![]() |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Plenty of activities were restricted, unless you now believe the "restrictions" actually restricted nothing. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
The long suffering public could equally be attributed to those being denied routine healthcare and treatments because of the decision to run the pandemic at close to maximum NHS capacity in the hope for an economic outcome that will never be realised. ONS surveys have 91% of those who were clinically extremely vulnerable still restricting their activities, and passenger surveys have the number of commuters at approx 50% of the normal levels. None of that creates a better healthcare or economic outcome if consumers continue to self-select their way out of the economy. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
https://assets.publishing.service.go..._scenarios.pdf There’s nothing in the SAGE Minutes about zero level infections around December/January https://assets.publishing.service.go...96_minutes.pdf The Imperial College paper (part of the SAGE papers) - Autumn and Winter 2021-2022: potential COVID-19 epidemic trajectories states https://assets.publishing.service.go...al_College.pdf Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:
https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...5&d=1636132489 |
Re: Coronavirus
indicative scenarios Just the same guesswork then . . wrapped up in even more sparkly glitter paper to make the words seem more important than they are :D
It's like gambling isn't it . . study the form, analyse the course and weather conditions, shove £20 on to win . . . horse comes 5th |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Comparing apples with oranges. |
Re: Coronavirus
It's common sense to suggest now that restrictions - even Plan B type - will just push the peak later, which to an extent, we can't necessarily keep doing.
In England there are now very few legal restrictions and even recommendations relating to covid. Cases still continue to fall (another big drop today) despite schools being back for a week. As they did in July and August before they went back again. It seems indicative that actually they were right to basically open up in July and get some immunity in before the winter. We may be seeing this now, against the backdrop of it rising again, or we may see it do this again over the winter. Or we can restrict again and let the virus just come back again when it's lifted. |
Re: Coronavirus
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:
https://assets.publishing.service.go..._scenarios.pdf Quote:
https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...6&d=1636136771 Even the most conservative model shows an additional 1.6 million infections in the period Jan 2022-Sept 2022. |
Re: Coronavirus
2 Attachment(s)
Graphs from the start. ONS figures.
|
Re: Coronavirus
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-59181370
Quote:
However, the actual booking must still be 6 months after your last jab. Before, you could not even use the booking system until 6 months had passed. |
Re: Coronavirus
It’s says in the article we can book from Monday, but I just checked, and I can book today for Friday 19th November (last jab was on 21st May).
|
Re: Coronavirus
Had the booster this afternoon. 7 months since the last vaccination.
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
edit: Just booked my flu jab for this Monday too. No need to wait for the GP to contact you apparently |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
1 Attachment(s)
Why you shouldn’t trust the Daily Telegraph on COVID…
https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...0&d=1636237959 |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
---------- Post added at 23:32 ---------- Previous post was at 23:26 ---------- Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
I know this may sound a tad daft and soppy, and even though I don't know anyone here in real life, it does make me feel happy knowing that people who I know in this virtual community have survived the pandemic and are now getting their booster shots.
OK, feeling embarrassed by my Sunday morning musings I shall exit stage left. :D |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
I got my booster last Monday, Hugh, and maybe I'm lucky but had no adverse reaction from it, in fact, I've never had any adverse reaction from the previous two jabs either, hopefully, you and the missus are the same. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Aren't they just giving everyone a shot of Pfizer now, so a 1st to go with 2 AZs or a 3rd Pfizer depending on what you had before?
Also, I thought the sore arm was just because of having an injection. Mine was sore the day after, a bit more the 2nd time (which I actually felt them doing unlike the 1st) but only mildly-annoying so (even when playing the organ the day after the 1st). |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Well my main jabs were Pfizer, so hopefully the booster will be as well.
I had no reactions to J1 or J2. Mines a couple of days before Hugh (on the 24th). |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
It was reported to me about a risk of pericarditis for pacemaker users receiving Pfizer booster but a brief google can't find exact details other than a known side effect on some younger males. I am male and while I like to think of myself as "younger" I really don't fit into that category any more.
|
Re: Coronavirus
Still have a slightly sore arm from Saturday's booster but that's it.
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Lots of info on the subject if you dig about here: https://www.youtube.com/c/Campbellte...y=pericarditis Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
The idiots are at it again.
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
OK . . who's bought shares in the vaccine manufacturers?
