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80mph speed limit 'would increase deaths by 20%'
"Using the most widely accepted statistical model, drawn up by a Norwegian academic using data from 100 studies in more than a dozen countries, an increase in average traffic speeds of just 3mph – a typical change for a 10mph rise – would be expected to cause more than 25 extra deaths a year on motorways and more than 100 serious injuries."
Full story here courtesy of the Graduian. Play nice. |
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Average traffic speeds through Birmingham have probably increased by 3 mph since the introduction of managed motorway technology. Have we seen an extra 25 deaths on this stretch?
The article is meaningless without more detail on the starting speed limit & new speed limit in each of the cases. Weather conditions can also have an effect, 50 can be too fast in a 70 area in poor conditions... |
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I think the speed limit should rise to 80mph on motorways and large dual carriage ways, most people do 80 anyway already.
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Speed limits don`t kill, It`s the stupid arses behind the wheel that cause the damage and mayhem.!:erm:
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i supose it depends how many of these extra deaths would be pensioners or unemployed / disabled to see if it was finacialy a good move in the economic situation ;)
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perhaps then, we should look at the quality and time we spend on learner drivers. perhaps if a law was brought in whereby a new driver cannot take any practical driving test within the first 40 hours of starting to drive. reduce the costs of the hourly rate as an across-the-board rule to ensure that the relative (i use the term loosely!) affordability of learning to drive is maintained. make the law for being allowed to drive more like the law for learning to fly, where one has to have a certain number of hours in control of a vehicle before one is allowed to 'go solo'. perhaps even introduce a 2 tier system for testing. the first test enables a driver on roads up to 40mph and the second, more advanced test 6 months after for roads up to motorway speeds and sizes.
as said, it's not the speed that is the problem. it's those who think they can either handle the speed, or are just idiots when behind the wheel. why punish everyone because of the few numpties out there and not even bother looking at the root causes? |
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Personally I feel there needs to be better studies widespread generalisation like these models inacurate due to most death down to factors not black & white. More down to history of road, location tyoe traffic volume. Type accident ie cause and vehicles involved. Some parts of country motorway network could be safe to do so.
I would like to see programme to bring about reducing cars with less encap safety marks. All models tested marked with programme to reduce the weak off the road. I drive car which is very poor encap showed may as well not drive with seatbelt got more chance survival if thrown from the vehicle. It literally folds in half servere head chest leg injuries which would likely result in death according to the tests. I would feel totally unsafe outside town. Surely a car with 5 encap would cope with 80m but then that depends who hits you. It also depends on conditions whether 80m is safe. I always felt road speed should be electronic adjust accordingly not just on motorways but all roads. That would reduce acidents more takes the guessing what safe but then it needs better weather localised forcasting. I hate those studies all fits one shoe type affairs they too generalised dont go deep enough. |
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One thing that I was thinking of only yesterday whilst driving down the A15, was the fact that HGV's have a speed limit of 40mph on single carriageways, although the speed limit for cars is 60mph. This leads to some car drivers often taking risks to overtake the HGV's. And as I witnessed several times yesterday, many tond take into account 1) the length of the vehicle they are overtaking, and therefore the time it tales to pass, 2) blind bends, 3) blind summits, 4) junctions. Quite often it is just pure luck that the overtakers don't cause a serious accident. Now the question is, would it be safer to increase the HGV limit on these roads to 60mph, as this would probably mean less cars overtaking them?? Or would this be cancelled out by the fact that the HGV's are moving faster?? ---------- Post added at 21:46 ---------- Previous post was at 21:42 ---------- Quote:
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What is it they say ?
Lies, damn lies & statistics ..... Someone somewhere will usually provide a "study" to prove pretty much anything you want. |
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---------- Post added at 22:01 ---------- Previous post was at 21:57 ---------- Some Fire Services have started a scheme where they visit 15 to 18 year olds at schools and colleges. And through videos, lectures, and practical demonstrations, they hope to scare teenagers out of becoming boy (or girl) racers. |
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I can't see that having much of an effect. For some people, driving fast and dangerously makes them feel alive, it's almost a mini-rush. All the education in the world won't make much of a difference if they're susceptible to that sort of experience.
