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It has always been bait and switch. Get folk in at £8 a month and see if they will stomach £12/13 in the future. |
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Netflix is playing the long game. No doubt you would have told us that Murdoch’s satellite TV service was doomed back in the 1990s. I agree that Netflix has accumulated a lot of debt, but Murdoch’s venture actually nearly went under back in the day.I dare say that once Netflix have made retained their original material for so long, they will look to monetise them further by passing on the rights to broadcast over to other streaming services and who knows, maybe to conventionally broadcast scheduled TV channels. Maybe Netflix will come to their rescue with new content for them! |
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Just look at the week’s schedules for Sky One, Sky Witness and Sky Atlantic and do a quick assessment on whether you think they are value for money compared with Netflix. True, there are one or two good programmes on there, but they are surrounded by piles of absolute dross. I only subscribe to Sky for those one or two good programmes, but they represent pretty poor value for money IMHO. |
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Netflix for me is a nice little add on but it has to be careful how far it pushes prices. |
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You say that they will "spend less on content" when they have a sufficient library? That is highly unlikely... If anything spend will continue to go up and they will continue to make more content as licenses expire as legacy companies repatriate content for their services as they slowly expand into other territories - they have to fill that backlog with more volume hence they will perpetually keep spending especially as data points to more cancellations and new orders. I'm sorry but you can't spend billions trying to be Costco and then decide all of a sudden you're a high end boutique. They will have to compete as Apple and Amazon increase their comparatively low spend and pick up high end shows and films like Killers Of The Flower Moon and Borat 2 (if rumours are to be believed, Amazon bid $40 million more than Netflix for the Borat film) - and unlike those companies and the likes of Disney & Comcast, they do not have other primary businesses to fall back on. And most importantly, all those other competitors? They don't need to exceed Netflix's subscriber numbers - most of them have different models that does not necessarily mean they need to go toe to toe with Netflix for sub numbers... all the likes of HBO Max, Peacock/Now TV, Disney+/Star/Hulu and Paramount+ need to do collectively is erode hours of viewing from Netflix whose whole business is about keeping you in their platform and nowhere else... if they increase prices and yet viewing hours go down, it will be reasonable to suggest customers may start to consider whether it is still a value proposition. I don't think Netflix is going anywhere as they are still a damn good service but I don't think they are bulletproof either. |
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It should be compared to Now TV's entertainment pack if we're comparing it to a Sky product. |
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Netflix has done remarkably well at allowing established Hollywood figures to use their platform to produce vanity projects - actors getting producer credits, that sort of thing. That’s less charitable than I mean it to be; Enola Holmes names Millie Bobby Brown as a producer and by all accounts she was fairly hands-on. But no matter how talented she is, she’s only 16 and her reputation stems entirely from one ensemble show (Stranger Things). Again, that sounds less charitable than I mean it to; all I’m really saying is she wouldn’t have got such a massive opportunity anywhere else. Netflix is happy to chuck money at projects like that and see if it sticks. Given the names they’ve been able to attract to what, in old money, would have been disparagingly called a “tv movie” or “straight to video”, it’s a strategy that’s working for them - especially if Enola Holmes is anything to go by. It managed to draw in Henry Cavill *and* Helena B.C., and has been in the U.K. top 10 since it dropped. The commissioning of a sequel is all but a formality.
Massive companies like Amazon and Apple, which are increasingly looking like conglomerates with their only tangentially connected business divisions, may well have the deep pockets needed to cross-subsidise their TV operations and out bid Netflix for big name productions like Star Trek or Borat, but I believe Netflix already learned a hard lesson in that regard when Marvel went to Disney, Disney started making streaming noises, and Netflix’s well-developed and well-received corner of the MCU came to a sudden halt, long before it ran out of stories to tell. In short, I don’t think Netflix’s business model is threatened by Amazon or Apple throwing big money at bids for third party content, and I don’t think Netflix is going to reduce spend on its own commissions and retreat to being a video library. It has found a commissioning model that works for it, and also works for the rather big names who are clearly willing to work for somewhat less than the Hollywood A rate in exchange for the creative freedom Netflix is willing to give them. |
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Legendary & Warner Bros have lined up a box office hit for a sequel. Good move letting Netflix have the first one.
