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-   -   UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33709188)

Damien 01-07-2020 13:46

UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/h...-a4485601.html

Quote:

Boris Johnson says the UK will open a pathway to British citizenship for around three million Hong Kong British National (Overseas) passport holders as a result of China's new security law.
:clap:

heero_yuy 01-07-2020 14:54

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
A fine guesture. Let's hope they don't all come over at once. :erm:

1andrew1 01-07-2020 20:22

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
The right decision.

I wonder how easy it would be for them to gain citizenship of Singapore? That country seems a potential beneficiary of corporate relocations from Hong Kong.

ianch99 02-07-2020 10:11

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
The irony of this is priceless :)

mrmistoffelees 02-07-2020 11:44

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Excellent, that may help fill the potential fruit & vegetable picker shortfall

Taf 02-07-2020 11:44

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Any move from HK to UK would still mean jumping through several immigration hoops over a few years. And incur costs to the immigrants I bet.

A (British) friend and his (HK) wife as keeping an eye on things over there, but it could go sour very quickly as China asserts itself. They have lived and worked there for several years now.

OLD BOY 02-07-2020 11:52

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36041967)
The irony of this is priceless :)

I assume you are comparing poor jobless Romanians with wealthy entrepreneurial Hong Kongers and can't see the difference.

Amin's Ugandans have benefited this country considerably and people from Hong Kong will be the same. We should be welcoming people with the wealth, skills and knowledge that will benefit this country and are not a threat to the jobs of the low paid.

Carth 02-07-2020 12:07

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36041986)
We should be welcoming people with the wealth, skills and knowledge that will benefit this country and are not a threat to the jobs of the low paid.

The problem there is that if there are no jobs for these highly skilled knowledgeable people, they might then become 'a threat to the jobs of the low paid' . . . or a further burden to the benefits sytem.


Having said that, I'm sure that when the Covid situation is over, and Brexit finally sorted, there will be an abundance of roles that need filling ;) :rolleyes:

Maggy 02-07-2020 13:13

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Well when China drives Hong Kong into the ground and it's no longer viable as a free enterprise centre I'm pretty sure we can do with the entrepreneurs being on our side and working for us..

jfman 02-07-2020 13:15

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Coming over here, stealing our jobs, etc.

Carth 02-07-2020 13:18

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36041995)
Coming over here, stealing our jobs, etc.

:rolleyes: grow up

Maggy 02-07-2020 13:21

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36041996)
:rolleyes: grow up

Seconded!

downquark1 02-07-2020 13:29

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Depending on the amount of wealth they able to ferret out of Hong Kong this could result in an economic boost, probably explaining why China is so pissed off.

Politically this could also be Boris importing "Tory voters", we'll have to see how many take up his offer.

jfman 02-07-2020 13:33

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36041996)
:rolleyes: grow up

Not my view but it is the inevitable response in time.

Irish, Asians, Eastern Europeans. It’s a staple throughout British history. Whether they walk into well paid or low paid jobs is irrelevant really. It’s an employment opportunity lost to someone already here is the simplistic outlook that some will view it with.

Carth 02-07-2020 13:46

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36042001)
Not my view but it is the inevitable response in time.

Irish, Asians, Eastern Europeans. It’s a staple throughout British history. Whether they walk into well paid or low paid jobs is irrelevant really. It’s an employment opportunity lost to someone already here is the simplistic outlook that some will view it with.

aah right, I see how you meant it now.

Having said that, yes there will always be the unemployed (that want to work) viewing working immigrants with just a little annoyance ;)

Hugh 02-07-2020 14:09

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36041986)
I assume you are comparing poor jobless Romanians with wealthy entrepreneurial Hong Kongers and can't see the difference.

Amin's Ugandans have benefited this country considerably and people from Hong Kong will be the same. We should be welcoming people with the wealth, skills and knowledge that will benefit this country and are not a threat to the jobs of the low paid.

Pretty sure that the three million BN(O)s in HK aren't all "wealthy entrepreneurs"...