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I'm sure tracking devices will be beneficial to road safety but they'll never make a serious dent in the accident figures IMO. They won't do anything to affect the statistics of accidents caused by joyriders. |
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I think we need to address the standard of driving in the UK as well. I drove over 2500 miles in the US earlier this year, in both good & very bad weather. I never once had any road rage from fools on the road. I'd only been back in the UK & on the road for about 15 minutes when I had some idiot driving erratically and cutting me up.
As for the speed limit. I don't actually believe the Government argument that it will help the economy due to less time for deliveries etc. Many police forces already run an unofficial policy of speed limits above the legal 70MPH we now have. I could name one that operates at up to 86MPH. As others have stated deaths, crashes etc are not solely down to speed. It is more about education drivers to drive at the appropriate speed for the road, conditions, number of vehicles etc etc. |
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Most of the medicines we take have been tested to these standards, why not road safety? |
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Like it or not, we have drivers of varying age, experience and ability on our roads and the relevant rules/regulations need to reflect that fact. I've lost count how many times I've heard someone defending their own speeding and aggressive driving by claiming they and their cars are up to it so it's all perfectly safe. But what about those who aren't up to it, whose vehicles aren't so capable? What about those who're nervous, have slower reactions and/or respond unpredictably? We don't drive in isolation and what we do on the roads should reflect not only our abilities but make allowance for those around us who may not see things or react in quite the same way. It seems to me that many of the most serious incidents on our roads appear to happen due to freak events in the blink of an eye but in reality are caused by drivers overestimating their own skills, ignoring the highway code and not taking sufficient accout of what's going on around them whether that be the prevailing weather or other road users.
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The only things that will work are education or enforcement. If you educate people with something that really sticks in their mind, then it does tend to work. And if you scare someone, then they tend to never forget it. |
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It is a bit of a sweeping statement to say that you can't educate people with ADHD. Well you can, but it is harder to do. If you scare them enough, then you will be surprised what effect you can have. |
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This is just one example of a video that actually has many students in tears, and will probably stay will them for their whole lives: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zGsw3xneor8 You seem intelligent enough, that such images would probably have stuck with you, and probably would have made a difference. You use undertaking as an example. Well if they saw the consequences of undertaking, then they would probably be less likely to do it. |
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Well I drive on the motorway everyday.
I would ban lorrys from lane 2 to 4 in the rain. ---------- Post added at 13:10 ---------- Previous post was at 13:08 ---------- Speed doesn't kill, it's the pratts behind the wheel who drive outside their skill level. |
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I see no benefit in increasing the limit to 80mph |
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l agree totally. |
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The comment that l would make on this, is that no matter what limit you place on roads or motorway's you have have someone breaking it.
The worst time of speeding is when it is bad weather, and l know l shouldn't say it, but l have no sympathy with people who end up fatally injured, l feel sorry for the people who get killed as a result of stupid drivers. I have been driving for the past thirty years, and what l have seen would make your blood boil. |
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The obvious country to use as an example where undertaking works well is the US. However there roads are much larger than ours & then is an advantage to the procedure. Even on UK motorways due to the volume of vehicles & smaller size of lanes etc & also our habit of driving close I think if undertaking became the norm there would be more collisions. |
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Most drivers fail to adjust their maximum speed to suit the driving conditions. This is often exacerbated by an inability to leave a reasonable distance between vehicles whcih unfortunately is made worse by our congested roads where if you do try an leave a gap someone else will fill it for you.
I was once told a statistic (which we all know can be manipulated) that in Surry 2% of serious accidents had drink as a factor, but 38% had speed as a factor (you could have more than one factor in the accident). Of course it's too much speed for the circumstances, not just breaking the limit. And that comes from driver judgement, or lack of. In France some of their autoroutes do have a variable limit. It's signposted but not electronically enforced as we see on some of our congested systems on the M25 and around Birmingham. They allow 130km/h when it's dry but reduice to 110km/h in poor conditions. The question would probably be what determines poor? |
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Why do we not go back to the horse drawn carts and then this thread would be redundant, People should stick to the speed limits and also take due care and attention of the driving conditions as well.
