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nffc 25-11-2021 16:30

Re: Coronavirus
 
I suppose you could react to the 2nd but not the 1st, as your immune system has seen it before, and hadn't first off (and perhaps the same in reverse).


But if you've already had it twice and didn't react, there's a pretty decent chance the 3rd will be the same. I suppose they just don't want people getting in the car, driving home and fainting or going into shock or something when they're on the road where it's easier for a nurse to do something at a vax centre.


The most annoying thing for me with the 15 min wait is that as it's a healthcare setting you still have to wear a face covering even when the mask mandate has been lifted pretty much anywhere else. When I went for my 2nd which was just after freedom day they were giving out water so I just sat sipping that instead...

Paul 25-11-2021 16:33

Re: Coronavirus
 
Personally I'd rather be surrounded by medical staff if something actually happened (and 100 yards from the ambulance station), but expecting a third dose of the same vaccine to suddenly behave differently is a bit far fetched. I felt a slight twinge when first lying on it in bed, but it soon passed, and off to sleep I went.

Sephiroth 25-11-2021 16:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36102473)
Personally I'd rather be surrounded by medical staff if something actually happened (and 100 yards from the ambulance station), but expecting a third dose of the same vaccine to suddenly behave differently is a bit far fetched. I felt a slight twinge when first lying on it in bed, but it soon passed, and off to sleep I went.

Thing is that if you take a funny turn at the pharmacy then the
disturbance that will cause to those waiting their turn would make things awkward for others. In other settings, that might not matter as much.

OLD BOY 25-11-2021 17:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36102017)
New restrictions (in Europe) dont seem to be going down as well this time around.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-59363256





Opened fire ? Seriously ?


Peoples patience with restrictions and lockdowns seems to have worn away.

This is what I warned would have happened here too if we went gung-ho with lockdowns. There’s only so much people will take.

ianch99 25-11-2021 20:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
Worrying report. Fingers crossed this variant is less transmissible:

COVID-19: New B.1.1.529 variant 'worst one we've seen so far', say UK experts

Quote:

The UKHSA says B.1.1.529 has a spike protein which is "dramatically" different to the original COVID strain, and it has double the amount of mutations than the Delta variant.

These mutations are likely to evade the immune response generated by prior infection and vaccination, they say.

Tom Peacock, a virologist at Imperial College London, branded the mutations "really awful" but said cases were currently "super low".

Spike proteins are what viruses use to get into human cells, and some of the vaccines work by training the body to recognise the spikes and neutralise them.

Mutations on the spike could therefore potentially prove problematic for the current crop of vaccines.

Sephiroth 25-11-2021 20:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
An immediate red-listing of South Africa and Botswana is called for, imo.

ianch99 25-11-2021 20:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36102523)
An immediate red-listing of South Africa and Botswana is called for, imo.

I would agree but can this include transit passengers flying via a third country "hub"?

Carth 25-11-2021 20:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36102523)
An immediate red-listing of South Africa and Botswana is called for, imo.

Won't work, people will just take a circuitous route and fly in from somewhere else . . . . . . or get a dinghy in France

Pierre 25-11-2021 21:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36102520)
Worrying report. Fingers crossed this variant is less transmissible:

COVID-19: New B.1.1.529 variant 'worst one we've seen so far', say UK experts

Well, we can’t be thinking it’s over now can we? We need a new variant to ensure previously democratic Western governments can continue to act as tinpot dictatorships and totalitarian states.

Also helps to keep the population scared and compliant. Best course of action is to mandate vaccines that don’t prevent infection or transmission thereby keeping the population on a convenient short leash by keeping them scared.

Take the vaccine! Will it stop me from getting catching it? No! Will it stop me from passing it on? No! So you must still wear masks or you’re a bad person. Will it stop me from getting ill? Yes, but that’s only your personal health, if you care about the wider population you should still support lockdowns. But surely those at risk will have been vaccinated so even if I’m not vaccinated I’m no risk to others? Shut up, we’re keeping this going for as long as possible.

papa smurf 25-11-2021 21:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36102542)
Well, we can’t be thinking it’s over now can we? We need a new variant to ensure previously democratic Western governments can continue to act as tinpot dictatorships and totalitarian states.

Also helps to keep the population scared and compliant. Best course of action is to mandate vaccines that don’t prevent infection or transmission thereby keeping the population on a convenient short leash by keeping them scared.

Take the vaccine! Will it stop me from getting catching it? No! Will it stop me from passing it on? No! So you must still wear masks or you’re a bad person. Will it stop me from getting ill? Yes, but that’s only your personal health, if you care about the wider population you should still support lockdowns. But surely those at risk will have been vaccinated so even if I’m not vaccinated I’m no risk to others? Shut up, we’re keeping this going for as long as possible.

There's a fortune still to be made out of this, it'll get milked for some time yet
get your 12th jab booked.

Hugh 25-11-2021 22:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36102542)
Well, we can’t be thinking it’s over now can we? We need a new variant to ensure previously democratic Western governments can continue to act as tinpot dictatorships and totalitarian states.

Also helps to keep the population scared and compliant. Best course of action is to mandate vaccines that don’t prevent infection or transmission thereby keeping the population on a convenient short leash by keeping them scared.

Take the vaccine! Will it stop me from getting catching it? No! Will it stop me from passing it on? No! So you must still wear masks or you’re a bad person. Will it stop me from getting ill? Yes, but that’s only your personal health, if you care about the wider population you should still support lockdowns. But surely those at risk will have been vaccinated so even if I’m not vaccinated I’m no risk to others? Shut up, we’re keeping this going for as long as possible.


Will it stop me from getting catching it? It will greatly reduce the chances of you catching it.
Will it stop me from passing it on? It will greatly reduce the likelihood of you passing it on.
So you should still still wear masks to reduce the chances of infecting others.

Pierre 25-11-2021 22:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36102546)
Will it stop me from getting catching it? It will greatly reduce the chances of you catching it.

So no need for masks then? Social distancing and all the rest of the bollocks.

Quote:

Will it stop me from passing it on? It will greatly reduce the likelihood of you passing it on.
So no need for masks then? Social distancing and all the rest of the bollocks

Quote:

So you should still still wear masks to reduce the chances of infecting others.
Oh…….. you missed this bit then, why didn’t you put this bit in your answer?

Quote:

But surely those at risk will have been vaccinated so even if I’m not vaccinated I’m no risk to others?

nffc 25-11-2021 22:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36102526)
I would agree but can this include transit passengers flying via a third country "hub"?

So the PLFs need to ask what countries you've been to in the last 10 days.
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36102523)
An immediate red-listing of South Africa and Botswana is called for, imo.

Which is pretty much what they have done.

Jaymoss 25-11-2021 22:38

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36102548)
So no need for masks then? Social distancing and all the rest of the bollocks.



