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-   -   U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33708596)

Mick 03-01-2020 11:15

U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
BREAKING: The Pentagon has confirmed, US forces have killed a top Iranian general in a drone airstrike on Baghdad airport - an attack that marks a dramatic escalation of tensions with Tehran.

Pentagon also confirms the strike was ordered by U.S President Donald Trump, in retaliation for storming U.S Embassy in Iraq earlier this week.

Quote:

Iran immediately threatened a "crushing revenge" for the assassination in Iraq of Major General Qassem Soleimani, the head of Iran's elite Quds Force and spearhead of Iran's spreading military influence in the Middle East.

The Pentagon confirmed US forces had killed the general, a revered figure in the region, on Friday.
https://news.sky.com/story/top-irani...rport-11900074

Hugh 03-01-2020 11:34

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
1 Attachment(s)
As was foretold...

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...7&d=1578047553

Mick 03-01-2020 11:49

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
What a stupid meme.

So earlier this week, you expect, an Iranian sponsored attack on a US. Embassy to go unchallenged Hugh?

nomadking 03-01-2020 11:59

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
What was an Iranian General doing in Iraq? That alone made him a fair target.

Mick 03-01-2020 12:08

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
From an Iranian citizen:

Quote:

A month ago IRGC killed 1500 peaceful protesters in Iran and demanded money from the families to return the bodies for burial. This is a pleasant scene to watch for us Iranian ppl. #Soleimani

Uncle Peter 03-01-2020 12:12

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Judging by the amount of hardware being ferried to the gulf over the past couple of days it’s all going off. Haven’t seen this much activity since Desert Storm.

Mick 03-01-2020 12:17

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
From Defcon Warning System:

Quote:

Lots of people crying "war war war" over the recent strike by the United States against Iran. We are not that concerned. Contrary-wise, we feel there may be more covert/proxy action rather than a frontal assault. But war is not on the horizon now. #Relax

Damien 03-01-2020 12:32

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Killing another country's top general would conventionally be an act of war, it is quite the escalation. Iran isn't going to start a war over it because this is the United States but it is a big moment.

Mick 03-01-2020 12:45

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Seeing lots of Iranians posting in Arabic on Social media, probably living in Iraq, as Iran controls it’s internet, celebrating in jubilation.

nomadking 03-01-2020 12:49

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36021888)
Killing another country's top general would conventionally be an act of war, it is quite the escalation. Iran isn't going to start a war over it because this is the United States but it is a big moment.

And an Iranian General being in Iraq uninvited isn't an act of war?

Uncle Peter 03-01-2020 12:49

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Trump designated the IRGC a terrorist organisation last year so in the eyes of the president and no doubt the joint chiefs he was fair game.

Mick 03-01-2020 12:56

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
More interestingly, Russia is an ally of Iran, they have been relatively silent on this, the sheer boldness by the U.S, probably the element of surprise has flabbergasted them for now.

Uncle Peter 03-01-2020 13:41

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
There's been a constant stream of C17 and C5 heavy transport aircraft ferrying kit from the US to the Med and the Gulf. They seem to be dropping off in Jordan and Kuwait and coming back for more. These flights are normal but not on this scale.

A train of KC-135 tankers left Mildenhall for the Med at first light this morning so it looks like the majority of the 48FW residents at Lakenheath (F-15 Strike Eagles) have made their way down there before any of the spotters have rolled out of bed.

Last night a couple of AC130 Gunships were making their way in and a few other bits and bobs you don't often see.

Belt and braces eh.

Mr K 03-01-2020 14:07

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Uncle Peter (Post 36021900)
There's been a constant stream of C17 and C5 heavy transport aircraft ferrying kit from the US to the Med and the Gulf. They seem to be dropping off in Jordan and Kuwait and coming back for more. These flights are normal but not on this scale.

A train of KC-135 tankers left Mildenhall for the Med at first light this morning so it looks like the majority of the 48FW residents at Lakenheath (F-15 Strike Eagles) have made their way down there before any of the spotters have rolled out of bed.

Last night a couple of AC130 Gunships were making their way in and a few other bits and bobs you don't often see.

Belt and braces eh.

Hope the Iranians haven't read this Peter, you've given them some top intel. The FBI will be on to you!

Must be an election coming if there's a war in the offing... How predictable, its the only card Trump has left. Shame politicians reckon lives are dispensible for their own political careers. It was the same with Blair, Bush and Thatcher.

heero_yuy 03-01-2020 14:51

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
What this also demonstrates is the background intelligence needed to know where and when this individual could be targeted and also the precision munitions used to achieve it.

Here is his 4WD. Note how only it is destroyed, nothing else. Even the palms still have their fronds.

https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2020/01/2.jpg

If I was on the target list I'd be keeping my head well down.

Mick 03-01-2020 15:03

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 36021907)
What this also demonstrates is the background intelligence needed to know where and when this individual could be targeted and also the precision munitions used to achieve it.