Damien 02-07-2020 15:17

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Hong Kong has a highly educated workforce. It's likely those who have the economic means to come here are going to walk right into high-paying, skilled, jobs.

Hugh 02-07-2020 15:36

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36042015)
Hong Kong has a highly educated workforce. It's likely those who have the economic means to come here are going to walk right into high-paying, skilled, jobs.

Agreed, but not 3,000,000+ of them (as we don’t have three million vacancies).

papa smurf 02-07-2020 18:08

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36042016)
Agreed, but not 3,000,000+ of them (as we don’t have three million vacancies).

Do we have space for an extra 3,000,000 Takeaway shops.

jfman 02-07-2020 18:17

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Plenty of High Street space soon once the second wave of Corona finishes off the businesses that survive the first.

RichardCoulter 02-07-2020 18:31

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Do these people tend to speak English?

Damien 02-07-2020 18:31

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36042031)
Do these people tend to speak English?

It's widely spoken in HK.

RichardCoulter 02-07-2020 19:15

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36042032)
It's widely spoken in HK.

That will be a good help.

Carth 02-07-2020 19:34

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36042036)
That will be a good help.

Certainly will, no extra interpreters needed at the housing benefits office, job center or hospitals :D

Uncle Peter 02-07-2020 19:49

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Some of my other half's relatives are HK nationals and qualify as BNOs. A couple of her aunts who are of the older generation are not interested in coming here as their view is that they will be treated as second class citizens.

Judging by the attitudes of some in this supposedly welcoming, multicultural nation I am not half surprised.

Hugh 02-07-2020 20:00

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36042028)
Do we have space for an extra 3,000,000 Takeaway shops.

Wow!

Sephiroth 02-07-2020 20:44

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Uncle Peter (Post 36042040)
Some of my other half's relatives are HK nationals and qualify as BNOs. A couple of her aunts who are of the older generation are not interested in coming here as their view is that they will be treated as second class citizens.

Judging by the attitudes of some in this supposedly welcoming, multicultural nation I am not half surprised.

I always thought that ethnic Chinese in the UK were among the least problematic group in the multicultural melange (of which just 1 doesn't do multiculturalism).

What is it about them that has been overlooked in relation to the Black population leading to BLM?


downquark1 02-07-2020 20:56

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36042047)
I always thought that ethnic Chinese in the UK were among the least problematic group in the multicultural melange (of which just 1 doesn't do multiculturalism).

What is it about them that has been overlooked in relation to the Black population leading to BLM?


Well they probably remember the days when thr British ruled HK and did treat them as second class citizens. But then also the elderly are the least inclined to migrate even when threatened.

papa smurf 02-07-2020 21:01

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36042041)
Wow!

Offence junkie just got a fix;)

OLD BOY 02-07-2020 21:09

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36042003)
aah right, I see how you meant it now.

Having said that, yes there will always be the unemployed (that want to work) viewing working immigrants with just a little annoyance ;)

I don't recollect such complaints when the Ugandan Asians came here. As I understood it, they created more jobs. It's what entrepreneurs tend to do.

Hugh 02-07-2020 21:20

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36042051)
Offence junkie just got a fix;)

Casual racism just got triggered...

---------- Post added at 20:20 ---------- Previous post was at 20:18 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by old boy (Post 36042052)
i don't recollect such complaints when the ugandan asians came here. As i understood it, they created more jobs. It's what entrepreneurs tend to do.

27,200 < 3,000,000+

downquark1 02-07-2020 21:22

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
3 million will not actually choose to leave.

jfman 02-07-2020 21:36

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36042052)
I don't recollect such complaints when the Ugandan Asians came here. As I understood it, they created more jobs. It's what entrepreneurs tend to do.

I’m not sure the “they steal our jobs” brigade care for the distinction or consider the evidence base of whether migrants offer more to the country than they take.

papa smurf 02-07-2020 21:54

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36042056)
3 million will not actually choose to leave.

They won't be allowed to leave.

downquark1 02-07-2020 21:55

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36042058)
They won't be allowed to leave.