So no need for masks then? Social distancing and all the rest of the bollocks


Oh…….. you missed this bit then, why didn’t you put this bit in your answer?

to many muppets not been vaccinated so how do you know who is and who isnt?? or do you just become as selfish as the muppet and not care if you spread it to them if you are unlucky enough to have it ?

nffc 25-11-2021 22:41

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36102520)
Worrying report. Fingers crossed this variant is less transmissible:

COVID-19: New B.1.1.529 variant 'worst one we've seen so far', say UK experts

it has N501Y, so suggestion, probably not.


As for whether it will dominate, who knows.



It appears to have come from a severely immunocompromised patient in Botswana, which is why we have a lot of mutations all at the same time.


But SA has a low number of cases, so a new variant will proportionally show more dominant. They have a low vaccination rate but a presumed high proportion of people who have had covid. A new variant is likely to appear dominant in these cases. Whether this will show in an area with a significant Delta outbreak remains to be seen, personally, I'd prefer it was kept where it was...

---------- Post added at 22:41 ---------- Previous post was at 22:38 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jaymoss (Post 36102553)
to many muppets not been vaccinated so how do you know who is and who isnt?? or do you just become as selfish as the muppet and not care if you spread it to them if you are unlucky enough to have it ?

They have had plenty of time to get vaccinated and know the risks if you don't.


I'm not going to invoke Godwin's Law and suggest the unvaccinated wear yellow bands on their arms, but, surely by not doing what they should, they are merely putting themselves at higher risk. We should simply leave them to it, knowing they can get a vaccine if they want one. I'm running out of excuses for them.


Those who can't get one for medical reasons, totally understand that.

Pierre 25-11-2021 22:43

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jaymoss (Post 36102553)
to many muppets not been vaccinated so how do you know who is and who isnt?? or do you just become as selfish as the muppet and not care if you spread it to them if you are unlucky enough to have it ?

Should we ban cars because of idiots that don’t know how to cross the road?

nomadking 25-11-2021 22:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36102556)
Should we ban cars because of idiots that don’t know how to cross the road?

We do expect car drivers to behave responsibly and not put others at risk.

Pierre 25-11-2021 22:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36102558)
We do expect car drivers to behave responsibly and not put others at risk.

Such an idiotic point. But I’ll try and lay it out for you because I know weren’t trying to be a tool for for the sake of it.

If the car drivers ( the vaccinated) do as they should and stay on the road.

Why are they responsible for the idiots ( unvaccinated) that run out in front of them?

The car drivers are following the rules and behaving responsibly by staying on the road.

Paul 25-11-2021 22:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36102546)
Will it stop me from getting catching it? It will greatly reduce the chances of you catching it.

So as he said .. No.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36102546)
Will it stop me from passing it on? It will greatly reduce the likelihood of you passing it on.

So again .. No.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36102546)
So you should still still wear masks to reduce the chances of infecting others.

Just like we have done for the last 100+ years to stop the spread of every other potentially fatal virus ? I guess the brainwashing really does work.

nffc 25-11-2021 23:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36102562)
Just like we have done for the last 100+ years to stop the spread of every other potentially fatal virus ? I guess the brainwashing really does work.

Nod. Let the snowflakes continue with their faith in a rag over their face, whilst we carry on with life.:dunce:

1andrew1 26-11-2021 07:08

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36102562)
So as he said .. No.

So again .. No.

Much as we alll hanker for a simple life, you can't reduce such risk assessment down to yeses or nos.

jfman 26-11-2021 08:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36102583)
Much as we alll hanker for a simple life, you can't reduce such risk assessment down to yeses or nos.

Especially at a population level.

---------- Post added at 08:15 ---------- Previous post was at 08:14 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36102490)
This is what I warned would have happened here too if we went gung-ho with lockdowns. There’s only so much people will take.

We’ve got MPs getting murdered and terrorists blowing themselves in hospital car parks yet we don’t bow to extremist or criminal sentiment or their “values”.

ianch99 26-11-2021 11:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36102554)
it has N501Y, so suggestion, probably not.

Data coming out of the SA Government briefing seems to indicate otherwise:

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FFGYrxzX...jpg&name=small

Israel are taking this seriously:

Israeli PM warns of state of emergency due to new coronavirus variant

Quote:

Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett met health experts on Friday to discuss how best to respond to a new variant of the coronavirus that has been detected in South Africa that he said was more contagious than the Delta strain.

“We are currently on the verge of a state of emergency,” Bennett said, according to a statement from his office. “Our main principle is to act fast, strong and now.”

Israel has reported one case of the new strain in a traveller returning from Malawi.

Israel announced on Thursday it was barring its citizens from travelling to southern Africa and banning the entry of foreigners from the region.

Pierre 26-11-2021 11:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
I recall, sometime ago, someone saying on TV that if it mutated to a virus that the vaccines didn't work against, it would mean that it is no longer a version of the same type of virus but rather a new virus completely....or something like that.

nffc 26-11-2021 11:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Yes, that's what I was saying, the mutation leads to increased transmissibility in other variants, so it's probably going to have similar.


As for that graph, look at what it's actually measuring, it's the percentage of all sequenced cases. So, to reach 100% of 10 sequenced cases means only 10 tests need to show it. If you have more cases you sequence more. Alpha was dominant in a time where most of the world had a high number of covid cases, so would have taken more time to dominate than in SA, which until the last few days was registering around 300-400 cases most days. Reaching 100% of new sequenced cases in that context doesn't require too many samples to show it.


Also look at the wider picture in sub-Saharan Africa where there is a high prevalence of HIV/AIDS, which causes immune system deficiencies - this is where this (and the Beta variant) came from. In SA there is also a low vaccination rate and a high amount who have actually had covid. It is thought this has immune escape but that could be the circumstances there, if for example there is a lot who the vaccine hasn't worked in, and who have recovered from the virus but then their immune system hasn't responded properly in terms of future response. Beta never really took off elsewhere and you would expect it might have if it has the ability to swerve previous immunity from infection or vaccination, why is that?


Obviously it wouldn't be a good idea in practice, but the UK and Europe are experiencing much higher numbers due to Delta than anything in SA (Where ours is stable theirs isn't). If this variant was introduced to that background as opposed to a context where very few have the virus, how will it react there, and which one will be the one infecting people? If this can not only dominate Delta, but can also infect people who have had the virus or been vaccinated, and not just cause milder symptoms like Delta seems to be, then this is going to be a bigger issue. But of course, that impact isn't known yet.

jfman 26-11-2021 12:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Inevitable.

nffc 26-11-2021 12:23

Re: Coronavirus
 
Just needed a nu variant to keep the conspiracy theories and the zero covid lockdown fanatics happy... and here it is folks

ianch99 26-11-2021 12:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36102616)
Just needed a nu variant to keep the conspiracy theories and the zero covid lockdown fanatics happy... and here it is folks

This make no sense. What "conspiracy theory" are you alluding to?

jfman 26-11-2021 12:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36102616)
Just needed a nu variant to keep the conspiracy theories and the zero covid lockdown fanatics happy... and here it is folks

As opposed to who? People denying reality?

nffc 26-11-2021 12:53

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36102619)
This make no sense. What "conspiracy theory" are you alluding to?

