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Climate Change
LAND PROJECTED TO BE BELOW ANNUAL FLOOD LEVEL IN 2050
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https://coastal.climatecentral.org/m...odel=kopp_2014 |
Re: Climate Change - sea level rises.
I'll be long gone too
I sometimes look at these prediction maps and wonder how many nuclear power plants are in areas that could be affected Not that it probably makes much difference considering the amount of crap dumped in the sea years ago . . sitting there quietly festering :shocked: |
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By far the biggest threat facing us, not that you'd know it, given our obsession with everything else. Forget covid and nuclear weapons.
'Not going to happen in my lifetime' is typical of this selfish generation (and may not be right) Things seemed to be accelerating faster than we thought and heating may now be irreversible, as we've passed the tipping point. https://www.independent.co.uk/climat...-b1867876.html Quote:
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Devon Island, inside the Arctic Circle, had grasses and other plants just 9,000 years ago. It's now covered in ice. How? The glaciers there are melting because of geothermal warming, ie natural causes. Manhattan was covered by 2,00ft of ice that started to melt just as "recently" as 16,000 BC. What caused the melting, if not Natural Climate Change?
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I'm afraid is misinformation like yours, short term profiteering, and not wanting to face 'an unconvienient truth' that have caused us to pass the point of no return. |
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I seem to recall that there was a mini-ice age a few centuries ago. That certainly wasn’t the fault of man. The climate is quite capable of sudden changes, but fortunately it doesn’t happen as a regular occurrence.
While the general consensus in the scientific community is that the warming of the planet is man made, we shouldn’t lose sight of the fact that climate change can be due to other factors such as cyclical variations in solar radiation, variations in the orbit of the Earth, changes in sea currents, etc. |
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Just as an aside. The 11th painting "Breaking the Ice by George Morland, 1792" in the above article has been a favourite one of mine for a long time. |
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At one time not so long ago, it was possible to grow grape vines in Norway. Nowadays only specially bred vines can grow as far north as SE England. They can't claim Polar Bears are at risk from less ice, when they've somehow managed to get through periods of less or even too much ice. Canada was pretty much all covered by thick ice(eg Laurentide Ice Sheet), it isn't nowadays. How, if not from Natural(ie not man-made) Global Climate Change?:confused: There used to be claims about Acid Rain. They were (unsurprisingly) not only found to be false, but a large chunk of Acid Rain arose from natural sources(eg volcanic activity). Just as the melting of glaciers on Devon Island(largest uninhabited Island) is down to geothermal warming, |
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We live on an "historical flood plain" now protected by 4m high dykes, but still unable to get flood insurance. But the map shows we shall be a seaside village if these predictions ever happen.
But we'll be a very cold place, as the Gulf Stream will be gone by then. |
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I've put mooring cleats on the facia boards ;)
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Looks like my Grandkids will have a shorter trip to the east coast.
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Lincs & Netherlands are toast.
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These Climate Crisis idiots always ignore simple facts.
That the Earth is 5 billion years old, and in that time we have had around 4/5 ice ages, and this is the major fact we are still in the tail end of the last ice age, and guess what this means, yes temperatures will rise, eventually we will hit the peak and then go back into an ice age, what will they blame that on when we enter the next ice age. |
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Spot on. Blame? Must be the Tories. |
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"Climate Crisis idiot" merely rehashing the way the earth cycles through the waxing and waning of ice ages over billions of years. I took it to be more of a heads up of how this particular warming will effect us. Millions of years ago there were no large permanent human settlements that needed to be relocated but now we have human settlements that, in some cases, house millions of people. Surely there is case for the effects of rising sea levels to be considered, especially when we live on an island where being able to live safely around our coasts has been something we have taken for granted Or would you rather we wait and see? I am sure that countries such as the Netherlands aren't sitting back refusing to acknowledge what is going to happen. In fact they have been actively planning for several years. Quote:
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I think everyone agrees that climate change is a naturally occurring repetitive event. The dispute is that these 'Climate Crisis Idiots' believe that the actions we are currently taking accelerate & excarebate the natural cycle. |
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The Earth now it about as cool (overall) as it ever gets, and it was always going to get warmer. The issue is that Humans appear to be making it happen a little quicker than would (likely) happen naturally. |
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There is a difference between natural climate change over millions of years and man made over 100 years. |
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We can adapt to the gradual change of natural global warming when it takes thousands of years to happen. 10,000 years ago we were only just learning about basic crops and had yet to form civilisations, give us another 10,000 years and we might well learn how to control the climate or terraform other planets. Even if we can't giving us thousands of extra years before things go wrong is better than them happening in the next hundred years. |
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Bit like the pandemic - if you talk about large populations then loss of some isn't much of a problem so rising levels -> loss of some people and infrastucture -> rebalancing -> less pollution -> cooling -> back to "new" normal.