Looks like a better return than Bitcoin if Covid is here to stay :erm: |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
This assumes no new variants that are of sufficient concern to take further vaccination measures. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Plans are afoot for annual vaccinations. Given efficacy for the first two rapidly declines after six months there's no reason to expect a third to provide infinite immunity. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
I agree, it'll be an annual vaccination just like the flu jab. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
---------- Post added at 17:31 ---------- Previous post was at 17:29 ---------- Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
This article touches on it, but is not optimistic that this can be achieved in the short term. But as yet, we don’t know for sure. With the vaccinations protecting us, there will no longer be drastic consequences due to natural infection or re infection, so you could rely on that to avoid the need for constant re-vaccinations. [EXTRACT FROM British Medical Journal] Antibodies and reinfection Over time covid-19 could become a disease first encountered in early childhood, when it would typically cause mild infection or none at all, Jennie Lavine, an infectious disease researcher at Emory University in Atlanta, USA, told Nature. Although that defence would wane quickly and not be sufficient to block reinfection entirely, it could be enough to protect adults experiencing severe symptoms. Scientists consider this scenario likely because it matches four existing endemic coronaviruses—OC43, 229E, NL63, and HKU1—but it is not certain. A large study has shown that levels of neutralising antibodies start to decline after around six to eight months after infection with SARS-CoV-2.2 If a new infection arises, memory B cells can manufacture antibodies and T cells that can eliminate virus infected cells, but it has yet to be established whether this immune memory can block viral reinfection. |
Re: Coronavirus
Yeah let's keep it circulating killing off the vulnerable elderly and sick. .Top idea
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
The rest of the claim is, as ever, speculative nonsense from someone who disagreed with any kind of intervention. So why would he approve of vaccination on an ongoing basis? |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
---------- Post added at 20:04 ---------- Previous post was at 20:02 ---------- Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
I’m not really sure what you mean OB. Your original stance was to let it rip. When vaccines were in development your attitude was to let it rip. Now vaccines are being deployed with waning efficacy your attitude is to give people 2/3 doses then let it rip.
A sociopathic disregard for human life and scientific achievement. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Whenever you flatten the curve you still have to have the end result the same. So you're delaying the outcome... and delaying it... and delaying it. Now, you can go totally all out on it like Aus and NZ do, but we saw in Aus that eventually became unworkable. Or you can go out on it for a while, like most countries have done, and either shield or vaccinate the most at risk before opening up again in a controlled manner, yes this inevitably leads to a higher baseline of infection but gives those people immunity which is long term beneficial. It's really Canute-style logic to suggest a virus can be stopped in its tracks by NPIs. At some point you'll get a resurgence unless everyone lives like hermits until the end of time - and that isn't really living. No solution is ideal so you just have to protect the vulnerable as much as you can and allow everyone else to get on with life. We're over a week after the kids went back now and still day on day (compared with the same day the previous week) infections are continuing to fall, this is with everything open, and realistically we are now at the point where we would be beginning to see the effect of the little sprogs being back now, considering secondary kids were by far and away the group most affected before then, so we may well be reaching the immunity levels to stop this spreading there, which will be good. All this with no real formal covid restrictions in England for many months, an open society, an open economy with the capability to enjoy things almost to pre-pandemic levels. Actually I think in general the countries who have been a bit less prescriptive with restrictions are now faring better. I notice Austria and Germany are struggling again, and most of Europe is now following an opposite trend to the UK. Mainly because suppression always has an exit wave and Johnson/Javid with no doubt the blessing of Whitty and Vallance decided to get this out of the way in the summer. In the long term we won't know whether this paid off but at the moment it's looking rather good. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
My point was that vaccination on an ongoing basis will be part of managing the situation - OB’s original point that this will not be required on the basis of a dubious scientist he heard on the radio. The reality is that other countries are already recognising the need for boosters for all. Something we will presumably do once we have adequate supplies of mRNA vaccines. Countries aren’t ordering enough for 3-4x their population so they can generously gift them to other countries. They’re making sure they have first dibs in the next round. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
I don't think we can read into the future enough to tell. If it ends up like flu where we give vaccines to those at risk, that's manageable, and probably a worst case scenario in reality. Maybe it will take a year or two with the existing vaccines or better vaccines to get to this point, or maybe we will have enough natural immunity, we can't tell. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Our (UK) Pfizer order for the second half of 2022 is 35 million doses. That’s on top of 60m ordered in April and 40m prior to that. This isn’t decision making by chance. The US and EU orders are for billions of doses. In excess of 4 per citizen. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
There will probably be less take-up as time goes on. The flu is also annual because so many variations exist. Afaik, there are less covid variants knocking about [atm]. |
Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
|
Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
Quote:
At 18+ minutes, I doubt most people are going to watch it. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
At that time, the alternative would have been lockdown after lockdown after lockdown for many years, which as even you must be aware by now, serves only to slow the virus down. It does not eliminate it. Only the immunisation programme has enabled us to use different tactics to fight the virus. ---------- Post added at 07:57 ---------- Previous post was at 07:52 ---------- Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...&postcount=185 Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Both my parents now have had a positive PCR test, both been double vaccinated with a booster! They're suffering cold like symptoms with a bad head, hopefully it won't get worse.
