By-Elections Results.
 

Thoughts/comments on the three by-elections taking place on the 20th July.

Start it off with this modest offering.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...2&d=1689864418

Re: Uxbridge/Selby&Ainsty/Somerton&Frome by-elections
 

I’ve got the beers in and the party poppers ready for the announcements.

Re: Uxbridge/Selby&Ainsty/Somerton&Frome by-elections
 

Just noticed - the flag’s the wrong way up…

(Look at the white diagonal stripes on the side closest to the flagpole. The white stripes on the Union Jack are not all the same size. The wider white stripes on the side closest to the flagpole should sit on top of the diagonal red stripes.)

Re: Uxbridge/Selby&Ainsty/Somerton&Frome by-elections
 

If I lived in Uxbridge I’d be voting for Count Binface.

https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2023/07/2.jpg

Re: Uxbridge/Selby&Ainsty/Somerton&Frome by-elections
 

l think the Government will lose 2 of the by-elections but will hold on to Selby & Ainsty.

Re: Uxbridge/Selby&Ainsty/Somerton&Frome by-elections
 

Maybe whoever set up the props did so under duress?

Re: Uxbridge/Selby&Ainsty/Somerton&Frome by-elections
 

Re: Uxbridge/Selby&Ainsty/Somerton&Frome by-elections
 

I was going to put money on Tories holding Uxbridge at 4/1 because of the ULEZ. Nuts.

Re: Uxbridge/Selby&Ainsty/Somerton&Frome by-elections
 

Something for all the main parties here.

Suspect Labour will be most disappointed as they did not gain Uxbridge.

Re: Uxbridge/Selby&Ainsty/Somerton&Frome by-elections
 

As Meat Loaf would say 2 outta 3 ain’t bad.

Re: Uxbridge/Selby&Ainsty/Somerton&Frome by-elections
 

Tories will be the most disappointed.

Labour can point to ULEZ as the reason and that it was still quite a swing. It's a sign of how much things have changed that narrowly missing out on Uxbridge, a seat they didn't even win in 1997, is a disappointment.

But Selby is a safe Tory seat. Labour has won the biggest swing in its history.

The Lib Dems got a 29% swing in Somerton as well. Looks like tactical voting went on as well.

The Tories are getting flack from all sides. Lib Dems surging in some areas and Labour in others.

Re: Uxbridge/Selby&Ainsty/Somerton&Frome by-elections
 

Lib Dem’s won’t win an election they are too Anti-Democratic, & Ed Davey is the most boring political figure alive.

P.S why the need for such a long thread title?

Changed accordingly.

Re: Uxbridge/Selby&Ainsty/Somerton&Frome by-elections
 

No they won't but they'll take seats from the Tories making it harder for them to win. Especially in places like the South West.

Re: By-Elections Results.
 

Not necessarily. Turn out is lower in by-elections than a General Election.

Labour’s results were dire, they were convinced they’d pick up all three. Never gonna happen under woke policies & his flip flopping nature.

Sunak still needs to go, along with Hunt, if the Tories ever have a chance. I deffo think we’re in Hung Parliament territory at the next GE.

---------- Post added at 09:52 ---------- Previous post was at 09:48 ----------

It’s not a real image. The image was created using AI.

Re: By-Elections Results.
 

Hardly dire. The worst result is still a big swing to them. The other one was a huge swing, the best in their history. John Curtice pointed out the results support the national polling where Labour is roughly 15-19% ahead.

Also Labour weren't convinced at all about Somerton. They didn't campaign there and it was always about the lib dems. Labour were 100/1 to win the seat, Libs 1/50.

Re: By-Elections Results.
 

It wasn’t a big swing, 26,000 Tory votes missing. It’s Voter Apathy.

Re: By-Elections Results.
 

It’s amazing how bad the Tories are yet people still strategise how they could/should lead the country after 13 years of failure :rofl:

Re: By-Elections Results.
 

And how would changing Sunak before the election go down with the electorate given they have already changed leaders several times in this parliament including giving this country the awful out of her depth Liz Truss.

Re: By-Elections Results.
 

Steady on Den if they ditch Sunak for Truss the party could end up dead.

Re: By-Elections Results.
 

