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Election 2019, Week 1
This is the official Cable Forum election discussion thread. It will be open for the first week of the campaign, after which it will close and be replaced by another. In this way we can see how voting intention amongst forum members changes as the campaign progresses.
Please use this thread for *all* discussion of issues that arise directly as a result of the campaign - manifesto promises, campaign gaffes, etc etc. |
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OK folks, the passage of the election bill looks like a formality now, so we might as well kick this off.
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Do we need to add some more options - Other, Not Voting, Not Eligible To Vote?
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It’ll be interesting if that hurts him in the end or if the way he publicly distanced himself from the extension request protects him.
It’ll also be interesting to see if Labour do collapse because if not the Tories are unlikely to get a majority, they’ll probably lose seats like Richmond to the Lib Dem’s and some seats in Scotland so they need big gains in Labour areas |
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Will Swinson lose her seat to the Nats?
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/East_D...t_constituency) She lost it by a few thousand votes in the worst election the Liberal Democrats have ever seen. A 30% increase for the SNP. Since then she regained it, has a more comfortable majority and on current polling the Liberal Democrats should expect more voters, |
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Meanwhile the Mp for neighbouring town Grimsby has received some disturbing e mails.
Ms Onn also received an email that called her a “vile, treacherous b**tard” and accused her of taking the decision so she could be “rewarded financially...or bought off with a seat in the Lords”. “Maybe they just have dirt on you from some horrid sexual or other kind of secret,” the email continued. “Doesn't really matter, does it? You are a vile, treacherous b**tard if you bote [sic] for this deal. You are nothing to do with the Labour party. Hopefully sudden incapacity or death, from some as yet undiscovered health problem, may yet prevent you voting with this far right minority government. If even that forlorn wish fails. May you be hated by many for ever.” very disturbing :( https://www.grimsbytelegraph.co.uk/n...raitor-3478414 I think she will win the seat despite backing Boris. |
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I would come back to the representative vs direct democracy discussion and argue that this highlights that the general public has a distinct lack of knowledge of how our political system works. ---------- Post added at 10:19 ---------- Previous post was at 10:12 ---------- Amber Rudd - Not standing at the GE |
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My father (when in his early 70's) took part in a street poll by the local newspaper. His picture was printed, along with the name he gave . . Alfred Hookem I think it's hereditary ;) |
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Amber Rudd, the former Conservative work and pensions secretary, who currently sits as an independent, has announced that she won’t stand as a candidate at the election.
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/poli...-a4274036.html |
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The link in denphones post above also has a link to a list of MP's not standing, that could be worth keeping an eye on :)
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Likely to vote for our standing MP who is now Independent. Good bloke who cares for the area and nation and will vote against the whip if he feels it's needed.
He is also a positive campaigner. He never mentions the opposition in elections or regular updates. Just seen from article above that he will be standing as Tory. |
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https://www.wikiwand.com/en/Steve_Brine Quote:
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Winchester MP Steve Brine opens new Stanmore Basics Bank You couldn't make it up .. |
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Good for her... good for us... one less Tory to worry about. |
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Bill to trigger December 12 General Election clears the House of Lords and will go to the Queen to receive Royal Ascent
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...use-Lords.html |
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Its a pity Facebook ain't doing it as well though.
https://news.sky.com/story/sky-views...ebook-11849805 |
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Pity we can't ban them on TV.
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Pity we can't ban both Twitter & Facebook ;)
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Here we go then *yawn* Corbyn dives straight in with an impossible task . .
Jeremy Corbyn in election pitch against 'corrupt system' https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-50242562 The Labour leader will promise to "rebuild" public services and hit out at "tax dodgers, dodgy landlords, bad bosses and big polluters". . . best of luck with that one :rolleyes: and first chuckle of the day: Quote:
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His voting record especially in the areas above are not vote winners for the significant majority, quite the opposite. I know the LD candidate personally and she offers far more that Brine does. The LD policies when allied with the current Tory trajectory bodes well for her chances of winning esp. if there is degree of tactical voting. Winchester used to be a strong LD seat so the latent support is there .. should be interesting! |
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If Labour pound on about the failed tenure of this Government, the venal character of Johnson, the race to the bottom they want to embark on and the support of the wealthy at the expense of the majority then they will gain votes. I personally think the Corbyn factor will blunt their ability to gain a majority so we are heading for coalition territory I feel. |
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Labour will try to talk about anything other than Brexit. If they succeed in changing the agenda they have a chance. If Brexit stays as the focus of this election they will find it challenging. |
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Corbyns telling lies to the gullible party members,i doubt the public will go for his con tricks and shallow promises .
