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Will VM be short for Vodafone Media?
"Vodafone Group Plc (VOD) is exploring a combination with John Malone’s Liberty Global Plc (LBTYA) that would create Europe’s largest phone, Internet and TV company, worth more than $130 billion, people with knowledge of the matter said."
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-...ty-global.html A combination between LG and Vodafone has logic: - Complementary cable presence in Germany - Complementary fixed line positions in the rest of Europe - Both use Tivo (Spain and UK) |
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Someone posted a link earlier that VF may try to buy LG. Lots of rumours floating around recently.
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Vodafone's definitely going to be left behind in the market if all the other rumoured acquisitions go ahead and they don't do anything...
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They'd need to sell things they just bought recently, according to press reports. |
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As said many time in multiple threads.
This has been kicked around by the speculators ever since Vodafone Offloaded their stake in Verizon. If they had moved for Liberty then they could have bought the whole thing for cash. But they didn't, they've given a load of cash back to shareholders, and committed funding to invest in their network, which is sorely needed. That means any deal now would have with shares. Which may or may not be attractive to shareholders. Also as Liberty has grown it has accumulated a fair amount of debt, which again may put off shareholders. Then there is potential competition issues in each country, they may have to sell of bits of Liberty that they've just bought. I hope this deal doesn't go through as I don't think it would be good for anyone. There is a lot speculation though, especially over the last 24hrs. When you read in to the piece though the opening paragraph sort of lays it out. Quote:
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Would Vodafone want/need to buy Virgin's network, when they already own C&W's (ex Bulldog/Pipex) LLU infrastructure?
They can surely reach far more customers over LLU than over Virgin's? |
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There is potential growth in quad play if you get the offering right. Only about 17% of Virgin customers take all 4 products. At the moment Virgin are investing in the network, expanding it. I would expect that to stop if Vodafone took over. |
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[SIZE=1]---------- Post added at 11:09 ---------- Previous post was at 11:08 ----------[/SIZE [SIZE=1]---------- Post added at 11:11 ---------- Previous post was at 11:09 ----------[/SIZE They would be buying a customer base as well though and that would give them a head start rather than starting from scratch. They are struggling attracting new business in the UK and I think Virgin connected more new mobile customers than Voda in Q3 The challenge they have is that Liberty don't need to sell, however everything has a price. Not sure why you would expect Network Expansion to stop if they took over, it's clear that to really take on the other big players, they need to be able to make their services available to more homes, whoevers name is over the door? |
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I think it would be BAU if Vodafone bought liberty global. Whatever virgin is doing it seems to be working so no need to change. Would be nice if virgin mobile dumped EE and went with a supplier who allowed 4g
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My money would be on cost, perhaps EE won't offer VM rates that they would be prepared to pay? |
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Doesn't surprise me, EE's big selling point is their 4G. It certainly isn't their customer service, allowances or prices.
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Nothing about not 'allowing' 4G, Virgin Mobile Business has been giving customers 4G over EE's network for some time. It's simply a pricing issue, business services are more profitable, their consumer services are targeted at the low-end/economy market. (P.S. EE's 4G allowances are in fact the largest by far of the major networks, and pricing is competitive in some aspects, considering £800 of usage in the US on O2 would be free on EE.) |
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At least we know why the Virgin Media name is absent from the EPG in the latest software change for TIVO....I can easily see VM becoming Vodafone Media, yes.
Vodafone and Liberty have been competing for cable assets, so it makes sense for the two to combine. Malone has been quoted as saying he wants to do one last big deal before retirement, so perhaps this is it. I've always said on this forum and others, that we'll end up with 3, or perhaps 4 companies all offering tv, broadband, landline phone and mobile and other media too. Perhaps looking something like this: BT, O2, ITV Sky, Talktalk, EE Vodafone, Virgin Media In related news, Vodafone is looking to buy Tesco's video streaming service Blinkbox: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/n...V-service.html |
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How would a tie up of Sky , Talk Talk and EE work ? Wouldn't they be the largest ISP by some distance ?
