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-   -   Labour hold Batley & Spen by 323 votes (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33710188)

1andrew1 02-07-2021 09:35

Labour hold Batley & Spen by 323 votes
 
Quote:

Labour's Kim Leadbeater has narrowly won the Batley and Spen by-election following a bitter campaign.

After defeating her Conservative rival by just 323 votes, she said constituents had "rejected division" and "voted for hope".

It means she will now represent the seat previously held by her sister Jo Cox, who was murdered there in 2016.

The result will ease pressure on Labour leader Keir Starmer after recent election defeats for his party.

Ms Leadbeater said the "vast majority" of her conversations with voters during the campaign were about local rather than national issues.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-57691543

papa smurf 02-07-2021 09:55

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spam by 323 votes
 
Batley and Spen by-election result LIVE: Galloway demands recount and threatens court


He accused the Labour-controlled Kirklees Council of removing thousands of posters from his Workers Party of Britain from lamp posts throughout Batley and Spen.

Mr Galloway also claimed "Labour issued a leaflet that claimed our campaign was running out of steam" on the same day the posters were allegedly removed.

The Workers Party of Britain leader added: "I did help write the law that lays out very clearly the requirement for posters on lamp posts.

"This law was broken by Kirklees Council and they have preferred to implement what they said is their policy, which was applied to only our posters.




https://www.express.co.uk/news/polit...alloway-tories

Chris 02-07-2021 10:09

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spam by 323 votes
 
The Labour Left will be rather disappointed this morning. They needed a Tory win here in order to build (oho!) momentum behind their get-rid-of-Keir campaign.

Pierre 02-07-2021 10:18

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spam by 323 votes
 
Keir gets a stay of execution.

1701-e 02-07-2021 10:40

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spam by 323 votes
 
Good result for Kier.. bad result for Labour.

heero_yuy 02-07-2021 10:43

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spam by 323 votes
 
For the Torys both bad and good:

Bad they didn't win.

Good that loser Keir stays in "charge" of Labour.

Chris 02-07-2021 10:49

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spam by 323 votes
 
I’d say for the Tories it’s disappointing for them because they knew it was winnable, but politically it certainly isn’t bad. This is a safe, solid Labour seat, Cons have been in government since 2010. The standard by election script says they hadn’t a hope in hell of taking it. That it was even considered possible (and came within 400 votes of happening) shows just what a state Labour is in right now.

1andrew1 02-07-2021 11:12

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spam by 323 votes
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36085060)
Batley and Spen by-election result LIVE: Galloway demands recount and threatens court

He accused the Labour-controlled Kirklees Council of removing thousands of posters from his Workers Party of Britain from lamp posts throughout Batley and Spen.

Mr Galloway also claimed "Labour issued a leaflet that claimed our campaign was running out of steam" on the same day the posters were allegedly removed.

The Workers Party of Britain leader added: "I did help write the law that lays out very clearly the requirement for posters on lamp posts.

"This law was broken by Kirklees Council and they have preferred to implement what they said is their policy, which was applied to only our posters.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/polit...alloway-tories

The Express seems sufficiently rattled about this result to give space to The Workers Party of Britain which is pretty amusing.

Mr K 02-07-2021 11:17

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spam by 323 votes
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36085067)
I’d say for the Tories it’s disappointing for them because they knew it was winnable, but politically it certainly isn’t bad. This is a safe, solid Labour seat, Cons have been in government since 2010. The standard by election script says they hadn’t a hope in hell of taking it. That it was even considered possible (and came within 400 votes of happening) shows just what a state Labour is in right now.

There was the Galloway factor here. He took 8000 votes that would usually have gone to Labour, thanks to lies/violence. People didn't flock to the Tories. It still wasn't enough. (Tbh I'd rather a Tory win than Galloways lies/violent backers, which would have been a disaster for everybody. ).
Tories are upset today because, like Galloway, they wanted rid of Sir Keir, and shift to the Corbyn left again. They aren't getting that.