But if it's you/your community affected it's no longer just a statistic. |
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Earth has been much warmer than this in the past. |
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And again earth warmed much, much slower so the life that did exist would adapt over thousands of years. Not within a couple of generations. |
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Not that I’ve seen much evidence of a Spanish climate so far. Could it all be hype? :doh::Yes: |
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As I've previously pointed out, a mere 9,000 years ago Devon Island in Canada within the Arctic Circle was warm enough to grow plants, and yet nowadays is covered in ice and glaciers and is too cold and inhospitable to be inhabited. That's a blink of the eye in geological terms.
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Spot on. |
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I thought the Climate Change crowd are saying that temperatures are going to rise? If it does cool down that will reverse the thermal expansion component of predicted sea level rises.
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"The climate change crowd"?
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Just because that found a plant that is 9,000 years old, doesn't meant that was when all plant life ended on the island. It might've happened just 3,000 years ago. |
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How have past predictions of sea level changes gone? Any of them remotely correct? "Thermal expansion" is where sea levels rise because of warming of the seas cause the water to expand. If the seas cool down, that thermal expansion will obviously reverse. |
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They have always been under threat. There's is very comprehensive 2021 article by The Earth Observatory (nasa can hardly be described as Climate crisis idiots) and you will see what is happening in the Maldives to try to ensure their survival. Quote:
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Today's news has confirmed that we are now seeing the effects of our past actions on the planet:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/scie...nment-58142632 I am surprised that it has started happening so quickly though. |
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Glaciers have been melting for thousands of years, not just the last few hundred.
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We'll act, but not till it personally affects us, which will be too late. Tbh it probably already is too.late, but at least we should try.
Brexit, covid, elections and all the other cobblers will be irrelevant as we've continually ignored the main threat. |
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I like the beginning of the last paragraph, this is too serious to play party politics with. Our very survival as a species is at stake (unless another pandemic gets us first)!
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We're just too thick and consumerist I'm afraid.to make the necessary changes. Can't blame Govts, we elect them. |
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Canada and a section of Northern US(including New York) were once covered by Ice. How else did nearly all of that disappear, if not by "global warming"? Quote:
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I'm not denying the facts, particularly what is happening at the poles (melting Ice).
But to my simple mind, mitigation through engineering should be possible. For example, 2m bunds (or whatever they are called) right round the coastline. For example forestry fire risk assessment should be undertaken with climate change in mind so that fire breaks can be engineered in; plus water pipelines from the sea or reservoirs to various places for fire management purposes. The above in addition to carbon management. I'm not against coal fired power generation with carbon capture; hell knows we'll need all the electricity we can generate. I looked at part of the UN report ( https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/d...y_Material.pdf ) to see where the information sources are. It seems to me, and I might be mistaken, that a whole load of third party documents have been pulled together to result in the conclusions of the report. To my mind, that could be dodgy - as in selecting material that suits the agenda and hence the conclusions. The UN report appears not to be the result of structured study under UN control. |
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https://www.google.com/amp/s/healthp...rsonality/amp/ |
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Let's be clear, climate activists harp on about saving the planet. Nothing could be further from the truth.
This planet will survive, the human race on the other hand... |
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All you hear is carbon footprint this carbon footprint that, global warming threat and so on when the real big issue is over population globally.
As the world warms there will be massive immigration issues as the population around the equator moves North or South. There will be wars and starvation like we have never seen before. You may think this is fantasy but the world as we know it is screwed and all the pissing in the wind we do now will not reverse it. A dark future for mankind is ahead but hopefully none of us see it but our grandkids might |
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Climate denier “arguments” are typically characterised by an inability to critically appraise evidence and a tendency to select items that reinforce prior assumptions. They (and conspiracists more generally) betray their poorly developed critical skills by avoiding actually constructing arguments of their own. They prefer to demand their opponents “do their research” and may or may not provide a series of links or quotes with little evidence that they’ve understood or engaged with the material in its context. |
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It is the future of the human race that is the crisis but do we hear about that? No, it's all about save the planet that doesn't need saving, it will heal itself when we are long gone. |
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Humans have risen from the stone age to the technological age and in 250 years we have managed to bring ourselves to the edge of ruin |
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The Dutch have dealt dangerous sea levels quite successfully for a while.
Human ingenuity will mitigate many of the affects of a changing climate. |
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The other issue is that some countries may be unable to afford these mitigations. Not everywhere is as rich as the UK. |
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Financial and climate cost to replacing stuff too. It takes energy to make stuff and it would have to be extraordinarily more efficient than the old to make it really worth while.
And more efficient doesn't mean better. I can't use induction hobs (pacemaker) and like the instant heat and control of gas heating. If people just swapped out gas for heat pumps and then wanted more heat "now" they'd plug in electric heaters. And coal/wood fires work in power cuts. Very useful when they have happened, can heat main room and even cook on it. |
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The mitigations will be necessary whatever we do with carbon. The engine is rolling and there's no cut-off button. On the matter of other countries, this is a shit-or-bust situation for each coastal nation. And not just coastal nations - i might find time to research this further - but if the Baltic rises 2m, then Poland as far as Katowice would be under water. If you dig into the ground in Warsaw, it's sand when you're just a few cm down and the country is flat from the Baltic southward. |
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Ignoring the human effects of extreme weather (long report here) the economic effects of climate change could be huge.