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I think the limit should be raised to 100mph for cars and motorbikes should not be limited at all in national limit zones.
Well that's how I act anyway, would be nice if it was legal |
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As he was travelling back at 6am in the morning some one came down the slip road straight in to the middle lane and clipped the bike he was on. It put him straight in to the central reservation and killed him straight out (so the coroner said). I think that the speed limit should be the same as it is now. |
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and you would feel the same should you kill someone ?. Your post is the exact reason why the limit should not be raised because if you drive/ride like that now should the limit be raised you would just go faster putting more lives at risk |
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If we all drove defensively, then roads would be a far safer place. |
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Bearing this in mind, perhaps you can quote the relevant paragraph from the Highway Code? |
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Of course you would ,Your assesment of the conditions at any given time are not the same as other road users .You will continue to drive/ride as fast as you can without any concideration for other road users untill you either kill yourself or more importantly someone else |
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....and therein lies the problem. A proportion of people drive as fast/aggressively as they can get away with and justify their actions on the basis that they're safe drivers - it's only other people who're a risk. Even when the inevitable happens and they're involved in an accident, many will blame the other drivers, conveniently overlooking that driving safely is about making allowances for the unexpected by, for example slowing down, keeping a safe distance etc. in order to mitigate the effects of what in itself might be a minor error of judgement by someone but which could, nonetheless, cause carnage.
A motorcyclist and self confessed serial speeder once asked me with some indignance, 'how on earth can I intimidate the driver of a 2 ton lump of metal?' He just didn't seem to be able to appreciate that seeing someone hurtling towards you in your rear view mirror and/or being overtaken/undertaken at high speed is in the least bit worrying, intimidating or possibly even mistake inducing. Frankly it's that sort of attitude and tunnel vision which accounts for many of the deaths we see on our roads amongst both drivers and bikers. |
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So kindly get off your high horse. |
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Is your driving impeccable in all areas? I would wager it isn't, I would also argue that as I haven't killed anyone, and I presume you haven't, that the odds are fairly equal on us both potentially killing some one. Quote:
Although I drive at speed sometimes I am always considerate to other road users, if only other road users were considerate to motorcyclists - how safer the roads would be then |
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Accidents do happen even when the drivers are driving to the conditions of the road and within limits ,people will die or get badly injured .The limits are there as a compromise between getting from A-B in a timely fashion and as safely as possible ,they are not a target to be reached and passed . |
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maybe a better resolution to the problem would be to have separate speed limits for each lane; 60, 70 and 80. Its a system used in the EU and it works from what i experienced when over there myself
at the moment, the "fast lane" is limited to 60, so to use it as the "fast lane" and overtake people, you would be replying on people in the middle and inside lanes to be doing slower than 60, so the lanes would have to be 40, 50, 60. and i mean 50 is slow enough on the motorway, never mind 40 All they need to do is legalise what currently happens on the road which is the 60, 70, 80 system i mentioned above |
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How do you think a judge would react to someone saying "I am always considerate to other road users", when standing in the dock for killing a child?? I have to deal with the results of people with the same attitude as people like you on a regular basis. ---------- Post added at 09:35 ---------- Previous post was at 09:32 ---------- Quote:
The national speed limit is 70mph |
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but then someone will throw percentages into the equation. a factor where so many accidents is little in comparism to how many cars there are on the road. which would mean that the driving at high speed accidents is probably an even smaller factor in comparism to driving at normal speed. |
