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Osem 05-02-2010 08:39

Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Thought the economic crisis was over? Well, it'll be interesting to see how this pans out:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/f...-Portugal.html

Quote:

“the biggest trouble spot isn’t Greece, it’s Spain”. He blamed EMU’s one-size-fits-all monetary system, which has left the country with no defence against an adverse shock. The Madrid’s IBEX index fell 6pc.
Maybe we're lucky we're not in the Euro zone right now.

RizzyKing 05-02-2010 09:54

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
I think most of the so called develpoed economies were far too dependent on debt for the boom we had and we all knew it had to come back and bite us at sometime we just didn't think it would be so soon. That and the fact that no government seemed to have anything in place to deal with the mess when it hit has shown us all up a bit i think.

Ignitionnet 09-02-2010 16:45

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 34958409)
Thought the economic crisis was over? Well, it'll be interesting to see how this pans out:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/f...-Portugal.html

Maybe we're lucky we're not in the Euro zone right now.

Actually no, thanks to article 122 in the Lisbon Treaty which Broon forgot to ask us if we wanted we can be required to contribute to any EU bailout fund for them. Will cost the UK upwards of 7bn pounds for Greece alone if it comes to it.

Just to also add, there would be no large scale democratic decision within the European Parliament as to whether or not to bail Greece out, MEPs would be informed of the decision by the President of the Council of 47, they would make the decision, one country, one vote, then countries with larger GDPs get the bill. There's democracy for you.

Quote:

2. Where a Member State is in difficulties or is seriously threatened with severe difficulties
caused by natural disasters or exceptional occurrences beyond its control, the Council, on a
proposal from the Commission, may grant, under certain conditions, Union financial assistance
to the Member State concerned. The President of the Council shall inform the European
Parliament of the decision taken.

chris9991 09-02-2010 16:51

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Can that bailout fund be granted without unanimous support from all member states?

nomadking 09-02-2010 16:54

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Quote:

'natural disasters or exceptional occurrences beyond its control'
Not sure how that would apply.

I'm sure that the countries that wouldn't have to pay and will probably want the same freebies coming their way, will vote for it.

Taf 09-02-2010 17:10

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Quote:

The European Union has moved to avoid an imminent currency crisis in the eurozone by putting Greece up for sale on the auction website eBay.

The surprise move has allayed fears on the international money markets and bidding has been fierce, with several anonymous bidders competing to win the Mediterranean country, whose price tag currently stands at £155.60.

The Turkish government has hinted that it is one of the bidders. ‘We’ve had our eye on an extension to the west for a while,’ said Turkish prime minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan. ‘But we spent quite a lot over Christmas on DVDs and a couple of bits of gym equipment, so we won’t bid too much on this one.’

The British Museum is also said to be interested in acquiring Greece to add to its collection. ‘They wouldn’t shut up about the Elgin Marbles,’ said Museum Director Neil MacGregor, ’so if we win this, we can just squeeze the rest of Greece in to the galleries and everyone’s a winner.’
http://www.newsbiscuit.com/2010/02/0...-sale-on-ebay/

Pierre 09-02-2010 18:27

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
ooh!!

Sudden realisation that lumping economies such as Greece in with the likes of France and Germany was a bad idea shock!!!!!!!

Ignitionnet 09-02-2010 18:29

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by chris9991 (Post 34961086)
Can that bailout fund be granted without unanimous support from all member states?

Majority vote quite acceptable.

Osem 09-02-2010 20:49

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Broadbandings (Post 34961080)
Actually no, thanks to article 122 in the Lisbon Treaty which Broon forgot to ask us if we wanted we can be required to contribute to any EU bailout fund for them. Will cost the UK upwards of 7bn pounds for Greece alone if it comes to it.

Just to also add, there would be no large scale democratic decision within the European Parliament as to whether or not to bail Greece out, MEPs would be informed of the decision by the President of the Council of 47, they would make the decision, one country, one vote, then countries with larger GDPs get the bill. There's democracy for you.