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Virtual networks Asda Mobile, Life Mobile (part of Phones4U but just acquired by EE) and Virgin Mobile do not offer 4G. But: BT Mobile is on the EE network and offers 4G. At the moment, it is only available to businesses. We don't know if it will offer 4G to consumers, and I guess the launch of BT Mobile to retail customers may now never happen unless it rebrands an acquistion. |
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I note that on CityFibre's network in York, Sky and TalkTalk are working together with CityFibre and between the three of them are funding the fibre network out to residential consumers there. Perhaps this may be the start of wider cooperation between the companies. |
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I think there needs to be a serious competitor to BT and the only real way that can happen is by using a totally separate network and infrastructure to BT's. |
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Anyone know the breakdown of FTTC customers by ISP ?
Personally I'm not convinced competition in this side of the market is working. |
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I wish someone would buy virgin mobile, as there service / and staff are pure rubbish
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Vodafone are slightly in bed with Sky at the moment with NowTV being offered on their mobiles. Is it a one night stand though?
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Seeing as its now integrated into Virgin Media, someone would have to buy the whole thing |
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It would seem Arthur's love for the hard working person, is not for everyone.
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Strange that, I needed to speak to them on Friday night and they were great. |
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Competition isn't working there because the major competitors, Sky and TalkTalk, have all-copper LLU infrastructure they want to sweat for as long as possible so have been reluctant to get into FTTC while BT have pursued it aggressively. |
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1) BT, EE (Would broadband market share be an issue?) 2) Sky, O2 (Would Sky really want a mobile operator? Can it afford to now after its European expansion? Would Telefonica want a stake in Sky and how would Fox view this?) 3) Three, TalkTalk (Both value-for-money operators) 4) Vodafone, Virgin Media (Vodafone sees the European global cable synergies. Would there be some competition issues? UK mobile? German fixed lines?) It is entirely possible that Vodafone and Sky won't make any big acquistions, in which case Three might make acquire EE or O2 as a defensive move against BT. Time will tell. Sky is apparently hiring Lazard as advisers. http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/47050522-7...#axzz3KjVspKIv Registration required.) |
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I could quite easily see Vodafone buy Talk Talk and tie up a relationship deal with Sky.
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Do they have the funds though ? |
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It'll be interesting to see if any of these moves impact the next EPL rights auction , will BT if it then owns either EE or O2 still have the funds to bid as aggressively ? |
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EE/O2 would be an acquisition through shares with perhaps some cash component but not a large one. Those of you with premium TV or BT landlines, hope you enjoy paying your football tax :) |
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Threes 3g can outperform 4g on other networks
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It's true that Three's 4G coverage doesn't come close to EE's but at least from my anecdotal evidence, it's about on par with O2's as we were all comparing 4G signals last night. Nobody was on Vodafone so I have no idea where they stand.
Three's 4G annoyingly covers the entire area around my house and where I work. Around it. As in there's a near-perfect circle "gap" covering the two. Still, I can't usually complain about the 3G speeds I get and not having to worry about the data being used is amazing. |
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O2 and Vodafone are practically identical, they share all their 4G masts. EE are nearing 80% population coverage, O2/VF are nearing 50%, even so they are better than EE across pretty much the whole of Scotland. Three are still hovering around 20-30%. ---------- Post added at 20:59 ---------- Previous post was at 20:58 ---------- Quote:
It just doesn't happen all that often. None of the above things do. On average, Three's 3G is four times slower than 4G on other networks. |
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Bollocks to all of it, I took a 6hr train ride the other day up the east coast of England and Scotland and had 3G for a about a cumulative total of 20 mins.
