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Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2.
https://www.ft.com/content/100cc6d1-...a-7b159cf39112 (Behind Paywall) |
Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
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Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
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Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
I wonder if this will have any effect on the proposed switch to Vodafone for mobile due late next year
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Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
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However, if the combination of O2 and VM does take place, VM-O2 will be the mobile carrier for Sky potentially raising the chances of Sky Atlantic appearing on the V6. |
Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
Was originally bandied about 3 years ago and discussed on here.
https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...&postcount=137 Makes more sense than Vodafone. VM still has a large amount of debt........and cash. Vodafone spent a large wedge buying LG Germany and other operations. So I see a Vodafone deal about as likely as it’s always been. Since LG has been sitting on the pile of cash it got from Vodafone it’s been trying figure out what to do with it. So this deal could have legs. ---------- Post added at 09:39 ---------- Previous post was at 09:36 ---------- Quote:
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Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
The value would be placed as soon as (if) O2 makes the offer, I guess. I've seen Vodafone + Virgin mooted for a long time now, I am not convinced it'll ever happen. O2 seems like a bigger possibility, Telefonica has been trying to sell it off for years.
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I'm inclined to agree that on paper, O2 is a more likely combination for VM than Vodafone. But I wonder if Comcast/Sky might try to gate crash the merger so that it does not have such a strong competitor. If Comcast/Sky is successful, this could lead to VM and Vodafone or VM and Three merging. We also don't know 100% if VM Ireland is included in the VM-O2 merger as that is a market O2 has withdrawn from. |
Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
Well no figure has been provided but considering LG bought VM for around 23 Billion dollars 7 years ago and O2 was valued at £10 billion 5 years ago I would be interested in how VM would be the lesser partner in a 50:50 merger that they would have supplement the deal with cash.
Now if LG/VM were to “buy” O2 in a stocks and cash offer, then obviously I could see cash payment. |
Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
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The Daily Telegraph says we should know more of the details on Wednesday so there could be a bit more to the transaction than what has been reported to date. For example, is it possible that Virgin Mobile may not be included due to potential competition issues? An O2 UK-VM combination will take their combined mobile market share above 29% which normally triggers an enquiry by the UK competition authorities. Perhaps Liberty Global may sell the VM mobile customer base separately to another provider like Three? |
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I don’t think there will be a competition issue. You would still have 4no. Network operators. I’m not including MVNOs. This will be interesting, I suppose we’ll just have to wait until Wed. ---------- Post added at 21:38 ---------- Previous post was at 20:40 ---------- Some further analysis https://www.graystonestrategy.com/vi...iew-on-things/ |
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The number of players in the market is not normally considered, but how you define a) the market and b) market share is key. |
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My other point was you have BT/EE, Vodafone, Three and O2 They are the 4no. MNO’s in the UK. When Three want to buy O2, that was blocked because that would have reduced the number of MNO’s to three. Virgin, along with Tesco and a load of other MVNO’s are just essentially wholesale customers of whatever MNO they are contracted to. So if Virgin move their business to O2 instead of Vodafone from EE, so what? |
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The acquisition of O2 by Three was blocked by the European Commission who are unlikely to get involved now, per the FT article Den linked to. ---------- Post added at 22:44 ---------- Previous post was at 22:43 ---------- Quote:
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Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
https://www.ispreview.co.uk/index.ph...gin-media.html
O2 have officially admitted that talks are happening. |
Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
And the report from "The Beeb" https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-52527804
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Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
The Telegraph reported over the weekend that they reckon this is another Malone tax avoidance scheme. He's the master of it...
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https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business...-media-merger/ |
Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
Sky News have published an analysis. It also suggests that part of the MVNO agreement with Vodafone includes VF being able to access Virgin's network to provide broadband service. Is that back haul or the much-rumoured wholesale access Liberty Global are looking at?
