Cable Forum

Cable Forum (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/index.php)
-   Current Affairs (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/forumdisplay.php?f=20)
-   -   Coronavirus (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33709417)

Paul 05-11-2021 15:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36100195)
None of this, of course, has anything to do with hope as you portray above. You introduce emotive terminology in your post - the long suffering public - when if I recall previously when challenged you couldn’t name a single activity you would do after “freedom day” that was restricted immediately prior to that date. So spare us.

Pretty sure the "public" is actually more than one person.
Plenty of activities were restricted, unless you now believe the "restrictions" actually restricted nothing.

jfman 05-11-2021 15:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36100204)
Pretty sure the "public" is actually more than one person.
Plenty of activities were restricted, unless you now believe the "restrictions" actually restricted nothing.

Nobody is disputing that the public is more than one person, however if one considers restrictions in a balanced (as opposed to in an ideological) way it represented a far more open economy than the various levels of restrictions that preceded it.

The long suffering public could equally be attributed to those being denied routine healthcare and treatments because of the decision to run the pandemic at close to maximum NHS capacity in the hope for an economic outcome that will never be realised. ONS surveys have 91% of those who were clinically extremely vulnerable still restricting their activities, and passenger surveys have the number of commuters at approx 50% of the normal levels. None of that creates a better healthcare or economic outcome if consumers continue to self-select their way out of the economy.

Hugh 05-11-2021 16:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36100165)
Look at the graphs, why don’t you? :rolleyes:

---------- Post added at 13:39 ---------- Previous post was at 13:35 ----------



It’s not my prediction. It’s the scientists’ own modelling. I have already provided the graphs.

---------- Post added at 13:40 ---------- Previous post was at 13:39 ----------



Another one - it’s not my prediction!

Can you provide a link, please, to these predictive models, as the SAGE papers I have found only seem to have indicative scenarios (not "predictions", their words*) about hospitalisations.

https://assets.publishing.service.go..._scenarios.pdf

There’s nothing in the SAGE Minutes about zero level infections around December/January

https://assets.publishing.service.go...96_minutes.pdf

The Imperial College paper (part of the SAGE papers) - Autumn and Winter 2021-2022: potential COVID-19 epidemic trajectories states

https://assets.publishing.service.go...al_College.pdf
Quote:

A. Summary

This report summarises potential COVID-19 epidemic trajectories until March 2022 based on the recent data and assumptions around changes in contact rates, vaccine effectiveness (VE) and coverage, cross-protection between variants, and waning of natural and vaccine- induced protection.

1. Based on the latest data available to 8 October 2021 on the UK Coronavirus Dashboard, 85% of the population aged 12+ in England have received one vaccine dose and 79% have received two doses.
2. The projected scale of the winter wave is sensitive to small changes in assumptions about vaccine effectiveness including boosters, cross-protection from prior non-Delta infections, and waning of natural- and vaccine-induced protection. It is also sensitive to the assumed level of social mixing reached by 1 December 2021.
3. In the most optimistic scenario we have considered (“central” VE, cross protection, waning of natural- and vaccine-induced protection, effectiveness of boosters, and lower contact rates), current levels of protection in the population combined with the delivery of boosters should maintain the epidemic at levels similar to or lower than currently observed.
4. However, under more pessimistic assumptions around contact patterns or underlying assumptions around the extent and duration of immunity (see Table 1), we project a substantial wave of total infections, hospitalisations and deaths, totalling 9,900 (95% CrI: 6,000, 14,200) deaths by 31 March 2022. In this scenario with more pessimistic assumptions, the current booster programme and vaccination of 12-15 year olds would thus not be sufficient to maintain the epidemic at low levels
* These trajectories are not predictions or forecasts, but indicative scenarios as the timings and scale of any future peaks remain highly uncertain

pip08456 05-11-2021 17:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36100213)
Can you provide a link, please, to these predictive models, as the SAGE papers I have found only seem to have indicative scenarios (not "predictions", their words*) about hospitalisations.

https://assets.publishing.service.go..._scenarios.pdf

There’s nothing in the SAGE Minutes about zero level infections around December/January

https://assets.publishing.service.go...96_minutes.pdf

The Imperial College paper (part of the SAGE papers) - Autumn and Winter 2021-2022: potential COVID-19 epidemic trajectories states

https://assets.publishing.service.go...al_College.pdf

* These trajectories are not predictions or forecasts, but indicative scenarios as the timings and scale of any future peaks remain highly uncertain

In fairness to OB he made his statement (not prediction) based on these graphs. They certainly look close to zero following plan A rather than plan B for November through July.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...5&d=1636132489

Carth 05-11-2021 17:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
indicative scenarios Just the same guesswork then . . wrapped up in even more sparkly glitter paper to make the words seem more important than they are :D

It's like gambling isn't it . . study the form, analyse the course and weather conditions, shove £20 on to win . . . horse comes 5th

jfman 05-11-2021 17:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36100215)
In fairness to OB he made his statement (not prediction) based on these graphs. They certainly look close to zero following plan A rather than plan B for November through July.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...5&d=1636132489

But where is the source that outlines the underlying assumptions? Because if it’s the same model I saw in the Mail (which it looks very much like) it projects people “remaining cautious” for a year, with the alternative being Plan B plus a return to 2019 activity in three months.

Comparing apples with oranges.

nffc 05-11-2021 17:30

Re: Coronavirus
 
It's common sense to suggest now that restrictions - even Plan B type - will just push the peak later, which to an extent, we can't necessarily keep doing.


In England there are now very few legal restrictions and even recommendations relating to covid. Cases still continue to fall (another big drop today) despite schools being back for a week. As they did in July and August before they went back again.


It seems indicative that actually they were right to basically open up in July and get some immunity in before the winter. We may be seeing this now, against the backdrop of it rising again, or we may see it do this again over the winter. Or we can restrict again and let the virus just come back again when it's lifted.

Hugh 05-11-2021 18:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36100218)
But where is the source that outlines the underlying assumptions? Because if it’s the same model I saw in the Mail (which it looks very much like) it projects people “remaining cautious” for a year, with the alternative being Plan B plus a return to 2019 activity in three months.

Comparing apples with oranges.