|
Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
Quote:
Quote:
Basically cases in Africa are low and falling, despite very low vaccination rates. Possibly Africans have some natural immunity due to similar coronaviruses having already circulated. |
Re: Coronavirus
I had the booster jab on Tuesday last. No after effects whatsoever.
@Snoopz: Do keep us informed. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Well, there is a possible school of thought (which may turn out to be bunkum) that previous exposure and immunity to other coronaviruses helps with this one.
I think the case load in Africa is probably due to other factors though. Given the lifestyle in a lot of the countries, due to previous or current poverty etc, they presumably have a much younger population than the likes of the EU, UK, US etc, and fewer older people with underlying health conditions (likely because they have unfortunately already succumbed to them) so if you're looking at say the top risk groups for vaccinations/people getting boosters now, they will probably have fewer of those to start off with. Also, given that covid has a variety of symptoms and in its severe case is basically a viral pneumonia, indeed if people who get it have any symptoms at all, it's likely a lot of infections which were contracted were either not detected due to the symptoms being either minimal or non-existent, and/or due to lack of testing, in all possibility they also wouldn't either have locked down or been able to do so as effectively (which was indeed an argument cited for India). The access to testing you'd imagine would be much less than in other countries too and it took us a while to get mass testing available quickly. So a lot of people there had probably already had it - which is a figure we don't know for anywhere, given that the "first wave" peak of cases was probably as high as the "second wave" but not picked up due to lack of mass testing, when you look at the hospitalisations and deaths the figures are similar there. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
This is what you get when you have the zero tolerance approach, as is the case in China. https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business...sk-warns-mark/ [EXTRACT] China's zero-Covid strategy is at risk of derailing the global economy and driving up inflation, the former Bank of England Governor Mark Carney has warned amid fears of mass factory closures in the run-up to Christmas. He urged the Communist country to reconsider its approach to Covid after a handful of cases triggered the shutdown of entire cities and pushed the world’s second biggest economy towards recession. Mr Carney told an LBC podcast that China will have to “evolve or pivot” towards managing the disease through vaccinations, adding: “There are real economic consequences of a hard, zero Covid policy that is maintained.” Mark Williams, head of Asia at Capital Economics, said China was at risk of a technical recession after the summer shutdowns wiped an estimated 5pc off its economy between July and September. Mr Carney, who is now the United Nations' climate change envoy, said that a failure to change course would have serious global consequences given China's role as the world's workshop and biggest exporter of goods. |
Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
Quote:
Quote:
---------- Post added at 09:47 ---------- Previous post was at 09:44 ---------- Quote:
The thing you keep quoting as unforeseeable was very foreseeable. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
My contributions to this forum on various subjects has always been based on evidence I have picked up and think to be correct. You just either use different evidence (the scientists are by no means consistent) or you just want to argue. |
Re: Coronavirus
You do realise comparing your discussions on one subject is relevant to your discussions on another - stop trying to stifle critiques by crying "off topic" every time you are challenged.