Oh yes well we all know we'll wind up paying one way or another but my point was about not being in the Euro Zone and being hamstrung by it.

Ignitionnet 09-02-2010 21:48

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 34961258)
Oh yes well we all know we'll wind up paying one way or another but my point was about not being in the Euro Zone and being hamstrung by it.

Fair point, due to being in the Euro Zone those countries can't use the normal economic mechanisms such as devaluation to deal with issues.

Why the hell Greece was even let in is a mystery, their economy couldn't even pretend to be in a fit state, though if we hold Greece up for that we'd also have to call out Italy and others. Triumph of European expansionism over prudence.

nomadking 09-02-2010 22:00

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
IIRC Germany didn't even fit the criteria for entry into the Euro, and so the rules were bent.

Osem 10-02-2010 21:55

Will we ever get a straight answer from Gordon Brown??
 
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/f...ut-Greece.html

Unsurprisingly when he was asked about this Brown gave an answer to an entirely diffeRent question:

Quote:

Gisela Stuart, a former Labour Europe Minister, asked Mr Brown: "Could you confirm that any negotiations involving a bail-out for the Greek economy will be completely confined to eurozone countries and will have no impact on the UK?"

Mr Brown said support was available at an "international level" under the G20 agreement and added: “If the euro area wishes to move ahead with a proposal, that is for the euro area," he added.
As categoric as ever then... :rolleyes:

I have a strange feeling that UK PLC will be forking out rather a lot of money very shortly.....

Now perhaps all those idiots who saw the value of joing the Euro being all about not having to change holiday currency quite so often and labelled all Eurosceptics as little Englander xenophobes will see that EMU was ill-conceived from the start!

nomadking 10-02-2010 22:37

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
The UK will not be allowed to be involved in the negotiations/decisions but will be 'allowed' to pay for it.

Osem 11-02-2010 08:07

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 34962017)
The UK will not be allowed to be involved in the negotiations/decisions but will be 'allowed' to pay for it.

Sad but very probably true. Now where are all those pro Euro folks hiding? They all gone quiet.....

Russell Winder 11-02-2010 09:46

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
I hear that they will impose a "Robin Hood" tax on kebabs, 5p per kebab, to cover Greece's debts. Mandy, bless him, came with a catchy name for it "greasy tax is good for your health"!

Osem 11-02-2010 09:54

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Perhaps, before the tax payers of other nations start footing the bill, the Greek 'government' could start cracking on on the massive tax evasion which seems to be endemic there:

http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisf...reou-austerity

Russell Winder 11-02-2010 09:58

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Have you seen a builder/plumber/sparky pay tax/Vat on anything in the UK? Cash in hand no?

And British Airspace has not given brown bags of cash (ok suitcases) to Saudis that could easily cover Portugal's debt?

Osem 11-02-2010 10:13

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Russell Winder (Post 34962125)
Have you seen a builder/plumber/sparky pay tax/Vat on anything in the UK? Cash in hand no?

And British Airspace has not given brown bags of cash (ok suitcases) to Saudis that could easily cover Portugal's debt?

Well I'd be delighted if Gordon Brown would crack down on tax evaders here too. But what has that got to do with the Greeks and the action their government should be taking to reduce their massive debt?..

Derek 11-02-2010 10:16

Re: Will we ever get a straight answer from Gordon Brown??
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 34961978)
I have a strange feeling that UK PLC will be forking out rather a lot of money very shortly.....

It's OK. The badger himself has ruled out the UK having to contribute.

http://news.sky.com/skynews/Home/Bus..._The_Continent

Quote:

However, the Chancellor Alistair Darling has said Britain has "no plans" with such a cash injection and added that it was a Eurozone problem.
And seeing this government has never talked tough then changed their minds* we can all sleep soundly knowing our tax dollars go to bankers in the UK and not in Europe.

