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-   -   British Airways to make 12000 redundant (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33708968)

richard s 28-04-2020 19:53

British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Poor people..


https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-52462660

papa smurf 28-04-2020 20:32

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Thats 12,000 families lives ruined by lockdown.

Damien 28-04-2020 20:33

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36033187)
Thats 12,000 families lives ruined by lockdown.

Even without the lockdown international flights aren't going to be in huge demand for a while.

Paul 28-04-2020 23:26

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
The first of many such annoucements I would think.

Lockdown is going to kill many businesses, a lot are on life support atm, and wont survive if we dont start becoming customers again soon.

Carth 29-04-2020 09:24

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36033213)
The first of many such annoucements I would think.

Lockdown is going to kill many businesses, a lot are on life support atm, and wont survive if we dont start becoming customers again soon.


Reminds me of the 'Buy British' campaign from years ago, everyone said it was a great idea . . then bought cheap crap from abroad :rolleyes:

We can either use this as a reason to build up a UK business plan, with the intention of being less reliant on foreign goods, or continue to support the economies of other countries.

Nobody is saying it will be easy, but with both Covid and Brexit on the go we'll never get a better opportunity to change things.

I'm probably just spouting crap though ;)

BenMcr 29-04-2020 09:46

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
What's that got to do with BA though? You can't 'buy British' if there is nowhere to fly to. All airlines are in the same situation and will all be making tough choices about their staffing levels and routes.

And IAG who own BA are a Spanish company anyway.

Carth 29-04-2020 09:53

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
yeah you're right . . probably posted in entirely the wrong place . . who'd want British shit anyway :D

OLD BOY 29-04-2020 19:32

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36033187)
Thats 12,000 families lives ruined by lockdown.

Exactly, which is why the lockdown has to be lifted soon.

Virgin Atlantic is soldiering on with government help and Richard Branson has said he's prepared to put up the Virgin Islands as collateral to secure the money it needs to keep going. But this cannot carry on for much longer.

As far as BA is concerned, I presume they are consulting their staff over these 'proposals' as required in any redundancy situation in the UK.

jfman 29-04-2020 19:37

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36033333)
Exactly, which is why the lockdown has to be lifted soon.

Virgin Atlantic is soldiering on with government help and Richard Branson has said he's prepared to put up the Virgin Islands as collateral to secure the money it needs to keep going. But this cannot carry on for much longer.

As far as BA is concerned, I presume they are consulting their staff over these 'proposals' as required in any redundancy situation in the UK.

Less than the 250,000 deaths you'd cause by lifting lockdown prematurely.

Anyway, this has little to do with lockdown and in more the fact that Foreign Office advice is against all travel for UK nationals. We don't want or need further outbreaks of Coronavirus into our shores.

Travel insurance companies will equally not offer travel insurance that covers illness due to the pandemic.

Actually the more I think about it the opposite of your statement is true. This is why we need the lockdown, to support those in the underlying economy and deal with the virus. Then, and only then, will we return to normal.

When we have the second highest death count behind the USA I don't see many countries rushing to let us in to undermine their own efforts. In the event of cancellation who issues refunds?

Paul 29-04-2020 23:39

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36033335)
Less than the 250,000 deaths you'd cause by lifting lockdown prematurely.

This is pure speculation.

jfman 30-04-2020 02:21

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36033356)
This is pure speculation.

Well it was the Imperial College London figure that led the Government thinking. If nothing meaningful has changed since then there’s no reason to expect any different.

Paul 30-04-2020 03:02

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36033366)
Well it was the Imperial College London figure that led the Government thinking. If nothing meaningful has changed since then there’s no reason to expect any different.

It was just a prediction, over a month ago, based on a model [of dubious accuracy] - lots of things have changed since then.

Its rather like models to predict the weather, rarely accurate over more than a day or two, and always changing based on new information.

jfman 30-04-2020 07:44

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
On that basis it could be much higher?

That’s equally as speculative as any suggestion it could be lower. I suppose 50,000 have died since then when ‘credible’ Government estimates were we could have kept the deaths below 20,000.

nomadking 30-04-2020 07:51

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36033375)
On that basis it could be much higher?

That’s equally as speculative as any suggestion it could be lower. I suppose 50,000 have died since then when ‘credible’ Government estimates were we could have kept the deaths below 20,000.

Have you actually read the report?:rolleyes: The 250,000 was without lockdown and where social distancing was only for those over 70.
Quote:

The report details that for the first scenario (slowing the spread), the optimal policy would combine home isolation of cases, home quarantine and social distancing of those over 70 years. This could reduce the peak healthcare demand by two-thirds and reduce deaths by half. However, the resulting epidemic would still likely result in an estimated 250,000 deaths and therefore overwhelm the health system (most notably intensive care units).

jfman 30-04-2020 07:56

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36033377)
Have you actually read the report?:rolleyes: The 250,000 was without lockdown and where social distancing was only for those over 70.