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Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
I'm wondering if O2's stake in Tesco Mobile might be sold to Vodafone in the event of the VM-O2 merger happening. This could have two benefits:
a) Placates the competition authorities whilst allowing O2-VM to retain the O2, Virgin Mobile and Giff-Gaff businesses. b) Compensates Vodafone if the MVNO with Virgin Mobile no longer takes place. |
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1) VM's mobile customers will move to the O2 network 2) VM Ireland is not part of the deal. Details announced today at https://2zn23x1nwzzj494slw48aylw-wpe...Operations.pdf Extracts from press release: Quote:
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But, that does leave Vodafone out in the cold now with two very powerful multiplatform competitors, so I would not be surprised if Vodafone bought TalkTalk with its 4 million plus broadband customers and possibly CityFibre too. Vodafone and CiryFibre have been working together on various FTTP projects around the country, so it could be a good combination. Last, but not least there is 3, which is very much in a distant fourth place here and I expect something to happen to them too at some point. And, as you say, where does this leave Comcast? A cable co without a cable network or mobile outfit. I think more mergers are likely now. I don't think we'll see any moves by Comcast yet, as it's busy dealing the collapse of its film/tv business', but in the future, I expect them to make some sort of move. |
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Three and TalkTalk both focus on the value end of the market so would make more of a a logical combination from a customer perspective. However, as you say, if Vodafone did not acquire TalkTalk its broadband options are limited to acquiring the far smaller challenger businesses like Community Fibre and City Fibre. On reflection, Comcast despite its cable roots can probably thrive in the medium term without owning a cable network in Europe. It is currently quite easy for it to resell other providers' broadband capacity and it is strong on content. Three might be a good fit on the mobile front and mobile broadband is improving with 5G. The deal also hoists a for sale sign over VM Ireland. In the Republic of Ireland the broadband market shares are: Eir 31%, Virgin Media 26%, Vodafone 19%, and Sky 13%. Per https://www.comreg.ie/publication/qu...report-q3-2019 Without Telefonica in that marketplace, there's no obvious trade buyer. Maybe BT at a push. |
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Sky has 10m+ satellite customers, which, even if it had a cable network, it would take some time and effort to transition all those customers over to it and besides, with Now TV and Peacock being able to be streamed over any broadband line, there is a good argument to be had for not needing a network anyway. Netflix and Disney seem to do okay. |
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Three have loaded up big on the 5G spectrum, I suspect they've put the big bet on Fixed wireless internet for their future. If that pays off, I doubt they care much for Vodafone, but if it doesn't then I suspect Three will be gobbled up by someone eventually. I'd say TalkTalk is a good shout but I'm not sure how much life TalkTalk has left in it. Three and Sky/Comcast, maybe? |
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On number of mobile cos, I would prefer 4, but I suspect like most of Europe and now the States, it will end up as only three networks. |
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Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
It’s not a merger, it’s a Joint Venture, which is a subtle but important difference.
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Dose that mean Virgin Mobile will use 02 instead of EE in future? |
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I don't think Virgin will be the only MVNO to be changing host network over the next couple of years, somehow. |
Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
Vodafone's chief executive today declared he would stick to his current strategy as a standalone mobile player despite last week's mega merger between O2 and Virgin Media.
https://www.standard.co.uk/business/...-a4436706.html https://www.theguardian.com/business...08a55ecde58541 Quote:
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Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
So as a Virgin media customer with BB,TV,Land line and mobile. What's in it for me in regards to this marger
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https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...pact-consumers Quote:
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Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
I suspect consumers on either side won't really benefit from this, more it might just mean 12 months without a price rise (or a smaller price rise) instead of the usual 6-8 it seems to be.
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Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
As some on the forum predicted, Vodafone has said it won't make a counter-offer for Virgin Media.
https://www.standard.co.uk/business/...-a4436706.html |
Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
Could this see a merger between Sky and Three (Hutchinson) or Comcast buying them in the future?
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Whilst a merger with TalkTalk might make sense - both have a value focus - 3 does not have a fixed line presence in the other countries it operates in. |
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Reason I mentioned Sky is they were looking to buy Hutchinson back in 2014 before focusing on buying Sky Italia and Sky Deutschland instead. As for Talk Talk I’m surprised they are still operating in this aggressive market, maybe a merger could be a good thing for them. |
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In the NL they kept both brands Vodafone/Ziggo and it's doing vey well. hence the decision to try and replicate it in the UK. I can imagine something like were they would keep the Virgin Media swirl and have the Virgin Logo on one side and the O2 logo on the other side. |
Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
Didn't Virgin Media get named as such because NTL:Telewest bought Virgin Mobile and had to adopt the name?
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Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
No, they needed a unified brand once NTL and Telewest merged and their solution was to more or less franchise one from Virgin. I don’t believe the Virgin Mobile branding compelled them to go down that route although there were obvious synergies.
The way it normally works is that Virgin Group buys a stake in the business and then imposes its brand manual on it, but I’m not sure VG has a lot else to do with the day to day running of the business. |
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Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
It's an interesting branding dilemma. I think the parent company would start off as something like Virgin Media O2. I think they'e both strong brands although the value of the Virgin brand was tainted for some by Richard Branson's request for financial assistance for Virgin Atlantic.