Here’s the Source paper - the pre-pandemic baseline was about population mobility, not about zero infections. The is nothing in the Sky article about "zero infections".

https://assets.publishing.service.go..._scenarios.pdf

Quote:

Here, we consider four scenarios: three scenarios in which mobility returns to pre-pandemic “baseline” levels but after different lengths of time (3 weeks, 3 months, or 6 months), and one scenario in which mobility stays at its current level for the remainder of the simulation
If you look at the data table on page 4, it shows a substantial increase in the number of forecast infections in all the modelled scenarios.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...6&d=1636136771

Even the most conservative model shows an additional 1.6 million infections in the period Jan 2022-Sept 2022.

Taf 05-11-2021 19:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
2 Attachment(s)
Graphs from the start. ONS figures.

Paul 06-11-2021 16:10

Re: Coronavirus
 
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-59181370

Quote:

Booster jabs to open earlier for booking in England
Its not 100% clear but I think all this means is you can use the booking system earlier (after 5 months).

However, the actual booking must still be 6 months after your last jab.
Before, you could not even use the booking system until 6 months had passed.

Hugh 06-11-2021 16:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
It’s says in the article we can book from Monday, but I just checked, and I can book today for Friday 19th November (last jab was on 21st May).

Maggy 06-11-2021 17:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Had the booster this afternoon. 7 months since the last vaccination.

joglynne 06-11-2021 17:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy (Post 36100298)
Had the booster this afternoon. 7 months since the last vaccination.

Good news. Did you manage to get it done locally?

spiderplant 06-11-2021 19:10

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36100290)
It’s says in the article we can book from Monday, but I just checked, and I can book today for Friday 19th November (last jab was on 21st May).

:tu: Much better to do it today than wait for the Monday website crash. Just booked myself in for the 17th. I also had my last one on 21st May.

edit: Just booked my flu jab for this Monday too. No need to wait for the GP to contact you apparently

Mad Max 06-11-2021 20:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy (Post 36100298)
Had the booster this afternoon. 7 months since the last vaccination.

How was your arm, any after effects?

Hugh 06-11-2021 22:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
1 Attachment(s)
Why you shouldn’t trust the Daily Telegraph on COVID…

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...0&d=1636237959

Paul 06-11-2021 23:32

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36100319)
Why you shouldn’t trust the Daily Telegraph on COVID…

LOL, I had to look twice at that to figure out your point. :D

---------- Post added at 23:32 ---------- Previous post was at 23:26 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36100290)
It’s says in the article we can book from Monday, but I just checked, and I can book today for Friday 19th November (last jab was on 21st May).

I just tried as well and was able to book for later in November.

nffc 07-11-2021 07:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36100324)
LOL, I had to look twice at that to figure out your point. :D

---------- Post added at 23:32 ---------- Previous post was at 23:26 ----------


I just tried as well and was able to book for later in November.

Mine won't be this year if they're sticking to anything like the original timescales.

Hugh 07-11-2021 10:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36100290)
It’s says in the article we can book from Monday, but I just checked, and I can book today for Friday 19th November (last jab was on 21st May).

Booked for 26th November - we’ve got various childminding/social things the previous week, and just in case of an slight adverse reaction, doing it at a time that we don’t have anything on (and my wife is having her shot in a different day, so we’re both not laid up at the same time, just in case).

joglynne 07-11-2021 10:43

Re: Coronavirus
 
I know this may sound a tad daft and soppy, and even though I don't know anyone here in real life, it does make me feel happy knowing that people who I know in this virtual community have survived the pandemic and are now getting their booster shots.

OK, feeling embarrassed by my Sunday morning musings I shall exit stage left. :D

Mad Max 07-11-2021 11:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36100337)
Booked for 26th November - we’ve got various childminding/social things the previous week, and just in case of an slight adverse reaction, doing it at a time that we don’t have anything on (and my wife is having her shot in a different day, so we’re both not laid up at the same time, just in case).


I got my booster last Monday, Hugh, and maybe I'm lucky but had no adverse reaction from it, in fact, I've never had any adverse reaction from the previous two jabs either, hopefully, you and the missus are the same.

Maggy 07-11-2021 12:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36100310)
How was your arm, any after effects?

Slightly stiff but not an issue.:)

nffc 07-11-2021 13:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
Aren't they just giving everyone a shot of Pfizer now, so a 1st to go with 2 AZs or a 3rd Pfizer depending on what you had before?


Also, I thought the sore arm was just because of having an injection. Mine was sore the day after, a bit more the 2nd time (which I actually felt them doing unlike the 1st) but only mildly-annoying so (even when playing the organ the day after the 1st).

pip08456 07-11-2021 14:51

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36100346)
Aren't they just giving everyone a shot of Pfizer now, so a 1st to go with 2 AZs or a 3rd Pfizer depending on what you had before?


Also, I thought the sore arm was just because of having an injection. Mine was sore the day after, a bit more the 2nd time (which I actually felt them doing unlike the 1st) but only mildly-annoying so (even when playing the organ the day after the 1st).

Boosters are Pfizer or Moderna.

Paul 07-11-2021 16:41

Re: Coronavirus
 
Well my main jabs were Pfizer, so hopefully the booster will be as well.
I had no reactions to J1 or J2. Mines a couple of days before Hugh (on the 24th).

spiderplant 07-11-2021 18:20

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36100346)
Also, I thought the sore arm was just because of having an injection

The sore arm is inflammation caused by the vaccine. They use a very fine needle so jab itself should be painless unless they made a right cods of it.

tweetiepooh 08-11-2021 10:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
It was reported to me about a risk of pericarditis for pacemaker users receiving Pfizer booster but a brief google can't find exact details other than a known side effect on some younger males. I am male and while I like to think of myself as "younger" I really don't fit into that category any more.

Maggy 08-11-2021 10:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
Still have a slightly sore arm from Saturday's booster but that's it.

spiderplant 08-11-2021 14:32

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by tweetiepooh (Post 36100416)
It was reported to me about a risk of pericarditis for pacemaker users receiving Pfizer booster but a brief google can't find exact details other than a known side effect on some younger males. I am male and while I like to think of myself as "younger" I really don't fit into that category any more.

It mostly affects young males, but not exclusively. But it's rare.