Here is his 4WD. Note how only it is destroyed, nothing else. Even the palms still have their fronds.

https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2020/01/2.jpg

If I was on the target list I'd be keeping my head well down.

Exactly this, the Iranian Sponsored attack on the U.S Embassy this week in Baghdad, shows Iran has bitten off more than it can chew, they were not expecting this and this will have seriously weakened them and humiliated them, sure someone could step up in to this General's shoes, but he is said to have significant strategic might, this was their top man but also, Abu Mahdi al Muhandis, deputy commander of the Popular Mobilisation Forces, was also killed in this attack.

President Trump said Iran would pay 'a big price' for the storming of the US embassy in Baghdad a couple of days ago and he just told Iran, he was not joking.

Damien 03-01-2020 15:08

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Uncle Peter (Post 36021900)
There's been a constant stream of C17 and C5 heavy transport aircraft ferrying kit from the US to the Med and the Gulf. They seem to be dropping off in Jordan and Kuwait and coming back for more. These flights are normal but not on this scale.

A train of KC-135 tankers left Mildenhall for the Med at first light this morning so it looks like the majority of the 48FW residents at Lakenheath (F-15 Strike Eagles) have made their way down there before any of the spotters have rolled out of bed.

Last night a couple of AC130 Gunships were making their way in and a few other bits and bobs you don't often see.

Belt and braces eh.

Does the British Army deploy resources to areas based on regional tension/developments as a matter of routine?

Uncle Peter 03-01-2020 15:32

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36021912)
Does the British Army deploy resources to areas based on regional tension/developments as a matter of routine?

There are a few hundred British troops in Iraq supposedly delivering training to the Iraqi security forces but they have been there for a while. Remains to be seen if they get out of dodge now or in the near future.

Special operations forces are another matter: Nothing official will be said but you can almost guarantee that there will be SAS/SBS on the ground working with USSOCOM and CIA Special Activities at any given time. Someone must have been eyes on the ground for yesterday's strike but we'll probably never find out who.

Mick 03-01-2020 16:35

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
AFP News Agency: BREAKING Iran security body vows to avenge Soleimani death in 'right place and time' AND Syrian's Assad says Soleimani support for Syria army 'will not be forgotten'.

Chris 03-01-2020 17:05

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36021888)
Killing another country's top general would conventionally be an act of war, it is quite the escalation. Iran isn't going to start a war over it because this is the United States but it is a big moment.

It’s a curious development. Trump’s instincts are generally almost isolationist in that he doesn’t see world peace as something to be paid for in American tax dollars. On the other hand he lashes out like a toddler when he feels personally slighted. I suspect on balance he has taken the embassy attack personally, rather than this being part of a strategy.

Mick 03-01-2020 17:28

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36021920)
It’s a curious development. Trump’s instincts are generally almost isolationist in that he doesn’t see world peace as something to be paid for in American tax dollars. On the other hand he lashes out like a toddler when he feels personally slighted. I suspect on balance he has taken the embassy attack personally, rather than this being part of a strategy.

The thing to remember about Trump is that he heavily criticised his 2016 rival in the U.S Presidential Election, Hillary Clinton when she was Secretary of State and how weak she and President Obama was when four Americans were killed in that Embassy attack and that it was only the other day, he highlighted he was not going to allow another "Benghazi" on his watch, he has to be seen by his base not to be weak.

I do not necessarily agree with this bold move, but I am not going to shed a tear either.

noel43 03-01-2020 19:08

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Uncle Peter (Post 36021893)
Trump designated the IRGC a terrorist organisation last year so in the eyes of the president and no doubt the joint chiefs he was fair game.

Likewise the American army then. They will attack any country at will.

Uncle Peter 03-01-2020 20:42

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
ABC News reporting that an additional 3,500 troops from the 82nd Airborne will be deployed to Kuwait. That goes some way to explaining a lot of those Reach flights throughout today and yesterday evening.

noel43 03-01-2020 20:58

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36021909)
Exactly this, the Iranian Sponsored attack on the U.S Embassy this week in Baghdad, shows Iran has bitten off more than it can chew, they were not expecting this and this will have seriously weakened them and humiliated them, sure someone could step up in to this General's shoes, but he is said to have significant strategic might, this was their top man but also, Abu Mahdi al Muhandis, deputy commander of the Popular Mobilisation Forces, was also killed in this attack.

President Trump said Iran would pay 'a big price' for the storming of the US embassy in Baghdad a couple of days ago and he just told Iran, he was not joking.

Remeber WMD's in Iraq and how true the americans statementswere.

1andrew1 03-01-2020 21:15

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
I think the issue is not whether we will be shedding tears over the guy being assassinated in a bold manner - I suspect few here will - but what will the repercussions be. It's obviously a trade off.