O2 is the bigger brand name with some 23m customers. It sponsors the England rugby team and a range of music venues across the UK and The O2 in Greenwich. But the O2 brand is also used by other companies - Telefonica in Germany and the former Telefonica subsidiaries in the Czech Republic and Slovakia. And in UK consumers' minds it would probably be perecived as a mobile-only brand without strong promotion. Virgin Media is only present in another country (Ireland) and is strongly associated with broadband and cable TV, so I'm inclined to think it will continue. |
Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
Are O2 in Ireland? And will the VMO2 come together in Ireland aswell
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The most similar case I can find was the merger of Virgin Records and Mercury Records (owner of the EMI brand). They became Virgin EMI Records. |
Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
What about "VOM2"? ;)
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mmO2 So they could bring it back to VMO2. But no, they will keep both brands. This is a Joint Venture not a merger. They still have to keep a certain independence as if it doesn't work out they can separate. |
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Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
VOMITT - Virgin, O2, Mobile, Internet, TV, Telephone :eek:
VO2, (most people don't say Virgin Media, they say Virgin) |
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It's three things;) - It's structured as a takeover of Telefonica UK (which trades as O2) by Virgin Media as that ensures Virgin Media's valuable tax credits can still be used. - It's an effective merger of Virgin Media Ltd and Telefionica UK Ltd as it's a combination of equals. - The new entity will be 50-50 joint venture between Telefonica SA and Liberty Global plc. ---------- Post added at 11:40 ---------- Previous post was at 11:30 ---------- Quote:
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"national connectivity champion" just trips off the tongue, doesn’t it? :D
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Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
Champion of poor customer service and free coffees.
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Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
https://www.ispreview.co.uk/index.ph...uk-merger.html
Ironically, the EU has overruled its decision to block the O2/Three merger from a few years ago. Too late now though, just thought it was an interesting development. |
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Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
4 years on..........reason enough to be free of the ECoJ
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Both brands will continue. This is a JV, not a merger. A subtle but important difference. Both brand identities will continue until one party decides, and stumps up the cash, to buy the other one out. |
Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
I disagree. Branding has nothing to do with whether the company is a result of a merger or JV. The parent cos will agree what branding the JV will use - they probably have already.
Using different brands by one company can in some cases be confusing and I see no benefit in retaining both brands post merger. Why pay Richard Branson money to use the Virgin brand when there will be another choice? Perhaps there may even be a new brand altogether. |
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Virgin is still an iconic sought after brand, and although we have to grease Ricardos palm, I don’t see them ditching it............................unless of course, ditching Richards money is one of the synergy savings identified? Who knows? |
Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
Branson's brand was popular, but after recent events I'm not so sure now.
He's not been in the public eye much these recent years and he is getting elderly. But we we did see him a lot the other week, when he was seeking taxpayers cash to bail out his airline, even though he is a billionaire and a tax exile to boot. I think that one move has done enormous damage to the brand and the JV may (or may not) wish to distance itself from all things related to Branson. |
Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
As O2 has ten times the number of customers that VM has (34m v 3.4m) you would think that it would be the logical brand to retain if the new company did choose just the one brand.
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More info here and also see the merger website link from Pierre. |
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Virgin Media UK has 5.5m cable customers taking over 13.4m products (TV, phone, BB) plus a further 3.2m Virgin Mobile subs As well as those taking multiple sim cards, the O2 figure also includes 8.7m wholesale customers - Sky Mobile, Lycamobile, GiffGaff, Tesco Mobile RGUs (as of March 2020) O2 Retail - 26,368,000 Virgin Media UK (cable + mobile) 16,700,500 |
Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
VM has an ARPU of around £50, and O2 of only £14. So although VM has a smaller customer base, the scope for improved revenue is large.
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02 was the first venture in to mobile networks then know as bt cellnet
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Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
!unsubscribe 02-Facts
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Virgin Media O2 and its shareholders are exploring a takeover bid for Trooli
https://news.sky.com/story/virgin-me...snt-sf-twitter |
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Jurassic, Swish, Giganet and Allpoints are merging into one (don't know what the name will be). Zzoom and VMO2 are looking at Trooli. VMO2 is also building new FTTP networks for NexFibre, on which VMO2 will be an anchor tenant, but the network will be open to other ISPs to use. Similar to the Cityfibre model. |
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The competition has however been good for customers as it's forced Openreach to speed up its own fast fibre roll-out. |
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Some Altnets are only 10%, Network construction costs are a bit cheaper because of PIA but it's not sustainable. Altnets overbuilding each other is also madness. If you overbuild an area that already has BT, VM & Cityfibre you're taking a big risk. If you overbuild an area that has those three plus another altnet, you like losing money. |
Re: Liberty Global in talks to merge Virgin Media with O2
Vodafone and Three UK owner CK Hutchison have agreed a merger subject to approval by regulators.
The merger would make them the biggest mobile phone operator, overtaking both BT/EE and Virgin Media O2 |
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The only thing they won’t have is a fixed Access Network, but there will be plenty to lease or buy. |
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They have a very extensive Core Network, that they acquired when they bought Cable and Wireless. |
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