Lots of info on the subject if you dig about here:
https://www.youtube.com/c/Campbellte...y=pericarditis


Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36100372)
The sore arm is inflammation caused by the vaccine. They use a very fine needle so jab itself should be painless unless they made a right cods of it.

Had flu jab this morning. Felt nothing at the time, but headache and strange taste in mouth kicked in about 10 minutes later. Now slowly dissipating.

pip08456 08-11-2021 15:23

Re: Coronavirus
 
The idiots are at it again.

Quote:

Covid-19: Anti-vax protests outside schools

The BBC has been told of bullying and harassment by anti-vaccination campaigners outside some schools in the UK. The Shadow Education Minister, Peter Kyle, says such incidents are “ubiquitous” in his constituency, Hove. There are now calls for schools to be able to employ fast track exclusion zones to tackle the problem.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/uk-59208984

Jaymoss 08-11-2021 16:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36100362)
Well my main jabs were Pfizer, so hopefully the booster will be as well.
I had no reactions to J1 or J2. Mines a couple of days before Hugh (on the 24th).

I get mine the 15th at a local chemist. It would have let me book today but 6 months isn't up till Saturday. The boosters could be happening every 6 months I reckon

papa smurf 08-11-2021 16:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jaymoss (Post 36100443)
I get mine the 15th at a local chemist. It would have let me book today but 6 months isn't up till Saturday. The boosters could be happening every 6 months I reckon

Are you looking forward to jabs 4-5 and 6......

Carth 08-11-2021 16:18

Re: Coronavirus
 
OK . . who's bought shares in the vaccine manufacturers?

Looks like a better return than Bitcoin if Covid is here to stay :erm:

OLD BOY 08-11-2021 16:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36100444)
Are you looking forward to jabs 4-5 and 6......

We may not get any further jabs, depending on whether the population has gained a sufficient amount of immunity which is regularly topped up with reinfections.

This assumes no new variants that are of sufficient concern to take further vaccination measures.

papa smurf 08-11-2021 16:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36100449)
We may not get any further jabs, depending on whether the population has gained a sufficient amount of immunity which is regularly topped up with reinfections.

This assumes no new variants that are of sufficient concern to take further vaccination measures.

there's money still to be made so vaccines will continue for the foreseeable future.

jfman 08-11-2021 17:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36100449)
We may not get any further jabs, depending on whether the population has gained a sufficient amount of immunity which is regularly topped up with reinfections.

This assumes no new variants that are of sufficient concern to take further vaccination measures.

Rubbish.

Plans are afoot for annual vaccinations. Given efficacy for the first two rapidly declines after six months there's no reason to expect a third to provide infinite immunity.

Mad Max 08-11-2021 17:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36100465)
Rubbish.

Plans are afoot for annual vaccinations. Given efficacy for the first two rapidly declines after six months there's no reason to expect a third to provide infinite immunity.


I agree, it'll be an annual vaccination just like the flu jab.

Jaymoss 08-11-2021 17:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36100444)
Are you looking forward to jabs 4-5 and 6......

if they are needed then I do not mind

---------- Post added at 17:31 ---------- Previous post was at 17:29 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36100449)
We may not get any further jabs, depending on whether the population has gained a sufficient amount of immunity which is regularly topped up with reinfections.

This assumes no new variants that are of sufficient concern to take further vaccination measures.

to many anti vaxxers so there will be variants and come on this virus is not acting normally immunity appears to wane quite quickly meaning people can get it 2 maybe even 3 times a year. I know people had it twice already

Sephiroth 08-11-2021 17:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36100449)
We may not get any further jabs, depending on whether the population has gained a sufficient amount of immunity which is regularly topped up with reinfections.

This assumes no new variants that are of sufficient concern to take further vaccination measures.

Is there an oxymoron in there, OB?

OLD BOY 08-11-2021 18:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36100471)
Is there an oxymoron in there, OB?

No oxymorons, Seph. I think it was a scientist on the radio who was talking about just relying on the circulation of Covid to keep immune systems topped up.

This article touches on it, but is not optimistic that this can be achieved in the short term. But as yet, we don’t know for sure. With the vaccinations protecting us, there will no longer be drastic consequences due to natural infection or re infection, so you could rely on that to avoid the need for constant re-vaccinations.


[EXTRACT FROM British Medical Journal]

Antibodies and reinfection
Over time covid-19 could become a disease first encountered in early childhood, when it would typically cause mild infection or none at all, Jennie Lavine, an infectious disease researcher at Emory University in Atlanta, USA, told Nature. Although that defence would wane quickly and not be sufficient to block reinfection entirely, it could be enough to protect adults experiencing severe symptoms.

Scientists consider this scenario likely because it matches four existing endemic coronaviruses—OC43, 229E, NL63, and HKU1—but it is not certain. A large study has shown that levels of neutralising antibodies start to decline after around six to eight months after infection with SARS-CoV-2.2 If a new infection arises, memory B cells can manufacture antibodies and T cells that can eliminate virus infected cells, but it has yet to be established whether this immune memory can block viral reinfection.

Jaymoss 08-11-2021 18:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Yeah let's keep it circulating killing off the vulnerable elderly and sick. .Top idea

Mad Max 08-11-2021 19:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jaymoss (Post 36100484)
Yeah let's keep it circulating killing off the vulnerable elderly and sick. .Top idea

I don't think you'll ever get rid of it, so in effect, it will keep circulating.

jfman 08-11-2021 19:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jaymoss (Post 36100484)
Yeah let's keep it circulating killing off the vulnerable elderly and sick. .Top idea

In fairness to Old Boy killing off the people not immune does improve population level immunity. So the statistics behind the claim are sound.

The rest of the claim is, as ever, speculative nonsense from someone who disagreed with any kind of intervention. So why would he approve of vaccination on an ongoing basis?

OLD BOY 08-11-2021 20:04

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jaymoss (Post 36100484)
Yeah let's keep it circulating killing off the vulnerable elderly and sick. .Top idea

The Covid 19 virus is one of many respiratory diseases that can kill off those suffering with these conditions.

---------- Post added at 20:04 ---------- Previous post was at 20:02 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36100490)
In fairness to Old Boy killing off the people not immune does improve population level immunity. So the statistics behind the claim are sound.

The rest of the claim is, as ever, speculative nonsense from someone who disagreed with any kind of intervention. So why would he approve of vaccination on an ongoing basis?