Chris 02-07-2021 11:18

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spam by 323 votes
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36085069)
The Express seems sufficiently rattled about this result to give space to The Workers Party of Britain which is pretty amusing.

Hardly.

George Galloway’s antics make good copy. It’s as simple as that really.

Though I can understand why you might feel the need to try to paint the Tories’ failure to win a safe Labour seat as leaving their supporters “rattled”.

Carth 02-07-2021 11:24

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spam by 323 votes
 
Galloway "took 8000 votes that would usually have gone to Labour, thanks to lies/violence"

LMAO You need to cut back on that rhubarb Mr K, it has strange mind bending properties ;)

Pierre 02-07-2021 11:43

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spam by 323 votes
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36085070)
There was the Galloway factor here. He took 8000 votes that would usually have gone to Labour.

Let's say for arguments sake that a large % of those were Muslim votes. That's who he was going for, that what won him Bradford several years ago.

Do you think the Islamic communities in the UK have conservative or liberal values?

How many muslim households would you suspect have had a "pride" flag in their window this past month?

How many muslims do you think advocate for trans rights?

I wouldn't be so sure that Labour would have got all those 8000 votes.

1andrew1 02-07-2021 12:23

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spam by 323 votes
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085062)
Keir gets a stay of execution.

Are you surprised by the result, Pierre? I seem to recall you confidently predicting a Conservative victory.

Chris 02-07-2021 13:14

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spam by 323 votes
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36085076)
Are you surprised by the result, Pierre? I seem to recall you confidently predicting a Conservative victory.

They came within 400 votes of doing so, in a safe Labour seat, only a week after a grubby adulterous scandal involving a very high profile minister. Yes, the Tories could have won it, it’s disappointing that they didn’t, but attempting to paint it as some sort of Tory calamity is silly.

Labour has just about clung on in a seat that ought to have been beyond contest. And all I’m hearing in media commentary today is people asking whether this means Keir Starmer is safe, for now at least. So the win hasn’t even moved the needle towards any sort of “Labour on the up” narrative. All it’s done is move it fractionally away from the “Keir must go” narrative.

1andrew1 02-07-2021 13:42

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spam by 323 votes
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36085077)
They came within 400 votes of doing so, in a safe Labour seat, only a week after a grubby adulterous scandal involving a very high profile minister. Yes, the Tories could have won it, it’s disappointing that they didn’t, but attempting to paint it as some sort of Tory calamity is silly.

Labour has just about clung on in a seat that ought to have been beyond contest. And all I’m hearing in media commentary today is people asking whether this means Keir Starmer is safe, for now at least. So the win hasn’t even moved the needle towards any sort of “Labour on the up” narrative. All it’s done is move it fractionally away from the “Keir must go” narrative.

I've not painted it as anything, I've just asked Pierre if he was surprised by the result.

Chris 02-07-2021 13:45

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spen by 323 votes
 
On the contrary … you chose to characterise the Daily Sexpest’s coverage of George Galloway as proof that the paper was “rattled” by the result. Quite plainly you started the day thinking you could paint this as a Tory tragedy. Perhaps Labour’s media rounds this morning have helped change your mind - even now they’re carefully not crowing about the win or trying to put the boot into Boris. All they want to talk about is the local nature of their campaign and the quality of the candidate, which is how they conducted the campaign in the constituency over the last month.

1andrew1 02-07-2021 14:00

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spen by 323 votes
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36085079)
On the contrary … you chose to characterise the Daily Sexpest’s coverage of George Galloway as proof that the paper was “rattled” by the result. Quite plainly you started the day thinking you could paint this as a Tory tragedy. Perhaps Labour’s media rounds this morning have helped change your mind - even now they’re carefully not crowing about the win or trying to put the boot into Boris. All they want to talk about is the local nature of their campaign and the quality of the candidate, which is how they conducted the campaign in the constituency over the last month.