I’m not sure how your point contradicts mine. There’s no reason to expect any different if the economy just opened up with no restrictions tomorrow.

nomadking 30-04-2020 08:49

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36033379)
I’m not sure how your point contradicts mine. There’s no reason to expect any different if the economy just opened up with no restrictions tomorrow.

Anyway seeing as I’m banned from the Coronavirus thread for having an opposite opinion to Paul, despite being persistently baited my multiple right wing trolls, there’s no point continuing discussion here.

The 250,000 was if there was no lockdown or social distancing of everybody. That hasn't happened, therefore the first scenario no longer applies.
Quote:

In the second scenario, more intensive interventions could interrupt transmission and reduce case numbers to low levels. However, once these interventions are relaxed, case numbers are predicted to rise. This gives rise to lower case numbers, but the risk of a later epidemic in the winter months unless the interventions can be sustained.

Damien 30-04-2020 09:14

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36033333)
Exactly, which is why the lockdown has to be lifted soon.

Ending the lockdown won't make much of a difference with flights. Countries are going to try and limit travel into their countries with testing and self-isolation being a condition of entry into many, the airline industry is screwed for at least a year.

papa smurf 30-04-2020 09:34

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36033385)
Ending the lockdown won't make much of a difference with flights. Countries are going to try and limit travel into their countries with testing and self-isolation being a condition of entry into many, the airline industry is screwed for at least a year.

The Air industry as we know it is gone,so are those cheap holidays abroad, looks like the future is staycations, book early for Butlins etc.

denphone 30-04-2020 09:51

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36033387)
The Air industry as we know it is gone,so are those cheap holidays abroad, looks like the future is staycations, book early for Butlins etc.

Its certainly going to take a considerable time to recover a lot and we are talking several years rather months.

---------- Post added at 09:51 ---------- Previous post was at 09:50 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36033387)
The Air industry as we know it is gone,so are those cheap holidays abroad, looks like the future is staycations, book early for Butlins etc.

You mean book early for next year.;)

papa smurf 30-04-2020 10:35

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36033388)
Its certainly going to take a considerable time to recover a lot and we are talking several years rather months.

---------- Post added at 09:51 ---------- Previous post was at 09:50 ----------



You mean book early for next year.;)

And remember, Cleethorpes smiles more fun;)

Hugh 30-04-2020 12:16

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36033399)
And remember, Cleethorpes smiles more fun;)

more fun than dysentery (but not much...).

Damien 30-04-2020 15:52

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
I went to Japan last November, thinking that turned out to be great timing. Not going to be on any flights for a while. :(

denphone 01-05-2020 08:01

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Ryanair to cut 3,000 pilots and cabin crew, and slash pay over Covid-19.

https://www.irishtimes.com/business/...d-19-1.4242639

Quote:

Ryanair has said it plans to cut 3,000 mainly pilot and cabin crew jobs, implement pay cuts of up to 20 per cent, and close a number of aircraft bases across Europe as it continues to grapple with the effect of the Covid-19 pandemic on its business.

The airline said the grounding of all flights from mid-March until at least July, as well as the “distorted state aid landscape in Europe”, meant the recovery of passenger demand and pricing will take at least two years, until summer 2022 “at the earliest”.

(Mods feel free to put it in its own thread if you want to but perhaps a change in thread title might be better.)

denphone 05-05-2020 14:37

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
As expected Virgin Atlantic are to axe more than 3,000 jobs.

https://news.sky.com/story/coronavir...vival-11983452

Quote:

Sky News has learnt that the airline majority-owned by Sir Richard Branson's Virgin Group is to cut just over 3,000 jobs in a move that will spell the end of its long-running operations at London's Gatwick Airport.

richard s 05-05-2020 20:03

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Now the Chancellor may reduce the furlough to 60%.

OLD BOY 05-05-2020 20:19

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36033335)
Less than the 250,000 deaths you'd cause by lifting lockdown prematurely.

How many times....?

The government's policy is to slow the deaths down so the NHS will not be overwhelmed. The only way to deal with this is to let the vaccine travel its course more slowly or lockdown until a vaccine is mass produced, distributed and applied.

Clearly, it cannot be the latter or we will no longer have an economy.

---------- Post added at 20:19 ---------- Previous post was at 20:17 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by richard s (Post 36034009)
Now the Chancellor may reduce the furlough to 60%.

Well, that will discourage too much talk about extending the lockdown!

Hugh 05-05-2020 20:29

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36034010)
How many times....?

The government's policy is to slow the deaths down so the NHS will not be overwhelmed. The only way to deal with this is to let the vaccine travel its course more slowly or lockdown until a vaccine is mass produced, distributed and applied.

Clearly, it cannot be the latter or we will no longer have an economy.