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Westminster voting intention:
CON: 41% (+8) LAB: 24% (-) LDEM: 20% (-3) BREX: 7% (-3) GRN: 3% (-1) via @IpsosMORI , 25 - 28 Oct |
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https://twitter.com/bbc5live/status/1189857638160293888
Labour MP nobody in the UK should be a billionaire. We'd be screwed under these clowns. |
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This is less the case this time around, Brexit has not been delivered. |
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Those who are even thinking of voting for that dangerous Marxist should bear that in mind. Don't say you weren't warned. |
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When are these people going to work out where all the money comes from to support the failing NHS? ---------- Post added at 15:28 ---------- Previous post was at 15:27 ---------- Quote:
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I think that might have an impact on our competitiveness.... |
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The world is far more complicated that you seem to be able to grasp. |
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It’s more accurate to say that one of the key strategies of the New Labour project was to create a client state in which large numbers of middle class voters were also direct recipients of handouts. The tax credit system, for example, was designed to deposit a small amount of money in the bank accounts of even reasonably well off families. It acted like a mini party political broadcast that appeared on millions of bank statements every month. It has proven extraordinarily difficult to unpick as well, because Gordon Brown located the tax credit system in HMRC, not the benefits agency, which is part of the reason Universal Credit has been such a pig to roll out. Add to that non means tested winter fuel payments and free TV licences and you find Labour really did have almost everybody on one benefit or another by the time it was booted out in 2010.
It remains to be seen what Labour plans to do with UC - it’s hard to see how they can be true to the many criticisms levelled at it, and things like the two child policy in the tax credit and child benefit systems, unless they’re planning to just halt and reverse the reforms. If they do that, then we will indeed end up with a situation where very large numbers of people are receiving benefits of one kind or another. |
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Provide examples of those “Deserving” Give me details of how much money you will award them, and reasons for attributing those amounts. |
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Labour's stance would be, doesn't matter if you hold a degree or have high skills, because the person who does not or who cannot be arsed, will get the same as the person who has worked hard to achieve his profession. |
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The whole idea of people making billions is a failure of capitalism. If there's that level of income and profits in an industry competition should arise and drive prices down.
Of course we sold nationalised industry on the cheap to allow these profits to arise in markets where no genuine competition exists. Yay! |
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Competition can't work in all arenas. If something requires a large investment to build, there has to be enough spare demand for it not to be just sitting there as an expensive white elephant. Even if the plant was built, the costs still have to be recovered, so there is little scope for price reduction. You can't easily have, eg 10 plants, all working at an average 10% capacity. Just look at the high street and energy supply companies going bust, to see what happens when you add extra business costs and squeeze prices. |
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The theory has failed. ---------- Post added at 18:59 ---------- Previous post was at 18:29 ---------- Quote:
https://www.theguardian.com/business...ax-monaco-move |
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Supply, demand etc but most importantly choice, desire. Products that beat the market, and accelerate before competing suppliers can catch up and when they do their response is inferior. iPod v zune Windows v Top view, visi on, Gem iPhone v no-one (it took years for anyone to get near it) So these examples of apple v Microsoft ( and both made duds along the way) but they were both so ahead of everyone else they made their founders billions. Do say that is wrong? That they should have had their wealth stripped from them? Both have massive charitable foundations by the way. |
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If you drive down profits by imposing additional costs, there reaches a point where they go bust. In the meantime, the tax revenue goes down, investment goes down, ability to expand goes down, etc. Where exactly has Communism/Socialism actually succeeded? Russia? China? Cuba? |
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The example you cite are innovative yes, but many are not in the previously nationalised industries. They’re benefiting from taxpayer investment previously made and being sold off cheap. The fact they have charitable foundations is an irrelevance to the matter. ---------- Post added at 19:15 ---------- Previous post was at 19:09 ---------- Quote:
It’s okay though, they made £1bn of investment for some good news stories so the net loss of £3bn. |
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1) How much of that profit should be channelled into one person's hands? 2) What happens when a product dominates the market to such an extent even superior products can't get a look in? This is especially true of products where critical mass is important - think Uber - so first mover advantage becomes the only thing that matters. The danger we face now is more and more processes will become automated which will cut more people out of the jobs in creating that wealth giving more of it to a narrower group of people at the top. The people who generally can afford to implement these systems of automation will be those with the money to do so. More and more money will go to fewer and fewer people and it won't matter how hard you work - robots can work harder - or how much education you have. It's not a simple question but an interesting one. |