* Obviously not counting the Afghan hijackers, getting marched to cashpoints to pay fines etc. etc.

nomadking 11-02-2010 10:29

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Actually, nobody has made plans to handover any money at this time, they are just talking about it. It can therefore be argued that he is telling the 'truth' at this moment in time.:rolleyes:

nomadking 11-02-2010 10:48

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
But 'exceptional occurrences beyond its control' doesn't apply.

Osem 13-02-2010 20:40

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Well the Greeks aren't too impressed with the EU's rescue plan:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/europe/8513430.stm

The EU's in between a rock and a hard place here isn't it? A fundamental design flaw's been exposed I think....

BBKing 13-02-2010 22:11

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Quote:

It may not be in his hands due to all the soverignty we've signed away.
Can you back that up? No, you can't.

We've got our own central bank and our own currency, both of of which are ours and which we control. They're ours, in other words. In the light of how poorly the ECB has responded to the economic crisis this now seems rather a good idea. On the other hand, the Greek problems are dragging the Euro down, which makes the pound less competitive. This is a bad thing, so perversely it's in our interests for Greece to get a good thumping bailout in order to steady the Euro at a higher rate v. the pound.

BTW the Eurozone is being dragged along by France. Everywhere else is basically in trouble still - the Germans only managed flat GDP last quarter and no one's got a plan to get them spending any money (Germans are historically large savers and are sitting on a lot of cash - the memory of hyperinflation is still strong, of course, so they're reluctant to fuel inflation by encouraging people to spend it, in much the same way as they're reluctant to bail Greece out. Unfortunately the best thing for the Euro would be to spend some of the big saver's money keeping the little guys afloat, otherwise you end up tearing the zone apart due to inflationary pressures in France threatening the necessary deflations in Greece etc.).

Basically Spain, Portugal and Greece are all suffering from the effects of paying people too much during the boom. Since they can't devalue their currency (since unlike the UK they don't run it) they have to deflate the economy by cutting spending, cutting incomes and increasing tax take. This is not fun and doesn't help them get out of recession *at all* - the only way to do that in a hurry is to invest public money in the economy.

In other words, all you Eurosceptics can have a jolly good laugh. Then thank Gordon Brown for opposing UK entry into the Euro.

Chris 13-02-2010 22:29

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by BBKing (Post 34963332)
thank Gordon Brown for opposing UK entry into the Euro.

It's a real pity that this one towering achievement will for all time be overshadowed by ... well ... just about everything else.

Osem 14-02-2010 20:42

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Thank Gordon Brown?? Do me a favour! Brown was in favour of joining the Euro 'in principle':

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/1432...principle.html

He was only concerned about economic conditions NOT the fundamental inflexibilities of EMU which are now being exposed for all but the politically blinkered to see.....

Chris 14-02-2010 23:02

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 34963845)
Thank Gordon Brown?? Do me a favour! Brown was in favour of joining the Euro 'in principle':

I don't think many people seriously believe that to be true. He was simply toeing the cabinet line with one foot, whilst kicking the whole thing into touch with the other: that same article makes a big thing about the five economic tests. Those tests were drawn up to be as vague as required; Brown could have claimed the British economy 'passed' them had he wanted to.

Osem 15-02-2010 12:37

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 34963934)
I don't think many people seriously believe that to be true. He was simply toeing the cabinet line with one foot, whilst kicking the whole thing into touch with the other: that same article makes a big thing about the five economic tests. Those tests were drawn up to be as vague as required; Brown could have claimed the British economy 'passed' them had he wanted to.