---------- Post added at 20:19 ---------- Previous post was at 20:17 ----------



Well, that will discourage too much talk about extending the lockdown!

You keep posting that, but never provide evidence to back up your assertion.

You also just posted in another thread
Quote:

The number of deaths overall, however, will probably be about the same
I provided the previous Imperial Colleage paper which showed the numbers of deaths could be reduced by tens of thousands (not delayed, reduced), but you have not shown any scientific evidence to uphold your claim. Here is a later IC paper (30th March)

Quote:

Table 2 shows total forecasted deaths since the beginning of the epidemic up to and including 31
March under our fitted model and under the counterfactual model, which predicts what would have
happened if no interventions were implemented (and Rt = R0 i.e. the initial reproduction number
estimated before interventions). Again, the assumption in these predictions is that intervention
impact is the same across countries and time. The model without interventions was unable to capture
recent trends in deaths in several countries, where the rate of increase had clearly slowed (Figure 3).
Trends were confirmed statistically by Bayesian leave-one-out cross-validation and the widely
applicable information criterion assessments – WAIC).

By comparing the deaths predicted under the model with no interventions to the deaths predicted in
our intervention model, we calculated the total deaths averted up to the end of March. We find that,
across 11 countries, since the beginning of the epidemic, 59,000 [21,000-120,000] deaths have been
averted due to interventions
. In Italy and Spain, where the epidemic is advanced, 38,000 [13,000-
84,000] and 16,000 [5,400-35,000] deaths have been averted, respectively. Even in the UK, which is
much earlier in its epidemic, we predict 370 [73-1,000] deaths have been averted.


These numbers give only the deaths averted that would have occurred up to 31 March. If we were to
include the deaths of currently infected individuals in both models, which might happen after 31
March, then the deaths averted would be substantially higher
Averted, not delayed.

jfman 05-05-2020 20:33

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36034010)
How many times....?

Enough times until you develop an understanding.

Quote:

The government's policy is to slow the deaths down so the NHS will not be overwhelmed. The only way to deal with this is to let the vaccine travel its course more slowly or lockdown until a vaccine is mass produced, distributed and applied.
Pushing deaths the other side of the vaccine results in fewer deaths overall.

Quote:

Clearly, it cannot be the latter or we will no longer have an economy.
Neither will we have an economy if we let thousands of people die and don't deal with the virus.

Once again, you are stressing over flights. Where will people fly to? What self-respecting country that is trying to eradicate the virus is going to let people in from the UK which has the second most deaths in the world? Who is going to want to come here?

If there's a second wave who is liable for the cancellations? Insurance companies simply won't touch it.

Paul is right here - the public perception is that many common activities are fundamentally dangerous and there's no real reason to expect that the public (consumers) will return to normal activity any time soon.

The problem isn't the lockdown - it's reduced demand. That's just straightforward capitalism.

pip08456 05-05-2020 20:45

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Meanwhile back n the thread both British Airways and Virgin Atlantic have announced job losses as have other airlines.

There appears to be a lot of outrage about it. Why? Less people flying = less people needed.

denphone 05-05-2020 20:53

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36034020)
Meanwhile back n the thread both British Airways and Virgin Atlantic have announced job losses as have other airlines.

There appears to be a lot of outrage about it. Why? Less people flying = less people needed.

They had no choice to put it simply and l can see it staying that way for quite a while as one of the big problems is even when the traffic picks up is social distancing rules which means you can only fly so many passengers in a plane and as the Ryanair boss said that is simply not economical.

Pierre 05-05-2020 21:06

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36034010)
How many times....?

The government's policy is to slow the deaths down so the NHS will not be overwhelmed.

To be fair to the Mod Edit - pointless sniping removed - next occurrence will get fracked.and Hugh, Old Boy,

Government policy has been to reduce the infection rate “R” so the NHS will not be overwhelmed, not deaths.

So you are wrong with that statement.

Eastendersfan 05-05-2020 21:30

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Still trying to get my head around the magnitude of what's going on. Do any hear expect the airline industry to recover or do we generally think that it's the end of an era?

pip08456 05-05-2020 21:43

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
The airline industry (in my view) is going to be just one of the holiday industries impacted for at least the next 12 months.
Look at it this way. No-one wants to go on holiday with social distancing, spoils the fun.
Social distance in an aircraft???
Light at the end of the tunnel Carnival Cruises resume August 1st.

https://www.theguardian.com/environm...ume-operations

jfman 05-05-2020 22:31

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36034026)
To be fair to the Mod Edit - pointles sniping removed - next occurrence will get fracked.and Hugh, Old Boy,

Government policy has been to reduce the infection rate “R” so the NHS will not be overwhelmed, not deaths.

So you are wrong with that statement.

It's one and the same thing.