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At the end of the day, three networks (everyone except 3) will have a nationwide 4G network exceeding the coverage of any current 3G network within the next two years. 3 are the only network without a serious 4G rollout strategy (not to mention, two thirds of the places they said they planned to have 4G coverage within 2014 still don't have it, and it's the second week of December...). 3 are planning to spend less than 1/3rd the money on 4G as the other networks - around 0.5 billion - whereas everyone else is spending £1.2-1.8 billion each. A wise decision to not waste money on building a network if you're planning on buying someone else's bigger, better network anyway. ---------- Post added at 03:39 ---------- Previous post was at 03:37 ---------- Quote:
Plus anyone who compares 4G rollout based on 3G has no clue what they're on about. |
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In an amusing twist to this story: http://www.ispreview.co.uk/index.php...8-percent.html Quote:
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Compare their 48% coverage with two 4G transmitters in Aberdeen vs. O2/VF's 48% coverage with 20 4G transmitters in Aberdeen... (Correction: O2/VF are probably closer to 60% now) https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2014/12/10.png Their strategy isn't much different across the whole UK - stick one or two transmitters up in a big city where there's lots of people and call it "covered"... Things don't get much better in central Scotland; O2 have more 4G transmitters in Edinburgh alone than 3 have in the entirety of Scotland combined.: https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2014/12/11.pnghttps://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2014/12/12.png And it's pretty much the same even at the opposite end of the UK. I'm willing to bet O2 have more 4G transmitters in Scotland (pop: 5 million) than 3 have in the whole of England, Wales, and Northern Ireland (pop: 50 million): https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2014/12/13.pnghttps://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2014/12/14.png ---------- Post added at 14:55 ---------- Previous post was at 14:49 ---------- Quote:
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Most people don't realise that 4G not only covers more area than 3G and is easier/faster to roll out, the combined multi-mode 2G+3G+4G equipment mans all masts are being upgraded to support both 3G and 4G at the same time, even when they have previously been 2G only. ---------- Post added at 14:57 ---------- Previous post was at 14:55 ---------- Quote:
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Won't be for another year though as I understand it, but they working to reduce that. |
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It's now well underway. I'm not close to the project so don't have any specific details, only what I hear in passing. |
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What's so hard about flicking the 4g switch on while the other work is carried out?
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Cost. Like I previously said VM already do 4G for their business customers.
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I think the tax thing is key here actually, and that is what will be attractive to any buyer of Liberty/VM. But I'd imagine the offsetting of the tax losses would stay with VM though. I don't see how Liberty could keep them if VM were sold to someone else.
But as we're playing fantasy who will merge with whom next, I've not seen anyone suggest a Vodafone/Sky combination. So there, I just have, just for fun! But yeah, it is interesting to see what happens next. I've not seen any speculation about Talktalk. I am sure they would not want to miss out on the mobile musical chairs party. |
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Vodafone/Sky combination is an issue in Germany and ultimately Fox will surely buy Sky so unlikely. But similar customer profile. Unlike Vodafone/TalkTalk. |
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Just FYI this has suddenly become somewhat more 'urgent' with the news about BT and EE.
Money seems to be on BT-EE, VM-Vodafone, Sky-Three, TalkTalk-O2. |
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There are the incumbent European telcos for a start, and its interesting that Deutsche Telekom and France Telecom will own a part of BT if the BT buyout of EE goes ahead. Could this be a future signal to a three way tie up between the 3 biggest European telecos as a defensive measure against Murdoch and others?? And there are all the other European telcos too like Telefonica, KPN etc. Then there are the US majors who can't grow any more in their home markets as they're already as big as they can go, so perhaps they'll be looking for overseas investments. So perhaps we'll see AT&T, Disney, Comcast et all getting involved in the European telco/ISP/mobile/tv markets. I think in the end brand will be key. Today we see BT as a British telephone company and Sky as a satellite tv company. I think that will all change - it is already and you'll get your favourite brand but whatever methods are available and the lines between ISP, teleco, cable tv, mobile, satellite will just disappear. ---------- Post added at 15:32 ---------- Previous post was at 15:28 ---------- Quote:
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Telefonica want out of the UK market, that's why they want shot of O2's mobile business having gotten rid of the ISP/landline business. KPN seem to be focusing on retail more and network operations less. Given KPN was recently protected from a hostile takeover by the Dutch government the odds of them giving up the company, it's worth less than £10 billion, as a minority partner in a merger with a larger UK business seem slim. ---------- Post added at 15:40 ---------- Previous post was at 15:39 ---------- Quote:
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But if you look at it sensibly, all this proposed consolidation is mainly UK centric. Would Vodafone really want to pay £80Billion for Liberty, when all they would reallly be interested in is VM? If they sold off the other parts of of Liberty they didn't want would they find a buyer that returned what they paid for them. Why risk that kind of money when it's not even been proven that the consumer wants quad play? Vodafone will be able to compete with BT in regards to quad play with their own mobile network v EE, and fixed line broadband and TV on the same platform as BT (perhaps securing content deals with Sky) without blowing £80b on Liberty. Likewise, Liberty can continue across Europe with their cable infrastructure and MVNO model. I don't see the tie up as being as attractive or inevitable as the city vultures make out. Buy hey, what do I know? |
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...that's what forums are for guessing about things like this on cold winter days!