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Which nationalised industries has the likes of Apple and Microsoft benefited from? Prices have been driven down by lower production costs in India and China. Where do you think all the available money for giving out mortgages, business loans, and personal loans comes from? |
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I don’t get to say if prefer to opt out of PAYE but I’ll still pay national insurance but not income tax. Why should billionaires get to choose? Absolutely mystifying logic. Where did I describe Apple or Microsoft as benefiting from nationalised industry? You’ve just threw up a straw man because of your flawed logic. You’ll actually find banks invent money out of fresh air to provide mortgages as a multiple of cash deposits held. |
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There are always winners and losers, new entrants into a market by their presence do not guarantee competition, they have to have a desirable product. As long as they are given the chance to market and sell their product fairly, that is all that is required. The consumer decides. You also didn’t answer whether Gates and Job’s family, should be stripped of their wealth. Quote:
If telecoms was still a state run utility, Jesus! you think it’s bad now? We’d probably still on dial-up. The water and energy sectors were privatised over 30 years ago. Who are the billionaires makes billions after investing billions in Victorian infrastructure? Also people forget that the utilities also had their own operational arms. I.E. the guys that dug up the roads, designing, maintaining and installing. That is all now contracted to 3rd parties providing real competition and value in the sector, with cross sector savings and expertise passed back to the consumer. I bet they don’t re-nationalise those bits. As someone well versed in “economic theory”, you don’t show it. Especially in the area of once nationalised utilities. |
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Banks can't "provide mortgages as a multiple of cash deposits held". There are liquidity rules. The nearest they can do is essentially recycle the money by selling on the mortgages, as Northern Rock did. Somebody still has to "buy" those mortgages with money from somewhere real. |
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All this talk about profits . . is this profit before the reinvestment to maintain and improve the infrastructure required to keep their competitive edge?
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A competitor can’t just dig up Britain and deploy an identical network and give us competition which is why regulation is required. Quote:
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Betamax was supposedly technologically superior to VHS. But VHS was superior on price, availability, manufacture............. Quote:
And that is different from the Luddites and saboteurs of a few hundred years ago how? ---------- Post added at 20:46 ---------- Previous post was at 20:36 ---------- Quote:
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Please don’t comment on sectors you clearly know nothing about. Quote:
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If the barrier to entry is building a £30bn fibre network, I don’t think my mates and I can just go down to the bank in the morning and set up our own broadband company. |
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The industrial revolution was eventually met with a response in the form of the labor movement and more rights for workers. There is nothing wrong with a governmental and/or societal response to changes in work and wealth creation. The latest challenge we face is the march of automation and how that will radically change our society. I think this particular revolution is different as well because of the speed at which it'll happen. How do we handle it? Where will the good new jobs come from? Even the jobs made by deliveroo - with low wages and few employment rights - are fleeting until that can be automated. Universal Income, 4 day weeks are at least examples of people thinking about these things rather than dismissing them as if nothing ever changes or the market is a uncontrollable force that never needed to be challenged by government. |
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It is a way regulators intervene in a market that doesn’t naturally trend to competition though. |
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Conversely, the Virgin Media Network was built, and is still built, totally on private finance. What should we do with “ billionaire” John malone? The telecoms market isn’t failed. It’s thriving. Is he allowed to keep his billions? He hasn’t raped any state assets. In the.com bubble many millionaires and billionaires lost millions and billions ..... no bail out for them. When you risk all and can lose all, why not take all when you win? Quote:
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But let’s look at directly comparable products. Let’s look at apples. Apples are apples. But I breed apple trees that produce more apples, and bigger apples than my competitors. I also devise a way to harvest the apples quicker and cheaper. Now I can sell my apples cheaper than my competitors, for the same profit, perhaps more. I make so much money I buy my competitors orchards but they’re not as efficient as mine so I shut them down. Now i’m The biggest, if not the only , apple producer in the region. Now I can set my price etc etc etc. It’s all about innovation, doing it quicker, larger and cheaper than your competitor. Quote:
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The fact you can name a single supplier (on a small scale) doesn’t mean the telecoms market trends to perfect competition.
