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I think the EU will now be putting a lot of pressure for Parliament to vote for May's deal tbh.
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Is it worth going with a short extension and hope that it focuses minds or a long one so we can sort everything out?
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The way in which the extension motion was worded was designed to force the Commons to acknowledge that the EU may refuse to go along with it in the absence of a credible plan, and that the most credible plan is a short extension to allow the withdrawal agreement to be ratified and brought into effect. Expect that to be rammed home when May kicks off Meaningful Vote 3 next week. |
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Must rank up there for the MP with the least credibility! :D
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No new Act was passed last night. No law has changed. Even if the EU agrees to an extension, a Bill amending the EU (Withdrawal) Act will still have to be introduced and rushed through readings, committees and the Lords in super-quick time. |
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Yes, sorry, I recognised that above. Got ahead of myself.
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It's all getting rather desperate, farage trying to conspire with foreign agents to agitate, mugg evoking presidents from the 1800's, that's appropriate for him, to try and get the queen to 'prorogue' parliament, anyone thinking Mrs May is doing a bad job should take a look at these clowns, the grass isn't always greener...
Just read a really good opinion piece by Andrew Pearce in yesterday's fail to btw, well worth a look if you get the chance |
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And what’s this evoking presidents, how does that method work, or surely you meant precedent? |
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I don’t believe the EU is keen for a long delay but I do think they’re not above helping Teresa May to get the existing withdrawal agreement over the line by scaring the ERG and the DUP into taking it, at the risk of ending up with something worse. |
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The obsession with Farage, by some of you is pathetic, just because he is a Brexit champion and actually believes in democracy and it’s values. I don’t see desperation. I see annoyance and so he should be, along with 17.4 Million people. |
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ERG are much more suited to Nigel Farage's old party rather then the Conservative party..
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17.4 million lions led by 650 donkeys. :rolleyes:
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Edmund Burke said in 1774; Quote:
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Mark Twain said; “Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason.”
:D |
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A truly historic, yet embarrassingly predictable, set of events in the history of our country. We’ve no plans for Brexit, no political will for Brexit and the politicians aren’t taking responsibility.
Of course, “Europe will blink at the last minute” was the mantra and here we are - the last hope for Brexit on March 29th is Europe facilitating it! Even then I wouldn’t rule out our politicians unilaterally riscinding it. Even under the plan we devised six months ago we are admitting we need a 3 month technical extension. I’d laugh uncontrollably if the EU rejected an extension - we’ve essentially admitted we aren’t ready so it’d be an excellent demonstration to other Member States considering leaving of what the actual consequences are. |
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Agree with both of these statements ! |
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I'll chuck an obscure one in to show why we're different from them over the channel.
In Old English, our nouns took gender; by Middle English, gender had largely disappeared and by Tudor times had completely disappeared. This subconscious tendency is part of what's in our heads and the way we go about things. They (Europe) are fixated on the letter of their laws and the complexity of the conjugations with no tendency to simplify (one of the reasons they all learn English as second language). We were never a good fit for the EU; it should have stayed the EEC. |
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WATCH: Moment Tory MP Damian Green LOSES IT at Remainer
https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/11...idington-video i have to say i agree this idiot has ruined every tv interview for months. |
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Just because Farage is a Brexiteer, he doesn’t speak for me, this is the issue with some of you Remainers, you sweep us up as all the same. Pathetic. :rolleyes: ---------- Post added at 12:57 ---------- Previous post was at 12:54 ---------- Quote:
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From 2016. Quote:
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No, of course you don't. Don't start trying to say that one side is whiter than white, when there are idiots on both sides of the camp. |
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And last night the ever popular peoples vote campaign [the losers vote] came to a nearby town https://www.grimsbytelegraph.co.uk/n...-empty-2647962 Only about 30 showed up at the Town Hall, nearly half of those were elected officials or those who have attempted to be. Plus a pro-European campaign group from Sunderland |
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There certainly wouldn't have been the nasty and dirty campaign that there has been to "Remain" is what I'm referring too. Trying to imply that had it gone the other way elements of the remain campaign would not have tried to do anything possible to get a 2nd bite of the pie would be at best be rather naive. |
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Anyway, my main point is that were never a good fit for an EU - it's an underlying difference. |
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The European mindset is to regulate and harmonise everything. The reasons why are complex, but some of the factors include the European Commission being modelled on the French civil service, which is far more activist than our own (their parliament is also rather weaker, plus they have an executive president) and the fact that most of Europe has been governed by, or invaded by (in some cases both) a nasty dictator within living memory, from which perspective the limiting of the power of national governments seems like quite a sensible idea.
For ourselves, well we had a global empire - again, more or less within living memory - and have bequeathed the world our language, which helps to sustain our understanding of our place in the world. Much about our trade patterns had to change, quickly, in order to fit us into the common market, which is part of the reason why many Brexiteers are so confident that our trade patterns will relatively easily snap back into their natural shape once we’re out. |
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With regard to the highlighted paragraph, the key words used were "common market". The Brexiteers had no problem with that. As to our trade patters snapping back to a natural shape, well that's up in the air. I think that a new "natural shape" will evolve provided that we are not locked into anything that the Political Statement says - a total shackle on our competitiveness. |
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z7qZhlrbcB8 - David Cameron's leave means leave speech. Worth a watch just to see just how stupid it all is now.
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The common market is what it was called at the time. I’m not making a value judgment, just calling it by its name.