Quote:

“What always kept both Democratic and Republican presidents from targeting Soleimani himself was the simple question: Was the strike worth the likely retaliation, and the potential to pull us into protracted conflict?” said Representative Elissa Slotkin, a Democrat from Michigan and former C.I.A. analyst who served in Iraq and worked at the White House under both of Mr. Trump’s immediate predecessors.
“The two administrations I worked for both determined that the ultimate ends didn’t justify the means,” she said. “The Trump administration has made a different calculation.”
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world...cid=spartanntp

Mick 05-01-2020 16:29

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
BREAKING: A.P News wire: The chief of Hezbollah says evicting the U.S. military from the Middle East is now a priority and calls on American bases, warships and soldiers fair targets to be destroyed after the killing of Iran's top general.

---------- Post added at 15:29 ---------- Previous post was at 14:56 ----------

LATEST: Iraq parliament votes to expel US military from Iraq.
PM Abdul Mahdi: “It’s time for American troops to leave.”

Maggy 05-01-2020 16:33

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
It's been time to go for a long time..

Taf 05-01-2020 16:47

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Iraqi MPs have passed a resolution calling for foreign troops to leave the country.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-50998065

As well as US forces, I hope that also includes the Iranians, Russians, Syrians, Kurds and people of all forces aligned with ISIS. No? I thought not.

1andrew1 05-01-2020 16:55

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Taf (Post 36022066)
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-50998065

As well as US forces, I hope that also includes the Iranians, Russians, Syrians, Kurds and people of all forces aligned with ISIS. No? I thought not.

The Kurds aren't foreign forces or aligned with ISIS. :confused:

nomadking 05-01-2020 17:44

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36022067)
The Kurds aren't foreign forces or aligned with ISIS. :confused:

As far as the Kurds are concerned, everybody that isn't Kurdish is foreign. It's a case of "the enemy of my enemy is my friend".

jfman 05-01-2020 18:05

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36022069)
As far as the Kurds are concerned, everybody that isn't Kurdish is foreign. It's a case of "the enemy of my enemy is my friend".

A bit like the United States approach in the Middle East supporting the Taliban and Saddam?

Mick 05-01-2020 19:09

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
BREAKING: Iranian state TV reports Iran will no longer abide by any Uranium limits of its 2015 nuclear deal. www.apne.ws/4Sji74x

Chris 05-01-2020 19:10

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36022071)
BREAKING: Iranian state TV reports Iran will no longer abide by any Uranium limits of its 2015 nuclear deal. www.apne.ws/4Sji74x

Because up til now they were absolutely abiding by it. To the letter ...

papa smurf 05-01-2020 19:11

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36022071)
BREAKING: Iranian state TV reports Iran will no longer abide by any Uranium limits of its 2015 nuclear deal. www.apne.ws/4Sji74x

Before you know it one of them will throw a flip flop at a picture of Trump.

Mick 05-01-2020 19:28

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
@NYTimes: “Officials presented the president with options. The Pentagon tacked on the choice of targeting Suleimani mainly to make other options seem reasonable. They didn’t think he would take it. When Mr. Trump chose the option, military officials, flabbergasted, were alarmed.”

Taf 05-01-2020 19:45

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36022067)
The Kurds aren't foreign forces or aligned with ISIS. :confused:

Many of the Kurds come from Turkey and Iran, and I may have missed a comma to separate them from "foreign forces aligned with ISIS".

deadite66 05-01-2020 19:46

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
As Hillary said you have a private position and a public position, i wonder what the Iraq government wants in private.

nomadking 05-01-2020 19:49

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
So what could these multitude of "other options" have possibly been?:rolleyes: Pretty much boils down to kill or capture.

1andrew1 05-01-2020 19:53

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36022078)
@NYTimes: “Officials presented the president with options. The Pentagon tacked on the choice of targeting Suleimani mainly to make other options seem reasonable. They didn’t think he would take it. When Mr. Trump chose the option, military officials, flabbergasted, were alarmed.”

Sounds like they're suggesting a bit of a misjudgment on the Pentagon's part.

---------- Post added at 18:53 ---------- Previous post was at 18:51 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36022082)
So what could these multitude of "other options" have possibly been?:rolleyes: Pretty much boils down to kill or capture.

It says they did not involve targeting Suleimani.

nomadking 05-01-2020 20:32

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36022083)
Sounds like they're suggesting a bit of a misjudgment on the Pentagon's part.

---------- Post added at 18:53 ---------- Previous post was at 18:51 ----------


It says they did not involve targeting Suleimani.

So what could these multitude of other options have been? 1) Leave him alone, achieving little. 2) Capture him. Difficult, dangerous, and doesn't achieve anything. If the Pentagon didn't want to take some sort of action, there was no need to tell the President anything. It would've been "business as usual".

Uncle Peter 05-01-2020 20:45

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
There's always the possibility that the Israelis were going to take him out if the Americans didn't which would have been less palatable for the likes of Jordan, Saudi and the other Sunni Arab states.

Damien 05-01-2020 22:20

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Iraq has voted for US and UK army to leave. It seems we're unhappy about this especially as ISIS still remains a concern.