Personally, I don't think Liberty would want to hive things off. They've stated their policy is to consolidate the European cable industry and then sell it off to a suitable buyer when they think the time is right. It would seem odd that they have gone to the effort of buying separate cable cos and trying to integrate some things together, only to split it all up again. If Vodafone see continuing growth in what they already do, they won't make a move. But if they believe that "content" aka programming is key, then they will have to morph into a different company than what they are now. Whether that involves Liberty, who knows. |
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I'd be shocked if Three and Sky end up merging, that doesn't make a huge amount of sense to me but what do I know.
With the EU regulations coming in regarding roaming within the EU, it does make sense for the various telcos to start merging operations into Europe-Wide ones. I'm not really sure how that fits in with the broadband and media sides of things but I suppose having an EU-wide quad-play company could have its uses. |
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Vodafone wanting to pay out £37 billion and take on £39 billion in return for various cable companies where they have synergy is a tricky one for them to sell to their shareholders, however rumours carry on. Whether anyone will push the button or not is different of course. |
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I don't think quad-play bundles have really taken off yet as they've never really been sold correctly until recently. VM have always focussed on offering triple-play with a back seat given to a separate slightly cheaper mobile deal if you are a customer. Only recently have they started doing true quad-play by bundling a SIM in with the Big Bundles.
If VM (or other providers) sold a bundle of TV, BB, landline and mobile all in one then you may get much more interest, especially if you could then add additional discounted mobiles in for family members. Obviously the pricing would have to be right but I and probably many others would consider it if it made economic sense. Obviously if VM were to be acquired by Vodafone, I would expect mobile to become as much of a selling point as the core triple-play and we may then see some true quad-play offers. Interesting times ahead! |
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I think what would sell quad-play for me would be if there was more of a focus on my household rather than myself as a customer. What I mean is, the broadband and TV is for the house - I may pay for it, but everyone in the house uses it. I'd love for them to have SIM packages that can give everyone in the house a bundle of minutes, texts and data to share. Plus some additional SIM's for our tablets and whatnot.
That would be pretty killer for me, as it would turn 3 or 4 separate contracts into one. |
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Why would Vodafone want/need to buy Liberty/Virgin Media, when they already own (as part of the C&W acquisition) the ex Bulldog LLU infrastructure?