That is also true.

Damien 02-07-2020 22:25

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Take a plane to Paris. Then once there get a plane or train to London.

downquark1 02-07-2020 22:51

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36042060)
Take a plane to Paris. Then once there get a plane or train to London.

If a North Korean defects they punish the family for three generations. The Chinese aren't that bad but they have more creative ways than simply bannijg flights to Britain.

RichardCoulter 02-07-2020 22:57

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36042061)
If a North Korean defects they punish the family for three generations. The Chinese aren't that bad but they have more creative ways than simply bannijg flights to Britain.

What do they do to them?

---------- Post added at 21:57 ---------- Previous post was at 21:56 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36042058)
They won't be allowed to leave.

If that's the case it's a pretty meaningless gesture by our Government.

nomadking 02-07-2020 23:00

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36042057)
I’m not sure the “they steal our jobs” brigade care for the distinction or consider the evidence base of whether migrants offer more to the country than they take.

So in what ways, apart from their own consumption(food, housing, energy, etc), do they actually increase GDP per person? Not sure I've ever seen a full and proper explanation of how it works.


GDP or similar as a measure is just nonsense. In theory you could double the population and total GDP would go up. GDP per person is another matter.

Carth 02-07-2020 23:23

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36042052)
I don't recollect such complaints when the Ugandan Asians came here. As I understood it, they created more jobs. It's what entrepreneurs tend to do.

I think there were 'jobs galore' back in the day . . before everyone was put out of work through advances in automation, globalization, and the Gov't selling stuff off ;)

---------- Post added at 22:23 ---------- Previous post was at 22:20 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36042064)
So in what ways, apart from their own consumption(food, housing, energy, etc), do they actually increase GDP per person? Not sure I've ever seen a full and proper explanation of how it works.

Yep, something else I don't get . . . probably because 'stats' don't do anything for me ;)

ianch99 02-07-2020 23:31

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36042057)
I’m not sure the “they steal our jobs” brigade care for the distinction or consider the evidence base of whether migrants offer more to the country than they take.

Tend to agree. It worked for Brexit so the playbook has been validated.

nomadking 02-07-2020 23:45

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36042071)
I think there were 'jobs galore' back in the day . . before everyone was put out of work through advances in automation, globalization, and the Gov't selling stuff off ;)

---------- Post added at 22:23 ---------- Previous post was at 22:20 ----------



Yep, something else I don't get . . . probably because 'stats' don't do anything for me ;)

Stats prove nothing. It should be pretty easy for people to explain the exact mechanisms by which GDP per person is supposedly increased. Especially when those groups are complaining they are badly off and economically disadvantaged. The explanations should all be ready, "neatly tied up with a bow". How many businesses are just taking away money, that would've been spent elsewhere anyway.


I've posed a question. If there's an explanation, let's hear it.

jfman 02-07-2020 23:49

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36042076)
Stats prove nothing. It should be pretty easy for people to explain the exact mechanisms by which GDP per person is supposedly increased. Especially when those groups are complaining they are badly off and economically disadvantaged. The explanations should all be ready, "neatly tied up with a bow". How many businesses are just taking away money, that would've been spent elsewhere anyway.

I've posed a question. If there's an explanation, let's hear it.

So businesses extract money from the wider economy?

downquark1 02-07-2020 23:52

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36042062)
What do they do to them?

The North Koreans have a strange class system based on how loyal you are. If your family gets put in the traitor class you get less food and opportunities and will get mistreated.

nomadking 03-07-2020 00:29

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36042077)
So businesses extract money from the wider economy?

The sort of example I was thinking of, was a takeaway where if somebody didn't spend it there, they would've spent it somewhere else. Not necessarily on food.

Still waiting for this supposedly simple explanation, that should've been ready and around for decades, just to be trotted out.

Damien 03-07-2020 08:15

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36042082)
The sort of example I was thinking of, was a takeaway where if somebody didn't spend it there, they would've spent it somewhere else. Not necessarily on food.