If you have an issue with what you think are off topic discussions, feel free to report it, and it will be considered by the Mods & Admins - it’s not your role in this forum to decide what is or isn’t off topic. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
---------- Post added at 10:04 ---------- Previous post was at 10:02 ---------- Quote:
Vaccinations have indeed offered an alternative. ---------- Post added at 10:06 ---------- Previous post was at 10:04 ---------- Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
---------- Post added at 10:12 ---------- Previous post was at 10:09 ---------- Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Your claim that regular boosters will not be required is evidenced nowhere. Merely the same hopeless optimism that gets proven incorrect over time. If anything, the UK needs to quickly acknowledge the waning efficacy of all vaccines and approve a booster for all 18+. Something even Australia has done. Given your previous concern for the state of vaccination in Australia I must have missed your rush to commend them on their rollout, and concern that we aren’t following suit. https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...a#post36084638 |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
There are two schools of thought. One is that the virus will be circulating for a while yet, but following the two jabs and booster, the population may continue to be protected as the virus circulates and keeps our immune systems topped up, thus giving us protection without the need to give any further vaccines to the healthy population. The other is that this will not be sufficient and that vaccinations may be needed well into the future. These possibilities are both based on what the scientists are saying and I am not saying which is correct because at this stage, nobody really knows. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
There’s evidence led science that shows immunity from both vaccination and infection wanes over time. There’s also speculation, without evidence, to the contrary. To give both equal weight exemplifies the problem you’ve encountered in this debate throughout that something you read on the internet or heard on the radio must be credible. This is not the case. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
Quote:
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
I don't know whether or not you classify tissue salts as homeopathy ot herbal medicine, but the Schuessler J combination absolutely controls my colds and combination H controls my hay fever.
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
https://www.healthline.com/health/ti...out-homeopathy |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
---------- Post added at 14:43 ---------- Previous post was at 14:40 ---------- Quote:
---------- Post added at 14:48 ---------- Previous post was at 14:43 ---------- Quote:
|
Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
Quote:
Africa (and many places) may be under reporting, but the WHO has no actual evidence to say its 7 times. |
Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
Quote:
https://www.economist.com/graphic-de...aths-estimates |
Re: Coronavirus
Bearing in mind that Africa is hot, most people live outdoors or have well ventilated homes/offices and there's very little public transport. The opportunities for the virus to spread may well be limited.
|
Re: Coronavirus
The missus got her booster appointment. The other side of the city, no parking anywhere, and 3 buses to get with a few hundred yards, and right in the middle of the rush hour.
Our daughter spent 37 minutes on hold until she tried to get the venue moved to Tesco, 200 yards from us. "Tesco is fully booked. They and the independent pharmacies want all their slots filled every day to make ends meet" (i.e. make the most profit). The guy on the phone offered her another place, 15 miles away in the early evening! The 2 other places she has been to are not offering the jab she is scheduled to have. He has now passed her case to a supervisor, but is doubtful the venue can be changed. |
Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
Quote:
---------- Post added at 00:17 ---------- Previous post was at 00:13 ---------- Quote:
We all use the NHS site to book ours. You can change or cancel on their system as well. |
Quote:
|
Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
Quote:
|
Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
Quote:
|
Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
I received a text from my surgery with a link to book my booster there.
A week later (2 days before attending my already booked booster appointment) I received a text from the NHS with a link to book my booster through them . . . what a shambles. |
Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
Quote:
---------- Post added at 15:56 ---------- Previous post was at 15:55 ---------- Quote:
The NHS system is not going to know you have a local appointment. Besides which its better to be told twice than not at all. |
Re: Coronavirus
oh . . well I (wrongly assumed it seems) that the NHS - with it's expensive and powerful computer records system - would have been updated by someone/something in the 6 days between an appointment being booked and their text to me.
Obviously a crap system eh, which probably explains a lot, not just with Covid :p: |
Re: Coronavirus
There isn’t a "system", there are multiple Primary Care (GP) systems, and numerous different systems in Hospitals and Secondary Care areas.
https://assets.publishing.service.go...Accessible.pdf Quote:
Quote:
tl:dr even more - there isn’t a simple solution to a very complex problem |
Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Remember our "world beating" vaccination programme?
Quote:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FEAONOxX...jpg&name=small |
Re: Coronavirus
Yeah but them stats are all down to those who have refused the jab. As a country it has been offered almost everyone but we live in a free country
|
Re: Coronavirus
So, when was it that Chris posted that we were ahead of nearly everyone in Europe?
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
It is not how you start the race, it is how your finish it.
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
All times are GMT +1. The time now is 00:11. |
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
All Posts and Content are © Cable Forum