Every infection that could result in death that you keep within supply of healthcare provision, push the other side of a vaccine, or the mythical herd immunity, then you have reduced the overall number of deaths.

Anyway as I'm enjoying a small sabbatical from the Coronavirus thread I'll leave it here for now fully expecting to be selectively quoted and insulted as per the norm.

Paul 05-05-2020 23:17

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36034024)
...one of the big problems is even when the traffic picks up is social distancing rules which means you can only fly so many passengers in a plane and as the Ryanair boss said that is simply not economical.

Distancing on an plane is rather pointless anyway, given that the air is just re-circulated.
You could get infected by someone at the back of the plane when you are sat at the front.

Chris 06-05-2020 00:42

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Everyone knows to avoid getting sick you don’t eat the fish.

papa smurf 06-05-2020 08:33

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36034040)
Distancing on an plane is rather pointless anyway, given that the air is just re-circulated.
You could get infected by someone at the back of the plane when you are sat at the front.

They'll just have to fly with the windows open;)

nomadking 06-05-2020 08:37

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36034040)
Distancing on an plane is rather pointless anyway, given that the air is just re-circulated.
You could get infected by someone at the back of the plane when you are sat at the front.

In theory, as long as nobody is coughing or sneezing or exchanging saliva, that shouldn't be an issue.

jfman 06-05-2020 08:46

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Or how about we test people in the days before travel and conduct temperature checks before they get on/after they land and quarantine as appropriate?

You know, the stuff that's evidenced in science.

I'm sure someone will be along to say 'ah, but you can still miss one'.

Yes, however in the absence of a silver bullet/magic cure/'herd immunity" everything is about pushing risk down to as close to zero as possible. A point completely lost on some here.

If you think it's too hard or why bother then we might as well watch the world burn trundling along from lockdown to lockdown and see if that's cost effective.

mrmistoffelees 06-05-2020 08:56

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36034044)
In theory, as long as nobody is coughing or sneezing or exchanging saliva, that shouldn't be an issue.

Air filtration on flights is as good than hospitals so the above holds true. However, there's also the fact that the virus can live on various surfaces for differing amounts of hours, planes would have to be thoroughly disinfected during 'turnaround time'

heero_yuy 06-05-2020 09:22

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Well the argument for a third runway at Heathrow has vanished in a cloud of viral particles. :D

nomadking 06-05-2020 09:33

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 36034047)
Well the argument for a third runway at Heathrow has vanished in a cloud of viral particles. :D

The demand will still be there in the near future. The 3rd runway wasn't going to open overnight.

Hugh 06-05-2020 10:03

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36034044)
In theory, as long as nobody is coughing or sneezing or exchanging saliva, that shouldn't be an issue.

https://www.medicalnewstoday.com/art...how-it-spreads
Quote:

How does it spread?
Most respiratory viruses are most contagious when a person has symptoms. However, there is growing evidence to suggest that the virus might also spread during the incubation period, before a person develops any symptoms.

The incubation period is the time that elapses between the virus entering the body and symptoms developing. Experts consider this to be between 2 and 14 days for SARS-CoV-2.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) suggest that the virus spreads:

between people who are within 6 feet (2 meters) of each other

through respiratory droplets produced when a person with the infection coughs, sneezes, or talks

when these droplets land in the mouth or nose of a person who is nearby

It may also be possible for a person to contract SARS-CoV-2 by touching a surface that has contaminated droplets on it, then touching their mouth, nose, or eyes.

The WHO say that coronaviruses can remain active on certain surfaces for a few hours or several days. This varies with different conditions, such as the type of surface, the temperature, and the humidity.
So, as long as no one talks or touches any surfaces, it should be fine...

Chris 06-05-2020 11:02

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36034048)
The demand will still be there in the near future. The 3rd runway wasn't going to open overnight.

The demand for a 3rd runway is already chronic at Heathrow and as a matter of strategic development it needs to be built anyway.

Virgin Atlantic's decision to quit Gatwick may only serve to make the problem more acute in the medium term, if they attempt to consolidate operations at LHR in order to save money it will put even more pressure on the facilities there.

OLD BOY 06-05-2020 12:17

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36034014)
You keep posting that, but never provide evidence to back up your assertion.

You also just posted in another thread

I provided the previous Imperial Colleage paper which showed the numbers of deaths could be reduced by tens of thousands (not delayed, reduced), but you have not shown any scientific evidence to uphold your claim. Here is a later IC paper (30th March)



Averted, not delayed.

Just watch what happens when restrictions are lifted.

Chris 06-05-2020 12:23

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
Folks, this isn’t the coronavirus thread, can we keep ongoing discussion about the characteristics of the virus in the proper place please.

OLD BOY 06-05-2020 12:32

Re: British Airways to make 12000 redundant
 
MODERATOR (Chris): STICK TO THE TOPIC PLEASE.


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