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[QUOTE]So we’re clear, all these “billionaires” profiting off the back of previous nationalised sectors...and you can come up with zero. I know you’re an expert in “economic theory” Quote:
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In most areas there is a choice, be they Openreach delivered propositions or private network like Virgin Media or Cityfibre. The market has worked incredibly well in this country, although price doesn't always reflect quality. Its very rare for innovation to come from publically owned industries, those run as a state enterprise are an exception to that rule. But nationalised assets have a nasty habit of needing subsidy from the taxpayer, which is why the mines, steel works, shipbuilding died out in many areas. |
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To be clear these are building their own networks and not using BT ( although I have included Openreach as they too are building) It is not exhaustive, just the ones I know about. You can try and test me on the telecoms sector but I have been in the industry for 25 years so knock yourself out. Quote:
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Massive infrastructure was built with private money, it didn’t stack up, it cost billions. But it got done and it’s legacy remains today. In a govt managed scenario two things would have happened: 1. It wouldn’t have been built to begin with 2. Tax payer would have payed for it. Quote:
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The third on your list City Fibre - 70 000 homes passed.
You are having an absolute laugh if you think BT and Virgin price their products to millions of customers in order to compete with this. Given the high cost of deployment prices will remain high anyway in the first instance. The pricing trend isn’t downward. I’m not here to challenge you on your exhaustive knowledge of tiny broadband companies that have a negligible effect on the UK market of 27 million premises. I’ll concede that you could google them. |
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If it’s no good it’s no good, no matter how much money you throw at it. The consumer is not an idiot. I don’t disagree that some people will be bullied or pushed aside along the way and nothing makes that right. But ultimately the consumer decides. Unless they don’t get to decide. Like if the government decides for you. ---------- Post added at 22:33 ---------- Previous post was at 22:24 ---------- Quote:
Also what do you think is driving VM to offer 1G, services? It’s not BT. It is all the other companies listed. Are driving down prices? No you’re right they probably aren’t. Are they driving up service and innovation - absolutely. Again nothing a state monopoly would be inclined to do Quote:
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My argument (and haven't followed the other one) is not that capitalism is bad - it's done quite well - but that it needs intervention too and one area that we need to examine is people leveraging their wealth to dominate new areas of wealth production (such as automation) before 'the market' can challenge that and at the expensive of workforce. |
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But if you are employing slave Labour, in poor conditions and paying then 20p an hour. But still manufacturing a product no one wants..........you’re still going out of business. Quote:
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I’ve tried the Uber app a few times. Regardless of time or location it always says “swarm pricing” is in operation and the price is bumped right up. I’ve long suspected that it only works effectively in London.
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Just have a look at your VM bills over the last few years to see capitalism at work ! ;)
As for the railways and utilities, its worked wonders I admit. :rolleyes: |
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Many telcos went into Ch11, and their assets once worth 10s of billions sold off for substantially less than their worth. Worldcom, Global Crossing, 360 networks I could go on and on. Believe me people lost money. |
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my friend who was a company director lost just over £1,000,000. |
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Uber's plan is self-driving cars by which time they hope they'll have captured the majority of the market by simply being the app people have installed on their phones. So Uber's investors were happy to see them lose money on every ride simply to feed that aggressive expansion. It's not working as well because self-driving cars are taking longer than they thought. They keep hitting problems with regulators in Europe and in some American cities over their safety checks and the way they treat drivers e.t.c. All that said I do really like Uber because it is cheap and the app is good so :D |
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Markets are wising up to over hyped IPO's look at what has happened to WeWork.(They didnt even IPO, they pulled their filing) |
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I sense your immediate stance is to equate "Deserving" with "Unemployed". There is a whole spectrum of situations between the destitute and the wealthy. What is up for discussion is the shape of this distribution. |
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