SwissRe who know a thing or bit about risk as a reinsurer (one of the those huge companies you've never heard of) has this page where the risks of climate change are assessed for the 48 countries who account for 90% of the global GDP. The resilience of each country to the effects of heat, sea level rise, health, crop yield and tourism can be seen on the country drop down. However, the overall assessment is India, SE Asia and northern S.America could be in for a world of pain. |
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Add more coal stations to the mix and you'll need these mitigating too hence more expensive power may be better value if it needs less mitigation. |
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Did we make it past 1982?
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However, the attached map suggests, as someone else has mentioned in this thread, that we can expect migrations and the wars they will might/will bring. The map shows that up to 2m people in the UK face displacement. This can be mitigated by the richer countries, but the thought of half a billion Africans storming Europe is horrifying. |
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One thing the report mentioned is that we can stop it. That's pretty good news IMO.
Over the last 10 years, both politicians and the public have come to accept that it's an urgent problem that needs addressing. I remember that it used to be that you would hit a lot of scepticism that global warming was even happening, then it was 'it's happening but it isn't us' and I was expecting the final stage to be 'ok it was us but it's too late to do anything now'. |
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Don't know if paywaiied, wasn't for me. |
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Global Warming . . probably a huge issue but I'm no scientist or geological expert.
We could do some massive things to control it . . . but 95% of the world population would never accept them ;) |
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Probably in the wrong place, but after thinking about it, it came down to a choice of here or the Jokes thread (because it made me laugh) :D
Anyway, in these days of Global Warming and the amount of expert stuff that gets thrown at us as it's cause, something I never expected to read on the BBC news site was this: Quote:
there's also this one https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-58600583 :D |
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I'm surprised that Dyson hasn't invented an air CO2 extractor. But that leads to another factor: have the boffins taken into account all the CO2 released by the fizzy drinks?
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In 1950 there were 2.5 billion people on the planet Today we are edging close to 8 billion . . . I'm beginning to think LED lighting is not the answer :naughty: |
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If you can’t fix everything, doesn’t mean you shouldn’t fix anything.
"Do not go gentle into that good night. Rage, rage against the dying of the light." |
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sorry, I'm just pointing out that today we (the human population) are pumping around 30 billion tonnes more of CO2 yearly into the atmosphere than we were back in 1950, just by breathing.
Add to that all of the environmental costs of housing, clothing and feeding that extra 5 billion people Then add the environmental costs of lighting & heating, plus transport of both people & goods, etc etc . . I vaguely recall a book/film (whatever) many years ago about a society that culled everyone over the age of 50 (I think it was 50, could have been 30) :shocked: :D |
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https://www.sciencefocus.com/planet-...limate-change/ The book was Logan’s Run, and the age was 21 (the film raised it to 30). |
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5 billion (people) multiplied by six tonnes gives us 30 billion tonnes. :p: I will however consider that the part 'average person in the UK is responsible for' may include all of the extras I added, so will stick at 30 billion tonnes we didn't 'produce' 60 years ago ;) |
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You stated "just by breathing’ - the larger figure is for everything…
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Sea levels are rising because of the Asthma Inhaler.
https://greeninhaler.org/the-problem-with-inhalers/ Selective quote: Quote:
1/ Assume 8 preventive puffs/day as stated on the packet. There are 200 puffs per device. Thus 1 device lasts for 25 days and, according to the quoted article, has a carbon footprint of 28kg (that's an item weighing a few ounces, but I do get that this is a CO2 equivalence to the HFC liberated by the inhaler). 2/ The article cites a car driving 175 miles as having the same carbon footprint. That's the hype. Assume that an asthmatic commuter drives 80 miles per day round trip for 20 days per month. That's 1600 miles per month equating to 256kg carbon footprint. Some of these green warriors are as bad as the worst of the woke lot. EDIT: Dry powder inhalers do not self-propel and require a serious intake gasp from the afflicted person. |
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Reading elsewhere about CO2 shortages..It's a crazy world alright.:)
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According to an article on the BBC, for my PostCode, "global warming" means a few extra days sunshine in the summer, and a few days less rain.
Hard to see the downside here ........ https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/resources...7-3691c0e7d138 |
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oh, and Peterborough is destined to have a flourishing fishing industry by 2046 ;) |
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Grimsby will be the new Atlantis . . .
. . erm . . just how big is your boat, my bestest friend? :D :D |
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Van der Lyden is as stupid as Boris et al. Renewables are not the main answer, nuclear is. It is the only viable carbon nutral back up for rewnewable and can exceed the necessary supply.
https://twitter.com/vonderleyen/stat...44984782266372 |
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Twatter seems to have decided Im no longer worthy
All I get is this ; Quote:
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Brexit, Squire.
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All too little, too late. We needed the action 30 years ago.
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Sick and tired of all these nonsense programmes about eco-homes, when they are all unsuitable adaptations for most of us. They could only even possibly work in this country if, every building was demolished and completely rebuilt, and of course, we reduced out population by at least 90%, as each eco-home needs a large plot of land to go with it. Also as each eco-home is not able to be lived in at the time of being built or adapted, they need somewhere else to live.
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