None in particular. I was referring to those who spread conspiracy theories.


Though actually a fair amount of what has previously been castigated at the time as a conspiracy has turned out to be true. Such as people needing to prove they have been vaccinated to get in somewhere. If someone said that about 15 months ago you would need to show a pass to get into a pub then everyone would laugh and say they were talking nonsense, whilst it isn't yet the case, it's all in place for the Gov to say, yes you need to, and it is in place in other scenarios. Whilst a lot of what they said was bull a fair amount has come true.

Jaymoss 26-11-2021 12:56

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36102561)
Such an idiotic point. But I’ll try and lay it out for you because I know weren’t trying to be a tool for for the sake of it.

If the car drivers ( the vaccinated) do as they should and stay on the road.

Why are they responsible for the idiots ( unvaccinated) that run out in front of them?

The car drivers are following the rules and behaving responsibly by staying on the road.

no more idiotic than yours was

Mad Max 26-11-2021 13:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36102588)
Especially at a population level.

---------- Post added at 08:15 ---------- Previous post was at 08:14 ----------



We’ve got MPs getting murdered and terrorists blowing themselves in hospital car parks yet we don’t bow to extremist or criminal sentiment or their “values”.

Really....:D:D

mrmistoffelees 26-11-2021 13:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
First case of the 'new' variant detected in Europe

https://www.reuters.com/business/hea...pe-2021-11-26/

Carth 26-11-2021 14:04

Re: Coronavirus
 
Some say . . . no, start again but do it with Jeremy Clarksons voice.

Some say, that Covid is never going away, and there is a very good chance it may well get worse.
Who rightly knows?
Well let's take a jump into the future and find out.

Quote:

Extract from Diary found by clean up squad K32 (area 17)

23rd May 2037
Saw a sparrow today, it flew over the electrified fencing and landed near the well. Took no chances, shot it then donned the hazmat suit and disposed of carcass in the incinerator (as per Gov instructions). Sprayed garden with acetone sulphate solution, dried off with industrial flamethrower.

27th May 2037
Received email from Gordon at No.18 and the antivirus kicked off. Reported to local Covid protection office, who then arrived to remove the threat. Heat and flames from No.18 bubbled the tarmac for 2 hours.

3rd April 2037
Monthly food delivery arrived. Drone position slightly out, 2 packs of dried apple skins, a can of labrador sausage (in daffodil sauce) and a bale of wild grass cuttings missed the net. Will go hungry for 8 days now, but luckily no more of that horrible beetroot tea.

12th April 2037
I've noticed an eerie red glow in the western sky for a few days. Guess the Gov finally decided the outbreak in Wales out of control and nuked them.

19th April 2037
Woke up to find a spider on the window ledge, didn't panic but daren't report it. Spider incinerated, hope I got it in time.

20th April 2037
Nasty cough, sweating, nose and ears turning green. Think I have it bad as couldn't complete Sun crossword today. Rang doctor, you are caller 3168 in a queue of 3168 - please hold.

21 April 2037

22 April 2037

23 April 2037

. . and there you have it.

mrmistoffelees 26-11-2021 14:38

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36102647)
Some say . . . no, start again but do it with Jeremy Clarksons voice.

Some say, that Covid is never going away, and there is a very good chance it may well get worse.
Who rightly knows?
Well let's take a jump into the future and find out.



. . and there you have it.

Indeed, if you've been partaking in several large spirits of your choice.

Paul 26-11-2021 16:06

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36102583)
Much as we alll hanker for a simple life, you can't reduce such risk assessment down to yeses or nos.

I suggest you go back and read the actual questions again.
They have nothing to do with "risk assessment" they are pretty simple Yes/No questions :dozey: (and in this case, No).

jfman 26-11-2021 16:17

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36102710)
I suggest you go back and read the actual questions again.
They have nothing to do with "risk assessment" they are pretty simple Yes/No questions :dozey: (and in this case, No).

At a population level a binary risk assessment on this manner is absolutely meaningless.

Such simplistic analysis unhelpful in a pandemic - the clue is in the name “pan”.

Shortly the mass infection is good idea will be in if/when the nu variant emerges here. Which leaves us dealing with the same old questions all over again. But hey ho, Britain can continue to be exceptional in respect of deaths as it erodes all kinds of immunity.

Paul 26-11-2021 16:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36102722)
At a population level a binary risk assessment on this manner is absolutely meaningless.

Such simplistic analysis unhelpful in a pandemic - the clue is in the name “pan”.

Shortly the mass infection is good idea will be in if/when the nu variant emerges here. Which leaves us dealing with the same old questions all over again. But hey ho, Britain can continue to be exceptional in respect of deaths as it erodes all kinds of immunity.

Maybe you should also try reading what you are responding to instead of just spouting nonsense about "risk assessment" which is totally irrelevant to the two questions. :dozey:

papa smurf 26-11-2021 16:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36102643)
First case of the 'new' variant detected in Europe

https://www.reuters.com/business/hea...pe-2021-11-26/

Head for the sheep dip and then get back into the barn

jfman 26-11-2021 17:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36102741)
Maybe you should also try reading what you are responding to instead of just spouting nonsense about "risk assessment" which is totally irrelevant to the two questions. :dozey:

I did indeed read it, and still agree a simplistic binary analysis is inadequate for managing a pandemic. A position I’ve maintained throughout and something I’ve never seen any evidence to the contrary.

My point was intended to address the point it quoted, not the many irrelevant posts that preceded it. That should have been clearer.

Carth 26-11-2021 17:10

Re: Coronavirus
 
The thing is, they're asking us to look at it in 'binary'.

Am I at risk?
Am I putting others at risk?

The answer 'maybe' isn't the one they - the Gov & experts - want

Hugh 26-11-2021 17:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36102756)
The thing is, they're asking us to look at it in 'binary'.

Am I at risk?
Am I putting others at risk?

The answer 'maybe' isn't the one they - the Gov & experts - want

But they’re not saying that - they’re saying "here’s how you can reduce the risk to yourself and others by using a number of different approaches, each of which reduces risk, but used together reduce the risk even more".

jfman 26-11-2021 17:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36102761)
But they’re not saying that - they’re saying "here’s how you can reduce the risk to yourself and others by using a number of different approaches, each of which reduces risk, but used together reduce the risk even more".