Mick 05-01-2020 22:42

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36022095)
Iraq has voted for US and UK army to leave. It seems we're unhappy about this especially as ISIS still remains a concern.

The vote was non-binding. We won’t be leaving anytime soon. In Iraq, there are pro-Iran forces at play and none of the Anti-Iran Iraqi MPs bothered to show up to vote today. Today’s vote was all for show.

mrmistoffelees 05-01-2020 22:59

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36022072)
Because up til now they were absolutely abiding by it. To the letter ...

Evidence suggests they were

https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2019...g-nuclear-deal

1andrew1 05-01-2020 23:12

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36022085)
So what could these multitude of other options have been? 1) Leave him alone, achieving little. 2) Capture him. Difficult, dangerous, and doesn't achieve anything. If the Pentagon didn't want to take some sort of action, there was no need to tell the President anything. It would've been "business as usual".

"It says they did not involve targeting Suleimani" so let's exclude him.
So other options include:
- Target other individuals
- Target Iranian infrastructure physically
- Target Iraninan infrastructure technolologically

mrmistoffelees 05-01-2020 23:21

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36022102)
"It says they did not involve targeting Suleimani" so let's exclude him.
So other options include:
- Target other individuals
- Target Iranian infrastructure physically
- Target Iraninan infrastructure technolologically

It did include his targeting as a ‘far out option apparently.U.S military and intelligence services were reportedly ‘dismayed’ when trump ordered the assassination

(along with the air strikes on Dec 29th)

nomadking 05-01-2020 23:49

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36022102)
"It says they did not involve targeting Suleimani" so let's exclude him.
So other options include:
- Target other individuals
- Target Iranian infrastructure physically
- Target Iraninan infrastructure technolologically

There was no need for the Pentagon so say anything, unless they wanted action taken against that individual. Any briefing would've been about that person and that person only. Unless keeping him alive served a purpose(eg tracking who he met), then that just leaves taking him out. There is no great multitude of options when talking about one individual. The wider situation is a different matter.

Uncle Peter 07-01-2020 01:52

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
CNN Pentagon correspondent reporting that 6xB52s are being deployed to Diego Garcia in readiness for potential operations against Iran. Bearing in mind what may already be on the ground at the facility that's a world of hurt ready to dish out.

Chris 07-01-2020 08:05

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Uncle Peter (Post 36022207)
CNN Pentagon correspondent reporting that 6xB52s are being deployed to Diego Garcia in readiness for potential operations against Iran. Bearing in mind what may already be on the ground at the facility that's a world of hurt ready to dish out.

Bearing in mind what was already on the ground at Diego Garcia, flying strategic bombers in just looks like a bit of highly visible willy-waving.

I suspect Trump is trying to signal to Iran that the ground rules have changed - they have tolerated a certain amount of harassment from the Iranians in the past but would like them to conclude that any future mischief (such as harassing shipping, for example) will not go without a robust response.

Mick 07-01-2020 10:35

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
BREAKING: The Associated Press @AP
Iranian state television is reporting that a stampede has erupted at a funeral procession for a general slain in U.S. airstrike and that there are an unspecified number of people killed or injured.

Mr K 07-01-2020 11:30

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Uncle Peter (Post 36022207)
CNN Pentagon correspondent reporting that 6xB52s are being deployed to Diego Garcia in readiness for potential operations against Iran. Bearing in mind what may already be on the ground at the facility that's a world of hurt ready to dish out.

No need to get over excited by it all Peter.

papa smurf 07-01-2020 14:14

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36022217)
BREAKING: The Associated Press @AP
Iranian state television is reporting that a stampede has erupted at a funeral procession for a general slain in U.S. airstrike and that there are an unspecified number of people killed or injured.

Up to 40 killed in stampede, theres nothing like a dignified funeral eh:shrug:


https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/106867...ede-iran-dead/

nomadking 07-01-2020 14:19

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Don't know if it was just coincidence, but last night(night of mon 6th), there was a programme about the guy on BBC2.
Link
Quote:

US general David Petraeus describes him as a “charismatic, skilled, professionally competent” and then adds “diabolically evil human being”.
...
One interviewee calls him, provocatively, “the Darth Vader of contemporary Middle-Eastern politics”.


Uncle Peter 07-01-2020 14:25

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36022210)
Bearing in mind what was already on the ground at Diego Garcia, flying strategic bombers in just looks like a bit of highly visible willy-waving.

I suspect Trump is trying to signal to Iran that the ground rules have changed - they have tolerated a certain amount of harassment from the Iranians in the past but would like them to conclude that any future mischief (such as harassing shipping, for example) will not go without a robust response.

Absolutely, although given that the regime seems partial to murdering it's own citizens you would hope that they don't have the appetite for a bit of collateral damage to activate Global Outrage Inc.

noel43 07-01-2020 18:39

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36022099)
The vote was non-binding. We won’t be leaving anytime soon. In Iraq, there are pro-Iran forces at play and none of the Anti-Iran Iraqi MPs bothered to show up to vote today. Today’s vote was all for show.