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Now if Virgin was happy to give me 3 or 4 SIMs with a nice big bundle of data (say 8GB) between them, I'd be very interested. Especially if they throw on more data depending on what broadband package I've got. |
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You're right with Three though, they do some really generous data allowances. They've got a really good network too (where I live anyway!) as I used them for a while before I (regrettably) got a contract with O2. I did get a great deal with O2 but for me (and a number of friends/colleagues), the O2 network is shocking. I've never had so many failed calls and data drop outs and will be scurrying back to either Three or EE as soon as my contract is up. Also, back on topic, the network quality would also be an issue if Vodafone were to buy VM as Vodafone have a notoriously poor network too so I guess even if they did do decent quad-play, would you want it on their network? Guess it would depend where you live as I know the experience of all the networks varies across the country for users. |
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I'm hoping that 4G will resolve most of that, as each provider got a nice chunk of 800Mhz spectrum which should hopefully mean much better coverage. |
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Hundreds of thousands of tests by multiple independent investigators have found data speeds to have increased by 2x-3x on average across all users, including all existing 3G customers. ---------- Post added at 11:22 ---------- Previous post was at 11:19 ---------- Quote:
The other two operators (3 and EE) actually have too little 800Mhz to run an effective network on, hence why neither of them have actually used their 800 yet. It will mostly be restricted to VoLTE purposes as it lacks the bandwidth for anything else, at least until the 700Mhz auction ends. The average speeds on 800Mhz alone will be lower than 3G for both those networks, but will carry a big range advantage over 2100Mhz 3G. |
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I chalk it up to experience and will now always test a PAYG sim if considering changing network and getting new contracts. |
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My experiences are worst on trains, whereby I'll usually have a signal then pass through a not-spot. It's only for a few seconds, maybe a couple of minutes but everything just stops dead and all signal is lost - it's quite frustrating. |
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It's also worth pointing out that at least one investigation (conducted on behalf of the BBC's Watchdog programme) concluded that several mobile networks had re-allocated a lot of their 3G bandwidth to the 4G network, so 3G users were noticing slower speeds. This seems logical. The backend network linking the sites has a limited bandwidth. Previously, the 3G users on that site would have had nearly 100% of the bandwidth available to them, as GPRS and voice signals use almost no bandwidth. Now, 4G has come along and can use many times more bandwidth than 3G. Even if the providers aren't specifically reserving bandwidth for 4G (which they may be), 3G phones in busier cells are going to be competing with 4G phones for the limited bandwidth on the cell's data link. I've personally noticed my own connection (via EE) getting slower since they rolled out 4G, and that is one possible cause. The other is that when I joined T Mobile, it was just before they merged with Orange. When they merged, I had access to T Mobile and Orange cell sites in every cell. So, in most areas, my phone could connect to several cells. EE have spent years closing sites to consolidate the networks. Put simply, they cut the number of sites, but increased the number of customers. So, less bandwidth on each site to each customer. |
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4G does not use more backend bandwidth than 3G, actually it uses less. You are dividing the same amount of bandwidth between the same number of people. If those people weren't on 4G, they'd be on 3G and your 3G connection would be even slower. Quote:
Think about it a bit more, perhaps in "consumer" terms that might be more familiar to you: You have ten users sharing the Wifi on your broadband connection. When ten users are downloading at the same time via 2.4Ghz, your connection is slow. When ten users are shared across 2.4Ghz and 5Ghz, how is it going to be any slower? Adding 4G is usually combined with the masts' backhaul being improved by far more than 4G can take on it's own, more than doubling the capacity available to 3G even after 4G is all used up. Quote:
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But that's just EE. None of the other networks have been removing masts at the same scale, so even if true, the same reasoning does not hold for 75% of networks. This brings me back to a comment EE's CEO made quite early on - which is completely true, yet the vast majority of people misinterpreted: 4G does not use more data than 3G. More people with more smartphones doing more things use more data. If it weren't for 4G, those same people would be on 3G and 3G would be even slower. 4G speeds have in fact almost halved over the past year. I suppose you don't have the convenience of 5G to blame for that huh? |
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Not sure Sky gives them what they need, all the convergence seems to be with Mobile Operators and companies that have a network infrastructure or vice versa |
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Very interesting....
I don't see why Murdoch would want to sell Sky when he spent years building it up towards his dream was of a global satellite empire. But of course that's before the internet came along and a fast broadband line is far more valuable today than a dish. If we're going into a "who's going to buy who" talk again, if Murdoch does offload Sky (I still cannot believe it will happen) but if it does, could Murdoch turn his attention to VM and do a deal with arch rival Malone? |
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....but its the largest stake which gives him de facto control. So, yes, it is up to him.
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