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BT for one do an excellent job with the club rugby, but the split seems to work quite well. I really hope Amazon getting the autumn cup is not a sign of things to come. |
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Or give them an offer, see how many are rich enough and too idle to cancel when you ramp up the cost. I'm sure it works for a lot of people. ---------- Post added at 17:13 ---------- Previous post was at 17:12 ---------- Quote:
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Fair enough to compare Sky Cinema, but add that to all the TV shows and then compare prices. ---------- Post added at 19:48 ---------- Previous post was at 19:42 ---------- Quote:
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In other words only make comparisons favourable for Netflix. I’m quite sure rational consumers in the marketplace do not act as you suggest Old Boy and it’s up to Netflix to remain competitive despite price rises.
Raider makes a reasonable point about customer apathy, where they don’t feel strongly enough to go out their way to cancel. While I’m sure this happens I’m sure the recession will afford less people the luxury. |
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We only use Netflix occasionally, our main streaming channel is Now TV which we use for their entertainment pack, and at the present cost of only £1.60 per month, is superb value IMO.
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All this choice is getting a bit much over in the United States
Only needed three channels for all the sports content is described as the "golden age". If Old Boy gets his wish here's where we are going. |
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Where the streamers are excelling is in the field of general entertainment, particularly drama serials. We’ve never had so much choice in drama content, and it is very inexpensive compared with pay tv channels. |
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- It is still viewed long after its first release so suits a VOD library - People are happy to watch it when it suits them, not everyone at the same time. Most viewings of sports are live with everyone watching at the same time. This requires a lot more capacity to cope with very popular events. - Drama rights can be obtained on a multi-country and global basis. TV rights for sports are normally sold by country or region. |
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Sport is a “passing interest” as it doesn’t suit your narrative. It’s the gaping hole within it. |
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Didn't you say you'd be surprised if it wasn't on VM on October 1st? |
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Everyone else sees the consolidation of the global market into a handful of companies who will dominate the market. You’re the one persisting that this must be platforms which exclusively stream. Others rationally contest that viewers follow content and that Sky (and other incumbents) have solid business models and streaming presence for those ideological about these things. |
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I really don’t know why Virgin have to take such a long time negotiating these deals, but I’m sure we will get the service eventually. ---------- Post added at 11:48 ---------- Previous post was at 11:39 ---------- Quote:
It’s just what I think. You may disagree, but no need to get in a state about it. |
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Let’s hope the D+ does mean ‘Disney+ and not Discovery+, although both would be nice! Incidentally, is the ‘VM,BT,YV’ all part of the D+ code or are they codes for separate services? It sounds curious to me - are we getting something from BT? YV could be ‘You View’ but I don’t know how we would benefit from that. Very strange. |
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Yeah vm= virgin, bt=bt, yv=youview. What it means is D+ is relevant to those 3 platforms at the moment nothing from BT to VM as of yet. Also noted Origintv has officially launched now full, this is a tv service from Origin Broadband a company i'd steer well clear off. |
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Disney + launched in the UK on 31 March 2020. Six months' as a Sky exclusive would have seen it available on other pay TV platforms this month which as you say would have been a smooth handover when the linear channels closed. However, I suspect Disney are quite happy for customers to sign up directly without paying any sign-up commission to VM. My thinking is next year now and possibly on 31 March again for a launch on VM. |
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However that doesn't suit your narrative to seek out objective facts. |
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Back then, to my recollection, the BBC said it cost £80m to run the channel and £50m would be saved by going online only. I never believed that figure given it shared transmission space with CBBC and that was continuing. |
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As others have pointed out content left the channel as part of the savings. And they filled BBC 1 and 2 with some of the leftover content. Another spreadsheet wheeze for the BBC but nothing to do with the cost of maintaining a linear presence. As you’ve correctly pointed out they are reversing the decision. Clearly, because little of this online content had the reach of the linear channel. I could give the BBC a way to save billions by - closing down. It’s hardly a like for like comparison. |
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Your analogy is off the wall. BBC3 is returning as a conventional channel because it was far too early to close it down. In good time, all the Beeb’s channels will close down together and the content made available on a streamer. |
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If there was you'd perhaps have a point. However it's simply not true. The fact the BBC are going in reverse suggests you may be getting further away from, not closer to, your 2035 vision. You're forgetting (as you always do) is that the BBC get ratings for simply being top of the EPG. A prized position they simply will not give up. The same content on BBC 1 rates higher than BBC 2. Same goes for ITV for major news coverage (when ITV did such a thing) and simulcasts of the World Cup final or major England games. |
