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-   -   Official: There was no double-dip recession (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33694071)

Chris 27-06-2013 09:29

Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-23079082
Quote:

The UK economy did not experience a double-dip recession at the end of 2011 and the first half of 2012, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) has confirmed.
Updating its historical data, the ONS showed that the growth figure for the first quarter of 2012 was flat.


---------- Post added at 10:29 ---------- Previous post was at 09:53 ----------

In fact, it's Labour's economic credibility that's now taking a double dip:
Quote:

The ONS also said the recession in 2008 was deeper than previously estimated.
Gross domestic product (GDP) during that time is now estimated to have plunged by 7.2% from peak to trough, against a 6.3% fall previously recorded.

Osem 27-06-2013 09:40

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Cameron and Osborne should hang their heads in shame! Those inept toffs can't even deliver a double dip recession FGS! If Labour had been in power we'd have had the best double dip recession in the world to be proud of but these idiots just can't see that. Osborne couldn't organise a double-dip in a recession!!! :mad:
:D

jem 27-06-2013 11:38

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35589079)
Cameron and Osborne should hang their heads in shame! Those inept toffs can't even deliver a double dip recession FGS! If Labour had been in power we'd have had the best double dip recession in the world to be proud of but these idiots just can't see that. Osborne couldn't organise a double-dip in a recession!!! :mad:
:D

You are 'Arthurgray50@blu' and I claim my £5!

peanut 27-06-2013 12:23

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35589079)
Cameron and Osborne should hang their heads in shame! Those inept toffs can't even deliver a double dip recession FGS! If Labour had been in power we'd have had the best double dip recession in the world to be proud of but these idiots just can't see that. Osborne couldn't organise a double-dip in a recession!!! :mad:
:D

I bet you wear a 'I heart Tory' - T-shirt.

Chris 27-06-2013 12:46

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Meanwhile, back at the topic, do you agree that it is a good thing that there wasn't a double-dip recession, and that the only recession this country suffered was the one that was the worst in living memory thanks to Labour's failure to use the good times to prepare for the bad?

Osem 27-06-2013 12:47

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by peanut (Post 35589153)
I bet you wear a 'I heart Tory' - T-shirt.

Quite wrong actually - voted for several parties in my life and, as yet, undecided for the next one. The fact that I detest Labour and what they've done to our economy doesn't make me a Tory. Good job you didn't put any money on your bet...

Maggy 27-06-2013 14:57

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
We will get whatever the non apathetic half of the voting population decides on..probably another coalition.

Gary L 27-06-2013 15:09

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35589079)
Cameron and Osborne should hang their heads in shame! Those inept toffs can't even deliver a double dip recession FGS! If Labour had been in power we'd have had the best double dip recession in the world to be proud of but these idiots just can't see that. Osborne couldn't organise a double-dip in a recession!!! :mad:

Agreed. get them out!! :mad:

Dash: CF noob 27-06-2013 18:23

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Conspiracy

papa smurf 27-06-2013 21:08

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
stage 2 = denial :)

Hugh 27-06-2013 22:42

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35589391)
stage 2 = denial :)

stage 3 - facts... ;)

danielf 27-06-2013 23:14

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35589414)
stage 3 - facts... ;)

We didn't dip the second time. We merely flatlined. Whoopee...

dave6x 28-06-2013 00:09

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35589064)
The UK economy did not experience a double-dip recession at the end of 2011 and the first half of 2012, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) has confirmed.

Updating its historical data, the ONS showed that the growth figure for the first quarter of 2012 was flat.

"There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics." attributed to Mark Twain.

I just wonder what "updating" to its historical data has been carried out by the ONS and what statistical manipulation has been carried out to arrive at the results?

Osem 28-06-2013 06:57

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by danielf (Post 35589423)
We didn't dip the second time. We merely flatlined. Whoopee...

You sound like Ed Balls. :D

Perhaps if he hadn't made such a fuss about figures, which he presumably will have known would be subject to future revision, to base his 'double dip' assertion on he wouldn't look such a twit.

http://www.labour.org.uk/britains-do...ght,2012-05-24

Having said that, Balls looks like a twit and sounds like a twit most of the time.

Osem 25-07-2013 09:12

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

The UK economy grew by 0.6% in the three months to June, according to official figures.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-23446056

Some more good news. Let's hope it's not a blip.

Damien 25-07-2013 09:42

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Probably not a blip but hopefully it's going to go a bit faster...

Russ 25-07-2013 10:00

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
It was due to the cost of Osbourne's "man of the people" burger.

Osem 25-07-2013 11:34

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Hopefully the recent good weather will be making up for some of the rubbish we endured earlier this year when it comes to the economy.