Your summary of my position on this is far off the truth, jfman, but we are used to your deliberate misinterpretations. I don’t have the hours in the day to keep correcting you, so I will let you continue to have your fun. For now.

jfman 08-11-2021 21:47

Re: Coronavirus
 
I’m not really sure what you mean OB. Your original stance was to let it rip. When vaccines were in development your attitude was to let it rip. Now vaccines are being deployed with waning efficacy your attitude is to give people 2/3 doses then let it rip.

A sociopathic disregard for human life and scientific achievement.

nffc 08-11-2021 22:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36100508)
I’m not really sure what you mean OB. Your original stance was to let it rip. When vaccines were in development your attitude was to let it rip. Now vaccines are being deployed with waning efficacy your attitude is to give people 2/3 doses then let it rip.

A sociopathic disregard for human life and scientific achievement.

I too disagree with letting it rip until it's not going to cause a large number of unmanageable hospitalisations and deaths, but it does have to be the end game.


Whenever you flatten the curve you still have to have the end result the same. So you're delaying the outcome... and delaying it... and delaying it.


Now, you can go totally all out on it like Aus and NZ do, but we saw in Aus that eventually became unworkable.


Or you can go out on it for a while, like most countries have done, and either shield or vaccinate the most at risk before opening up again in a controlled manner, yes this inevitably leads to a higher baseline of infection but gives those people immunity which is long term beneficial.


It's really Canute-style logic to suggest a virus can be stopped in its tracks by NPIs. At some point you'll get a resurgence unless everyone lives like hermits until the end of time - and that isn't really living. No solution is ideal so you just have to protect the vulnerable as much as you can and allow everyone else to get on with life.


We're over a week after the kids went back now and still day on day (compared with the same day the previous week) infections are continuing to fall, this is with everything open, and realistically we are now at the point where we would be beginning to see the effect of the little sprogs being back now, considering secondary kids were by far and away the group most affected before then, so we may well be reaching the immunity levels to stop this spreading there, which will be good.


All this with no real formal covid restrictions in England for many months, an open society, an open economy with the capability to enjoy things almost to pre-pandemic levels. Actually I think in general the countries who have been a bit less prescriptive with restrictions are now faring better. I notice Austria and Germany are struggling again, and most of Europe is now following an opposite trend to the UK. Mainly because suppression always has an exit wave and Johnson/Javid with no doubt the blessing of Whitty and Vallance decided to get this out of the way in the summer. In the long term we won't know whether this paid off but at the moment it's looking rather good.

jfman 08-11-2021 22:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36100510)
I too disagree with letting it rip until it's not going to cause a large number of unmanageable hospitalisations and deaths, but it does have to be the end game.

You are making a point separate from the one I’m making.

My point was that vaccination on an ongoing basis will be part of managing the situation - OB’s original point that this will not be required on the basis of a dubious scientist he heard on the radio. The reality is that other countries are already recognising the need for boosters for all. Something we will presumably do once we have adequate supplies of mRNA vaccines.

Countries aren’t ordering enough for 3-4x their population so they can generously gift them to other countries. They’re making sure they have first dibs in the next round.

nffc 08-11-2021 22:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36100515)
You are making a point separate from the one I’m making.

My point was that vaccination on an ongoing basis will be part of managing the situation - OB’s original point that this will not be required on the basis of a dubious scientist he heard on the radio. The reality is that other countries are already recognising the need for boosters for all. Something we will presumably do once we have adequate supplies of mRNA vaccines.

Or indeed something more specific than targeting the spike protein.


I don't think we can read into the future enough to tell.


If it ends up like flu where we give vaccines to those at risk, that's manageable, and probably a worst case scenario in reality.


Maybe it will take a year or two with the existing vaccines or better vaccines to get to this point, or maybe we will have enough natural immunity, we can't tell.

jfman 08-11-2021 22:53

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36100516)
Or indeed something more specific than targeting the spike protein.

I don't think we can read into the future enough to tell.

If it ends up like flu where we give vaccines to those at risk, that's manageable, and probably a worst case scenario in reality.

Maybe it will take a year or two with the existing vaccines or better vaccines to get to this point, or maybe we will have enough natural immunity, we can't tell.

There’s already data from Brazil and Iran showing that infection induced immunity doesn’t last long term.

Our (UK) Pfizer order for the second half of 2022 is 35 million doses. That’s on top of 60m ordered in April and 40m prior to that. This isn’t decision making by chance.

The US and EU orders are for billions of doses. In excess of 4 per citizen.

Paul 08-11-2021 23:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36100466)
I agree, it'll be an annual vaccination just like the flu jab.

It will probably be available annually, for some.
There will probably be less take-up as time goes on.

The flu is also annual because so many variations exist.
Afaik, there are less covid variants knocking about [atm].

Dude111 12-11-2021 02:01

Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
 
Please watch the vid before ya say its bad.....

www.youtube.com/watch?v=F37KsLA4CPI

Paul 12-11-2021 02:52

Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Dude111 (Post 36100839)
Please watch the vid before ya say its bad.....

www.youtube.com/watch?v=F37KsLA4CPI

What on earth is it about ?
At 18+ minutes, I doubt most people are going to watch it.

OLD BOY 12-11-2021 07:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36100508)
I’m not really sure what you mean OB. Your original stance was to let it rip. When vaccines were in development your attitude was to let it rip. Now vaccines are being deployed with waning efficacy your attitude is to give people 2/3 doses then let it rip.

A sociopathic disregard for human life and scientific achievement.

If you recall, the original scientific advice was to allow the virus to run through the population, a proposition that was quickly reversed when they saw how quickly it was infecting people.

At that time, the alternative would have been lockdown after lockdown after lockdown for many years, which as even you must be aware by now, serves only to slow the virus down. It does not eliminate it.

Only the immunisation programme has enabled us to use different tactics to fight the virus.

---------- Post added at 07:57 ---------- Previous post was at 07:52 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36100515)
You are making a point separate from the one I’m making.

My point was that vaccination on an ongoing basis will be part of managing the situation - OB’s original point that this will not be required on the basis of a dubious scientist he heard on the radio. The reality is that other countries are already recognising the need for boosters for all. Something we will presumably do once we have adequate supplies of mRNA vaccines.