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As I said, the Beeb closed BBC3 prematurely, and I did say that at the time. That has been proved true. Yes, being top of the EPG is worth a great deal.But that is now. If most of the other channels have already closed down and most people have abandoned the system we have now, what then? Your mistake is in believing there will not be a big shift in viewing patterns over the next decade or so. If that doesn’t happen, I will be the first to say I was wrong. But can you put your hand on your heart and say you really don’t believe that a viewer shift of this kind will never happen under any circumstances? What makes you so sure? |
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There’s been plenty of opportunities for this viewing shift that have never come to pass. I’ve explained before, multiple times, that you have never explained how consumer behaviour changes “to zero” without Government intervention. Internet hasn’t even got 100% penetration let alone the superfast speeds needed for HD broadcasts and not everyone wants to subscribe to an expensive broadband solution for television. Your view that most other channels closing down is bad for channels left on EPGs is a bad thing. On the contrary it’s a good thing. It is greater prominence for those that remain. Let’s take it to an extreme and there’s ONE linear channel. Only one. You switch your TV on and it’s there. Are you telling me that Amazon, Netflix, Sky or anyone else wouldn’t fall over themselves to showcase their content there for the paltry sums it costs to broadcast? A 24 hour TV channel beamed into every household in the country. The only one? It’d be Sky Sports News on steroids. |
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The point I am making is that there will come a tipping point. We have not reached it yet, but give it another 5 years, and you will be ignorant or a flat earther not to notice a sea change in viewer habits. Your scenario of one channel left...what if no-one even bothers with this mode of transmission anymore? This is a concept you seem to be unable to grasp. If you take your blinkers off, you will start to understand that people will migrate to where the best content is. People will follow the herd. But I know you have a problem with all things ‘herd’! |
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It’s not blinkers, it’s objective reality. Just because you think a technology is better, or in fact even if a technology is better, doesn’t mean the mass market will adopt it as much as you think it could, would or should. Broadband doesn’t have 100% market penetration. Mobile phones don’t have 100% market penetration. Cable television in the early days didn’t reach 100% penetration in cabled areas when it was literally free with a phone line that was cheaper than BT. Pay-tv doesn’t have 100% market penetration. You’ve moved the argument twice in a single post - first to viewing habits changing - nobody has ever denied this. Second - people will follow content - again nobody has denied this. The point you still remain unable to answer is why a company wouldn’t maintain a live, linear presence in addition to streaming. https://www.tvbeurope.com/media-deli...g-to-go-linear “Deep pockets” Amazon are even exploring linear! |
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But i have no desire for anyone to reply to me and argue my own personal opinion to be honest so ill leave it at that. Do we have any news on then peacock is launching in the UK? Will that be another squeeze on content already available on amazon/netflix? |
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Reminds me i have a fun 250 page document to get through when i get into work on Monday morning it is titled UHD VM *shrugs* will give more info once i've read it. |
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Document mentions that AMC may leave BTTV in 2021 too they're not happy with the viewing figures plans to bring AMC+ to the UK. Peacock confirms what i said most original contract will be on Comcast uk services aks SKY. |
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And I wondered whether AMC would consider going D2C here following the launch of AMC+ in the US... I cannot imagine they are happy with the BT reach and with plans to expand Walking Dead after the original series ends, I would think they would want to exploit that content themselves rather than selling rights to Amazon like they have done with World Beyond. AMC own Shudder, Acorn TV and Sundance Now so curious if any potential version of AMC+ would house other brands like the US version does. |
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BT to offer 6-month free subscription to Britbox.
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You have to subscribe via BT - so no doubt it is going to screw up the BT billing system.
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Glad to see my Sky Q box finally has Netflix in HDR to go along with Disney +.
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Sky vip customers can currently get Goosebumps from the sky store website, not sure about box as i did it via website.
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https://corporate.discovery.com/blog...or-uk-ireland/
DPlay to be rebranded and Sky to serve as the exclusive launch partner |
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The final sentence in the press release is a key one, I think. "discovery+ will be rolled out on additional devices and platforms in 2020 and 2021." |
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Quibiis shutting down https://www.theverge.com/2020/10/21/...QX3hxxljXI019E
Quibi — the shortform mobile-focused streaming service — is shutting down after just over six months of operation, making it one of the shortest-lived streaming services to date, according to The Wall Street Journal. There is any number of factors that can be pointed to in unpacking Quibi’s demise: the launch of a mobile-only streaming service at the height of a global pandemic when users were stuck at home; the lack of any real breakout content that was compelling enough to tempt subscribers; or the fact that shortform video content has a nearly infinite amount of free competition in the form of YouTube, TikTok, and other platforms. It’s not clear what will happen to the company’s lineup of expensive, star-studded original shows and shortform films after the shutdown. Earlier reports indicated that co-founder Jeffrey Katzenberg had courted Apple, WarnerMedia, and Facebook to try to acquire the beleaguered streaming company earlier this year. When those efforts failed, Katzenberg reportedly tried to get Facebook and NBCUniversal to at least pick up Quibi’s content, to no success. |
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It was a mistake for Quibi to concentrate only on mobiles. To be successful, streamers should be on as many platforms as possible.