Remember that the withdrawal agreement is only designed to cover the next 2 years and the political statement has no legal force. The most important thing that will be achieved by Teresa May’s Deal, if it can get through Parliament, is to establish that “Brexit means Brexit” - we are leaving the customs union and the single market (which, further to your point, is less about a single selling space and more about a single set of regulations). |
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Snap back to what?
We don’t have the export markets we had in the 50s and 60s (hangovers from the days of Empire), and with modern JIT (Just In Time) production methods, the trade patterns of the world have irrevocably changed from pre-EEC days. |
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The DUP love being the centre to of attention. You can see them revelling in it. Trouble is TM needs a few more votes than they can offer....
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https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-47584616 |
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It's easy from here on in. Extend article 50 for a short period of time then wait until the definite definite last minute and tell them we really really mean it this time and they'll give us the easiest trade deal in history. They need us more than we need them. They'll be begging us for a deal.
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Suspect they'll squeak it through somehow as most MPs will be bored by now. So we'll get a Brexit that will make us worse off and subservient to the EU, perhaps forever, with no voting rights. Party on Brexiteers ! |
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:D:D:D:D:D:D |
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More bribe money for the DUP sounds like an extortion racket more like.
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gravity_model_of_trade A "suggestion" does not validate the Gravity Model. The referenced article has much to say on this especially the countervailing viewpoint. |
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It’d have been harder to thwart if it was a single vision.
However it isn’t, it’s a vast range of different views and ideologies from the dog whistle xenophobia, extreme unregulated capitalism, nationalism and even some socialists. Each wants and expects different post-Brexit outcomes. You’ve even got Liam Fox and David Davis on one side, Mogg, Johnson and Raab on the other. Unless the Conservative party is the only place these divisions exist then leavers have different and often mutually exclusive desires. The most popular outcome expressed as anything other than a binary choice is to remain. It’s up to leavers to unify their position. |
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Ah yes it’s the remainders fault, not the fact that the EU hold the high ground, the fact that we’re the ones leaving but attempting to dictate terms. You were told this is what would happen. you were warned that we would not be in strong position but you chose to dismiss it as ‘project fear’ Give your head a shake, we were never ever going to get a good withdrawal agreement. |
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Political consensus is always a coalition and a compromise. Leavers may wish to get various things out of Brexit, but they all agreed that Brexit was the way to achieve their aims. They formed a coalition and won a majority. That’s how every other part of our political process works. |
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Since when? Leavers are entitled to do as they please so long as they’re not breaking the law |
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I'm sorry but the ERG are ****wits, and that's being generous. |
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The ERG is at one end of the Leave Means Leave spectrum, namely preferring a clean break. Nothing wrong with that as an interpretation of the Leave result, particularly as the UK can cope with the temporary initial chaos and especially with a huge chunk of money to spend on shoring things up. Btw, I also know TM and she, sadly, fits your description. |
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For instance why, considering A50's requirements did the backstop enter negotiations? Quote:
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The fact that the pompous EU calls their Foreign Minister the "High Representative" says it all.
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https://whatukthinks.org/eu/question...ld-you-vote-2/ |
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If there was a single vision if Brexit the Conservative party wouldn’t have wasted the last two years negotiating with itself on television for the EU to laugh at. |
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This mythical ‘single vision’ is a mete diversion from the fact that the MPs have treacherously gone their own way, in most cases disrespecting the Referendum result.
Had TM done it differently from the outset, we would definitely be leaving the EU 29-March. She gave these MPs the sustenance for their treachery. |
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Davis, Fox and Johnson were all in the cabinet so all had opportunities to forge the negotiations as they saw fit. If the party could have found a common position they could have threatened her with a (party) vote of no confidence. To say May is treacherous, or hasn’t been trying to bring together a range of leave positions, is ignoring the self evident truth of the situation. Nobody else has come up with a credible alternative for MPs to rally round. |
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Her red lines at the start of the negotiations have caused problems as well. |
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Had May won decisively in 2017 my guess is that we’d be looking at a harder Brexit for Great Britain. I’d guess Northern Ireland would have maintained special status and alignment with, but outside of, the EU. I doubt many would have genuinely cared - the people in the North voted to remain and even those that voted to leave know that’d give them economic advantage being both inside the UK politically and with single market access economically. Unfortunately the few who cared were key to winning votes in the HoC. |
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The Magic Money Tree is blooming again!
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I never said May had been treacherous. It was the MPs.
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It was made very clear in the campaign, for example, that leaving would ensure we could make all our own laws and forge our own trade deals. Ruling out the belonging to the customs union achieves that. If we did not insist on those red lines, we would not be out of the EU and we would not be able to influence new EU legislation. Surely, that would be a backward step. Someone should point that out to Corbyn, who seems to be totally confused and directionless on this issue. ---------- Post added at 12:31 ---------- Previous post was at 12:28 ---------- Quote:
MPs need to get their acts together so we can leave with the minimum of further delay. |
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The ‘indecision’ was caused by lack of consultation - if there had been more involvement, there would have been a consensus reached, rather than a fait accompli presented to the House.
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All the while valuable time has been lost for businesses to prepare. If we really wanted to go down the no-deal route we should have decided as quickly as possible to give businesses a lead in. |
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It's the open nature of the negotiations that has added fuel to the flames. |
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Yet again you fail to grasp the very simple premise that MP’s are not delegates |
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So you have Leave MPs representing constituencies that voted Remain. No one seems to hang them out to dry. |
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Nobody is contradicting the Burkean view of what an MP’s role and responsibilities should be. What many of us have done, repeatedly, is to point out that our MPs used the judgment they owe us to call a referendum and to promise to implement the result. To argue that their failure to do so is in fact evidence of high principle at work is laughable. |
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