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I will quite happily drive at 100mph on a motorway, in the dry, when it's not too busy and visibility is good. I wont do 100mph on a country lane in the wet at night. I adhere to 30&40 limits in built up areas. Most likely cause of an accident I witness daily is inattention on the motorway, just because you indicate doesn't mean you can pull out. Quote:
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Point of the question was? |
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Modern vehicles are designed with many safetly features. These include: Progressive crumple zones which are designed to absorb the impact. And a safety shell surrounding the passenger compartment. SRS systems including mutiple airbags (some are dual activation), not just in the steering wheel and dashboard, but in many other places like seats, foot wells, and side impact curtain air bags. Some cars have up to 13 air bags. Not forgetting seat belt pretensioners, steering wheels that move away from the driver, and head rests that move forward to protect from whiplash. However, all of the above are designed to protect us at normal road speeds, and not at 100mph+ speeds. If it wasn't for all the above, then it would be quite common that 30mph accidents would be fatal. When a vehicle comes to a sudden stop, our bodies try to continue moving forward. But our bodies are held in place by seat belts etc. So our internal organd try to continue moving forward. Without any crumple zones to slow the impact down, our internal organs would try to continue moving forward at the speed the car was moving at. This can lead to massive internal injuries, including wat is more common than most people realise, the heart becoming severed from the main artery (which leads to almost instant death). In an impact at speeds of 100mph+, the crumple zones can't slow the impact down enough. So in a very high number of accidents at 100mph+, the result is fatal. Not forgetting that the reaction distance is huge, so it becomes very difficult to avoid the accident in the first place (no matter how good a driver you think you are). Also accident are far more likely if one vehicle is travelling far quicker than the others. |
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50mph into a 90deg blind corner on a country road will get you, or someone, killed - but you haven't exceeded the limit. Whereas 75-80 on the same road where is straightens out and you have good visibility for a mile or two is perfectly safe. I said I drive fast....not stupid. And I'm afraid it's numbskulls such as yourself and Mr Deegan that can't differentiate between the two. Accidents do happen even when the drivers are driving to the conditions of the road and within limits ,people will die or get badly injured .The limits are there as a compromise between getting from A-B in a timely fashion and as safely as possible ,they are not a target to be reached and passed . |
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The fact is that when people look in their mirror before pulling out, they may see a car 200m behind them. But they won't expect that car to be travelling so fast that they are smashing into the back of them within a matter of seconds. Quote:
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Are you trained to drive safely on public roads, at high speed?? |
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even those with certificates kill people. Suppose it was possible for someone to get a certificate by paying for the course. and then he turned around and said I drive fast on the roads and I have the required certificate that says I have had the training and says I am competent. and then someone says are you a policeman or an emergency vehicle driver? and he says no. that person will say well it don't count because only them people are safe drivers. we are crazy people. |
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So what happens when our 100mph plus speeder loses control due to, say, a tyre blowout, falling asleep, suffering a heart attack, getting distracted by something or whatever? Do his clearly superior driving abilities and reactions allow him to prevent his car overturning and careering out of control into oncoming traffic? Do they prevent the wreckage of his destroyed vehicle becoming an instant and serious threat to all the other motorists using that road at the time? Even if his car and reactions are up to it, what about those mere mortal road users who're suddenly confronted with the result of his actions? The car careering towards them or the wreckage all over the road? Does our super driver know how they're going to react and what might happen to them? Does that even matter to him? Of course, such events can happen at 70mph but there's no doubt that the higher the speed, the less time there is for the driver and other road users to react to any event and the more likely it is that the outcome will be fatal. Yes in the modern world it is about getting a sensible balance between speed and safety and IMHO the current limit is just that but I wouldn't object to a slightly lower limit.