Sounds like socialism, mate.

Hugh 26-11-2021 19:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Wonder how many South Africans travelled over to watch the Rugby at Twickenham last weekend?

papa smurf 26-11-2021 20:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36102783)
Wonder how many South Africans travelled over to watch the Rugby at Twickenham last weekend?

just enough to start the next overreaction

OLD BOY 27-11-2021 00:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36102546)
Will it stop me from getting catching it? It will greatly reduce the chances of you catching it.
Will it stop me from passing it on? It will greatly reduce the likelihood of you passing it on.
So you should still still wear masks to reduce the chances of infecting others.

What a load of crap!

Well, if you want to believe that, fair dos.

Me? I’m laughing, but don’t mind me.

---------- Post added at 23:47 ---------- Previous post was at 23:43 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36102558)
We do expect car drivers to behave responsibly and not put others at risk.

Yes, don’t just mow them down….:mad:

---------- Post added at 23:48 ---------- Previous post was at 23:47 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36102561)
Such an idiotic point. But I’ll try and lay it out for you because I know weren’t trying to be a tool for for the sake of it.

If the car drivers ( the vaccinated) do as they should and stay on the road.

Why are they responsible for the idiots ( unvaccinated) that run out in front of them?

The car drivers are following the rules and behaving responsibly by staying on the road.

Quite right!

---------- Post added at 23:51 ---------- Previous post was at 23:48 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36102588)

We’ve got MPs getting murdered and terrorists blowing themselves in hospital car parks yet we don’t bow to extremist or criminal sentiment or their “values”.

Topic?

---------- Post added at 23:59 ---------- Previous post was at 23:52 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36102620)
As opposed to who? People denying reality?

What is your reality, jfman?

---------- Post added 27-11-2021 at 00:03 ---------- Previous post was 26-11-2021 at 23:59 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36102722)
At a population level a binary risk assessment on this manner is absolutely meaningless.

Such simplistic analysis unhelpful in a pandemic - the clue is in the name “pan”.

Shortly the mass infection is good idea will be in if/when the nu variant emerges here. Which leaves us dealing with the same old questions all over again. But hey ho, Britain can continue to be exceptional in respect of deaths as it erodes all kinds of immunity.

Yes, the same question - do lockdowns really work?

Of course not - they just delay the spread. By the way, the virus is called Omicron’. Do keep up!

Hugh 27-11-2021 00:09

Re: Coronavirus
 
The variant is omicron, the virus is COVID-19.

1andrew1 27-11-2021 07:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36102804)
Topic?

What jfman is saying is that we as a country don't give into intimidation, so why should we break that rule and give into the possibility of riots from anti-lockdown protestors?

Sephiroth 27-11-2021 09:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36102722)
At a population level a binary risk assessment on this manner is absolutely meaningless.

Such simplistic analysis unhelpful in a pandemic - the clue is in the name “pan”.

Shortly the mass infection is good idea will be in if/when the nu variant emerges here. Which leaves us dealing with the same old questions all over again. But hey ho, Britain can continue to be exceptional in respect of deaths as it erodes all kinds of immunity.

Eggs is eggs, John. I do hope that OB wears a mask should he come to Waitrose.

papa smurf 27-11-2021 09:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36102814)
The variant is omicron, the virus is COVID-19.

Thank you captain pedantic.

ianch99 27-11-2021 09:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36102761)
But they’re not saying that - they’re saying "here’s how you can reduce the risk to yourself and others by using a number of different approaches, each of which reduces risk, but used together reduce the risk even more".

Doesn't it comes down, at the end of the day, to personal attitudes to risk, awareness and responsibility? Other countries seem to have a greater percentage of their population that care about the health & wellbeing of others and we have less. Not as less as some, but we're not great.

You have people who say that they have thrown away their masks so what would they so if they were in a room with potentially vulnerable people? A Doctor's waiting room for example. I do not understand how people demand not to wear a mask when, wearing one, can literally save someone life. It is such a pathetically easy thing to do to put one on when you enter a closed space.

How can you get so angry about the possibility of not killing someone?

Hugh 27-11-2021 10:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36102841)
Thank you captain pedantic.

You’re welcome, Private Parts.

Carth 27-11-2021 10:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Wow, what about that name eh,eh,eh . . .

Omicron . . ommmmeeeeecrooooonnnn . . rolls off the tongue really well that one, much better than that short sharp Delta. Could even be the name of some Scandinavian heavy metal rock group, they go for names like that too, makes em sound sort of mysteriously dangerous.. . . especially when the drummer lets rip.

Good name I reckon, has plenty of potential, even the experts are saying potential . . along with 'might, if, could, maybe, possible' . . well you know the score by now, endless possibilites for it to evolve into the need for much bigger needles.. . and more often.

Lock Downs I hear you ask? Well perhaps after Christmas, at this present moment we don't want to be stopping people from spending money, the shareholders won't stand for it.. . and the Government are skint enough already.

Face masks are a definite though, and the new ones are brilliant bits of kit. They incorporate goggles to protect the eyes, and a straw that fits into a mouthpiece so you can drink tea, coffee, beer, wine etc in cafes, pubs and nightclubs and still be safe with the mask on, fantastic eh. Makes you look like a big bluebottle but who cares when you're out partying eh, eh.

Holidays is your next question I bet . . yep, thought it would be. No need to worry, the Government have done some super deals with Homebase, Screwfix and Wickes to provide 'do it yourself' holiday weekends. Dead easy to set up in a bedroom, dining room, or garage, in fact anywhere the hot tub will fit nicely. Then some yellow paint on the walls, blue paint on the ceiling, couple of sun loungers and a big sunlamp in the corner . . bobs yer dads brother so to speak.

Oh well, any more questions just ring my agent, I've blagged a place in one of them top secret Government bunkers . . c ya.

Jaymoss 27-11-2021 10:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
1 Attachment(s)
The names just makes me think of Futurama

joglynne 27-11-2021 11:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
Omicrom = Oo. I didn't realise WHO jumped to the 15th letter of the Greek alphabet skipping Nu and Xi .....
Quote:

Why 'Omicron', Not 'Nu' or 'Xi'? WHO Says Two Letters in Greek Alphabet Jumped to avoid stigmatising a region*. Chinese President Xi Jimping shares his name with this letter of the Greek alphabet making it awkward and turning it into an opportunity for racism considering the origin of the coronavirus.
https://www.news18.com/news/world/wh...a-4492670.html


Add/ the article keeps being updated so forgive me if my quote is altered before you get to read the whole report.

* Xi County or Xixian is a county in the southwest of Shanxi province, China.

OLD BOY 27-11-2021 12:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36102814)
The variant is omicron, the virus is COVID-19.

Thank you for correcting me, o wise one.