Still waiting for this supposedly simple explanation, that should've been ready and around for decades, just to be trotted out.

The same way anyone else increases GDP - assuming they're working.

The person works and presumably produces something of value for someone which'll contribute to the overall output of the country. In turn, they'll also be paid and spend in the economy generating further demand and in theory futher work (which will lead to more output, more spending and so on).

Maggy 03-07-2020 09:32

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Don't forget that taxation is supposed to play it's part.

nomadking 03-07-2020 10:35

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36042092)
The same way anyone else increases GDP - assuming they're working.

The person works and presumably produces something of value for someone which'll contribute to the overall output of the country. In turn, they'll also be paid and spend in the economy generating further demand and in theory futher work (which will lead to more output, more spending and so on).

And if that person wasn't in this country, would that job mysteriously not exist? But how much of that tax is from income that non-immigrants would have earned instead. It's not exactly new income that wouldn't have existed if they hadn't come here. Maybe some of it, simply from the extra demand of extra people being here. Then you have to factor in the money they send abroad. The effect of that is many times the amount involved. Normally money will pass from A to B to C etc within this country. They all earn an income with the same money. If it goes from A to B and then out of the country, it is lost income and GDP for this country.

Just generating further demand is a nonsense argument. You could allow in 10m people, and it would magically increase demand, but NOT where the money to pay for that demand came from. As a total GDP figure, the economy of China looks great compared to the UK, but look at the GDP per person, and it's another matter. Scotland has a lower GDP than Bangladesh. Which would you say is the richer country?:rolleyes: Scotland's GDP per person is the region of 20 times higher.

Eg A TV programme a few years ago. Slovakian Roma couple came over with TWENTY-TWO of their children and grandchildren. All housed in several homes, all receiving benefits of one sort or another(only one had a job), needing taxpayer funded interpreters and support officers etc. Now add in SIX THOUSAND others had also come over and were living in Rotherham. Another example was a guy from Romania came over, intending to stay just for a year, claim enough benefits to send £10,000 back to Romania, to do up his house there. They will have all added to total GDP, but it will have had to be funded by public borrowing.

The wealthier of the Hong Kong residents will likely have kept their heads down and not be at risk. In order to realise their assets, they would have to sell them to somebody else. Who would be buying?

ianch99 03-07-2020 10:45

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36042062)
If that's the case it's a pretty meaningless gesture by our Government.

Isn't that the point here: they have calculated that the offer will never be claimed in enough numbers to matter so that they look good in making it and costs them (next to) nothing.

Of course, if they have miscalculated then the fun begins ..

heero_yuy 03-07-2020 10:51

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Quote from ianch99: Isn't that the point here: they have calculated that the offer will never be claimed in enough numbers to matter so that they look good in making it and costs them (next to) nothing.

Of course, if they have miscalculated then the fun begins ..
Like Blair and the Eastern Europeans: Only a few thousand.

Make that hundreds of thousands. :rolleyes:

Sephiroth 03-07-2020 10:57

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36042111)
Isn't that the point here: they have calculated that the offer will never be claimed in enough numbers to matter so that they look good in making it and costs them (next to) nothing.

Of course, if they have miscalculated then the fun begins ..

You really hate this government, don't you? What you've said is so unconstructive and the same sort of bile that you express about Brexit.

The point here is that the UK finds itself hoist by the petard of international treaty. I'd rather we lived up to our commitments and be trusted than otherwise.

Btw, if the UK is swamped with refugees from communist China oppression, then might we need to relabel that stupid word "BAME" - add a few letters, signs and numbers, perhaps in ideogram form?

Damien 03-07-2020 11:00

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36042108)
And if that person wasn't in this country, would that job mysteriously not exist? But how much of that tax is from income that non-immigrants would have earned instead. It's not exactly new income that wouldn't have existed if they hadn't come here. Maybe some of it, simply from the extra demand of extra people being here. Then you have to factor in the money they send abroad. The effect of that is many times the amount involved. Normally money will pass from A to B to C etc within this country. They all earn an income with the same money. If it goes from A to B and then out of the country, it is lost income and GDP for this country.