Sirius 25-07-2013 11:42

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
I wait for Arthur's rant :LOL:

However the reality is he will stay away from this as its good new not bad.

Sirius 25-07-2013 12:33

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35598966)
It's welcome news considering that the EU zone is still in recession. Un-hitching our economy from the losers can only improve out trade and growth.

Gets my vote

:clap:

Mick Fisher 25-07-2013 12:50

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35598966)
It's welcome news considering that the EU zone is still in recession. Un-hitching our economy from the losers can only improve out trade and growth.

And mine :tu:

Osem 06-08-2013 12:41

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Manufacturing output surged in June at the strongest pace since the end of 2010, according to figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-23584843

Quote:

The UK's services sector has expanded at its fastest pace since December 2006, a survey has indicated.

The Markit/CIPS Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 60.2 in July from 56.9 the month before, a stronger showing than economists had expected.

Any reading above 50 indicates growth.

The numbers complete a trio of positive PMI figures for July, after strong showings in both the construction and manufacturing sectors last week.

Markit said its UK All Sector PMI, which combined the three, was 59.48, the highest since its records began in January 1998.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-23571579

More good news on the economy. Of course there's still a long way to go but could this be 'the end of the beginning' so far as recovery is concerned?

Osem 09-08-2013 14:38

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

The UK goods trade deficit shrank to its smallest amount in almost a year in June, official figures have shown, helped by a rise in exports.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said the gap between imports and exports narrowed to £8.1bn in June, down from £8.7bn in May.

The ONS also said construction output grew more in the second quarter of the year than it had first estimated.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-23630284

Sirius 09-08-2013 16:07

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
And not a word from our resident Labour loveys :D

Sirius 09-08-2013 16:40

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35607864)
Give them time. They have to look at the silver lining to try and find a cloud.

:LOL:

Osem 09-08-2013 17:01

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35607864)
Give them time. They have to look at the silver lining to try and find a cloud.

:rofl:

I wonder whether Ed Balls' 'output' will now flatline?... :D

Gary L 09-08-2013 17:16

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sirius (Post 35607843)
And not a word from our resident Labour loveys :D

Vote Labour!

Sirius 09-08-2013 18:20

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Gary L (Post 35607896)
Vote Labour!

And put us back where we were in the **** house

Osem 10-08-2013 08:41

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Yup, some folks never learn do they? Perhaps it's a weird form of political masochism... :D

Gary L 10-08-2013 10:25

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sirius (Post 35607939)
And put us back where we were in the **** house

You're thinking the worse.
think the best. no more Dave!

Gary L 10-08-2013 11:00

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35608124)
Cure the illness by killing the patient. Brilliant.:rolleyes:

Bit extreme, killing Dave.
just vote him out. less drastic.

TheDaddy 14-08-2013 06:18

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Gary L (Post 35608129)
Bit extreme, killing Dave.
just vote him out. less drastic.

Either way he's gone :shrug:

Sirius 14-08-2013 06:53

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Gary L (Post 35608110)
You're thinking the worse.
think the best. no more Dave!

:mad:

My idea of worse is Labour with there hands on this countries money and there lack of control of immigration in to this country again. :mad:

Doug P 14-08-2013 07:18

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
The party who have an immigration spokesman who doesn't know immigration or employment rules and thinks Tesco have moved a depot within Kent where they don't have one anyway.... bit of a twit is Mr Bryant.

Osem 14-08-2013 09:07

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
He joins the very long list of inept, hypocrites which have characterised the party which made as big a mess of our economy as they did the immigration 'system'.

Osem 03-09-2013 17:35

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

The OECD economic agency has sharply increased its growth forecast for the UK economy this year to 1.5% from an earlier estimate of 0.8%.

It said UK growth had gained momentum through the first half of the year.

The forecast came as a survey indicated that activity in the UK construction sector grew at its fastest pace for nearly six years in August.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-23944091

Looks like Ed Balls might need a new catchphrase not to mention a new strategy... :D

Sirius 03-09-2013 18:22

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35618208)
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-23944091

Looks like Ed Balls might need a new catchphrase not to mention a new strategy... :D

Bet you dont see the Labour faithful in this thread :LOL:

Osem 03-09-2013 18:40

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sirius (Post 35618231)
Bet you dont see the Labour faithful in this thread :LOL:

They're too busy blaming John Major for Brown turning PFI into an art form... :D

Sirius 03-09-2013 18:45

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35618248)
They're too busy blaming John Major for Brown turning PFI into an art form... :D


And throwing good old labour abuse about, this time it was not Bigot that was used :LOL:

Damien 04-09-2013 10:47

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Of course you're all completely impartial and not prone to bias....