Those who want to speed and choose which laws they obey would be doing the rest of us a big favour by confining their actions to private roads or tracks where the only people they can hurt are themselves. |
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It isn't safe for anyone to drive on public highways, at excessive speeds, without blue lights and sirens to warn other road users. ---------- Post added at 15:49 ---------- Previous post was at 15:46 ---------- Quote:
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They should remember that the biggest killer on the roads isn't alcohol, it's over inflated egos, and over inflated views of ones own ability. ---------- Post added at 15:55 ---------- Previous post was at 15:53 ---------- Quote:
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no problem. we can get some lights and a siren. Quote:
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nobody is safe on the roads whether they be edeserted** or not without this certificate in their back pocket and a switch that operates a genuine police siren, a set of genuine blue lights, inside an official assigned vehicle? Quote:
but if it was a blue one then the skill involved must surely be partly due to the public being aware of it. would you say that turning his blue light off would reduce his skill at all? Quote:
*discussion. ** haven't got a clue. I'm still wondering what it is I supposed to have said. |
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So it is impossible to drive safely at 100mph+ without a means of warning other road users. Quote:
Blues and twos don't improve your skills, they make the situation safer by making other road users aware that there is another vehicle with a huge speed differential to them. However, there are many people who have an over inflated belief in their own driving skills. I hear comments all the time about people believing that they are skilled drivers, so the collision couldn't possible have been their fault (even when it was). And other people saying that they can drive safely whilst using their mobile. Well apparently you are 4x more likely to be in an accident whilst using a mobile than you are drinking and driving (sorry I hate stats too). ---------- Post added at 12:10 ---------- Previous post was at 12:08 ---------- Quote:
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That's probably the difference between us, I have full confidence in my ability and control of my vehicle, if you're a nervous driver.... Have you considered public transport? Leave the roads for those that are in control Quote:
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If you aren't, then your over confidence makes you dangerous. ---------- Post added at 13:16 ---------- Previous post was at 13:13 ---------- Quote:
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On the contrary it is I that find your views ignorant. I shall waste my time with you no more. Just remember to reflect and take a good sniff of what you're shovelling once in a while. |
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Have a simulator that can give some idea of impacts at slower speeds then get them to work it out at more realistic speeds. Get some onto track and show how easy it is to loose control, especially in the wet/icy/dirt/rough road. Especially in the sort of car they are likely to own/drive. |
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I think some people are taking this far too seriously.
some think that anyone in uniform in an official government vehicle are superior drivers, and all others are useless too. some think that having this certificate makes you a superior driver, and not having one means you're useless. some think that we should have a TV show where the useless and the superior compete. but only the superior are allowed blue lights. the useless have to have purple. :) |
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Bless....
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we have got to teach ourselves at the moment about people who drive at 80mph that they are no longer seen as a social misfit. our government really knows how to pull our strings, don't they. |
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Won't matter what the speed limit is soon anyway. The roads will be too congested to do more than 30 regardless.
However, I will side with those who say speed does not kill. It will always be failing to drive to the road conditions at speed that causes the problems. I regularly travel with someone who seems to have one speed - 40mph. He has been stopped for speeding in the same place (a wide road with good visibility) 3 times on the trot. Yet for most of the time he is well under the speed limit. |
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No it's not the actual speed that kills..It's driving at higher speeds NOSE TO TAIL that is the biggest danger.
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It's quite simple, no matter how skilled you think you are at driving, it is never going to be safe to drive at 100mph+ without any form of warning system. It doesn't take a genius to work that out. ---------- Post added at 17:46 ---------- Previous post was at 17:44 ---------- Quote:
Apart from that you are spot on. Did you see the youtube clip I posted earlier in the thread? |
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I used to do motor racing, but just being skilled on the race track doesn't prepare you for obsticals, other drivers, oil spills, traffic coming at you head on, junctions, or drivers who panic. Quote:
No it doesn't mean you are useless if you aren't qualified at all. My point was that people shouldn't have an inflated belief of their skills, unless they have been tested. Quote:
There have been many programs testing peoples driving skills. And guess what, it's usually the cocky, over confident ones who are the worst drivers. ---------- Post added at 18:18 ---------- Previous post was at 17:58 ---------- Quote:
I can't see the limit being raised to 100mph, but if it was then there wouldn't be a big speed differential making those driving at those speeds as dangerous. ---------- Post added at 18:24 ---------- Previous post was at 18:18 ---------- Quote:
