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Carth 12-06-2021 11:04

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
*Respect and trust are missing

*The EU has long experience of bending the rules when it wants to

*Nobody trusts Boris

1andrew1 12-06-2021 11:20

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36082648)
Interesting (imho) commentary in the Times today.

Basically, foreign leaders don't trust Boris to keep his word, because

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/o...nson-zgmffxtk2

Good analysis. What goes around comes around. Maybe Seph is right that another leader could sort this out more effectively with the EU.

Sephiroth 12-06-2021 11:27

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
A rather good analysis

Hugh 12-06-2021 11:39

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36082622)
I hope that the British Sausage is on the breakfast menu.

From yesterday's Metro

https://metro.co.uk/2021/06/10/joe-b...JyqPjZ6bGsEvUM

Quote:

Joe Biden to give Boris a hand in sausage war as he tries to beat off EU
https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...5&d=1623494324

OLD BOY 12-06-2021 15:43

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36082654)
Good analysis. What goes around comes around. Maybe Seph is right that another leader could sort this out more effectively with the EU.

I have a gut feeling that what Boris actually wants is to pull out of this deal. And he is rather cleverly pulling the public around to that point of view.

It’s what he would have preferred to happen, let’s face it, but the political risk was too high at the time the deal was done.

This won’t change the situation in respect of the NI/Ireland border but it will enable trade from Britain to resume unencumbered. Faced with that threat, the EU might just start to take the need to negotiate on the protocol more seriously and we resolve the matter that way.

A win-win for Boris, whichever way it goes.

mrmistoffelees 12-06-2021 18:26

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36082674)
I have a gut feeling that what Boris actually wants is to pull out of this deal. And he is rather cleverly pulling the public around to that point of view.

It’s what he would have preferred to happen, let’s face it, but the political risk was too high at the time the deal was done.

This won’t change the situation in respect of the NI/Ireland border but it will enable trade from Britain to resume unencumbered. Faced with that threat, the EU might just start to take the need to negotiate on the protocol more seriously and we resolve the matter that way.

A win-win for Boris, whichever way it goes.

You’ve hit new heights of idiocy if you think the above will happen.

As has already been said withdrawing/no deal will cause the collapse of the Good Friday agreement and the return of a hard border on the island or Ireland. It will NEVER happen.

Carth 12-06-2021 18:44

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
I remember a heck of a lot of people saying Brexit would never happen, you were possibly one of them :p:

mrmistoffelees 12-06-2021 18:58

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36082690)
I remember a heck of a lot of people saying Brexit would never happen, you were possibly one of them :p:


If you can’t see the difference in severity between the two I might suggest you go and join old boy i

Sephiroth 12-06-2021 18:59

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36082688)
You’ve hit new heights of idiocy if you think the above will happen.

As has already been said withdrawing/no deal will cause the collapse of the Good Friday agreement and the return of a hard border on the island or Ireland. It will NEVER happen.

I think more likely than your scenario is that Johnson will continue unilaterally with the grace period. The EU will retaliate as they've threatened; Johnson might invoke Article 16 but that will only prolong the agony. It is possible that the EU/UK agreements will fall through entirely. leaving the EU with the hard birder problem.

I don't see the GFA collapsing; the only way that would collapse if sectarian violence takes hold and a military border becomes necessary. That will be the EU's fault.



1andrew1 12-06-2021 20:51

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36082693)
I think more likely than your scenario is that Johnson will continue unilaterally with the grace period. The EU will retaliate as they've threatened; Johnson might invoke Article 16 but that will only prolong the agony. It is possible that the EU/UK agreements will fall through entirely. leaving the EU with the hard birder problem.

I don't see the GFA collapsing; the only way that would collapse if sectarian violence takes hold and a military border becomes necessary. That will be the EU's fault.

Old Boy's scenario is unrealistic. A hard border would breach the Good Friday Agreement so that's not on the cards, as mrmistoffelees has explained.
To help unblock the impasse, it would do no harm for BoJo to replace David Frost with someone with a less confrontational approach.

Sephiroth 12-06-2021 21:10

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36082709)
Old Boy's scenario is unrealistic. A hard border would breach the Good Friday Agreement so that's not on the cards, as mrmistoffelees has explained.
To help unblock the impasse, it would do no harm for BoJo to replace David Frost with someone with a less confrontational approach.

Mrmistofelees referred to the collapse of the GFA, not a breach; quite a difference. But in the circumstances I've mooted, it would be the EU that would cause the GFA breach.

As regards David Frost, we need to stand firm - be it he or someone else. There needs to be a pragmatic solution that allows us to to supply goods to NI supermarkets unfettered by customs formalities. I regard the EU as being confrontationalist, threatening to bring all hell down on us as we protect sending the British Sausage to NI without any EU controls.

Pierre 12-06-2021 21:24

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
As I understand it, and believe me I am not interested in it very much. By the the letter of the agreement checks can be can be enforced. However, for domestic products for domestic consumption the U.K. did not expect checks to be done, they understood they could be, but they did not expect them to be done.

As Chris has pointed out, the EU are just a rules based bureaucracy that is who they are. It’s petty and unnecessary. But the U.K. should have expected this from the EU.

Either way, a solution would be very easy to reach for rational people............do you know any.

GrimUpNorth 12-06-2021 21:33

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
I wonder if opening a sausage factory in NI would be a good business move at the moment?

papa smurf 12-06-2021 21:35

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by GrimUpNorth (Post 36082714)
I wonder if opening a sausage factory in NI would be a good business move at the moment?

Where would the meat come from

GrimUpNorth 12-06-2021 21:39

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Last time I was in NI I noticed they had the odd farm here and there, granted it was a few years ago but I doubt it's changed that much!


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