Osem 04-09-2013 11:48

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Nobody is completely impartial. The interesting bit is debating the facts though. Something the aforementioned Labour supporters seem unwilling to do for some odd reason... :D

peanut 04-09-2013 11:56

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35618460)
Nobody is completely impartial. The interesting bit is debating the facts though. Something the aforementioned Labour supporters seem unwilling to do for some odd reason... :D

It really doesn't matter if I would agree with you or not anymore, that's besides the point now on this forum. It's just not worth the aggro so I think people like myself just let people like yourself to just get on with it .... again and again and again.... and again......and again.......Yaaawwwwnnnnnnnn..... :)

Osem 04-09-2013 12:04

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Sorry you're not happy about good news in the economy after so many years of gloom but it seems to me you've just done what you said you can't be bothered to do anymore. ;)

Damien 04-09-2013 12:12

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35618460)
Nobody is completely impartial. The interesting bit is debating the facts though. Something the aforementioned Labour supporters seem unwilling to do for some odd reason... :D

Well a lot of threads critising the Tories go awfully quiet. It happens both ways so don't see the need for mocking Labour supporters for doing the the same. Just keep to those facts :shrug:

Osem 04-09-2013 12:21

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
They tend to go quiet through lack of substance. ;) BTW we have a ConDem govt. not a Tory one.

---------- Post added at 13:21 ---------- Previous post was at 13:15 ----------

Meantime today's service sector figures show the highest growth since 2006 - let's hope it translates into more jobs sooner rather than later.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-23956192

Quote:

The UK service sector grew at its fastest pace in six years in August, according to the latest survey by Markit and the Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply (CIPS).

The business activity index registered 60.5 in August, the highest reading in more than six-and-a-half years.

It also showed that backlogs of work are running at the highest level in more than 13 years.

But despite the extra work, there was only a small increase in employment.

peanut 04-09-2013 12:22

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35618474)
Sorry you're not happy about good news in the economy after so many years of gloom but it seems to me you've just done what you said you can't be bothered to do anymore. ;)

Is that a separate question? If there's good news then yeah I think I should be happy shouldn't I? (Not that I've noticed anything personally). Or are you going to tell me differently again? Am I supposed to kiss Dave's arse now? And condemn Labour as evil doers.. Would that make it all the better for you?

Why do you bait everyone that doesn't vote the way you do and then laugh at them when anything happens? What do you really expect as a reply?

This is getting to a point where it's getting quite silly to me. Like I said it's much easier to let you just get on with it than to get involved.

Osem 04-09-2013 12:35

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Is that a separate question? If there's good news then yeah I think I should be happy shouldn't I? (Not that I've noticed anything personally). Or are you going to tell me differently again? Am I supposed to kiss Dave's arse now? And condemn Labour as evil doers.. Would that make it all the better for you?

Why do you bait everyone that doesn't vote the way you do and then laugh at them when anything happens? What do you really expect as a reply?

This is getting to a point where it's getting quite silly to me. Like I said it's much easier to let you just get on with it than to get involved.
Not really no. If you are a Labour supporter good luck with that. I just wondered if you were happy about good news from the OECD since you bothered to post in a thread you've now stated twice that you can no longer be bothered to post in.

If you want to kiss Dave's bum that's up to you and it makes no difference to me since I'm not a Tory member, supporter or even a particular Cameron fan. I'm just glad that after so much doom and gloom as a result of failed economic policy, we seem to be getting some good news at last. If HMG has got it right I don't care who they are, my main concern is that they appear to be putting right what went wrong under the last lot.

peanut 04-09-2013 12:38

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Or just maybe not many people are as excitable about this kind of news as you are. The baiting doesn't help though.

Osem 04-09-2013 12:41

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Then they're perfectly free to stay away from this thread. After all if they don't read threads such as this they can't be baited can they? On the other hand if they dispute the facts and are able to explain why/how then they can add to the debate.

Osem 13-11-2013 13:07

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Oh dear more bad news on the economy:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-24926512

For Messrs Miliband & Balls that is.

Quote:

Bank of England governor Mark Carney says the UK recovery has "taken hold" and unemployment will fall sooner than it had forecast.

The comments came in the Bank's latest quarterly inflation report, which raised the forecast for UK economic growth this year and next.

Mr Carney has said the Bank will not consider raising interest rates until the jobless rate falls to 7% or below.

On Wednesday, the UK unemployment rate was reported at 7.6%, down from 7.8%.