The Daily Express seemed to be rattled by the result as it was unusually giving column space to a very left-wing party. That is a fair and justifiable stand-alone comment about the newspaper given its right-wing positioning.

To paint this as my thinking that this result is somehow a Tory tragedy requires a peculiarly big stretch of the imagination. Your unfettered loyalty to defend the Conservative Party from attacks is commendable, but I fear you're now defending it from non-existent attacks!

Carth 02-07-2021 14:02

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spen by 323 votes
 
The result was always going to be the sister of Jo Cox.

Pierre 02-07-2021 14:21

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spam by 323 votes
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36085078)
I've not painted it as anything, I've just asked Pierre if he was surprised by the result.

"Surprised?" No. I did think the Tories would win, and that would have been surprising.

Damien 02-07-2021 14:36

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spam by 323 votes
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36085061)
The Labour Left will be rather disappointed this morning. They needed a Tory win here in order to build (oho!) momentum behind their get-rid-of-Keir campaign.

It is fun to watch them Twitter, they are having a bit of a meltdown. Having declared this a referendum on Starmer's - sorry 'Keith's' - leadership they're now belatedly trying to frame it in broader terms as being a poor result overall.

On paper this is a bad result but in the context the referendum took place it's a good one for Starmer.

It helps stop the narrative of decline/death that has been around the party since the New Year, it's a sign that the Tories' vaccine boost is wearing off (if you combine with the Aversham result) but most importantly they saw off a serious attempt to come at them from the left. The left you talk about have been trying to make a point that they can cost Labour an election if they're not given the prominence within the party they feel is their right, this is the most serious challenge they've had to test that theory and their candidate found votes from elsewhere to compensate.

1andrew1 02-07-2021 15:17

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spen by 323 votes
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36085081)
The result was always going to be the sister of Jo Cox.

You should have put money on her - Ryan Stephenson (Conservative) was the bookies' favourite.

Carth 02-07-2021 15:55

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spen by 323 votes
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36085084)
You should have put money on her - Ryan Stephenson (Conservative) was the bookies' favourite.

I don't put money on anything, life's a big enough gamble as it is thanks :D

Mick 02-07-2021 16:02

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spen by 323 votes
 
I really don’t think Tories wanted Kier gone. Like Corbyn, they’re pleased to keep seeing a weak leader at the helm, Tories will be forever in power due to the lefty morons and activists, making Labour an unelectable socialist culture gang.

1andrew1 02-07-2021 17:53

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spen by 323 votes
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36085086)
I really don’t think Tories wanted Kier gone. Like Corbyn, they’re pleased to keep seeing a weak leader at the helm, Tories will be forever in power due to the lefty morons and activists, making Labour an unelectable socialist culture gang.

I think it's really hard to assess Sir Kier's political leadership qualities given the unusual times we're in. What makes him a weak or strong leader? He's faced down the Left in his party successfully and anti-semitism is no longer the dark cloud hanging over the party it once was so there's an argument to be made that he's a strong leader.

But will any of that translate into election-winning votes? That will become more apparent once the country returns to more normal times. There's still a lot of goodwill for Boris's government due to the vaccines. And the country is possibly more split along Remain-Leave lines than traditional Left-Right lines.

Interesting times.

Pierre 02-07-2021 18:05

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spen by 323 votes
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36085089)
I think it's really hard to assess Sir Kier's political leadership

He's bland and doesn't stand for anything. You could stick a shop window dummy in his place and no one would notice.

Maggy 02-07-2021 23:38

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spen by 323 votes
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085092)
He's bland and doesn't stand for anything. You could stick a shop window dummy in his place and no one would notice.

:tu:

1andrew1 02-07-2021 23:47

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spen by 323 votes
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085092)
He's bland and doesn't stand for anything. You could stick a shop window dummy in his place and no one would notice.

That's about his public appeal, not his leadership skills though.

Pierre 03-07-2021 00:56

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spen by 323 votes
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36085154)
That's about his public appeal, not his leadership skills though.