---------- Post added at 11:53 ---------- Previous post was at 11:49 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36102826)
What jfman is saying is that we as a country don't give into intimidation, so why should we break that rule and give into the possibility of riots from anti-lockdown protestors?

I think it is appropriate to read the mood of the people. They are not, in the main, prepared to tolerate another lockdown, and now with the vaccination programme having been completely rolled out for elderly and vulnerable people, there is no need for it.

This is the very reason the scientists were advising the government not to put a lockdown in place too early when the virus first came to this country. People get fed up with restrictions on their freedoms and there is a limit beyond which people will not go.

---------- Post added at 12:00 ---------- Previous post was at 11:53 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36102842)
Doesn't it comes down, at the end of the day, to personal attitudes to risk, awareness and responsibility? Other countries seem to have a greater percentage of their population that care about the health & wellbeing of others and we have less. Not as less as some, but we're not great.

You have people who say that they have thrown away their masks so what would they so if they were in a room with potentially vulnerable people? A Doctor's waiting room for example. I do not understand how people demand not to wear a mask when, wearing one, can literally save someone life. It is such a pathetically easy thing to do to put one on when you enter a closed space.

How can you get so angry about the possibility of not killing someone?

I think it comes down to whether you believe the hype, and there’s plenty of that about.

I welcome the new freedom not to wear a mask in shops. I am certainly fed up with my spectacles steaming up with the mask on and I dislike the reduction in the air flow that results from mask wearing as well.

I only wear a mask these days if required to do so (in chemists, doctor surgeries and hospitals) and where requested to do so with all the staff wearing masks as well.

As for social distancing, I think that is of limited value as well. You must have seen the diagram on TV showing how someone with the virus who coughs or sneezes spreading the virus way beyond existing guidelines for social distancing and across the aisles in a supermarket.

Sephiroth 27-11-2021 12:08

Re: Coronavirus
 

The Guvmin has to tread a fine line between being too cautious and having good reason for that extra caution (lockdown).

It seems to me that they need to know just how bad the Omicron variant is and data from Africa will be being studied,

Whitty is reported in today's Torygraph as opining:

Quote:

The delta variant is of greater concern to the UK than the new Covid mutation, England's chief medical officer has said amid rising international fears about the omicron strain.

Prof Chris Whitty said ministers were right to take "precautionary" border measures to slow the arrival of the new variant into Britain.

But he warned that any attempt to impose "more muscular restrictions" could lose public

Carth 27-11-2021 12:18

Re: Coronavirus
 
Covid: New Omicron variant not a disaster, says Sage scientist

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-59442141


Quote:

Asked whether people should be fearful of the new variant, Prof Semple - who sits on the UK government's Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies - told BBC Breakfast: "This is not a disaster, and the headlines from some of my colleagues saying 'this is horrendous' I think are hugely overstating the situation.
Quote:

Like Prof Semple, Prof Sir Andrew Pollard, the director of the Oxford Vaccine Group, expressed cautious optimism that existing vaccines could be effective at preventing serious disease from the Omicron variant. . .

He told the Today programme that while it would still be weeks until scientists properly understood the effects of Omicron's mutations, most of them were similar to those seen in other variants. . . "Despite those mutations existing in other variants, the vaccines have continued to prevent serious disease as we've moved through Alpha, Beta, Gamma and Delta," he said.

. . "It's extremely unlikely that a reboot of a pandemic in a vaccinated population like we saw last year is going to happen."

nffc 27-11-2021 12:43

Re: Coronavirus
 
The most important thing right now is that people don't knee jerk.


Keep on with what we are doing. This variant hasn't (as far as we know) hit the UK but they all have, some have taken off, some like Beta haven't. If you have covid symptoms isolate and get a test.


Pretty much all the infections so far have been linked with travel to Africa, the vast majority southern Africa. The flight from SA to NL with people testing positive will be isolated and NL is in lockdown anyway, which will help.


We don't know much yet about whether the variant is more transmissible than Delta, to what extent it is or not, and to what extent it may be able to evade immunity. We don't know if it is going to take off in an environment with a high amount of infection with another variant. This will likely be tested with the EU countries who have already seen it.


At the moment a lot of SAGE advisors including Whitty himself are saying it's not something to get worried about yet. If it does take off it will probably affect unvaccinated people more easily so that is probably the important thing.



Moderna and Pfizer have said it would be only a few weeks if they needed to produce a new version of the jab to use, so that will be covered if it's the only way out.

mrmistoffelees 27-11-2021 13:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36102884)
The most important thing right now is that people don't knee jerk.


Keep on with what we are doing. This variant hasn't (as far as we know) hit the UK but they all have, some have taken off, some like Beta haven't. If you have covid symptoms isolate and get a test.


Pretty much all the infections so far have been linked with travel to Africa, the vast majority southern Africa. The flight from SA to NL with people testing positive will be isolated and NL is in lockdown anyway, which will help.


We don't know much yet about whether the variant is more transmissible than Delta, to what extent it is or not, and to what extent it may be able to evade immunity. We don't know if it is going to take off in an environment with a high amount of infection with another variant. This will likely be tested with the EU countries who have already seen it.


At the moment a lot of SAGE advisors including Whitty himself are saying it's not something to get worried about yet. If it does take off it will probably affect unvaccinated people more easily so that is probably the important thing.



Moderna and Pfizer have said it would be only a few weeks if they needed to produce a new version of the jab to use, so that will be covered if it's the only way out.

They did, but you’ve over simplified what they said and failed
To quote fully what they said. After that point they have to test it which is at least a further 3-6 months, it also has to be manufactured, shipped and then get stuck into the arms of those that want it.

So, as they stated it would take 1-2 weeks to decide if modifying the existing vaccines, plus the development & testing time you’re potentially looking at April-may next year to start getting a new jab into peoples arms.

Now…. IF and if it’s a big IF the new variant is more transmissible and can escape vaccines we will not quite be back at square one bit we will have hit a considerable snag in our progress

Whilst I don’t believe we will need a full lockdown, I do believe that we will see some form of restrictions being reintroduced such as masks, social distancing & wfh

Jaymoss 27-11-2021 13:09

Re: Coronavirus
 
Anything and everything is pure speculation until we know how it spreads, if it evades vaccines and how deadly is it

It could spread faster than Delta and get past vaccine and still not make you as sick as delta could. Of course there is a possibility it is even deadlier than Delta spreads like wildfire and the vaccines do nothing. This of course is the same with any new strain or mutation. One thing is for sure none of us in our lifetime have ever seen anything like Sars Cov 2.