Countries aren’t ordering enough for 3-4x their population so they can generously gift them to other countries. They’re making sure they have first dibs in the next round.

No, jfman, I said we MAY not need any more jabs. It depends what happens next.

jfman 12-11-2021 08:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36100845)
If you recall, the original scientific advice was to allow the virus to run through the population, a proposition that was quickly reversed when they saw how quickly it was infecting people.

Yet you held this flawed stance for much longer, citing without any evidence whatsoever that it may go away in the summer.

Quote:

At that time, the alternative would have been lockdown after lockdown after lockdown for many years, which as even you must be aware by now, serves only to slow the virus down. It does not eliminate it.
If there is the collective will it can eliminate it as demonstrated by countries who had in their own domestic population. The absence of collective will globally, and availability of vaccines, has changed the game.

Quote:

Only the immunisation programme has enabled us to use different tactics to fight the virus.
Yet even as late as October last year with a number of vaccines moving through clinical trials you retained your, purely speculative, position.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...&postcount=185

Quote:

No, jfman, I said we MAY not need any more jabs. It depends what happens next.
For someone who 25% of their input into the forum is crystal ball gazing citing your speculation on the future of the television as “inevitable” I’m quite surprised how frequently said crystal ball has been faulty over Covid.

SnoopZ 12-11-2021 08:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Both my parents now have had a positive PCR test, both been double vaccinated with a booster! They're suffering cold like symptoms with a bad head, hopefully it won't get worse.

spiderplant 12-11-2021 08:51

Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Dude111 (Post 36100839)
Please watch the vid before ya say its bad.....

Maybe it wouldn't be bad if we were all Africans. But we aren't.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36100841)
What on earth is it about ?

As per post title: "Africa has the lowest caseload in the world"

Basically cases in Africa are low and falling, despite very low vaccination rates.
Possibly Africans have some natural immunity due to similar coronaviruses having already circulated.

Sephiroth 12-11-2021 08:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
I had the booster jab on Tuesday last. No after effects whatsoever.

@Snoopz: Do keep us informed.

1andrew1 12-11-2021 09:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

AstraZeneca to take profits from Covid vaccine sales

Pharma group to move away from non-profit model used during pandemic

AstraZeneca has signed its first for-profit deals for its Covid-19 vaccine, moving away from the completely non-profit model that it used during the pandemic.

The Anglo-Swedish drugmaker is now expecting to transition the vaccine to “modest profitability” as new orders are received. The shot, developed with the University of Oxford, will remain non-profit for developing countries.

The move comes after AstraZeneca announced it was creating a vaccine and immune therapies unit, to bring together its Covid-19 products and its other treatments for viral respiratory illnesses.
https://www.ft.com/content/cae4eb5f-...c-6fd3afe352ab

Maggy 12-11-2021 09:25

Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36100851)
Maybe it wouldn't be bad if we were all Africans. But we aren't.


As per post title: "Africa has the lowest caseload in the world"

Basically cases in Africa are low and falling, despite very low vaccination rates.
Possibly Africans have some natural immunity due to similar coronaviruses having already circulated.

Seriously?Look at who is posting. ;)

OLD BOY 12-11-2021 09:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36100847)
Yet you held this flawed stance for much longer, citing without any evidence whatsoever that it may go away in the summer.

.

Yes, and that is what was happening. However, as I have reminded you on several occasions, what happened later was that the more infectious Kent variant struck. That is what changed things and that is why the government’s position on Christmas freedom had to change.

nffc 12-11-2021 09:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Well, there is a possible school of thought (which may turn out to be bunkum) that previous exposure and immunity to other coronaviruses helps with this one.


I think the case load in Africa is probably due to other factors though. Given the lifestyle in a lot of the countries, due to previous or current poverty etc, they presumably have a much younger population than the likes of the EU, UK, US etc, and fewer older people with underlying health conditions (likely because they have unfortunately already succumbed to them) so if you're looking at say the top risk groups for vaccinations/people getting boosters now, they will probably have fewer of those to start off with. Also, given that covid has a variety of symptoms and in its severe case is basically a viral pneumonia, indeed if people who get it have any symptoms at all, it's likely a lot of infections which were contracted were either not detected due to the symptoms being either minimal or non-existent, and/or due to lack of testing, in all possibility they also wouldn't either have locked down or been able to do so as effectively (which was indeed an argument cited for India). The access to testing you'd imagine would be much less than in other countries too and it took us a while to get mass testing available quickly. So a lot of people there had probably already had it - which is a figure we don't know for anywhere, given that the "first wave" peak of cases was probably as high as the "second wave" but not picked up due to lack of mass testing, when you look at the hospitalisations and deaths the figures are similar there.

OLD BOY 12-11-2021 09:41

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36100847)

If there is the collective will it can eliminate it as demonstrated by countries who had in their own domestic population. The absence of collective will globally, and availability of vaccines, has changed the game.


.

I don’t think you have taken in the hostility of populations to continual lockdowns under the Zero Covid approach, such as in Australia, where the government has acknowledged it got it wrong and should have concentrated on vaccinations as a means of controlling the virus.

This is what you get when you have the zero tolerance approach, as is the case in China.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business...sk-warns-mark/

[EXTRACT]
China's zero-Covid strategy is at risk of derailing the global economy and driving up inflation, the former Bank of England Governor Mark Carney has warned amid fears of mass factory closures in the run-up to Christmas.

He urged the Communist country to reconsider its approach to Covid after a handful of cases triggered the shutdown of entire cities and pushed the world’s second biggest economy towards recession.

Mr Carney told an LBC podcast that China will have to “evolve or pivot” towards managing the disease through vaccinations, adding: “There are real economic consequences of a hard, zero Covid policy that is maintained.”

Mark Williams, head of Asia at Capital Economics, said China was at risk of a technical recession after the summer shutdowns wiped an estimated 5pc off its economy between July and September.

Mr Carney, who is now the United Nations' climate change envoy, said that a failure to change course would have serious global consequences given China's role as the world's workshop and biggest exporter of goods.