Any specific job might have already existed but in the aggregate more workers should produce more output producing more jobs. Yes, part of it is the extra demand more people makes. That's the GDP per head increased slower than GDP during the early 2000s when we had an increase in EU migration.

However you're assuming there is a static amount of work. More economic activity should generate more work. It's a pretty foundational concept to how our economic system works. There isn't a static amount of money or work to be done.

RichardCoulter 03-07-2020 11:05

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36042118)
Any specific job might have already existed but in the aggregate more workers should produce more output producing more jobs. Yes, part of it is the extra demand more people makes. That's the GDP per head increased slower than GDP during the early 2000s when we had an increase in EU migration.

However you're assuming there is a static amount of work. More economic activity should generate more work. It's a pretty foundational concept to how our economic system works. There isn't a static amount of money or work to be done.

...but mass automation is just around the corner.

Damien 03-07-2020 11:06

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36042119)
...but mass automation is just around the corner.

Well yeah, that's a whole different argument. :D

Hugh 03-07-2020 11:08

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36042071)
I think there were 'jobs galore' back in the day . . before everyone was put out of work through advances in automation, globalization, and the Gov't selling stuff off ;)

---------- Post added at 22:23 ---------- Previous post was at 22:20 ----------



Yep, something else I don't get . . . probably because 'stats' don't do anything for me ;)

http://news.bbc.co.uk/onthisday/hi/d...01%2C023%2C583.
Quote:

1972: UK unemployment tops one million

The number of people out of work and claiming benefit has risen above one million for the first time since the 1930s.

There were angry demonstrations in the House of Commons when the jobless total was confirmed as 1,023,583.

nomadking 03-07-2020 11:10

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36042118)
Any specific job might have already existed but in the aggregate more workers should produce more output producing more jobs. Yes, part of it is the extra demand more people makes. That's the GDP per head increased slower than GDP during the early 2000s when we had an increase in EU migration.

However you're assuming there is a static amount of work. More economic activity should generate more work. It's a pretty foundational concept to how our economic system works. There isn't a static amount of money or work to be done.

And where does this "more output" go to? A higher total GDP, DOES NOT mean a better economy. Where does this money that is funding this alleged massive extra demand come from? You could let in 10m extra people, all on benefits, and the GDP would go up. But in no way whatsoever would the economy be better. The GDP per person would be further diluted.

Hugh 03-07-2020 11:13

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Have you thought of doing some research on this, rather than badgering Damien with questions?

https://www.thebalance.com/what-is-t...h-rate-3306016
Quote:

The GDP growth rate indicates how quickly—or slowly—the economy is growing or shrinking.

It is driven by the four components of GDP, the largest being personal consumption expenditures.
If there are more people in jobs earning and spending money, GDP increases...

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-13200758
Quote:

GDP can be measured in three ways:

Output measure: This is the total value of the goods and services produced by all sectors of the economy: agriculture, manufacturing, energy, construction, the service sector and government

Expenditure measure: The value of the goods and services bought by households and by government, investment in machinery and buildings. This also includes the value of exports minus imports

Income measure: The value of the income generated mostly in terms of profits and wages.

papa smurf 03-07-2020 11:17

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36042126)
Have you thought of doing some research on this, rather than badgering Damien with questions?

Have you given any thought to the idea that Damian might be the font of all knowledge on the subject.

downquark1 03-07-2020 11:17

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36042124)
And where does this "more output" go to? A higher total GDP, DOES NOT mean a better economy. Where does this money that is funding this alleged massive extra demand come from? You could let in 10m extra people, all on benefits, and the GDP would go up. But in no way whatsoever would the economy be better. The GDP per person would be further diluted.

You are correct that there is no economic benefit to everyone being on benefits. But if they all "opened takeaways"* and the market was able to sustain all those takeaways without subsidies then in classical economic thinking that is a real contribution.