We will know just in time for Christmas so lets hope it is a present we do not mind having

Oh and the panic in South Africa to get back here without having to isolate in hotels is just enough to bring it here and embed it in our society. They should have just blocked entry without isolation straight away

mrmistoffelees 27-11-2021 13:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jaymoss (Post 36102889)
Anything and everything is pure speculation until we know how it spreads, if it evades vaccines and how deadly is it

It could spread faster than Delta and get past vaccine and still not make you as sick as delta could. Of course there is a possibility it is even deadlier than Delta spreads like wildfire and the vaccines do nothing. This of course is the same with any new strain or mutation. One thing is for sure none of us in our lifetime have ever seen anything like Sars Cov 2.

We will know just in time for Christmas so lets hope it is a present we do not mind having

Indeed, however if the past twenty odd months have taught us anything, it should be we should try to do our best to get ahead of this in anyway possible.

Mask wearing (for most people) & social distancing are simple things that can be reintroduced at speed to help.

Jaymoss 27-11-2021 13:18

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36102891)
Indeed, however if the past twenty odd months have taught us anything, it should be we should try to do our best to get ahead of this in anyway possible.

Mask wearing (for most people) & social distancing are simple things that can be reintroduced at speed to help.

I agree totally and have not stopped doing any of that anyway . I still keep my distance and still wear a mask. I saw my daughter yesterday but insisted she take a LFT before she come round

nffc 27-11-2021 13:19

Re: Coronavirus
 
Masks don't stop people passing on and getting covid though. It slows down at best.

Jaymoss 27-11-2021 13:20

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36102893)
Masks don't stop people passing on and getting covid though. It slows down at best.

and that is better than nothing though isn't it

nffc 27-11-2021 13:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jaymoss (Post 36102894)
and that is better than nothing though isn't it

So is wearing a 2 metre radius plastic bubble around your whole body 24/7 but no-one's suggesting that.


Most transmission occurs in workplaces, schools, and households anyway which weren't on the mask mandates initially.

mrmistoffelees 27-11-2021 13:33

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36102893)
Masks don't stop people passing on and getting covid though. It slows down at best.


And depending on the study of the new variant that’s exactly what we may need to do again. The governments of the world are spooked by this new variant, we would be wise to act as proactively as possible.

If the new variant is nothing to worry about it then people have had to wear masks (a mild irritant to most) and stand 6ft apart for a few weeks, not exactly a hardship.

If it is something to worry about on the other hand then we’ve already introduced some sensible precautions which do not come with the same destructiveness as a full lockdown.

Hugh 27-11-2021 13:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36102893)
Masks don't stop people passing on and getting covid though. It slows down at best.

Brakes don’t always stop you hitting the car in front of you, they sometimes just slow you down so you don’t hit it as hard.

Most of us still use brakes, though…

Pierre 27-11-2021 13:56

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36102814)
The variant is omicron

Wasn’t he in Transformers?

nffc 27-11-2021 13:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36103148)
And depending on the study of the new variant that’s exactly what we may need to do again. The governments of the world are spooked by this new variant, we would be wise to act as proactively as possible.

If the new variant is nothing to worry about it then people have had to wear masks (a mild irritant to most) and stand 6ft apart for a few weeks, not exactly a hardship.

If it is something to worry about on the other hand then we’ve already introduced some sensible precautions which do not come with the same destructiveness as a full lockdown.

The most sensible thing to do is something which actually works and doesn't impact on people, and to not do it until it's actually needed.


So we already know that the virus spreads mostly in busy indoor places with poor ventilation. There are 2 ways you can solve that possibly - improve ventilation or make them less busy by introducing number restrictions.


The original 2m idea was based on the idea of keeping apart, the figure itself wasn't based on any real science, just reasonable separation which was easy to visualise. It was 6ft in the US, and 1m / 1.5m in some countries.



As for masks, well, you only need to look at people who have continued to wear them whenever they are indoors and out of their house and have still caught covid. And this includes people who should know how to use them properly. You can't wear them with glasses without the lenses steaming up, which is dangerous in itself, as you either need to not wear the mask, not wear your glasses (which may not be possible depending on how bad your sight is) or walk around with steamed up lenses. The disposable paper ones just add extra to landfill (they can't go in as paper as they have non-recyclable plastic on them) and don't really work too well nor do the cloth masks. If they were going for masks which actually do work then the N95/surgical masks would be better but even then Germany is experiencing a spike in virus despite these masks being needed in other areas.


The obvious thing they could actually do which will probably work is to advise people that they need to work from home if they can. This stops needless interactions in the office where you don't need to be with those people to work. Any job which needs you to be in a workplace can continue.

The trouble if you start to introduce any more measures is that it impacts on trade. Enforcing distancing and masks would mean that the hospitality industry would have to suffer again which means there would have to be job losses or we'd have to pay for furlough again which we can't afford.



Even Chris Whitty said the other day that he doesn't think people would support another lockdown. We've already seen in previous restrictions where people are having parties in parks and in houses because they can't do it in pubs.

Paul 27-11-2021 13:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
How did we jump from Delta to Omicron ?
Pretty sure there are a few letters in between.

papa smurf 27-11-2021 13:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36103157)
Wasn’t he in Transformers?

Transformers, covid in disguise :)

mrmistoffelees 27-11-2021 14:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36103158)
The most sensible thing to do is something which actually works and doesn't impact on people, and to not do it until it's actually needed.


So we already know that the virus spreads mostly in busy indoor places with poor ventilation. There are 2 ways you can solve that possibly - improve ventilation or make them less busy by introducing number restrictions.


The original 2m idea was based on the idea of keeping apart, the figure itself wasn't based on any real science, just reasonable separation which was easy to visualise. It was 6ft in the US, and 1m / 1.5m in some countries.



As for masks, well, you only need to look at people who have continued to wear them whenever they are indoors and out of their house and have still caught covid. And this includes people who should know how to use them properly. You can't wear them with glasses without the lenses steaming up, which is dangerous in itself, as you either need to not wear the mask, not wear your glasses (which may not be possible depending on how bad your sight is) or walk around with steamed up lenses. The disposable paper ones just add extra to landfill (they can't go in as paper as they have non-recyclable plastic on them) and don't really work too well nor do the cloth masks. If they were going for masks which actually do work then the N95/surgical masks would be better but even then Germany is experiencing a spike in virus despite these masks being needed in other areas.


The obvious thing they could actually do which will probably work is to advise people that they need to work from home if they can. This stops needless interactions in the office where you don't need to be with those people to work. Any job which needs you to be in a workplace can continue.

The trouble if you start to introduce any more measures is that it impacts on trade. Enforcing distancing and masks would mean that the hospitality industry would have to suffer again which means there would have to be job losses or we'd have to pay for furlough again which we can't afford.



Even Chris Whitty said the other day that he doesn't think people would support another lockdown. We've already seen in previous restrictions where people are having parties in parks and in houses because they can't do it in pubs.