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Re: 80mph speed limit 'would increase deaths by 20%'
Lets get one thing straight, the roads are dangerous places made more dangerous by idiots driving outside of one or more of, their skill/their vehicles capabilities/the conditions. On the back of that there are several points:
- Speed is a factor in 100% accidents in that, as has been pointed out, the slower you go the lesser the affects to the point that if nobody was moving there would not have been an accident. This is why any quote of speed is a factor in X% of accidents is a joke and just a fallback of lazy accident investigators/reporters. Excessive speed for the conditions is another matter but is not a fixed value and is very difficult to prove (driver/vehicle/road surface/environment etc) despite being noted down as the easy option in many cases where it was not the root cause. - If the motorway speed limit was 60 we would be having the exact same argument with the same people about why we shouldn't raise it to 70. Taking the lowest common denominator for the standard of driving as many people state, we should have a maximum speed limit of 30 across the board but this would be seen as silly and going overboard due to the impact on peoples day to day lives and the economy. - Having a blow out or other failure at 50, 60, 70 or 80+ isn't going to make a whole lot of difference to your average driver in most vehicles on the road today as people don't know what to do in such a situation anyway which will lead to loss of control of the vehicle. On a separated carriageway like a motorway all traffic should be flowing within 30mph or so of each other making any impact significantly less than 80mph into a brick wall. If people don't see a stationary object in front of them then they are either not looking ahead or are driving too quick for the conditions at which we come back to my second point and may as well lower all speed limits to 30 to make sure this worst case is survivable. - Pedestrians should be a none issue in this discussion as they are banned on motorways and people on the hard shoulder are advised to get back behind the guard rail. As background I have been in an accident caused by a blowout that nearly took my life (classic car, 70mph dual carriageway, no guard rails & trees) and therefore know the risks, I have been on track and taken my vehicles to their and my limits in various conditions. I know my limits, my vehicles limits, how to handle the car under adverse conditions such as certain failures and when control is not possible & I drive under the speed limit when required by conditions like ice and fog. Several of you however would still paint me as some form of reckless idiot that wants to kill people because I believe some speed limits like those on the motorway could be safely raised. Speed limits are a blunt force weapon that loses effectiveness as vehicles become more safe, and at speed where the difference between 70 and 80 is significantly less than that between 30 and 40. In my opinion the real answer for further increasing road safety is through Education. Education in vehicle handling in adverse conditions (learning to recognise where the limits are and what to do when you are past them e.g. Finland), reading the road ahead and general courtesy towards other road users. |
Re: 80mph speed limit 'would increase deaths by 20%'
There you go Tim & Martyn, here's another crazy idiot..... :rolleyes:
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Re: 80mph speed limit 'would increase deaths by 20%'
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Re: 80mph speed limit 'would increase deaths by 20%'
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I certainly can't argue against such reasoned and well thought out point. Well done! |
Re: 80mph speed limit 'would increase deaths by 20%'
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was it just a common sense approach put into action? if that 'policeman' was able to teach others then there has to be others that are capable of fitting the grade without having to get the training. I was watching someone play a game on the Xbox the other day. Halo3 I think it was. he had to go through training. "look up.. good" "look down..excellent. I think you're ready" Quote:
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just the saame as it would be a big difference if it was 40 compared to 30. Quote:
so when does speed become dangerous then. you've lost me. And please don't say anything about certificates, blue flashing lights, sirens or training. |
Re: 80mph speed limit 'would increase deaths by 20%'
There's a very big difference between believing and arguing that limits could/should be raised and ignoring the current legal limits on the basis that it suits. I'd be all for more driver education and better enforcement of both reckless speeding and other aspects of damgerous driving but until that happens and those speeders who tailgate and try to intimidate other drivers out of their way are forced off the roads one way or another, higher speed limits arern't what's required. That prospect may annoy those who feel they're the better drivers amongst us but I'm afraid it's a price we all have to pay for using public roads upon which there are drivers of varying abilities/attitudes and a wide range of vehicles some of which are far better/safer/better maintained than others. Adjusting national limits upwards to suit those who believe they're la creme de la creme and their vehicles simply puts everyone else at extra risk and I have to say that, when it comes to driving, some folks I have met not only have a very inflated opinion of their own abilities but a correspondingly low opinion of everyone else's.
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Re: 80mph speed limit 'would increase deaths by 20%'
IMHO just because somebody has a bit of paper that say they have done advanced driving doesn't mean thay are better than somebody who hasn't.
I looked into doing this but the cost to do it and the price my car insurance would fall was a joke. |
Re: 80mph speed limit 'would increase deaths by 20%'
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Why not use germany as an example of how dangerous it is? |
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