I reckon we'll be out by the end of the month

pip08456 07-01-2020 20:18

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36022239)
Up to 40 killed in stampede, theres nothing like a dignified funeral eh:shrug:


https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/106867...ede-iran-dead/

It's gone up.

Quote:

At least 56 mourners have been killed in a stampede, causing the burial of Iran's top military commander to be postponed, Iran's state television has reported.
The stampede in the general's hometown of Kerman has also left 213 people injured. He was due to be buried in a "martyrs' cemetery" today.
Ali Shamkhani, secretary of the Supreme National Security Council of Iran, said: "The Americans should know that until now 13 revenge scenarios have been discussed in the council and even if there is consensus on the weakest scenario carrying it out can be a historic nightmare for the Americans."
Link

Mick 08-01-2020 00:39

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
BREAKING: Scattered reports that Iran has just fired a Ballistic Missile at Al Asad Airbase in Iraq where U.S troops are based.

Chris 08-01-2020 00:46

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36022277)
BREAKING: Scattered reports that Iran has just fired a Ballistic Missile at Al Asad Airbase in Iraq where U.S troops are based.

If they did, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the US target the missile launch site. They will have been alert to this possibility. At this stage I think Iran is still testing the US to see just how far it’s prepared to go. I have a feeling Iran may not like what it finds out.

Mick 08-01-2020 00:52

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
CONFIRMATION now from White House multiple rocket attacks from Iran hitting several targets containing U.S troops in Iraq.

Chris 08-01-2020 01:01

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36022279)
CONFIRMATION now from White House multiple rocket attacks from Iran hitting several targets containing U.S troops in Iraq.

Iran had better hope the US doesn’t have assets loitering nearby ... they might be about to discover it isn’t the early 1990s any more and it’s not so easy to hide a mobile missile launcher in the desert once it’s been used.

Mick 08-01-2020 01:21

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
This is getting pretty serious as every minute passes: 6 US F-35s seen taking off from UAE. Iran issues warning to UAE that they will be attacked should any US aircraft launched from their country attack Iran.

Uncle Peter 08-01-2020 01:25

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
This is very bad. I think that the regime has just signed it's own death warrant

Mr K 08-01-2020 08:27

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Uncle Peter (Post 36022283)
This is very bad. I think that the regime has just signed it's own death warrant

How would the US react if Iran assasinated one of its Generals?

This is all about Trump/re-election/impeachment again. Anything to change the news and wave the flag.

Chris 08-01-2020 08:56

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36022291)
How would the US react if Iran assasinated one of its Generals?

This is all about Trump/re-election/impeachment again. Anything to change the news and wave the flag.

Probably true, but doesn’t answer the substance of the post you quoted.

1. It is very bad
2. The Iranian regime might well not survive this.

These are valid observations regardless of the motives, or sanity, of the occupant of the White House.

Mr K 08-01-2020 09:50

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36022292)
Probably true, but doesn’t answer the substance of the post you quoted.

1. It is very bad
2. The Iranian regime might well not survive this.

These are valid observations regardless of the motives, or sanity, of the occupant of the White House.

Last time there was regime change in Iran it was for the worse. We might end up getting an even more radical West hating outfit, and might spread to other countries in the area. The US haven't got a good record on regime change/bullying other countries. Dialogue/sanctions not bombs/assasinations brings more results.

mrmistoffelees 08-01-2020 10:12

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
The US would of been expecting some sort of response from Iran. the next steps will be determined by if there were any casualties (US reporting none, Iran saying they caused eighteen)

If there are no casualties i would expect Trump to let this pass as the willy waving response. If there are however then i think we will seen cruise missile strikes at key Iranian infrastructure.

Interestingly Iran have said that that is the end of their retaliation and now the ball is with Trump

heero_yuy 08-01-2020 10:44

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Quote from The Sun: A UKRAINIAN passenger plane has crashed near Iran's Tehran airport - killing all 176 on board - as footage of the jet on fire before it hit the ground sparks fears it was shot down.

Three Brits were among the dead as the Kiev-bound Ukraine International Airlines jet came down just hours after Iran launched more than a dozen missiles in an attack on two US military bases in Iraq.

Iran's official news agency said the Boeing 737 came down near Tehran Airport after experiencing "technical problems".

Qassem Biniaz, a spokesman for Iran's Road and Transportation authority, claimed one of its engines caught fire, causing the pilot to lose control.

But the aircraft was new in 2016 and was last checked just two days ago, the Ukrainian foreign ministry said.

Horrifying footage posted online shows the plane engulfed in flames as it went down.
With Iran lobbing uncontrolled missiles about anything could have happened. Did they end up hitting this aircraft?

Stuart 08-01-2020 11:24

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
I do find this a little concerning.

The General, from what I have read, undoubtedly deserves his fate, so I have no concerns there.

I don't think Iran themselves poses an outright threat. They don't have the resources or manpower to do so.

