him. Always worked before. |
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But it might be more strategic - if he wins he will be on the Opposition benches and is perhaps dreaming of orchestrating a merger with the Conservative Party and becoming its next leader. ---------- Post added at 18:51 ---------- Previous post was at 18:43 ---------- Quote:
https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/...y?seat=Clacton |
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What on earth makes anyone think the EU would let us back. If the UK did it would HAVE to adopt the euro .don't see that being that popular. Really think that such a move is a pipedream for at least my life time.
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https://www.ukip.org/ https://www.reformparty.uk/ |
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Farage left UKIP late 2018. |
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As you say however, it isn’t going to become an issue at any point in this election campaign or the next, if Labour gets anything like the majority it is presently heading for. The campaign for a third term might however be a bit more lively and I wouldn’t be surprised if EU membership was a campaign issue by then. |
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I think it would happen with slower reintegration with parts of the single market until we're in a customs union-type scenario.
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However it can't be admitted to being a mistake, by any of the main parties, for fear of pointing out to the electorate what idiots they've been ? (never a vote winner) Just reading between the lines a little ;) |
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I would predict that any remaining (;)) Brexiteers in 15 years' time would be keen to make rejoining the EU seem as far from where we are at the moment as possible by arguing for everything except the kitchen sink to be thrown in! So think an EU army, Shengen and adopting the Euro to be presented as inevitable consequences of rejoining. |
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I imagine many people already spend Euro's every year with trips and/or holidays. I have them in my wallet right now, from my last holiday, ready to spend later this year. The euro works pretty much the same - 100 cents/pence makes 1 Euro/Pound, so not hard to understand. Of course, we'd all need new keyboards, with a Euro symbol on Shift+3 :D My fear would be how much people would use it as a 'rip off' excuse to hide price rises by converting at inflated rates. Something that happened (I believe) the last time we changed currency in 1971. I have no desire to be back in the EU, but conversion to Euros would not be a stopper (and never was). I also found out today that one British Territory actually uses the Euro as its currency (Akrotiri and Dhekelia). |
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I agree there would probably be a straight swap price wise for "simplicity", pounds prices would become euros prices but at least you'd save on currency conversion charges when going abroad. |
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The Euro's proven to be a robust currency that has weathered economic storms successfully and is not the weak currency that Eurosceptics used to pretend it was but I can see the benefits of having our own currency. Would it make it harder to leave if we had the Euro? Probably but I see rejoining as inevitable as Brexit is proving damaging to the UK in many ways, but as I said, certainly not within the next 15 years. ---------- Post added at 12:54 ---------- Previous post was at 12:48 ---------- Quote:
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Any idea where the die hard CF Tory supporters have gone? Seems very one-sided here
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OB’s still out there howling at the moon about the all streaming future if only, ironically, the Government would intervene to make it so.
Slightly worried (sincerely) about Seph tho he’s not been online since 13 April. |
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This week I have changed to Reform, as I believe they will now get more votes than the Conservatives in my area. We will never get rid of the Labour MP, as my area has voted in Labour MPs and Labour councils for over a hundred years. There's a cycle, vote them in, spend the next 4 years complaining about them and then vote them in again. As long as Reform gets more votes in my area than the nasty Plaid Cymru party I'll be happy. |
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You will have a chance to reflect your change of heart in next week’s poll thread, coming to a forum near you this Thursday …
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Off to see Geoff Norcott tonight - be interesting to hear his views on what’s happening during this election time.
(he’s a right-leaning comedian) |
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I do wonder though about the value of polls (Not knocking this one), as all I hear in my area from people I know, and hearing random conversations are people saying they won't be voting for Labour. But I have heard that for local and general elections in this area for as long as I remember! |
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But, like jfman, I am a little concerned by Seph's absence. |
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https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...3&postcount=41 Hope he's ok. |
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Stick a labour badge on them and the people that spent four years moaning about them will vote them in again. Complaining about what was in local manifesto and then activated ,yet come next election will vote them in again. Becareful what you wish for:cool: |
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Unfortunately our long standing Tory MP Tim Loughton, who I voted for, is standing down as MP. He seems to have kept his nose clean and done good for the constituents.
I may sit on my hands this time. |
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Not very often I agree with Torygraph columnists, but this one's bang on.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/columnis...g-for-clacton/ |
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, what a surprise :shocked: |
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While I welcome Nigel’s undoubted assistance in crushing the Conservative party into the ground so much you could hand it’s corpse over to Thatcher herself, I dunno how much I care for 5 years of hearing about immigration while vulture capitalists asset strip the entire country.
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Andrew Neil's SCATHING predictions for the general election
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https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics |
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Hopefully there's not enough of those, but they voted for liar Boris and Brexit, so who can say? We really do need to improve education in this country. |
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Well that debate was terrible. If I hear 'We have a plan' one more time... :mad:
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He went off sulking after being told to stop acting like a child all the time. (claiming everything/everyone was "nasty" when people disagreed with him). ---------- Post added at 22:12 ---------- Previous post was at 22:11 ---------- Quote:
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If his plans are anything like the nonsense of the last week, its probably better if he says nothing. Hes lost anyway, so any plans are irrelevant.
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These American style TV debates are stupid. They're too frustrating. Even more so with the 45 seconds to answer format that just doesn't work. You can't base anything on them and they're just too chaotic, it's all about point scoring against each other and nothing else. No one really wins. You have to wait for everything to be fact checked but they end up with everyone wanting to vote for 'none of the above'.
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Better an in-depth grilling of the leaders individually with strong follow-up questions. |
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Next week will be worse because it is the left of UK politics that’s most fractured, so in a 7-way debate the voices are overwhelmingly stacked to one side. You don’t have to be a fan of Sunak or this present Tory government to appreciate that’s just a recipe for a pile-on, not a fair or illuminating debate. An intense one-on-one at the hands of Andrew Neil or similar is what we need. |
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---------- Post added at 18:35 ---------- Previous post was at 18:28 ---------- From the Spectator, that well-known tree-hugging Guardianista left-leaning woke magazine. https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/...per-household/ Quote:
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Rishi Sunak said he he would lead a government of “integrity, professionalism and accountability at every level”.
l rest my case!!!! |
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For whatever reason he seems to have a problem with speaking quickly and clearly. His instincts are to stop, chew things over, and then form carefully worded sentences. He is going to be PM, no doubt about that, so he is going to have to learn PDQ that sometimes you need to stand up and speak clearly and forcefully. You don’t always get to chew it over for a week. He might as well learn that now, rather than the next time we face a national disaster. |
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I'm with Chris on this one. Unlike Trump, Sunak's not going on trial for presenting false numbers. ;)
There was no advantage for Starmer in letting him repeat the £2k figure unchallenged, so many times. A viewer who didn't watch to the end could have concluded that Starmer accepted the figure as he didn't challenge it. ---------- Post added at 21:50 ---------- Previous post was at 21:48 ---------- Quote:
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The debate I don't think is the same thing. It's a piece of theatre that doesn't represent the job. In PMQs, he isn't as bad. He also did pick up on it but wasn't forceful enough to press it when the moderator cut him off. He took the tact of not interrupting her to forcefully hit back. |
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I'm coming round to the idea that the £2k tax hit statement is this elections equivalent of the £350k a week on the Brexit bus. Both are made up figures but end up successfully putting the opponent on the back foot.
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