*crazy example but here we are

Hugh 03-07-2020 11:19

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36042128)
Have you given any thought to the idea that Damian might be the font of all knowledge on the subject.

No, because he has never professed to be an economist.

ianch99 03-07-2020 11:20

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36042116)
You really hate this government, don't you? What you've said is so unconstructive and the same sort of bile that you express about Brexit.

Calm down dear. We just have different views on the ability, morality and accountability of this Government. You admire them because they have managed to deliver on your particular ideological goals and I dislike them for so many reasons.

You seem to view any criticism as "bile" and "unconstructive". This is your prerogative but it implies that you are incapable or more likely, unwilling to address points that show this Government in a unsavoury light. Your dismissal of continual lying about the handling of this pandemic as "well, all politicians lie don't they?" is illustrative. It seems they literally can do anything as long as they continue on the path you favour.

Others may want to provide a more objective assessment of them and call them out when required.

Damien 03-07-2020 11:21

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36042124)
And where does this "more output" go to? A higher total GDP, DOES NOT mean a better economy.

I didn't say it would make a better economy, which is a subjective argument to make anyway, you were asking how it increases GDP. I said how. Now, you're trying to make the argument into something else which I am not arguing.

Quote:

Where does this money that is funding this alleged massive extra demand come from?
Either abroad as the stuff we export, or from the banks or the Bank of England. The money supply is not finite and, very simplistically speaking, it should increase to much the value produced in the economy.

Quote:

You could let in 10m extra people, all on benefits, and the GDP would go up. But in no way whatsoever would the economy be better. The GDP per person would be further diluted.
Yes, which is why at the start of this I said 'assuming they're working.'.

But during the period in which we had a lot of migration we did not see GDP being diluted, we saw it increase:https://www.statista.com/statistics/...nited-kingdom/

papa smurf 03-07-2020 11:23

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36042131)
No, because he has never professed to be an economist.

Maybe it's because he doesn't brag about his abilities on this forum :erm:

1andrew1 03-07-2020 11:28

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36042134)
Maybe it's because he doesn't brag about his abilities on this forum :erm:

I have to tip my hat to Damien - his posts are always very informative.
I've seen a lot of stuff on this forum and I confess I didn't know what a straw man was until I joined this forum. But I'm not sure I've seen people brag about their abilities.

papa smurf 03-07-2020 11:31

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36042137)
I have to tip my hat to Damien - his posts are always very informative.
I've seen a lot of stuff on this forum and I confess I didn't know what a straw man was until I joined this forum. But I'm not sure I've seen people brag about their abilities.

Not what i said.

Carth 03-07-2020 12:15

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Some interesting discussion over the last couple of pages.
One thing that kept coming up was the reference to 'those employed, working' spending money on goods made. Working 16 hrs a week on minimum wage doesn't buy you much, but if it helps the GDP why don't we all just work 20hrs a week (with pro rata wage) and cure the unemployment problem ;)

Another suggestion was people earning money but sending/spending it 'back home', which is more prevalent than you'd think.

oh and . .
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36042119)
...but mass automation is just around the corner.

Where have you been for the last decade? :D

jfman 03-07-2020 13:16

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36042116)
You really hate this government, don't you? What you've said is so unconstructive and the same sort of bile that you express about Brexit.

The point here is that the UK finds itself hoist by the petard of international treaty. I'd rather we lived up to our commitments and be trusted than otherwise.

Btw, if the UK is swamped with refugees from communist China oppression, then might we need to relabel that stupid word "BAME" - add a few letters, signs and numbers, perhaps in ideogram form?

In fairness there’s no way the Government would make the offer without sitting down and having some kind of stab at how many would be likely to come, their background, education, existing means.

While he’s quite cynical about it, there’s an element of reward in PR terms (for anyone in any line of work) in being seen to make a generous offer that nobody will take up.

downquark1 03-07-2020 14:11

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36042155)
While he’s quite cynical about it, there’s an element of reward in PR terms (for anyone in any line of work) in being seen to make a generous offer that nobody will take up.

It also strengthens the Hong Kong people's negotiation position, assuming the Chinese don't throw a tantrum.