You’re basing what we should do against a new variant with knowledge based on an old variant. There are significant changes between the two.

The WHO has specified what they advise the social distancing size should be,
It’s up to countries to heed that advice.

To your point on the economy, there may be a degree of difficulty to businesses but nowhere near the level should another lockdown be needed

It’s a finely tuned balancing act and I’m glad I can just discuss hypothetically rather than having to actually make the decision. but with the amount of mutations in the new variant which we don’t yet understand acting cautiously would be in our best interests.

The British would probably grudgingly accept another lockdown, there would be protests of course. But I don’t believe a mass uprising of the populace is on the cards. Let’s hope we don’t get to find out.

pip08456 27-11-2021 14:08

Re: Coronavirus
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36103159)
How did we jump from Delta to Omicron ?
Pretty sure there are a few letters in between.

There were but they are variants of interest, not concern.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...9&d=1638022076

spiderplant 27-11-2021 14:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36103159)
How did we jump from Delta to Omicron ?
Pretty sure there are a few letters in between.

They've used them all except Nu and Xi, but they didn't make the news much. Lambda was pretty big in South America, but Delta has remained dominant in most of the world.

I wonder if anybody cared about Iota?

papa smurf 27-11-2021 14:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
Two cases of Omicron Covid in UK: Super-mutant variant is found in Chelmsford and Nottingham - now PM will hold press conference this afternoon as four more countries are added to banned list


https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...tected-UK.html

mrmistoffelees 27-11-2021 14:53

Re: Coronavirus
 
£37bn Excel spreadsheet to the rescue.

Carth 27-11-2021 14:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36103169)
£37bn Excel spreadsheet to the rescue.

At first glance I saw that as '£37bn Exocet'

strange how the mind works eh :D

Sephiroth 27-11-2021 15:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36103168)
Two cases of Omicron Covid in UK: Super-mutant variant is found in Chelmsford and Nottingham - now PM will hold press conference this afternoon as four more countries are added to banned list


https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...tected-UK.html

Eggs is eggs.

Mad Max 27-11-2021 15:18

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Super-mutant variant
Mutant Ninja Turtles :D


We're doomed I tell ya, all doomed, :rolleyes:

joglynne 27-11-2021 16:23

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote from my local paper. It's a live blog so I am posting the latest post. Report of PMs expected update should be included at 5pm.

Quote:

16:16 LIVE: Boris Johnson to hold press conference after Omicron coronavirus variant cases confirmed in UK
Department of Health and Social Care statement regarding new variant cases discovered
"After overnight genome sequencing, the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) has confirmed that two cases of COVID-19 with mutations consistent with B.1.1.529 have been identified in the UK.

"The individuals that have tested positive, and all members of their households, are being re-tested and told to self-isolate while further testing and contact tracing is underway.

"The UK Health Security Agency is carrying out targeted testing at locations where the positive cases were likely to have been infectious.

"In response to the developing situation, the UK is taking decisive action to protect public health. Confirmed cases and contacts are being followed up and requested to isolate and get tested as necessary.

"In addition, in line with updated advice from the UKHSA, from 4am Sunday Malawi, Mozambique, Zambia and Angola will be added to the travel red list. Travellers who have returned from these four countries in last 10 days must isolate and get a PCR test. UKHSA are following up recent arrivals from these countries.

"This adds to the six countries placed on the red list on Friday."

The statement from the government also said: "One case has been located in Chelmsford and the other in Nottingham. The two cases are linked and there is a link to travel to Southern Africa."

Essex County Council has since put out its own statement, clarifying that the case in Essex was found in Brentwood, not Chelmsford.
https://www.manchestereveningnews.co...=breaking-news

Hugh 27-11-2021 16:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36102873)

The Guvmin has to tread a fine line between being too cautious and having good reason for that extra caution (lockdown).

It seems to me that they need to know just how bad the Omicron variant is and data from Africa will be being studied,

Whitty is reported in today's Torygraph as opining:

Quote:

The delta variant is of greater concern to the UK than the new Covid mutation, England's chief medical officer has said amid rising international fears about the omicron strain.

Prof Chris Whitty said ministers were right to take "precautionary" border measures to slow the arrival of the new variant into Britain.

But he warned that any attempt to impose "more muscular restrictions" could lose public

The Torygraph seems to have been selective in it’s quoting…

https://www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/c...n-b968563.html
Quote:

"My greatest worry at the moment is that people… if we need to do something more muscular at some point, whether it’s for the current new variant or at some later stage, can we still take people with us?” Prof Whitty said.

He admitted that some of the changes the public has had to make have been “very destructive” to society and the economy.

However, despite his worries, the chief medical officer struck a positive note, saying he believed the Government will be able to maintain public support for coronavirus measures.

“I think the extraordinary thing has been the ability of the UK population, with very, very small exceptions, to just accept that there are things we collectively have to do to protect one another and do collectively, including things that have been very destructive to social and economic situations for individuals and families,” he said.

Obviously, we want to avoid having to do those at all if we can, and to do the minimum ones necessary, but will we be able to maintain public support?

And I think my overall view is, I think we will.


Provided you are clear with people what the logic is, provided they feel that we’re being entirely straight with them as to all the data… but I think that’s always a worry.”

ianch99 27-11-2021 16:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36103163)
I wonder if anybody cared about Iota?

Nice, I see what you did there :)

Pierre 27-11-2021 16:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36103168)
Two cases of Omicron Covid in UK: Super-mutant variant is found in Chelmsford and Nottingham - now PM will hold press conference this afternoon as four more countries are added to banned list


https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...tected-UK.html

Super mutant. FFS

ianch99 27-11-2021 16:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36103161)
The British would probably grudgingly accept another lockdown, there would be protests of course. But I don’t believe a mass uprising of the populace is on the cards. Let’s hope we don’t get to find out.

The irony is that if people did, widely, mitigate risk via mask wearing, etc. there could be no new lockdown if this variant is worse than Delta. By not mitigating the risks now, lockdown is more likely in that scenario.

Pierre 27-11-2021 16:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36103193)
The Torygraph seems to have been selective in it’s quoting…

https://www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/c...n-b968563.html

Restrictions ( above travel ones already implemented) only need be considered if this variant causes a more severe reaction requiring hospitalisation or more deaths.

At the moment, there is no evidence on the reduction of vaccine efficacy, especially for this that have had the 3rd dose.

I know the media are wishing for something akin to the bubonic plague.

---------- Post added at 16:54 ---------- Previous post was at 16:52 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36103161)
The British would probably grudgingly accept another lockdown, there would be protests of course. But I don’t believe a mass uprising of the populace is on the cards. Let’s hope we don’t get to find out.