Hugh 12-11-2021 09:47

Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Dude111 (Post 36100839)
Please watch the vid before ya say its bad.....

www.youtube.com/watch?v=F37KsLA4CPI

https://healthpolicy-watch.org/africa-covid-caseload/

Quote:

WHO Estimates Africa’s COVID-19 Caseload is Seven Times Higher Than Official Count

Africa is estimated to have seven times more COVID-19 cases and three times as many deaths as officially reported, according to the World Health Organization (WHO) Africa region.

This means that the continent could have around 59 million cases and 634,500 deaths.

“We’re using a model to estimate the degree of under-estimation. Our analysis indicates that as few as one in seven cases is being detected, meaning that the true COVID-19 burden in Africa could be around 59 million people,” said Dr Matshidiso Moeti, WHO’s Africa executive director.

“The proportion of underreporting on deaths is lower. Estimates such as around one in three deaths have been reported. Deaths appear to be low on the continent, in part because of the predominantly younger and more active population,” she told a media briefing on Thursday.

The case figure was extrapolated from country-based seroprevalence surveys while the mortality figure was reached on the basis of excess death statistics, said WHO’s team lead on operational partnerships, Dr Thierno Balde.


---------- Post added at 09:47 ---------- Previous post was at 09:44 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36100858)
Yes, and that is what was happening. However, as I have reminded you on several occasions, what happened later was that the more infectious Kent variant struck. That is what changed things and that is why the government’s position on Christmas freedom had to change.

But people said at the time letting the virus infect more people would increase the likelihood of variants occurring, and lo and behold, this happened…

The thing you keep quoting as unforeseeable was very foreseeable.

OLD BOY 12-11-2021 09:51

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36100847)

For someone who 25% of their input into the forum is crystal ball gazing citing your speculation on the future of the television as “inevitable” I’m quite surprised how frequently said crystal ball has been faulty over Covid.

So you are trying to take this thread off topic by talking about the future of television. Typical distraction technique which I have noticed elsewhere on this forum when people are losing the argument.

My contributions to this forum on various subjects has always been based on evidence I have picked up and think to be correct. You just either use different evidence (the scientists are by no means consistent) or you just want to argue.

Hugh 12-11-2021 09:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
You do realise comparing your discussions on one subject is relevant to your discussions on another - stop trying to stifle critiques by crying "off topic" every time you are challenged.

If you have an issue with what you think are off topic discussions, feel free to report it, and it will be considered by the Mods & Admins - it’s not your role in this forum to decide what is or isn’t off topic.

Maggy 12-11-2021 10:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36100866)
You do realise comparing your discussions on one subject is relevant to your discussions on another - stop trying to stifle critiques by crying "off topic" every time you are challenged.

If you have an issue with what you think are off topic discussions, feel free to report it, and it will be considered by the Mods & Admins - it’s not your role in this forum to decide what is or isn’t off topic.

:tu:

jfman 12-11-2021 10:06

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36100858)
Yes, and that is what was happening. However, as I have reminded you on several occasions, what happened later was that the more infectious Kent variant struck. That is what changed things and that is why the government’s position on Christmas freedom had to change.

So you didn’t back the science then and you don’t back it now?

---------- Post added at 10:04 ---------- Previous post was at 10:02 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36100861)
I don’t think you have taken in the hostility of populations to continual lockdowns under the Zero Covid approach, such as in Australia, where the government has acknowledged it got it wrong and should have concentrated on vaccinations as a means of controlling the virus.

There was nothing wrong with the approach, and the vast majority of the Australian population have enjoyed less restrictions for longer than areas of the UK since March 2020.

Vaccinations have indeed offered an alternative.

---------- Post added at 10:06 ---------- Previous post was at 10:04 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36100864)
So you are trying to take this thread off topic by talking about the future of television. Typical distraction technique which I have noticed elsewhere on this forum when people are losing the argument.

My contributions to this forum on various subjects has always been based on evidence I have picked up and think to be correct. You just either use different evidence (the scientists are by no means consistent) or you just want to argue.

Covid going away in the summer of 2020 despite it circulating already in countries with temperatures warmer than north/central European summer?

OLD BOY 12-11-2021 10:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36100866)
You do realise comparing your discussions on one subject is relevant to your discussions on another - stop trying to stifle critiques by crying "off topic" every time you are challenged.

If you have an issue with what you think are off topic discussions, feel free to report it, and it will be considered by the Mods & Admins - it’s not your role in this forum to decide what is or isn’t off topic.

I’m not reporting it, I am simply saying that I know the game that is being played here. The person starts to realise they may be losing the argument and so changes the subject.

---------- Post added at 10:12 ---------- Previous post was at 10:09 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36100869)

Covid going away in the summer of 2020 despite it circulating already in countries with temperatures warmer than north/central European summer?

Covid seems to be capable of raging whether it is hot or cold, jfman. This isn’t flu, you know! :D

jfman 12-11-2021 10:17

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36100872)
I’m not reporting it, I am simply saying that I know the game that is being played here. The person starts to realise they may be losing the argument and so changes the subject.

It’s not a game OB to quote your own posts since March 2020 which have shown you to consistently be incorrect on Covid pushing many, sometimes contradictory, narratives.

Your claim that regular boosters will not be required is evidenced nowhere. Merely the same hopeless optimism that gets proven incorrect over time. If anything, the UK needs to quickly acknowledge the waning efficacy of all vaccines and approve a booster for all 18+. Something even Australia has done.

Given your previous concern for the state of vaccination in Australia I must have missed your rush to commend them on their rollout, and concern that we aren’t following suit.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...a#post36084638

OLD BOY 12-11-2021 10:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36100875)
It’s not a game OB to quote your own posts since March 2020 which have shown you to consistently be incorrect on Covid pushing many, sometimes contradictory, narratives.

Your claim that regular boosters will not be required is evidenced nowhere. Merely the same hopeless optimism that gets proven incorrect over time. If anything, the UK needs to quickly acknowledge the waning efficacy of all vaccines and approve a booster for all 18+. Something even Australia has done.

Given your previous concern for the state of vaccination in Australia I must have missed your rush to commend them on their rollout, and concern that we aren’t following suit.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...a#post36084638

I have not claimed that regular boosters won’t be required. I said they may not be required. Twisting everything I say, as usual.

There are two schools of thought. One is that the virus will be circulating for a while yet, but following the two jabs and booster, the population may continue to be protected as the virus circulates and keeps our immune systems topped up, thus giving us protection without the need to give any further vaccines to the healthy population.