Two previous occasions (1972 and 1997) saw a byelection in Uxbridge in which Labour was thought likely to romp home easily, only for the Conservatives to hold on. In both cases Labour won the next general election anyway.

Re: By-Elections Results.
 

Based on these figures, Labour should be feeling pretty encouraged right now. Yes, it’s a by election but even at a by election overturning that majority in Selby was quite something. Even if that seat returns to the Tories next year - which it will, more likely than not - a swing on anything like this scale will see Labour into power. Meanwhile down in Frome the LibDems will likewise be encouraged at the thought they might get back their traditional regional homeland in the southwest of England.

Uxbridge was a two-horse race and while it’s true that Labour lost by fewer votes than went to the large number of independent/joke candidates it does mean they can’t take anything for granted over the next 12-18 months. Even if ULEZ is entirely to blame for them failing to unseat the Tories, it is a sobering reminder that national polling doesn’t always account for local issues that can and do derail unwary campaigns.

I’d say Rishi Sunak should be fearing his P45 right now, except he’s so completely minted he doesn’t actually have to work for a living. Maybe that’s his biggest problem and a good reason to bin him. Speaking of whom, I’d still have voted Count Binface.

Re: By-Elections Results.
 

Replace him for who though?

I don't actually think he has been that bad and had he succeeded Boris Johnson I think the polling might be a bit better too. He has the right idea in stabilising the perception of chaos that surrounded the Government and focusing on a few key issues.

It's just that he is snookered by what he inherited. Johnson threw away the massive political mandate he had and Truss came in and set what remained on fire.

Now he is finding it difficult to turn it around because of the underlying problems in the country. He may be somewhat responsible for some of the economic conditions due to having been chancellor but the problems around housing, the NHS, and the economy predate him. He is paying the political debt of the previous administrations.

Re: By-Elections Results.
 

Bin him for Keir Starmer, who may not exude personal charisma and has not yet demonstrated he has a comprehensive plan for government, but at least gives the impression that he knows what life in the UK is actually like for most people.

Re: By-Elections Results.
 

Oh sorry, I thought you meant the Tories should bin him for another leader ahead of the election. I think he is the best the Tories can do for now.

Re: By-Elections Results.
 

Yes, he's the best they've had for some time. It's counterproductive to appoint a new Conservative leader at this stage and there's no obvious candidate. Best let Labour govern for a couple of terms and bring through someone else. I suspect Sunak will not want to remain on the Opposition benches, perhaps not even on these shores.

Re: By-Elections Results.
 

How’s the SNP doing?

Wind your neck in.

Re: By-Elections Results.
 

Still polling first in Scotland last I checked but it’s been a while to be fair. Labour are struggling to come up with a coherent policy platform where London doesn’t contradict Edinburgh. The Tories, well, the less said the better.

What’s frightening is if the unionists can’t up their game the Greens might get an even bigger say after the next election. Shudder.

Re: By-Elections Results.
 

I hear they’re missing some campaign money?

Re: By-Elections Results.
 

The latest ‘Nowcast’ prediction based on recent polling suggests Labour and SNP both on course to have 24 seats in Scotland at the next Westminster election. The process of decoupling the SNP from sympathy towards Scotland leaving the UK is beginning, but will be a slow process. Still, if the next election turns out anything like this prediction it’ll be pure schadenfreude watching wee Humza fae Hutchie twisting in the wind after his Westminster operation loses 50% of its seats.

https://electionmaps.uk/nowcast

Re: By-Elections Results.
 

A tiny fraction of what Michelle Mone robbed the taxpayer but that’s getting off topic.

---------- Post added at 16:44 ---------- Previous post was at 16:41 ----------

Only one poll that matters as they say. ;)

It’ll defo be interesting times, Kier Starmer’s victory in the next UK General Election should at least bring some professionalism, intelligence around UKG plans and developing a manifesto and a vision for Scotland in devolution.

Re: By-Elections Results.
 

Be careful what you wish for.

Re: By-Elections Results.
 

Well nothing could be worse then the recurrent shitshows the government have wrought on this nation in the last 13 years.

Re: By-Elections Results.
 

You really wish for more of the same?

Re: By-Elections Results.
 

Only a country that genuinely loathes itself and its children could believe this is as good as it can possibly get.

That or people genuinely enjoy the taste of boot.

Re: By-Elections Results.
 

So true:D