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Re: Post-Brexit Thread
Well I must say all this positive talk of trade deals with Canada, China, Australia, New Zealand etc. isn't at all what that tragic group the Remainers predicted in the Morrissey-style, doom laden, dirge they subjected us to for weeks leading up to the referendum. Nope, there's precious little evidence of fences going up or little Englanders cutting us off from anyone, except maybe the faceless suits in Brussels whose head in the sand egotism has driven the EU to the edge of the precipice...
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It's a tad early for 'I told you so', and a long way from being constructive. I could happily pile in with various links, citations, etc, but I think the forum as a whole gratefully left recrimination over the referendum behind and is looking towards the future now.
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University pf Salford study from 2013.
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Channel 4. Quote:
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These people are here in large numbers and more are on their way. Of course those who can't or don't want to see beyond the ends of their noses won't acknowledge the massive problem which is being exacerbated and isn't going away. Maybe it hasn't reached their doorsteps yet... Our society is not so gradually being irreversibly changed and undermined by a huge influx of people which shows no signs of even slowing down let alone stopping.
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We probably don't want to get things off on that kind of foot. A smooth, amicable break-up would be best. Going back on treaties doesn't inspire confidence in others that we're a reliable partner. ---------- Post added at 20:42 ---------- Previous post was at 20:39 ---------- Quote:
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On the whole EU migrants take less out-of-work welfare than natives and more in-work welfare due to working for lower pay, however we had agreement to refuse in-work welfare to EU migrants for a time. That agreement expired with the referendum result. As with so many other things the root of this issue is our own system. I would be a huge advocate of a more contributory welfare system, it would solve many problems, but rather than grasp that nettle it's been easier to blame migrants. |
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I understand there is an EU mechanism for an emergency brake on migration and, if so, maybe we should trigger it.
Whilst there are plenty of things wrong with our internal systems and procedures, I don't see anything wrong with blaming those who chose to come here deliberately to exploit them, whether that be benefit and housing claimants, health tourists or indeed people who come and immediately set about having children despite having no job and no prospects. Why would anyone do that except for triggering the extra benefits and entitlements (e.g.g housing) which some with children? The system of free movement coupled with our benefit system exacerbates this problem and no matter what we do, unless we embark on the sort of tough reforms of our welfare, legal, health services many of us wouldn't wish to see, we are going to be unable to prevent large scale abuse of the system be people who've never contributed a thing and whose only motivation is to get something for nothing. Even then, with fake documents easy to obtain, who's going to be able to check entitlement with any degree of certainty? ---------- Post added at 07:53 ---------- Previous post was at 07:50 ---------- Quote:
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Re: Post-Brexit Thread
I think it's worth mentioning that even outside of the EU there's a good chance we'll still have to retain freedom of movement if we want a decent trade deal with the EEA. Hell, there's talk of a new agreement even possibly requiring joining the Schengen (which I can understand people have concerns about, especially since 'islands are different').
The potential of trade deals with the USA, Canada, Australia do seem promising but keep in mind that it's very unlikely that they would work in our favour. The fact is that we can't start negotiations (though we can have informal talks) until we have officially left the EU, and the UK, being in a vulnerable position post-Brexit, is almost certainly going to be offered the short end of the stick. It's also worth considering that these deals could take a long time to hammer out, during which time we would have to pay tariffs on trade with these countries, though I suspect less time than some have made out. Whilst it's true that such deals have taken 7 to 10 years for other countries to negotiate, coming out of the EU, assuming we keep the majority of EU legislation we should be *mostly* compatible with similar agreements to what we already have via the EU. If you were concerned about TTIP especially this should concern you, as the US are likely to offer our government something very similar or potentially even more draconian, especially since the Conservatives apparently had no issue with it when the EU were considering it, despite the objections of other EU member states. Even so, the simple fact is that our trade with these countries does not make up anywhere near what our trade with the EU has - it's a tiny fraction by comparison and it's unlikely that it could ever replace it simply due to the distances and costs involved. Some people on other forums have brought up the possibility of freedom of movement within the commonwealth (so say, with the UK, Canada and Australia) and I genuinely could see this being very appealing to the British public, especially as I imagine British people feel more of a connection with people from these countries than they do with say, Europe. Unfortunately I do think it's unlikely that such a deal could happen, especially since it'd probably cause a lot of younger and more qualified Brits to jump ship. Personally, this has given me a nice kick to get off my arse and start considering what my other options elsewhere in the world may be. |
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Theresa May Will Not Start Brexit This Year
The High Court is told the Prime Minister does not intend to trigger Article 50 this year, as lawyers mount a Brexit challenge. http://news.sky.com/story/theresa-ma...snt-sf-twitter |
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