The other is that this will not be sufficient and that vaccinations may be needed well into the future.

These possibilities are both based on what the scientists are saying and I am not saying which is correct because at this stage, nobody really knows.

jfman 12-11-2021 10:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36100876)
I have not claimed that regular boosters won’t be required. I said they may not be required. Twisting everything I say, as usual.

There are two schools of thought. One is that the virus will be circulating for a while yet, but following the two jabs and booster, the population may continue to be protected as the virus circulates and keeps our immune systems topped up, thus giving us protection without the need to give any further vaccines to the healthy population.

The other is that this will not be sufficient and that vaccinations may be needed well into the future.

These possibilities are both based on what the scientists are saying and I am not saying which is correct because at this stage, nobody really knows.

There are not two schools of thought.

There’s evidence led science that shows immunity from both vaccination and infection wanes over time. There’s also speculation, without evidence, to the contrary.

To give both equal weight exemplifies the problem you’ve encountered in this debate throughout that something you read on the internet or heard on the radio must be credible. This is not the case.

1andrew1 12-11-2021 10:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36100877)
There are not two schools of thought.

There’s evidence led science that shows immunity from both vaccination and infection wanes over time. There’s also speculation, without evidence, to the contrary.

To give both equal weight exemplifies the problem you’ve encountered in this debate throughout that something you read on the internet or heard on the radio must be credible. This is not the case.

It's a basic media literacy issue - giving equal weight to two opposing opinions in the supposed interests of balance, without doing any research on the robustness or otherwise of the sources behind those opinions.

Hugh 12-11-2021 11:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36100879)
It's a basic media literacy issue - giving equal weight to two opposing opinions in the supposed interests of balance, without doing any research on the robustness or otherwise of the sources behind those opinions.


mrmistoffelees 12-11-2021 12:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36100884)

One of my favourites, closely followed by 'warm feet'

spiderplant 12-11-2021 12:33

Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy (Post 36100855)
Seriously?Look at who is posting. ;)

Well I did click that link with some trepidation, but it turned out to be a video by the excellent Dr John Campbell, so I thought it warranted a response.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36100862)
WHO Estimates Africa’s COVID-19 Caseload is Seven Times Higher Than Official Count

A valid point, but massive underreporting isn't exclusive to Africa. As it happens, DJC also covered that a few days ago.

1andrew1 12-11-2021 13:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36100884)

Very good! Funny, slightly edgy but with a serious message.

Sephiroth 12-11-2021 14:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
I don't know whether or not you classify tissue salts as homeopathy ot herbal medicine, but the Schuessler J combination absolutely controls my colds and combination H controls my hay fever.

pip08456 12-11-2021 14:10

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36100895)
I don't know whether or not you classify tissue salts as homeopathy ot herbal medicine, but the Schuessler J combination absolutely controls my colds and combination H controls my hay fever.

Homeopathic medicine.

https://www.healthline.com/health/ti...out-homeopathy

TheDaddy 12-11-2021 14:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by SnoopZ (Post 36100850)
Both my parents now have had a positive PCR test, both been double vaccinated with a booster! They're suffering cold like symptoms with a bad head, hopefully it won't get worse.

Best of luck to them :tu:

---------- Post added at 14:43 ---------- Previous post was at 14:40 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36100866)
You do realise comparing your discussions on one subject is relevant to your discussions on another - stop trying to stifle critiques by crying "off topic" every time you are challenged.

If you have an issue with what you think are off topic discussions, feel free to report it, and it will be considered by the Mods & Admins - it’s not your role in this forum to decide what is or isn’t off topic.

:tu:

---------- Post added at 14:48 ---------- Previous post was at 14:43 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36100879)
It's a basic media literacy issue - giving equal weight to two opposing opinions in the supposed interests of balance, without doing any research on the robustness or otherwise of the sources behind those opinions.

Yes usually with an expert on one side and a berk of the street on the other but in the interests of balance both have to be heard :spin:

Paul 12-11-2021 15:30

Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36100862)
Africa is estimated to have seven times more COVID-19 cases and three times as many deaths as officially reported, according to the World Health Organization (WHO) Africa region.

This means that the continent could have around 59 million cases and 634,500 deaths.

We’re using a model to estimate the degree of under-estimation

So basically they think "It surely cant be that low, so lets take a guess", and we all know how good "models" are.

Africa (and many places) may be under reporting, but the WHO has no actual evidence to say its 7 times.

spiderplant 12-11-2021 16:36

Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36100911)
So basically they think "It surely cant be that low, so lets take a guess", and we all know how good "models" are.

Africa (and many places) may be under reporting, but the WHO has no actual evidence to say its 7 times.

Try this. (You'll need to register)
https://www.economist.com/graphic-de...aths-estimates

heero_yuy 12-11-2021 17:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
Bearing in mind that Africa is hot, most people live outdoors or have well ventilated homes/offices and there's very little public transport. The opportunities for the virus to spread may well be limited.

Taf 12-11-2021 17:47

Re: Coronavirus
 
The missus got her booster appointment. The other side of the city, no parking anywhere, and 3 buses to get with a few hundred yards, and right in the middle of the rush hour.

Our daughter spent 37 minutes on hold until she tried to get the venue moved to Tesco, 200 yards from us.

"Tesco is fully booked. They and the independent pharmacies want all their slots filled every day to make ends meet" (i.e. make the most profit).

The guy on the phone offered her another place, 15 miles away in the early evening! The 2 other places she has been to are not offering the jab she is scheduled to have.

He has now passed her case to a supervisor, but is doubtful the venue can be changed.

Paul 13-11-2021 00:17

Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36100916)
Try this. (You'll need to register)

Thats not going to happen (registration).

---------- Post added at 00:17 ---------- Previous post was at 00:13 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Taf (Post 36100931)
The missus got her booster appointment.

Why not just book your [her] own ?
We all use the NHS site to book ours.
You can change or cancel on their system as well.

Dude111 13-11-2021 03:19

Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant
Try this. (You'll need to register)

Thank you...... I didnt have to register,it showed me the article straight away..

Maggy 13-11-2021 09:34

Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36100961)
Thats not going to happen (registration).