What concerns me is terrorism. ISIS has not gone away, and there are likely other terrorist groups. Actions such as this will rally people to their cause, perpetuating the image of the evil West that oppresses the Muslims. Something which may well be storing up problems for the future.

Now, of course, Trump, loudmouth that he is, isn't going to discuss anything classified that the US may be doing to prevent terrorism. For all his faults, he isn't an idiot. He knows that if he did publicly announce some classified action and got good, honest, American soldiers killed, the Democrats and media would be all over that, and it'd likely terminate his chances of re-election, if not help the current impeachment action.

So it is entirely possible that the US is doing something they aren't telling us with the aim of preventing terrorism.

Uncle Peter 08-01-2020 11:55

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36022291)
How would the US react if Iran assasinated one of its Generals?

This is all about Trump/re-election/impeachment again. Anything to change the news and wave the flag.

And the small matter of avoiding an all-out war between Israel and Iran which is what will happen if the Iranian regime is allowed to continue along it's current path.

Hugh 08-01-2020 12:35

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
2 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 36022295)
With Iran lobbing uncontrolled missiles about anything could have happened. Did they end up hitting this aircraft?

Unlikely, because the US bases targeted were nowhere near the Tehran-Kiev flight path.

heero_yuy 08-01-2020 12:56

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
There is speculation that jittery ground defence gunners in Tehran could have fired on the plane thinking an American counter-attack was underway.

Hom3r 08-01-2020 13:11

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
We all know the US has Spy satelites over that area.

The forst think they will take out is radar sittes, theny any missile launch site that will wake up at the last second, but I guess you can track these vehicles to a point.

Iran wouldn't stand a chance against the US.

mrmistoffelees 08-01-2020 13:32

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 36022311)
We all know the US has Spy satelites over that area.

The forst think they will take out is radar sittes, theny any missile launch site that will wake up at the last second, but I guess you can track these vehicles to a point.

Iran wouldn't stand a chance against the US.

In a conventional war Iran vs US? correct,

Iran however manages to draw it's allies in and it's a different ball game.

Israel gets involved and we're really in the crap..... Hence, why in GW1 & 2 Israel had to be persuaded not to retaliate under any circumstances.

Mick 08-01-2020 16:42

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36022291)
How would the US react if Iran assasinated one of its Generals?

This is all about Trump/re-election/impeachment again. Anything to change the news and wave the flag.

What an absolute joke, it’s Trump man bad again with you isn’t it, did you see the news reports coming out of Iran during this Iranian monsters general’s funeral procession, they were running over and crushing their own people to death which in turn caused the stampede which killed a further 58 people. But Trump still bad for killing a Terrorist ******* and as usual, you’re on the side of our enemies.

Uncle Peter 08-01-2020 16:58

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Trump due to give an address from the Whitehouse foyer at 4PM (UK time)

Mr K 08-01-2020 17:17

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36022325)
What an absolute joke, it’s Trump man bad again with you isn’t it, did you see the news reports coming out of Iran during this Iranian monsters general’s funeral procession, they were running over and crushing their own people to death which in turn caused the stampede which killed a further 58 people. But Trump still bad for killing a Terrorist ******* and as usual, you’re on the side of our enemies.

I'm on the side of not provoking a needless war for someone's political gain. Everyone will lose as usual.

Chris 08-01-2020 18:05

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Iran appears to have fired off a load of missiles, deliberately missed, and crossed fingers that Trump would allow them to claim honour had been satisfied. It appears someone at the Pentagon has persuaded Trump to go along with it.

Damien 08-01-2020 18:38

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36022330)
Iran appears to have fired off a load of missiles, deliberately missed, and crossed fingers that Trump would allow them to claim honour had been satisfied. It appears someone at the Pentagon has persuaded Trump to go along with it.

Well I guess everyone has got something they wanted out of this?

Iran get to save some face but both sides avoid escalating. Trump doesn't really have anything to lose by not reacting to a intentionally missed airstrike.

Chris 08-01-2020 18:53

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Unless you were on board that Ukrainian plane. That was one hell of a coincidence if it’s not related to last night’s events in some way.

Damien 08-01-2020 19:37

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36022336)
Unless you were on board that Ukrainian plane. That was one hell of a coincidence if it’s not related to last night’s events in some way.

Must be though? I can't think of any other outcome. If it was the U.S why wouldn't Iran say so, if it was Iran why would the U.S not say so? Why would Ukraine play along?

Maybe it was one of these other actors, i.e Iran, but in the interest of avoid a war everyone is conspiring to say it's an accident on condition Iran plays ball.

Hugh 08-01-2020 20:47

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Going back to the starting point of this thread, it was stated separately by the Pentagon, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, and Trump, that Soleimani was assassinated because he was actively developing plans to attack American diplomats and service members.