In today’s world they’re one in the same. The public are not swayed by “ leadership skills”.

Unfortunately for Labour Eton educated privileged toff, Boris resonates more with the common people than Keir and any other Labour knob jockey, that is truly remarkable.

1andrew1 03-07-2021 01:18

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spen by 323 votes
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085159)
In today’s world they’re one in the same. The public are not swayed by “ leadership skills”.

Unfortunately for Labour Eton educated privileged toff, Boris resonates more with the common people than Keir and any other Labour knob jockey, that is truly remarkable.

The public are swayed by the impact of leadership skills though. If you have the right messages, the right team operating in a joined-up manner...these are all signs of good leadership. Whether you agree that any political leader has these is a different matter.

Boris has an exceptionally large personality and connects with many in the country. He has been astute in his messaging from his days as a liberal London mayor to his period as UKIP-lite in 2016.

TheDaddy 03-07-2021 01:34

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spen by 323 votes
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085159)
In today’s world they’re one in the same. The public are not swayed by “ leadership skills”.

Unfortunately for Labour Eton educated privileged toff, Boris resonates more with the common people than Keir and any other Labour knob jockey, that is truly remarkable.

Eton educated toff that's related to two separate royal households and calls 250k a year chicken feed, I'm really sure the common man can relate to that. Imo labour have had a let off here, they need to use the time this result has bought to construct a clear and concise message that resonates or give up now

OLD BOY 03-07-2021 11:51

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spen by 323 votes
 
Giving up now sounds like a plan!

jfman 03-07-2021 12:39

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spen by 323 votes
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36085161)
Eton educated toff that's related to two separate royal households and calls 250k a year chicken feed, I'm really sure the common man can relate to that. Imo labour have had a let off here, they need to use the time this result has bought to construct a clear and concise message that resonates or give up now

The Establishment successfully built the Bumbling Boris relatable image for Boris with Have I Got News for You appearances and TV presenters are more relatable than former Directors of Public Prosecutions. Add in some nationalism and the Tories are talking to some “common” people about what they care about on top of their existing base.

The fact they shouldn’t care about these things to the extent they do (in the eyes of Labour) is irrelevant. The message resonates and Labour don’t have a better one. Corbyn ironically did.

1andrew1 03-07-2021 20:45

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spen by 323 votes
 
One thing to bear in mind is that the Conservatives' track record in winning elections is far far better than Labour's. Since 1918, the Conservatives have won 19 times and Labour eight.

TheDaddy 03-07-2021 22:19

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spen by 323 votes
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36085175)
Giving up now sounds like a plan!

Yeah why don't you do that

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36085187)
One thing to bear in mind is that the Conservatives' track record in winning elections is far far better than Labour's. Since 1918, the Conservatives have won 19 times and Labour eight.

Of course it helps when on average you need 38000 votes if your a perspective Conservative MP and 50000 odd to become a Labour MP and the rest need hundreds of thousands to return one, this much heralded democracy certain people keep banging on about isn't all that and certainly isn't reflective of the people

---------- Post added at 21:19 ---------- Previous post was at 21:15 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36085176)
The Establishment successfully built the Bumbling Boris relatable image for Boris with Have I Got News for You appearances and TV presenters are more relatable than former Directors of Public Prosecutions. Add in some nationalism and the Tories are talking to some “common” people about what they care about on top of their existing base.

The fact they shouldn’t care about these things to the extent they do (in the eyes of Labour) is irrelevant. The message resonates and Labour don’t have a better one. Corbyn ironically did.

Are you saying the public vote for him because "he's that funny bloke off the telly", quite a low opinion of them if so

jfman 04-07-2021 12:34

Re: Labour hold Batley & Spen by 323 votes
 
Not all of the public (and not quite only because he’s the funny bloke off the telly) - elections aren’t won and lost across the whole population. They’re lost in the margins.

The BBC make people who went to Oxford and Cambridge relatable all the time with a public exposure/persona that a DPP does not get.


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