Carth 03-07-2020 14:18

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36042167)
It also strengthens the Hong Kong people's negotiation position, assuming the Chinese don't throw a tantrum.


Nah, they're not like that, nothing in the last few days to show any backlash ;)

TheDaddy 03-07-2020 17:14

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36041986)
I assume you are comparing poor jobless Romanians with wealthy entrepreneurial Hong Kongers and can't see the difference.

Amin's Ugandans have benefited this country considerably and people from Hong Kong will be the same. We should be welcoming people with the wealth, skills and knowledge that will benefit this country and are not a threat to the jobs of the low paid.

Wealthy? It'll be their middle class coming over if they come at all and their 'wealth' will be tied up in the businesses left behind, just like it was with the Ugandans many of whom had no more than the clothes on their back when they arrived.

RichardCoulter 03-07-2020 17:36

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36042149)
Some interesting discussion over the last couple of pages.
One thing that kept coming up was the reference to 'those employed, working' spending money on goods made. Working 16 hrs a week on minimum wage doesn't buy you much, but if it helps the GDP why don't we all just work 20hrs a week (with pro rata wage) and cure the unemployment problem ;)

Another suggestion was people earning money but sending/spending it 'back home', which is more prevalent than you'd think.

oh and . .


Where have you been for the last decade? :D

Yes, it has already started, but you ain't seen nothing yet. Some economists predict that about a third of jobs will disappear within 10 to 15 years. There won't be enough jobs for people already living here and I think we will probably have to introduce an unconditional citizens income. This will be at a massive cost.

This is why I think that we must prepare ourselves to mitigate this by ensuring that any future immigration is on the understanding that it is temporary whilst they are needed by the UK. That way everyone knows where they stand and people we need that want to come here can make an informed choice.

---------- Post added at 16:36 ---------- Previous post was at 16:36 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36042185)
Wealthy? It'll be their middle class coming over if they come at all and their 'wealth' will be tied up in the businesses left behind, just like it was with the Ugandans many of whom had no more than the clothes on their back when they arrived.

Good point.

papa smurf 03-07-2020 17:45

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36042186)
Yes, it has already started, but you ain't seen nothing yet. Some economists predict that about a third of jobs will disappear within 10 to 15 years. There won't be enough jobs for people already living here and I think we will probably have to introduce an unconditional citizens income. This will be at a massive cost.

This is why I think that we must prepare ourselves to mitigate this by ensuring that any future immigration is on the understanding that it is temporary whilst they are needed by the UK. That way everyone knows where they stand and people we need that want to come here can make an informed choice.

---------- Post added at 16:36 ---------- Previous post was at 16:36 ----------



Good point.

what if they give birth to children whilst here what would be the status of those children ?

Hugh 03-07-2020 17:53

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36042189)
what if they give birth to children whilst here what would be the status of those children ?

Full British Citizenship, with a free house, two cars, three TVs, and credit cards with unlimited spend.

Carth 03-07-2020 17:58

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Unofficial guesswork involving an independent survey of 19 people in Burger King, has found that all 23 of them believe the UK has sank 0.76 cm in the past 27 minutes due to the weight of immigration.

Four strangers at a bus stop in Slough have stated that if everyone wore 'air sole' trainers the UK could bounce back

RichardCoulter 03-07-2020 17:59

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36042189)
what if they give birth to children whilst here what would be the status of those children ?

That's a very valid point you raise. As it stands they would be British and entitled to a payment, which is not something that we want. The BNP already oppose this as they say something along the lines of, if a cat has kittens in the nice warm straw of a stable, it does not follow that it has, therefore, given birth to foals!

The trouble is, if we don't allow any more immigration, this would affect us in the present day e.g. fruit picking.

Could we enact a law that says that certain people born in the UK aren't British, but are the nationality of their parents?? I really don't know.

Hugh 03-07-2020 18:18

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36042194)
Unofficial guesswork involving an independent survey of 19 people in Burger King, has found that all 23 of them believe the UK has sank 0.76 cm in the past 27 minutes due to the weight of immigration.