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And utilise linear channels so people know they exist.
Don’t want to do an Eleven Sports. Interestingly Premier Sports haven’t had to collapse under the cost of Serie A and La Liga rights. DAZN Germany following this. |
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Who? |
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Netflix rolling out more price rises only a matter of time before UK gets hit with them https://www.cordcuttersnews.com/netf...RIFgc_ZT30tDWE
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As things stand, it’s far better value than the TV licence though.
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Aren't Apple also launching something called Apple One which starts at £14.95 and includes Apple Music , Apple Arcade , Apple TV + and icloud 50gb storage. |
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Individual includes Apple Music, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, and 50GB of iCloud storage for $14.95 / £14.95 / AU$19.95 per month. Family includes Apple Music, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, and 200GB of iCloud storage for $19.95 / £19.95 / AU$25.95 per month, and can be shared among up to six family members. Premier, where available, includes Apple Music, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple News+, Apple Fitness+, and 2TB of iCloud storage for $29.95 / £29.95 / AU$39.95 per month, and can be shared among up to six family members. |
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Documents came through today regarding Disney+ they are considering a live channel on the Disney+ app.
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I am sure there will be lots of experimentation with linear TV on the streamers for films, entertainment, dramas, etc, which is what Pluto does now. However, when watching by VOD really catches on, as people use streamers more and more, I would imagine that most people will turn mainly to the VOD. I mean, how many people watch linear TV on Now TV? I’m sure that some do, but it’s so much more convenient to simply pick out the very same programmes that you can watch on the live channels from VOD. Watch them when you want, uninterrupted by those pesky ads. Human nature is always difficult to predict, and maybe there will always be those people who prefer to watch ‘channels’ as such. However if, as I suspect, only a small minority do that in the future, the streamers will come to regard this as not being worth their while. ---------- Post added at 11:29 ---------- Previous post was at 11:27 ---------- Quote:
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I have split BBC charter/licence discussion into a separate thread, here: https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...php?t=33709499
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Are they like channels? |
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However, my point is that if, as I suspect, we are all on IPTV in future, and you are into a service which offers a platform similar to Now TV with all your programmes set out in front of you, why would you choose to go to the live tv section? I know that some would, but I believe they would be a small minority. It would be interesting to know the viewing patterns on Now TV, I think that would be very revealing. ---------- Post added at 10:14 ---------- Previous post was at 10:04 ---------- Quote:
That word ‘channels’ has a wider meaning than simply the broadcast TV channels, but of course you will already be aware of that, so I’m not going to indulge you. ;) |
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Is this another Old Boy shift so it’s not the end of linear television but the end of terrestrial and satellite broadcast television?
What about all the times you called people that watch scheduled, linear television lazy? |
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2025 100 Mb internet broadband speed available to every UK home 2035 End of terrestrial TV, cable TV and satellite TV 2̶0̶2̶5̶ ̶2̶0̶3̶5̶ TBA End of linear broadcasting |
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2025: Fast broadband speeds should be available to most homes in the country. There will be some non-spots, as there are with satellite and transmitter broadcasts, mainly in very remote areas. 2035: Terrestrial, Cable and Satellite TV either replaced or substantially replaced by IPTV. 2035: Linear broadcasting via existing TV channels replaced or substantially replaced by streaming over IPTV. That is my vision of the future, based on what we know now. You can disagree if you want, but there is mounting evidence that this will be the case. |
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What’s the difference between linear channels and linear broadcasting?
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Thanks. Some tedious questions around specifics.
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Many thanks |
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What I will say is that broadband speeds fast enough to view streaming videos should be available to all but a very small number by 2025. Hasn’t the government committed to super-fast broadband? That is my recollection, without looking it up. Substantially replaced means just that. The vast majority, if not all. EDIT: Just looked it up. “ Boris Johnson’s Government has adopted a target to deliver “gigabit-capable broadband” nationwide by 2025.” |
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