I wouldn’t. Also protesting about it is illegal. The government sorted that out long ago.

nffc 27-11-2021 17:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
There is little evidence for anything yet in regards to this new variant - and there are ultimately going to be more and more detections of it, but this is because they are looking for it, this is why they have told everyone who has come back from the affected areas and anyone who is coming back from them to isolate and book a PCR test.



At the moment all detections are people who have been to Africa, mainly southern Africa, and people who have recently returned from there. We will probably also see a bit of transmission in their close contacts especially households and they should be isolating and tested too. I would also probably suggest that anyone who has been outside the UK in the last week should also take a LFT daily if they're going to go anywhere and avoid non-essential journeys especially those to crowded spaces.


That should be enough to slow it down for now.


There's also been some conversation out of SA which suggests it is milder, though I suppose it's early days on this as we won't know even there until it's a couple of weeks in as hospital admissions tend to lag getting the virus by a week or so.


But they shouldn't really be looking to impose anything more on the general population until we know that it is causing an issue with vaccinated people. If it's starting to significantly infect double or triple jabbed people to the extent that they will be in hospital with the virus, then they will need to try and slow that down in the community.

jfman 27-11-2021 17:19

Re: Coronavirus
 
Speculative optimism in the absence of evidence. Helpful.

---------- Post added at 17:19 ---------- Previous post was at 17:18 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36103159)
How did we jump from Delta to Omicron ?
Pretty sure there are a few letters in between.

Didn’t want to upset the Chinese - the modus operandi of the WHO. As I said previously in the topic second only to the Wuhan Institute of Virology in terms of harming human health in the pandemic.

Hugh 27-11-2021 17:20

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36103200)
There is little evidence for anything yet in regards to this new variant - and there are ultimately going to be more and more detections of it, but this is because they are looking for it, this is why they have told everyone who has come back from the affected areas and anyone who is coming back from them to isolate and book a PCR test.



At the moment all detections are people who have been to Africa, mainly southern Africa, and people who have recently returned from there. We will probably also see a bit of transmission in their close contacts especially households and they should be isolating and tested too. I would also probably suggest that anyone who has been outside the UK in the last week should also take a LFT daily if they're going to go anywhere and avoid non-essential journeys especially those to crowded spaces.


That should be enough to slow it down for now.


There's also been some conversation out of SA which suggests it is milder, though I suppose it's early days on this as we won't know even there until it's a couple of weeks in as hospital admissions tend to lag getting the virus by a week or so.


But they shouldn't really be looking to impose anything more on the general population until we know that it is causing an issue with vaccinated people. If it's starting to significantly infect double or triple jabbed people to the extent that they will be in hospital with the virus, then they will need to try and slow that down in the community.

By which time it will be too late - shutting the stable door after the horse has bolted…

The hospitalised patients will have spread it to others before they are admitted.

mrmistoffelees 27-11-2021 17:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36103200)
There is little evidence for anything yet in regards to this new variant - and there are ultimately going to be more and more detections of it, but this is because they are looking for it, this is why they have told everyone who has come back from the affected areas and anyone who is coming back from them to isolate and book a PCR test.



At the moment all detections are people who have been to Africa, mainly southern Africa, and people who have recently returned from there. We will probably also see a bit of transmission in their close contacts especially households and they should be isolating and tested too. I would also probably suggest that anyone who has been outside the UK in the last week should also take a LFT daily if they're going to go anywhere and avoid non-essential journeys especially those to crowded spaces.


That should be enough to slow it down for now.


There's also been some conversation out of SA which suggests it is milder, though I suppose it's early days on this as we won't know even there until it's a couple of weeks in as hospital admissions tend to lag getting the virus by a week or so.


But they shouldn't really be looking to impose anything more on the general population until we know that it is causing an issue with vaccinated people. If it's starting to significantly infect double or triple jabbed people to the extent that they will be in hospital with the virus, then they will need to try and slow that down in the community.

Nearly two years ago the detections were from people who had travelled to China, your statement holds no merit.

You’re playing the reactive card, that might have held some sway two years ago when we knew nothing about the virus. But now ?

---------- Post added at 17:22 ---------- Previous post was at 17:21 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36103197)
Restrictions ( above travel ones already implemented) only need be considered if this variant causes a more severe reaction requiring hospitalisation or more deaths.

At the moment, there is no evidence on the reduction of vaccine efficacy, especially for this that have had the 3rd dose.

I know the media are wishing for something akin to the bubonic plague.

---------- Post added at 16:54 ---------- Previous post was at 16:52 ----------



I wouldn’t. Also protesting about it is illegal. The government sorted that out long ago.

Of course you wouldn’t. But then, I wouldn’t expect anything less

Taf 27-11-2021 17:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36103200)
At the moment all detections are people who have been to Africa, mainly southern Africa, and people who have recently returned from there.

The person with it in Belgium had never been to Africa, and knew no-one who had.

pip08456 27-11-2021 17:23

Re: Coronavirus
 
3 Attachment(s)
So much for a super mutant variant. One would expect different figures from SA cosidering their low rate of vaccination.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...0&d=1638033322

https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/region/south-africa

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1638033685

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...2&d=1638033685

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

mrmistoffelees 27-11-2021 17:25

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36103207)

Indeed, if countries are testing enough. Or, not fudging the results (looking at Turkey & India)

Pierre 27-11-2021 17:29

Re: Coronavirus
 
Face masks for shops but not pubs. Hilarious.

heero_yuy 27-11-2021 17:33

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36103209)
Face masks for shops but not pubs. Hilarious.

You need the one with the built in straw. Paper of course.

Hugh 27-11-2021 17:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
Just because it was first detected in SA, doesn’t mean it started there.

Sephiroth 27-11-2021 17:38

Re: Coronavirus
 
If you were watching the PM's press conference, did you notice a press hack camera with a huge telephoto lens was permanently trained on the PM waiting for him fart or lose his place or something?

Pierre 27-11-2021 17:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 36103210)
You need the one with the built in straw. Paper of course.

You don’t, that’s the funny bit.

---------- Post added at 17:42 ---------- Previous post was at 17:40 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36103211)
Just because it was first detected in SA, doesn’t mean it started there.

Good point, where should we look? Madagascar looks suspicious, just loitering there.

mrmistoffelees 27-11-2021 17:43

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36103212)
If you were watching the PM's press conference, did you notice a press hack camera with a huge telephoto lens was permanently trained on the PM waiting for him fart or lose his place or something?

Trying to catch a snap of peppa perhaps ?

nffc 27-11-2021 18:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
Who's willing to bet it's not going to be 3 weeks. And before then, they will probably put more restrictions on.


Working from home is still the most useful and they missed the point on it again.


Also, he couldn't have been less clear on the masks point. It's not in effect yet and no mention of exactly what he meant - he said he's leaving that to Javid. Presumably as it's not law at the moment they need to get it through Parliament too...


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