Four strangers at a bus stop in Slough have stated that if everyone wore 'air sole' trainers the UK could bounce back

Having worked in Slough in the early 2000s, I thought it was full of "air soles"... ;)

Sephiroth 03-07-2020 18:24

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36042201)
Having worked in Slough in the early 2000s, I thought it was full of "air soles"... ;)

.... Had the best Pakistani greasy spoon for miles (in Herschel Street). Otherwise as much a dump as nearby Maidenhead.

One semi-decent Chinese restaurant in the naff shopping centre. So Slough could do with some Chinese immigration - or is that too BAME provocative?

papa smurf 03-07-2020 18:34

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36042191)
Full British Citizenship, with a free house, two cars, three TVs, and credit cards with unlimited spend.

You've just described my ex mr's;)

---------- Post added at 17:34 ---------- Previous post was at 17:25 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36042195)
That's a very valid point you raise. As it stands they would be British and entitled to a payment, which is not something that we want. The BNP already oppose this as they say something along the lines of, if a cat has kittens in the nice warm straw of a stable, it does not follow that it has, therefore, given birth to foals!

The trouble is, if we don't allow any more immigration, this would affect us in the present day e.g. fruit picking.

Could we enact a law that says that certain people born in the UK aren't British, but are the nationality of their parents?? I really don't know.

The kids would be British i can't see any way around that,and you can't chuck the parents out without the kids ,which would contravene the rights of the kids [British citizens] and you can't leave the kids without parents[British law] so it's fair to say that they are staying ,any hoo the whole conversation is irrelevant as China won't allow them to leave, so we should work on the premise that not many of them are coming to the mother land.

ianch99 04-07-2020 12:34

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36042205)
You've just described my ex mr's;)

I am surprised you have married so many men ;)

1andrew1 04-07-2020 12:40

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36042299)
I am surprised you have married so many men ;)

:D:D:D

Carth 04-07-2020 12:47

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36042299)
I am surprised you have married so many men ;)


have you seen the women in Cleethorpes? :Sprint:

Sephiroth 04-07-2020 12:53

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36042303)
have you seen the women in Cleethorpes? :Sprint:

Oh yes!

papa smurf 04-07-2020 13:12

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36042303)
have you seen the women in Cleethorpes? :Sprint:

Every time i look it costs me a house and most of my money :)

---------- Post added at 12:12 ---------- Previous post was at 12:10 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36042299)
I am surprised you have married so many men ;)

If i had it could have saved me a fortune;)

ianch99 04-07-2020 15:12

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36042304)
Oh yes!

Tell us more! :)

Sephiroth 04-07-2020 15:45

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36042314)
Tell us more! :)

With pleasure over a curry one day!

Maggy 04-07-2020 17:14

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
This is not a chat thread.

Gavin78 05-07-2020 14:35

Re: UK offers right to residency and path to citizenship to 3m Hong Kong citizens
 
It works for same over here, there are job roles in education called HLTA's or cover supervisers.

Hlta roles are like teachers they plan lessons and take lessons when teachers can't for less money usually around £20-24k a year

Cover supervisers do the same role but don't plan lessons they take lessons already planned for absent teachers they get around 18-20k a year

However years ago and still happens now when she got her HLTA status which is an NVQ 4 level she couldn't get jobs in this area because NQT's were getting these roles or teachers and ex teachers that didn't want the teaching role anymore all got these jobs pushing those with the right qualification out for those with higher ones.

Forwarding on a few years she now has a PGCE but doesn't have the right one to get the full PGCE lvl 6.5 or something she said.

She decided not to bother going down the teacher route and opted for HLTA postions but still found that "teachers" going for these postions always got the jobs basicially she said it's pushed a NVQ lvl 4 job upto and beyond a degree level.

She's got a HLTA position now but it's took some years and 16 years working as a teaching assistant.

So we have to be carefull of what experiance and positions we fill here from outsiders that are over qualified for those posts


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