Pentagon statement 2nd January
Quote:

"At the direction of the President, the US military has taken decisive defensive action to protect US personnel abroad by killing Qasem Soleimani," read the statement, which added that Soleimani "was actively developing plans to attack American diplomats and service members in Iraq and throughout the region."
Mike Pompeo 3rd January
Quote:

On Twitter, Pompeo said Trump had made the decision to eliminate Soleimani "in response to imminent threats to American lives."
During an interview with CNN, Pompeo referred to an active plot the strike was seeking to disrupt.

"We want the world to understand that there was, in fact, an imminent attack taking place," Pompeo said. "The American people should know that this was an intelligence-based assessment that drove this."
Trump 3rd January
Quote:

"Soleimani was plotting imminent and sinister attacks on American diplomats and military personnel, but we caught him in the act and terminated him," Trump said.

"We took action last night to stop a war. We did not take action to start a war."
Why would killing one person stop these attacks happening? Quds is the equivalent (according to US General Stanley McChrystal) of a combination of the CIA and JSOC, with around 20,000 personnel, and his deputy took over the same day - the plans will still be there, and the personnel and equipment.

Chris 08-01-2020 21:48

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36022338)
Must be though? I can't think of any other outcome. If it was the U.S why wouldn't Iran say so, if it was Iran why would the U.S not say so? Why would Ukraine play along?

Maybe it was one of these other actors, i.e Iran, but in the interest of avoid a war everyone is conspiring to say it's an accident on condition Iran plays ball.

Ukraine isn’t playing along - it has called for “those responsible” to be brought to justice. And if the plane was brought down by Iranian anti-aircraft defences, the USA wouldn’t be in a position to say so and Iran would have no reason to say so.

Pierre 08-01-2020 22:02

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Perfectly good 737-800’s (not super max) tend not to just fall out of the sky. I’d be amazed if there was not a direct or indirect link.

Damien 08-01-2020 22:15

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36022357)
Ukraine isn’t playing along - it has called for “those responsible” to be brought to justice. And if the plane was brought down by Iranian anti-aircraft defences, the USA wouldn’t be in a position to say so and Iran would have no reason to say so.

The USA would probably know though right?

Hugh 08-01-2020 22:51

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36022361)
The USA would probably know though right?

Pretty sure there would be lots of satellite, AWACS, and other ELINT surveillance around that area at the time...

Damien 08-01-2020 22:54

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
It would explain Iran's suddenly desire to calm this all down and Trump not feeling like he needs to talk tough. IIRC Air case investigations are conducted by an independent body and that is a requirement of any country that wants to have international fights sent and received from them. If this wasn't an accident it's going to come out.

Hom3r 09-01-2020 10:58

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36022363)
It would explain Iran's suddenly desire to calm this all down and Trump not feeling like he needs to talk tough. IIRC Air case investigations are conducted by an independent body and that is a requirement of any country that wants to have international fights sent and received from them. If this wasn't an accident it's going to come out.


It may be independant, but if an AK47 is aimed at you and you are told go away you do.

As you may know I worked for TNT Airways and handled all aircraft manual pertaining to their BAe-146s & A300,

We would often get non public information about crashes (Hudson for one)

As for this crash there was no Mayday, well if the plane has a issue Maday is the last thing on their mind.

In emergencies thay have a checklist book, this is sometimes customised per aircraft, it was just under 2" thick for the a300.


I doubt it was shot down as I believe it happened outside the missile strikes timeline.

Just because the aircraft was checked doesn't mean much. Why, in the UK/USA, you need to be certified on what you can check, just because you can fix an engine doesn't mean yo are allowed to change a wheel.

In some countries the engine does jobs he shouldn't, and thats why those airlines are banned in EU airspace.

I'm putting my money on poor maintenance is the reasom why it crashed.

Chris 09-01-2020 11:03

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Could well be, but worth pointing out that the “shot down” theory does not relate to the Iranians launching missiles, but to the possibility that one of their air defence operatives got trigger happy in the hours afterwards, while they waited to see if America would strike back.

heero_yuy 09-01-2020 11:31

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Quote from The Sun: Iran blamed “technical problems” for the deadly fireball, and have locked down the crash site and refused to release the black boxes to international authorities.

But aviation experts have now suggested a “shootdown” was the most likely explanation for the disaster.

The OPS group, an aviation risk monitoring group, said: “We would recommend the starting assumption to be that this was a shootdown event, similar to MH17 – until there is clear evidence to the contrary."

They highlighted pictures of the crash site which they said "show obvious projectile holes in the fuselage and a wing section".

Aviation expert Julian Bray told Sun Online: "This is catastrophic and not the type of crash that comes from an engine failing. There would have been nothing that anyone could do.

"It is very unusual, you would expect to see some wreckage but all we can see here is debris."
Debris pictures and story on link above. The holes in the fusilage certainly look like they were made by some sort of small projectile.

Hom3r 09-01-2020 11:46

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 36022390)
Debris pictures and story on link above. The holes in the fusilage certainly look like they were made by some sort of small projectile.