I agree entirely. My point was that Brown apparently didn't view the practicalities of the EMU 'straightjacket' as an issue to be worried about.

budwieser 15-02-2010 19:28

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
How comes we can hand out money left right and centre to others but when we need some help or a bit of support from other countries or the E,U, We get sweet FA?.
I`snt it true that we pay a hefty contribution to the E.U coffers?
What do we get back for it? Can anybody explain that to me please?:erm:

Osem 15-02-2010 21:01

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by budwieser (Post 34964500)
How comes we can hand out money left right and centre to others but when we need some help or a bit of support from other countries or the E,U, We get sweet FA?.
I`snt it true that we pay a hefty contribution to the E.U coffers?
What do we get back for it? Can anybody explain that to me please?:erm:

Some say it's the price we pay for all that 'cultural enrichment'.... :D

---------- Post added at 22:01 ---------- Previous post was at 20:37 ----------

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/8516730.stm

Hmmm... the Greeks are still in the dark about their EU 'rescue'. This doesn't inspire much confidence in EU solidarity does it...

Earl of Bronze 15-02-2010 22:44

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by budwieser (Post 34964500)
How comes we can hand out money left right and centre to others but when we need some help or a bit of support from other countries or the E,U, We get sweet FA?.
I`snt it true that we pay a hefty contribution to the E.U coffers?
What do we get back for it? Can anybody explain that to me please?:erm:

If my memory serves me correctly, the UK pays one of the highest yearly contributions to the EU. yet has always received far less in return, than any other country in the EU is the way of subsidies.... This was the reason that Maggy Thatcher was able to secure the yearly EU rebate and the veto/opt-out for the UK....

Such a shame that Tony Bliar gave away the rebate, and most of the opt-out powers for bugger all return. Yes, Tony Bliar was a consumate richard head.... I mean politician, with the UK's best interests at the forefront of his Poodle like little brain..... :rolleyes:

Derek 15-02-2010 23:01

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Earl of Bronze (Post 34964644)
Such a shame that Tony Bliar gave away the rebate, and most of the opt-out powers for bugger all return. Yes, Tony Bliar was a consumate richard head.... I mean politician, with the UK's best interests at the forefront of his Poodle like little brain..... :rolleyes:

It's alright though, in giving it away for sod all in return, he ensured he would get the job of EU president after the UK got its say in a referendum on whether or not it was a good idea... :erm:

Earl of Bronze 15-02-2010 23:39

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Derek S (Post 34964655)
It's alright though, in giving it away for sod all in return, he ensured he would get the job of EU president after the UK got its say in a referendum on whether or not it was a good idea... :erm:

Such a shame they repealed the dualing laws, cause if there was ever a guy that needed 3 feet of steel or a lead ball incerted at high speed its Tony Bliar....

then again, I'd be happy to try and hang Nu Liebour for treason.... but thats just me I guess. ;)

chris9991 16-02-2010 09:00

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
This wikipedia article, assuming it hasn't been doctored, shows the estimated breakdown of the budget to 2013 - almost the highest net contributor

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budget_...European_Union

Derek 09-05-2010 09:05

Re: Will we ever get a straight answer from Gordon Brown??
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 34961978)
I have a strange feeling that UK PLC will be forking out rather a lot of money very shortly.....

Well who'd have thunk it.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worl...-out-euro.html

Quote:

Britain faces paying out billions of pounds under a European Union deal intended to prevent another financial crisis like the one in Greece
Probably just as well this happened now and not before Thursday. Here are some of the highlights.

Quote:

All 27 EU finance ministers have been summoned to Brussels on Sunday to sign up to a “European stabilisation mechanism. Britain will be unable to veto this

Euro-zone leaders are attempting to get round objections from countries such as Britain by invoking Article 122 of the Lisbon Treaty, intended to enable a collective response to natural disasters

British exposure to liabilities created by a bail-out under the scheme would amount to around 10 per cent of the total loan. If a country failed to repay, the cost to Britain would be ¤10 billion (£8.6 billion) for every ¤100 billion on which it defaulted.

Ignitionnet 09-05-2010 09:32

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
I would be surprised but I'm really not. Cheers again for Lisbon Gordon.