---------- Post added at 00:17 ---------- Previous post was at 00:13 ----------


Why not just book your [her] own ?
We all use the NHS site to book ours.
You can change or cancel on their system as well.

Didn't help me Paul.I kept being offered places miles away.I was even offered the Isle of Wight. Would have meant driving to a IoW ferry departure point that would deposit me near to the site.Ridiculous! Eventually I walked to my surgery and they gave me a number to ring and the very nice young woman managed to get me an appointment at the next nearest surgery to my residence.

pip08456 13-11-2021 09:35

Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36100961)
Thats not going to happen (registration).

---------- Post added at 00:17 ---------- Previous post was at 00:13 ----------


Why not just book your [her] own ?
We all use the NHS site to book ours.
You can change or cancel on their system as well.

That's NHS England. Not applicable for NHS Wales.

Taf 13-11-2021 10:57

Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36100961)
Why not just book your [her] own ?

The system in Wales is that they invite you by letter for the jabs. Unless you are in the lower age groups who can do walk-ins.

Carth 13-11-2021 11:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
I received a text from my surgery with a link to book my booster there.

A week later (2 days before attending my already booked booster appointment) I received a text from the NHS with a link to book my booster through them . . . what a shambles.

Paul 13-11-2021 15:56

Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Taf (Post 36100991)
The system in Wales is that they invite you by letter for the jabs. Unless you are in the lower age groups who can do walk-ins.

Trust Wales to be different.

---------- Post added at 15:56 ---------- Previous post was at 15:55 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36100992)
I received a text from the NHS with a link to book my booster through them . . . what a shambles.

Why is it a shambles ?
The NHS system is not going to know you have a local appointment.

Besides which its better to be told twice than not at all.

Carth 13-11-2021 17:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
oh . . well I (wrongly assumed it seems) that the NHS - with it's expensive and powerful computer records system - would have been updated by someone/something in the 6 days between an appointment being booked and their text to me.

Obviously a crap system eh, which probably explains a lot, not just with Covid :p:

Hugh 13-11-2021 17:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
There isn’t a "system", there are multiple Primary Care (GP) systems, and numerous different systems in Hospitals and Secondary Care areas.

https://assets.publishing.service.go...Accessible.pdf

Quote:

Computerisation and the NHS
Of course, computerisation is not new to the NHS and its associated primary care practices. In fact the GP sector is nearly 100% digitised, and both patients and healthcare professionals experience its benefits tens of thousands of times each day. NHS Choices, a comprehensive health information site, receives more than 40 million patient visits each month. Moreover, the UK has established some internationally renowned research programmes, such as the UK Biobank and the 100,000 Genomes Project, whose potential to improve care is tightly linked to their integration with clinical information systems, both for data collection and to support clinical decision making at the point
of care.
In contrast to the successes in the GP sector, the digitisation of hospitals has been far from smooth, and the patchy computerisation of this sector stands as a considerable impediment to transforming care. The ambitious National Programme for Information Technology (NPfIT), designed to digitise hospitals and trusts, was launched in 2002, only to be shut down nine years later (5). NPfIT did enjoy some successes, including the development of a national infrastructure to provide core services (the Spine); a single national patient identifier (the NHS number); and national electronic prescription and radiology programmes. But, against its primary goal of digitising the secondary care sector, NPfIT failed to deliver – largely because it was too centralised, failed to engage properly with trusts and their healthcare professionals, and tried to accomplish too much too quickly.
Quote:

digitising large, complex organisations – particularly those, like healthcare, that do not involve repetitive, assembly line-type work but rather work with substantial complexity, nuance, and decision making under uncertainty – is adaptive change of the highest order. Failure to appreciate this leads to many of the other problems: underestimation of the cost, complexity, and time needed for implementation; failure to ensure the engagement and involvement of front-line workers; and inadequate skill mix. It is thus not surprising that many health IT implementations fail, not only in England but around the world.
Since efforts to computerise a single organisation (a hospital, for instance) often fail, it is unsurprising that NPfIT – an attempt to digitise an entire sector of a massive healthcare system, operating in a resource- constrained and politicised environment – proved far more difficult than anticipated. As we try again to digitise the secondary care sector of the NHS, the question is how to learn from the lessons of NPfIT, as well as those of other countries that have traversed this path, particularly the US. Finally, there is a success story to point to: the digitisation of England’s GP sector.
tl:dr - the NHS (and it’s systems) isn’t a huge homogeneous monolithic business, it’s a conglomeration of hundreds/thousands smaller organisations, each of which has developed its own processes & systems over the last 70 odd years.

tl:dr even more - there isn’t a simple solution to a very complex problem

Mad Max 13-11-2021 17:57

Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36100980)
That's NHS England. Not applicable for NHS Wales.

Or Scotland

ianch99 13-11-2021 19:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
Remember our "world beating" vaccination programme?

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36068689)
The facts on the ground are that we are light years ahead of almost every country on earth with our vaccination programme, and particularly light years ahead of any European nation, because they all put their faith in a slow, bureaucratic process that was more interested in saving pennies than lives. There, but for the grace of Brexit, might have gone us.

Aged like milk ..

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FEAONOxX...jpg&name=small

Jaymoss 13-11-2021 19:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
Yeah but them stats are all down to those who have refused the jab. As a country it has been offered almost everyone but we live in a free country

Mad Max 13-11-2021 19:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
So, when was it that Chris posted that we were ahead of nearly everyone in Europe?

Jaymoss 13-11-2021 19:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36101053)
So, when was it that Chris posted that we were ahead of nearly everyone in Europe?

the vaccination program from the start was ahead of the rest of the EU and maybe still is. Jab rejection does not mean the program has failed it just means we have a lot of selfish people in this country

Mad Max 13-11-2021 19:24

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jaymoss (Post 36101054)
the vaccination program from the start was ahead of the rest of the EU and maybe still is. Jab rejection does not mean the program has failed it just means we have a lot of selfish people in this country

Yes, I understand that, the point I was making was that at the time of the post made by Chris, we may well have been ahead of nearly everyone in Europe.

ianch99 13-11-2021 19:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
It is not how you start the race, it is how your finish it.

Mad Max 13-11-2021 19:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36101059)
It is not how you start the race, it is how your finish it.

When did it finish?


All times are GMT +1. The time now is 00:11.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
All Posts and Content are © Cable Forum