It could also be an uncontained engine failure, the Cowl is Kevlar lined but a major engine failure will punture the fuselage, to the untrained eye will look like something else.

Stuart 09-01-2020 11:57

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36022349)
Going back to the starting point of this thread, it was stated separately by the Pentagon, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, and Trump, that Soleimani was assassinated because he was actively developing plans to attack American diplomats and service members.

Pentagon statement 2nd January

Mike Pompeo 3rd January

Trump 3rd January

Why would killing one person stop these attacks happening? Quds is the equivalent (according to US General Stanley McChrystal) of a combination of the CIA and JSOC, with around 20,000 personnel, and his deputy took over the same day - the plans will still be there, and the personnel and equipment.

Unless they are trying to send a message: "We can get to your top brass". Otherwise, why do it so publicly? I'm fairly certain the CIA is quite capable of arranging a small accident for him. Maybe a heart attack?

Hugh 09-01-2020 13:10

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 36022390)
Quote:

Iran blamed “technical problems” for the deadly fireball, and have locked down the crash site and refused to release the black boxes to international authorities.

But aviation experts have now suggested a “shootdown” was the most likely explanation for the disaster.

The OPS group, an aviation risk monitoring group, said: “We would recommend the starting assumption to be that this was a shootdown event, similar to MH17 – until there is clear evidence to the contrary."

They highlighted pictures of the crash site which they said "show obvious projectile holes in the fuselage and a wing section".

Aviation expert Julian Bray told Sun Online: "This is catastrophic and not the type of crash that comes from an engine failing. There would have been nothing that anyone could do.

"It is very unusual, you would expect to see some wreckage but all we can see here is debris."
Debris pictures and story on link above. The holes in the fusilage certainly look like they were made by some sort of small projectile.

Interestingly, the OPS blog page doesn’t say it’s the most likely explanation - that is the media’s interpretation of their blog.

Quote:

Purely from the perspective of making a risk assessment for operations to Tehran, and Iran in general, however, we would recommend the starting assumption to be that this was a shootdown event, similar to MH17 – until there is clear evidence to the contrary.

Images seen by OPSGROUP, shown below, show obvious projectile holes in the fuselage and a wing section. Whether that projectile was an engine part, or a missile fragment is still conjecture
It appears to me they are saying "err on the side of caution", not that it is the most likely explanation.

Hom3r 09-01-2020 17:22

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Brown trousers on stand-by

Reports 737 was shot down by missile

https://news.sky.com/story/iran-plan...ssile-11904698

Mick 09-01-2020 17:44

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Being reported by multiple news outlets now - Newsweek quoting US officials: The Ukrainian plane that crashed in Iran was shot down by an Iranian anti-aircraft missile system, which was operating during the conflict, at the time.

Chris 09-01-2020 18:16

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Of course it was. I’m surprised anyone ever thought otherwise. A perfectly capable passenger jet takes off from a city that has just ordered air raids on the most powerful military in the world and is braced for reprisals, then suddenly falls out of the sky with the loss of all lives aboard. The incident absolutely screams “anti aircraft fire”. No wonder Trump was so easy to talk down - if the Pentagon does have persuasive evidence it can share they don’t need to pile the pressure on Iran with cruise missiles, they can wage a pretty effective publicity war instead, playing on the line that Iran is a terrorist state and General Al-Vader or whatever his name was was the arch terrorist.

pip08456 09-01-2020 18:42

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36022441)
Of course it was. I’m surprised anyone ever thought otherwise. A perfectly capable passenger jet takes off from a city that has just ordered air raids on the most powerful military in the world and is braced for reprisals, then suddenly falls out of the sky with the loss of all lives aboard. The incident absolutely screams “anti aircraft fire”. No wonder Trump was so easy to talk down - if the Pentagon does have persuasive evidence it can share they don’t need to pile the pressure on Iran with cruise missiles, they can wage a pretty effective publicity war instead, playing on the line that Iran is a terrorist state and General Al-Vader or whatever his name was was the arch terrorist.

It's looking more like it was.

Quote:

One US official said US satellites had detected the launch of two missiles shortly before the plane crashed, followed by evidence of an explosion, Reuters news agency reported.

nomadking 09-01-2020 18:49

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Not totally impossible that there was a fault on the plane and it turned around, then others might have been a bit jumpy over an airborne object unexpectedly flying towards Tehran and mistook it for an attack.

Chris 09-01-2020 18:52

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36022447)
Not totally impossible that there was a fault on the plane and it turned around, then others might have been a bit jumpy over an airborne object unexpectedly flying towards Tehran and mistook it for an attack.

That’s plausible, given that there must still have been a reason for them to fire missiles at it, beyond it simply being in the sky (presumably the military were aware the airport was still open).

richard s 09-01-2020 20:45

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
Massive Iranian cock-up. Poor souls on board R.I.P.

Pierre 09-01-2020 21:19

Re: U.S Assassinates Top Iranian General
 
I think it will be radio silence out of Tehran for some time.


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