Makes it a tad more difficult to push the pro-Europe agenda with the Eurozone forcing Britain to guarantee their debts, especially given the poor financial management of some countries there. No doubt they'll still find a way to make out it's in our benefit to continue being the 2nd highest net contributor, 6th per capita, ignoring that we have a pretty big net outflow of private money as well due to high levels of EU-27 immigration to the UK also.

Out of the EU and free trade / movement of people agreement referendum now please :(

punky 09-05-2010 10:16

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
I don't mind bailing out anothe country to prevent it slipping into anarchy and oblivion but I draw the line at bailing out a bloody currency - especially one that was voluntary.

papa smurf 09-05-2010 11:15

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
let the bone idle lot of them work their way out of this mess:mad:

Osem 09-05-2010 15:13

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35017468)
I would be surprised but I'm really not. Cheers again for Lisbon Gordon.

Makes it a tad more difficult to push the pro-Europe agenda with the Eurozone forcing Britain to guarantee their debts, especially given the poor financial management of some countries there. No doubt they'll still find a way to make out it's in our benefit to continue being the 2nd highest net contributor, 6th per capita, ignoring that we have a pretty big net outflow of private money as well due to high levels of EU-27 immigration to the UK also.

Out of the EU and free trade / movement of people agreement referendum now please :(

Do you know I dare say that right now Brown would promise a referendum on just about anything to cling onto power (excluding his position of course....).

Derek 06-04-2011 20:14

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Oops. Looks like there will be more money from the UK heading down the euro drain.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-12993318

Quote:

Portugal's caretaker prime minister Jose Socrates has said that he has asked the European Union for financial assistance.

Osem 06-04-2011 21:07

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Surprise, surprise.... :rolleyes:

International financiers are no longer prepared to lend money to Portugal on terms they can afford and this is the result. Spain is under great pressure also and could be on the verge of similarly drastic action yet there are still people here in denial about the mess we're in and what has to be done to prevent us being next in the line of dominoes. Get real FGS!

slowcoach 06-04-2011 22:39

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Don't worry Osem, the green shoots are growing well round here. Large white sheds are popping up like mushrooms, housebuilding is on the increase again, one of the major supermarkets has applied to build a big distribution depot near the motorway link and the trams will appear on the streets of Oldham later this year. Other established businesses are expanding their operations and the number of helicopters circling looking for land makes it appear that growth is going to continue for a good few years at least.
You just have to keep the faith … ;)

Dai 08-04-2011 18:51

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
I've just been reading Nigel Lawson's comments from about 13 years ago concerning the single currency.

http://www.spectator.co.uk/coffeehou...the-euro.thtml

Frighteningly accurate in the main.

Osem 08-04-2011 20:41

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Of course the recent raising of Eurozone interest rates does little to help the likes of Portugal:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/e...d-economy.html

... and the bail-out is going to come with some very harsh strings attached.

Osem 19-04-2011 16:16

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
.......and in other news:

Quote:

Credit ratings agency Moody's has downgraded its rating of Irish banks to junk status, adding renewed pressure on the eurozone's weaker countries.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-13112488

and:

Quote:

Fears that Greece will have to restructure its massive debts have persisted despite official denials. Investors are demanding a higher rate of return for lending Greece money in a sign of continuing concern about its debt crisis
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-13130075

Yet, still there are people in denial about just how serious this whole thing is and that it could happen here unless we get to grips with our spending...

Osem 19-04-2011 20:28

Re: Debt crisis hits Greece, Spain & Portugal
 
Even the mighty US isn't immune from the dangers so don't imagine for a second that the UK is:

Quote:

Markets reacted badly to Standard and Poor's downgrading of US debt
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worl...tops-here.html

Quote:

The good news is that America has not suddenly turned into the new Ireland. The bad news is that the Obama administration is only beginning to face up to its debt addiction, in the way that Ireland and other euro delinquents have been forced to do. And Washington's prolonged debt denial is one factor that has made the economic recovery so fragile and uncertain for all of us.


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