Growth for this year is forecast to be 1.6%, up from 1.4% previously thought, and for next year, annual growth is expected to be 2.8%, rather than the 2.5% it predicted in August

Doug P 13-11-2013 13:10

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Thank God they didn't try Balls' Plan B....

Osem 13-11-2013 13:15

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Doug P (Post 35644653)
Thank God they didn't try Balls' Plan B....

Oh you can be sure Labour have lots of plans - the trouble is they're all the same and involve spending and borrowing far too much... ;)

I must say I'm more than a little concerned about the housing market and can see the makings of a growing bubble in certain areas if not nationally. I hope someone has a plan to deal with what's going to happen when interest rates start to rise. :erm:

Maggy 13-11-2013 13:18

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35644659)
Oh you can be sure Labour have lots of plans - the trouble is they're all the same and involve spending and borrowing far too much... ;)

I must say I'm more than a little concerned about the housing market and can see the makings of a growing bubble in certain areas if not nationally. I hope someone has a plan to deal with what's going to happen when interest rates start to rise. :erm:

Yes I'm going to save more.

Osem 13-11-2013 13:21

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy J (Post 35644661)
Yes I'm going to save more.

Yes, it'd be nice if savers were at least rewarded for doing so. Borrowers have been doing very nicely thank you. Some say that debt. is the only 'asset' worth having these days... :D

martyh 13-11-2013 16:27

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
unless wages start to rise then that housing bubble the government just created will go bang very soon

Osem 13-11-2013 16:54

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
I'm hoping for a slowish hisssss.... ;)

martyh 13-11-2013 16:56

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35644780)
I'm hoping for a slowish hisssss.... ;)

the problem as i see it is that people are getting subsidised mortgages on low wages ,the cot of living is rising and shows no signs of dropping so unless people start getting higher wages then they will be stuck with mortgages they cannot afford .....sound kinda familiar

Osem 13-11-2013 17:02

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by martyh (Post 35644783)
the problem as i see it is that people are getting subsidised mortgages on low wages ,the cot of living is rising and shows no signs of dropping so unless people start getting higher wages then they will be stuck with mortgages they cannot afford .....sound kinda familiar

Yes it does ring a distant bell. :confused: Can't think why though... :rolleyes:

Sirius 13-11-2013 17:11

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Doug P (Post 35644653)
Thank God they didn't try Balls' Plan B....

It would have just been a complete Ball's up

downquark1 14-11-2013 14:04

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
The difference was so small that is was always a toss up between dip and flat line. And the difference has little real meaning except as political capital.

Chris 14-11-2013 14:17

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 35645194)
The difference was so small that is was always a toss up between dip and flat line. And the difference has little real meaning except as political capital.

You say that as if political capital were a trivial thing - I don't think it is. In truth, the definition of recession itself, as two consecutive quarters of negative growth is entirely arbitrary. But the designation has the power to decide the fates of politicians, parties, elections ...

Osem 14-11-2013 14:20

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35645202)
You say that as if political capital were a trivial thing - I don't think it is. In truth, the definition of recession itself, as two consecutive quarters of negative growth is entirely arbitrary. But the designation has the power to decide the fates of politicians, parties, elections ...

Which is why Balls was so keen for it to happen...

downquark1 14-11-2013 14:36

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35645202)
You say that as if political capital were a trivial thing - I don't think it is. In truth, the definition of recession itself, as two consecutive quarters of negative growth is entirely arbitrary. But the designation has the power to decide the fates of politicians, parties, elections ...

But the whole point of the word recession in political terms is to describe the handling of the economy, yes it's an arbitrary term for one thing in a greater picture.

"Not in a recession" is not the same thing as "everything is fine". The difference is literary 0.1% and since economists don't seem to add error estimates to their numbers this may be smaller than reliable precision (so it's still a toss up).

I have heard a joke for situations like this:

The US press secretary announces that the latest death toll from Iraq is 3000 Arabs and one dentist so the press instantly ask about the dentist.

Osem 20-12-2013 11:28

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

The UK economy is growing faster than previously estimated, according to the latest official figures.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said gross domestic product was up 0.8% in the July-to-September period compared with the previous quarter, confirming its previous estimate.

But it revised its growth figures for earlier quarters.

This means the estimated annual growth rate has now risen from 1.5% to 1.9%, a revision that has surprised economists.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-25461227

Looks like 'Plan A' worked after all eh Ed?...

martyh 20-12-2013 11:45

Re: Official: There was no double-dip recession
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35656416)
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-25461227

Looks like 'Plan A' worked after all eh Ed?...

Indeed, while the government are sorting the economy out Miliband thinks that banning a particular type of gambling will fix things

http://news.sky.com/story/1185226/mi...ne-of-gambling


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